WAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Western Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

WAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 New Mexico St 30 4 30 4 15 1 15 1
2 Utah Valley 24 9 24 9 12 4 12 4
3 Grand Canyon 20 13 20 13 10 6 10 6
4 UTRGV 19 16 19 16 9 7 9 7
5 CS Bakersfield 15 15 15 15 7 9 7 9
6 Cal Baptist 16 14 16 14 7 9 7 9
7 Missouri KC 11 21 11 21 6 10 6 10
8 Seattle 18 14 18 14 6 10 6 10
9 Chicago St 3 29 3 29 0 16 0 16

Projected WAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Western Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
New Mexico St 12 4.024

Projected WAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Western Athletic Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
New Mexico St 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Utah Valley 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Grand Canyon 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
UTRGV 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
CS Bakersfield 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Cal Baptist 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Missouri KC 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Seattle 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Chicago St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

WAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Western Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The WAC Basketball Conference Tournament is an eight team tournament that is a mainstay at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

Regular Season Champion: New Mexico St
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
New Mexico St
100%
100%
100%
2
Utah Valley
100%
0%
0%
3
Grand Canyon
100%
100%
0%
4
UTRGV
100%
0%
0%
5
CS Bakersfield
0%
0%
0%
6
Cal Baptist
0%
0%
0%
7
Missouri KC
0%
0%
0%
8
Seattle
0%
0%
0%
9
Chicago St
0%
0%
0%

WAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC