Washington Huskies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Washington Huskies. All of these projections for Washington are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Washington Record and Rankings

Record: 14-4
Projected Final Record: 23.2-7.8

Pac-12 Conference Record: 5-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 14.2-3.8
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 1

Washington Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 37
RPI Rank: 32
NET Rank: 40
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 9 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-0 6-0 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Washington Huskies a 80.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 18.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 1.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Washington’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 14.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 18.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 16.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 10.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 5.4%
NIT #2 Seed 4.2%
NIT #3 Seed 2.0%
NIT #4 Seed 1.8%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 1.4%
NIT #8 Seed 1.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Washington Huskies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Washington Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 127 WKU Home W 73-55
11/9 20 Auburn Away L 66-88
11/12 128 San Diego Home W 66-63
11/18 185 Santa Clara Neutal W 82-68
11/20 122 Texas A&M Neutal W 71-67
11/21 43 Minnesota Neutral L 66-68
11/27 291 E Washington Home W 83-59
12/2 132 UC Santa Barbara Home W 67-63
12/5 5 Gonzaga Away L 79-81
12/9 178 Seattle Home W 70-62
12/15 11 Virginia Tech Neutral L 61-73
12/21 293 CS Sacramento Home W 57-41
1/1 210 CS Fullerton Home W 84-76
1/5 208 Washington St Home W 85-67
1/10 119 Utah Away W 69-53
1/12 113 Colorado Away W 77-70
1/17 130 Stanford Home W 80-64
1/19 255 California Home W 71-52
1/24 79 Oregon Away 54%
1/26 67 Oregon St Away 52.9%
1/30 109 USC Home 85%
2/2 96 UCLA Home 83.8%
2/7 51 Arizona Away 43.1%
2/9 59 Arizona St Away 47.8%
2/16 208 Washington St Away 80.9%
2/20 119 Utah Home 85.2%
2/23 113 Colorado Home 84.2%
2/28 255 California Away 85.7%
3/3 130 Stanford Away 62.5%
3/6 67 Oregon St Home 76.7%
3/9 79 Oregon Home 77.2%