These are the latest Western Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/19/2018.
WAC Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|1||New Mexico St||22||5||24.7||5.3||9||2||11.7||2.3|
Projected WAC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Western Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|New Mexico St||12||3.489|
WAC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Western Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each WAC team. The WAC Basketball Conference Tournament is an eight team tournament.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
WAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/22||Chicago St||1.1%||New Mexico St||98.9%||New Mexico St wins by 24|
|2/22||Seattle||23.8%||Grand Canyon||76.2%||Grand Canyon wins by 8|
|2/22||Missouri KC||34%||UTRGV||66%||UTRGV wins by 5|
|2/22||Utah Valley||61.8%||CS Bakersfield||38.2%||Utah Valley wins by 4|
|2/24||Chicago St||7.4%||UTRGV||92.6%||UTRGV wins by 15|
|2/24||Utah Valley||46.3%||Grand Canyon||53.7%||Grand Canyon wins by 1|
|2/24||Seattle||47.8%||CS Bakersfield||52.2%||CS Bakersfield wins by 1|
|2/24||Missouri KC||7%||New Mexico St||93%||New Mexico St wins by 16|
|3/3||New Mexico St||75.7%||UTRGV||24.3%||New Mexico St wins by 8|
|3/3||CS Bakersfield||16.7%||Grand Canyon||83.3%||Grand Canyon wins by 10|
|3/3||Seattle||17.4%||Utah Valley||82.6%||Utah Valley wins by 10|
|3/3||Missouri KC||71.2%||Chicago St||28.8%||Missouri KC wins by 7|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|