WCC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest West Coast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the WCC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

WCC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Gonzaga 30 3 30 3 16 0 16 0
2 St Mary’s CA 22 11 22 11 11 5 11 5
3 BYU 19 13 19 13 11 5 11 5
4 San Francisco 21 10 21 10 9 7 9 7
5 Loy Marymount 20 11 20 11 8 8 8 8
6 Santa Clara 16 15 16 15 8 8 8 8
7 San Diego 21 14 21 14 7 9 7 9
8 Pepperdine 16 18 16 18 6 10 6 10
9 Pacific 14 18 14 18 4 12 4 12
10 Portland 7 25 7 25 0 16 0 16

Projected WCC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the West Coast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Gonzaga 1 14.961
St Mary’s CA 11 5.327

Projected WCC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the West Coast Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Gonzaga 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
St Mary’s CA 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
BYU 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
San Francisco 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Loy Marymount 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Santa Clara 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
San Diego 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Pepperdine 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Pacific 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

WCC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the West Coast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The West Coast Conference Men’s Basketball Tournament recently changed their tournament structure to make it easier for the top-seeded teams to advance/win the tournament. The top two teams now get a double-bye into the Semifinals.

Regular Season Champion: Gonzaga
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 7th, 2019
Second Round: March 8th, 2019
Third Round: March 9th, 2019
Semifinals: March 11th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Gonzaga
100%
100%
100%
0%
2
St Mary’s CA
100%
100%
100%
100%
3
BYU
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
San Francisco
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Loy Marymount
0%
0%
0%
0%
6
Santa Clara
0%
0%
0%
0%
7
San Diego
100%
100%
0%
0%
8
Pepperdine
100%
100%
0%
0%
9
Pacific
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Portland
0%
0%
0%
0%

WCC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC