WAC Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Western Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/19/2018.

WAC Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 New Mexico St 22 5 24.7 5.3 9 2 11.7 2.3
2 Utah Valley 19 8 20.9 9.1 8 3 9.9 4.1
3 Seattle 19 9 19.9 11.1 8 3 8.9 5.1
4 Grand Canyon 17 10 19.1 10.9 6 5 8.1 5.9
5 UTRGV 14 14 15.8 15.2 5 6 6.8 7.2
6 Missouri KC 9 19 10.1 20.9 4 7 5.1 8.9
7 CS Bakersfield 11 15 12.1 16.9 4 7 5.1 8.9
8 Chicago St 2 26 2.4 28.6 0 11 0.4 13.6

Projected WAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Western Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
New Mexico St 12 3.489

WAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Western Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each WAC team. The WAC Basketball Conference Tournament is an eight team tournament.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
New Mexico St
96.5%
73.9%
52%
2
Utah Valley
77.4%
58.7%
27.2%
3
Seattle
67.8%
22.3%
5.5%
4
Grand Canyon
71.4%
21.8%
10.5%
5
UTRGV
28.6%
4.1%
1.3%
6
Missouri KC
32.2%
7.5%
0.9%
7
CS Bakersfield
22.6%
11.5%
2.6%
8
Chicago St
3.5%
0.2%
0%

WAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/22 Chicago St 1.1% New Mexico St 98.9% New Mexico St wins by 24
2/22 Seattle 23.8% Grand Canyon 76.2% Grand Canyon wins by 8
2/22 Missouri KC 34% UTRGV 66% UTRGV wins by 5
2/22 Utah Valley 61.8% CS Bakersfield 38.2% Utah Valley wins by 4
2/24 Chicago St 7.4% UTRGV 92.6% UTRGV wins by 15
2/24 Utah Valley 46.3% Grand Canyon 53.7% Grand Canyon wins by 1
2/24 Seattle 47.8% CS Bakersfield 52.2% CS Bakersfield wins by 1
2/24 Missouri KC 7% New Mexico St 93% New Mexico St wins by 16
3/3 New Mexico St 75.7% UTRGV 24.3% New Mexico St wins by 8
3/3 CS Bakersfield 16.7% Grand Canyon 83.3% Grand Canyon wins by 10
3/3 Seattle 17.4% Utah Valley 82.6% Utah Valley wins by 10
3/3 Missouri KC 71.2% Chicago St 28.8% Missouri KC wins by 7

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC