Weber State Wildcats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Weber State Wildcats. All of these projections for Weber St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Weber St Record and Rankings

Record: 10-6
Projected Final Record: 19.9-11.1

Big Sky Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 13.9-6.1
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 2

Weber St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 177
RPI Rank: 188
NET Rank: 173
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-5 2-0 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.857

Our current projections give the Weber State Wildcats a 17.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 82.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Weber St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 12.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Weber State Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Weber St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 129 San Diego Away L 66-83
11/9 No Rank Bethesda Home W 123-53
11/15 326 San Jose St Neutal W 85-77
11/16 120 C Michigan Neutal W 78-76
11/18 146 CS Bakersfield Neutral L 67-68
11/27 No Rank Benedictine AZ Home W 100-61
12/1 116 BYU Home W 113-103
12/5 59 Fresno St Away L 52-71
12/8 56 Utah St Neutral L 67-76
12/15 103 Utah Valley Home L 63-75
12/22 349 Delaware St Home W 83-69
12/29 297 E Washington Away W 84-72
12/31 335 Idaho Away W 93-87
1/3 287 Northern Arizona Home W 77-52
1/5 241 Southern Utah Home L 82-90
1/12 289 Portland St Away W 95-88
1/17 244 Idaho St Home 81.8%
1/19 200 N Colorado Home 69.1%
1/24 250 Montana St Away 56.7%
1/26 142 Montana Away 24.7%
1/31 289 Portland St Home 85.2%
2/2 303 CS Sacramento Home 86.4%
2/7 241 Southern Utah Away 55.9%
2/9 287 Northern Arizona Away 59.8%
2/14 142 Montana Home 51.5%
2/16 250 Montana St Home 81.6%
2/21 303 CS Sacramento Away 61.1%
2/28 200 N Colorado Away 43.5%
3/4 244 Idaho St Away 54.8%
3/7 335 Idaho Home 91.4%
3/9 297 E Washington Home 84.7%