West Virginia Mountaineers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the West Virginia Mountaineers. All of these projections for West Virginia are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

West Virginia Record and Rankings

Record: 26-10
Projected Final Record: 26.3-10.7

Big 12 Conference Record: 13-8
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 13.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 3

West Virginia Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 13
RPI Rank: 27
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 4 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 8-8 7-0 2-2 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.500 1.000 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the West Virginia Mountaineers a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account West Virginia’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 14.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 23.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 55.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the West Virginia Mountaineers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

West Virginia Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 26 Texas A&M Ramstein, Germany L 65-88
11/15 332 American Univ Home W 98-64
11/18 331 Morgan St Home W 111-48
11/20 185 Long Beach St Home W 91-62
11/23 323 Marist Kissimmee, FL W 84-78
11/24 85 UCF Kissimmee, FL W 83-45
11/26 42 Missouri Kissimmee, FL W 83-79
11/30 267 NJIT Home W 102-69
12/5 1 Virginia Home W 68-61
12/9 217 Pittsburgh Away W 69-60
12/20 347 Coppin St Home W 77-38
12/23 270 Fordham Home W 86-69
12/29 37 Oklahoma St Away W 85-79
1/1 25 Kansas St Away W 77-69
1/6 40 Oklahoma Home W 89-76
1/9 35 Baylor Home W 57-54
1/13 15 Texas Tech Away L 71-72
1/15 7 Kansas Home L 66-71
1/20 32 Texas Home W 86-51
1/22 22 TCU Away L 73-82
1/27 17 Kentucky Home L 76-83
1/31 92 Iowa St Away L 77-93
2/3 25 Kansas St Home W 89-51
2/5 40 Oklahoma Away W 75-73
2/10 37 Oklahoma St Home L 85-88
2/12 22 TCU Home W 82-66
2/17 7 Kansas Away L 69-77
2/20 35 Baylor Away W 71-60
2/24 92 Iowa St Home W 85-70
2/26 15 Texas Tech Home W 84-74
3/3 32 Texas Away L 79-87
3/8 35 Baylor Kansas City, MO W 78-65
3/9 15 Texas Tech Kansas City, MO W 66-63
3/10 7 Kansas Kansas City, MO L 70-81
3/16 63 Murray St NCAA Tournament San Diego CA W 85-68
3/18 96 Marshall NCAA Tournament W 94-71
3/23 2 Villanova NCAA Tournament Boston, MA 32%