These are the latest Western Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
WAC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|1||New Mexico St||23||4||26.5||4.5||11||1||14.5||1.5|
Projected WAC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Western Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|New Mexico St||12||3.678|
Projected WAC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Western Athletic Conference standings.
|New Mexico St||100%||0%||0%||0%||100%|
WAC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Western Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The WAC Basketball Conference Tournament is an eight team tournament that is a mainstay at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
WAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Cal Baptist||13.7%||Grand Canyon||86.4%||Grand Canyon wins by 11|
|2/21||Chicago St||1.3%||Utah Valley||98.7%||Utah Valley wins by 23|
|2/21||Missouri KC||32.1%||Seattle||68%||Seattle wins by 6|
|2/23||UTRGV||13.9%||New Mexico St||86.1%||New Mexico St wins by 11|
|2/23||Cal Baptist||29%||CS Bakersfield||71%||CS Bakersfield wins by 7|
|2/23||Missouri KC||11.7%||Utah Valley||88.3%||Utah Valley wins by 12|
|2/23||Chicago St||6.3%||Seattle||93.8%||Seattle wins by 17|
|2/26||Utah Valley||61.8%||Seattle||38.2%||Utah Valley wins by 4|
|2/28||Seattle||42.7%||Cal Baptist||57.3%||Cal Baptist wins by 3|
|2/28||New Mexico St||77.2%||Missouri KC||22.8%||New Mexico St wins by 8|
|2/28||UTRGV||90.8%||Chicago St||9.2%||UTRGV wins by 13|
|3/2||CS Bakersfield||17.4%||Grand Canyon||82.6%||Grand Canyon wins by 10|
|3/2||Utah Valley||63.4%||Cal Baptist||36.6%||Utah Valley wins by 5|
|3/2||New Mexico St||93.4%||Chicago St||6.6%||New Mexico St wins by 17|
|3/2||UTRGV||55.9%||Missouri KC||44.1%||UTRGV wins by 2|
|3/7||Cal Baptist||21.3%||UTRGV||78.7%||UTRGV wins by 8|
|3/7||CS Bakersfield||42.7%||Seattle||57.3%||Seattle wins by 3|
|3/7||Grand Canyon||37.2%||Utah Valley||62.8%||Utah Valley wins by 5|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|