Western Illinois Leathernecks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Western Illinois Leathernecks. All of these projections for W Illinois are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

W Illinois Record and Rankings

Record: 6-12
Projected Final Record: 10.0-20.0

Summit Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final Summit Record: 5.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 8

W Illinois Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 319
RPI Rank: 346
NET Rank: 314
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 0-3 4-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.364

Our current projections give the Western Illinois Leathernecks a 1.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 98.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account W Illinois’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Western Illinois Leathernecks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

W Illinois Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 54 Creighton Away L 67-78
11/10 No Rank North Park Home W 84-56
11/14 No Rank Dominican IL Home W 95-56
11/17 230 E Illinois Away L 66-68
11/21 322 TN Martin Away L 90-92
11/24 14 Nebraska Away L 49-73
11/28 325 SIUE Home W 83-58
12/1 317 SE Missouri St Away W 70-63
12/5 347 Stetson Away L 64-68
12/8 230 E Illinois Home L 67-74
12/15 201 IUPUI Away L 68-82
12/17 138 N Illinois Away L 76-91
12/20 343 Chicago St Home W 81-52
12/28 137 S Dakota St Home L 58-100
12/30 301 Denver Home W 78-60
1/5 276 Oral Roberts Away L 63-82
1/10 249 N Dakota St Away L 69-85
1/12 296 North Dakota Away L 65-71
1/17 194 NE Omaha Home 34.7%
1/19 188 PFW Home 33.6%
1/26 213 South Dakota Away 17.9%
1/29 296 North Dakota Home 52.2%
1/31 296 North Dakota Home 52.2%
2/2 249 N Dakota St Home 42.9%
2/7 188 PFW Away 16.5%
2/16 213 South Dakota Home 38.2%
2/20 194 NE Omaha Away 17.4%
2/23 276 Oral Roberts Home 48.9%
2/28 301 Denver Away 37.9%
3/2 137 S Dakota St Away 10.6%