Washington Huskies Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Washington Huskies. All of these projections for Washington are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Washington Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 20.0-11.0

Pac-12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 10.8-7.2
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 4

Washington Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 55
RPI Rank: 32
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Last 4 Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Washington Huskies a 15.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 73.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 11.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Washington’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 5.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 28.0%
NIT #2 Seed 35.4%
NIT #3 Seed 5.6%
NIT #4 Seed 3.2%
NIT #5 Seed 1.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Washington Huskies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Washington Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 73 WKU Home W 73-55
11/9 19 Auburn Away L 66-88
11/12 106 San Diego Home 83.8%
11/18 285 Santa Clara Neutal 94.6%
11/20 70 Texas A&M Neutal 56.8%
11/21 109 Minnesota Neutal 68%
11/27 203 E Washington Home 93.8%
12/2 169 UC Santa Barbara Home 91.8%
12/5 3 Gonzaga Away 8.2%
12/9 235 Seattle Home 93.8%
12/15 22 Virginia Tech Neutral 36.5%
12/21 304 CS Sacramento Home 98.7%
1/1 161 CS Fullerton Home 91.7%
1/5 142 Washington St Home 90.3%
1/10 43 Utah Away 39.2%
1/12 108 Colorado Away 58.2%
1/17 66 Stanford Home 69.9%
1/19 282 California Home 98.5%
1/24 15 Oregon Away 14.8%
1/26 85 Oregon St Away 51.5%
1/30 63 USC Home 63.8%
2/2 42 UCLA Home 58.8%
2/7 24 Arizona Away 29%
2/9 56 Arizona St Away 37.9%
2/16 142 Washington St Away 67.2%
2/20 43 Utah Home 62.1%
2/23 108 Colorado Home 83.8%
2/28 282 California Away 91.7%
3/3 66 Stanford Away 44.9%
3/6 85 Oregon St Home 77.2%
3/9 15 Oregon Home 39.9%