WAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Western Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/17/2018.

WAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 New Mexico St 7 2 24.4 5.6 0 0 11.3 2.7
2 Utah Valley 8 4 20.6 10.4 0 0 9.1 4.9
3 Seattle 9 3 21.1 9.9 0 0 8.6 5.4
4 Grand Canyon 5 5 16.5 13.5 0 0 7.7 6.3
5 UTRGV 7 5 18.4 14.6 0 0 7.3 6.7
6 CS Bakersfield 5 4 14.2 14.8 0 0 6 8
7 Missouri KC 4 8 9.1 21.9 0 0 3.7 10.3
8 Chicago St 2 9 5 25 0 0 2.3 11.7

Projected WAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Western Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
New Mexico St 12 4.432

Projected WAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Western Athletic Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
New Mexico St 77% 15% 4% 2% 100%
Utah Valley 13% 34% 29% 13% 100%
Seattle 5% 26% 24% 25% 100%
Grand Canyon 2% 9% 16% 25% 100%
UTRGV 2% 14% 18% 20% 100%
CS Bakersfield 1% 2% 8% 14% 100%
Missouri KC 0% 0% 1% 1% 100%
Chicago St 0% 0% 0% 0% 98%
Cal Baptist 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%

WAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Western Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The WAC Basketball Conference Tournament is an eight team tournament that is a mainstay at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Coming Soon!

WAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
1/3 Seattle 58.2% CS Bakersfield 41.8% Seattle wins by 3
1/3 Utah Valley 51.1% Grand Canyon 48.9% Utah Valley wins by 1
1/5 Seattle 46.3% Grand Canyon 53.7% Grand Canyon wins by 1
1/5 Utah Valley 60.5% CS Bakersfield 39.5% Utah Valley wins by 4
1/5 Chicago St 19.6% Missouri KC 80.4% Missouri KC wins by 9
1/10 Grand Canyon 11.7% New Mexico St 88.3% New Mexico St wins by 12
1/10 CS Bakersfield 25.2% UTRGV 74.8% UTRGV wins by 8
1/12 Grand Canyon 41.2% UTRGV 58.8% UTRGV wins by 3
1/12 CS Bakersfield 7.4% New Mexico St 92.6% New Mexico St wins by 15
1/12 Seattle 35.5% Utah Valley 64.5% Utah Valley wins by 5
1/17 New Mexico St 60.5% Seattle 39.5% New Mexico St wins by 4
1/17 UTRGV 21.3% Utah Valley 78.7% Utah Valley wins by 8
1/17 Chicago St 7% Grand Canyon 93% Grand Canyon wins by 16
1/17 Missouri KC 16.2% CS Bakersfield 83.8% CS Bakersfield wins by 10
1/19 UTRGV 26.7% Seattle 73.3% Seattle wins by 7
1/19 New Mexico St 58.2% Utah Valley 41.8% New Mexico St wins by 3
1/19 Missouri KC 10.6% Grand Canyon 89.4% Grand Canyon wins by 13
1/19 Chicago St 9.4% CS Bakersfield 90.6% CS Bakersfield wins by 13

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC