Western Carolina Catamounts Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Western Carolina Catamounts. All of these projections for W Carolina are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

W Carolina Record and Rankings

Record: 5-16
Projected Final Record: 7.5-23.5

Southern Conference Record: 2-6
Projected Final Southern Record: 4.5-13.5
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 9

W Carolina Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 281
RPI Rank: 264
NET Rank: 270
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 1-7 3-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.125 0.500

Our current projections give the Western Carolina Catamounts a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account W Carolina’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Western Carolina Catamounts. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

W Carolina Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 161 Wright St Away L 73-96
11/10 120 Col Charleston Home L 74-77
11/14 121 SMU Away L 65-98
11/17 No Rank Hiwassee Home W 94-55
11/20 103 Jacksonville St Neutral L 53-84
11/21 157 Southern Miss Neutral L 63-68
11/24 287 Jacksonville Home W 77-65
11/27 164 Wake Forest Away L 64-71
12/1 68 Furman Away L 88-90
12/5 33 NC State Away L 67-100
12/8 353 UNC Asheville Away W 71-59
12/15 204 High Point Away L 59-86
12/18 24 Iowa Away L 60-78
12/21 117 Bowling Green Away L 52-73
12/29 35 Wofford Home L 54-74
1/3 241 Chattanooga Home L 62-73
1/5 174 Samford Home W 76-69
1/10 194 Mercer Away L 80-84
1/12 211 Citadel Away W 94-82
1/17 53 UNC Greensboro Home L 60-69
1/19 294 VMI Away L 83-91
1/26 81 ETSU Home 17.2%
1/31 241 Chattanooga Away 34%
2/2 174 Samford Away 16.7%
2/7 68 Furman Home 17.9%
2/9 35 Wofford Away 1.6%
2/14 194 Mercer Home 40.5%
2/16 211 Citadel Home 44.9%
2/21 53 UNC Greensboro Away 7%
2/23 294 VMI Home 62.1%
3/2 81 ETSU Away 7.8%