Wagner Seahawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Wagner Seahawks. All of these projections for Wagner are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Wagner Record and Rankings

Record: 13-17
Projected Final Record: 13.0-17.0

NEC Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final NEC Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 7

Wagner Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 299
RPI Rank: 267
NET Rank: 300
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 2-6 9-9
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.500

Our current projections give the Wagner Seahawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wagner’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wagner Seahawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wagner Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 41 Seton Hall Away L 49-89
11/10 274 MA Lowell Away L 84-88
11/13 No Rank Cortland St Home W 90-58
11/17 308 Fairfield Away W 79-73
11/20 174 NJIT Home L 60-71
11/24 225 Rider Home L 65-89
11/30 224 American Univ Away W 64-58
12/9 No Rank New Rochelle Home W 105-57
12/16 61 St John’s Away L 58-73
12/22 197 Hartford Home W 77-68
12/29 178 St Joseph’s PA Away L 57-59
1/3 322 Central Conn Away W 80-58
1/5 272 St Francis NY Home L 59-66
1/10 262 Sacred Heart Home W 76-73
1/12 202 F Dickinson Home W 66-60
1/19 325 Mt St Mary’s Home L 56-70
1/21 262 Sacred Heart Away L 38-62
1/24 242 St Francis PA Away W 83-79
1/26 267 Robert Morris Away L 51-57
1/31 320 Bryant Home L 64-71
2/2 263 LIU Brooklyn Home W 71-59
2/7 272 St Francis NY Away L 44-51
2/9 263 LIU Brooklyn Away W 68-65
2/14 322 Central Conn Home W 63-57
2/16 325 Mt St Mary’s Away W 58-56
2/21 320 Bryant Away L 65-67
2/23 202 F Dickinson Away L 66-74
2/28 242 St Francis PA Home L 72-83
3/2 267 Robert Morris Home L 60-69
3/6 202 F Dickinson Away L 46-84