Wagner Seahawks Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Wagner Seahawks. All of these projections for Wagner are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Wagner Record and Rankings

Record: 0-2
Projected Final Record: 14.6-14.4

NEC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final NEC Record: 8.8-7.2
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 4

Wagner Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 260
RPI Rank: 292
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Wagner Seahawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wagner’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 74.2%
NIT #8 Seed 25.8%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wagner Seahawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wagner Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 27 Seton Hall Away L 49-89
11/10 277 MA Lowell Away L 84-88
11/13 No Rank Cortland St Home 92.6%
11/17 133 Fairfield Away 14.3%
11/20 204 NJIT Home 43.3%
11/24 178 Rider Home 40.9%
11/30 214 American Univ Away 20.6%
12/9 No Rank New Rochelle Home 92.6%
12/16 72 St John’s Away 6.6%
12/22 307 Hartford Home 82.6%
12/29 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 6.6%
1/3 255 Central Conn Away 36.2%
1/5 220 St Francis NY Home 43.3%
1/10 310 Sacred Heart Home 77.7%
1/12 288 F Dickinson Home 66.8%
1/19 279 Mt St Mary’s Home 63.8%
1/21 310 Sacred Heart Away 54.8%
1/24 202 St Francis PA Away 20.3%
1/26 309 Robert Morris Away 57.1%
1/31 350 Bryant Home 93.4%
2/2 No Rank LIU Brooklyn Home 92.6%
2/7 220 St Francis NY Away 19.6%
2/9 No Rank LIU Brooklyn Away 80.9%
2/14 255 Central Conn Home 56.7%
2/16 279 Mt St Mary’s Away 43.3%
2/21 350 Bryant Away 82.1%
2/23 288 F Dickinson Away 44.9%
2/28 202 St Francis PA Home 43.9%
3/2 309 Robert Morris Home 81.1%