Wagner Seahawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Wagner Seahawks. All of these projections for Wagner are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Wagner Record and Rankings

Record: 8-8
Projected Final Record: 14.8-14.2

NEC Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final NEC Record: 9.8-8.2
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 6

Wagner Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 245
RPI Rank: 233
NET Rank: 216
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 1-4 5-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.200 0.714

Our current projections give the Wagner Seahawks a 13.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 6.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 80.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wagner’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 13.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 6.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wagner Seahawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wagner Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 48 Seton Hall Away L 49-89
11/10 201 MA Lowell Away L 84-88
11/13 No Rank Cortland St Home W 90-58
11/17 289 Fairfield Away W 79-73
11/20 153 NJIT Home L 60-71
11/24 169 Rider Home L 65-89
11/30 236 American Univ Away W 64-58
12/9 No Rank New Rochelle Home W 105-57
12/16 38 St John’s Away L 58-73
12/22 200 Hartford Home W 77-68
12/29 168 St Joseph’s PA Away L 57-59
1/3 247 Central Conn Away W 80-58
1/5 219 St Francis NY Home L 59-66
1/10 248 Sacred Heart Home W 76-73
1/12 268 F Dickinson Home W 66-60
1/19 324 Mt St Mary’s Home L 56-70
1/21 248 Sacred Heart Away 39.2%
1/24 243 St Francis PA Away 38.5%
1/26 262 Robert Morris Away 42.2%
1/31 317 Bryant Home 82.1%
2/2 253 LIU Brooklyn Home 62.1%
2/7 219 St Francis NY Away 36.2%
2/9 253 LIU Brooklyn Away 39.9%
2/14 247 Central Conn Home 60.8%
2/16 324 Mt St Mary’s Away 57.8%
2/21 317 Bryant Away 56.7%
2/23 268 F Dickinson Away 40.9%
2/28 243 St Francis PA Home 60.5%
3/2 262 Robert Morris Home 63.1%