Western Illinois Leathernecks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Western Illinois Leathernecks. All of these projections for W Illinois are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

W Illinois Record and Rankings

Record: 10-21
Projected Final Record: 10.0-21.0

Summit Conference Record: 4-12
Projected Final Summit Record: 4.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 8

W Illinois Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 310
RPI Rank: 335
NET Rank: 302
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 1-6 7-11
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.143 0.389

Our current projections give the Western Illinois Leathernecks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account W Illinois’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Western Illinois Leathernecks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

W Illinois Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 52 Creighton Away L 67-78
11/10 No Rank North Park Home W 84-56
11/14 No Rank Dominican IL Home W 95-56
11/17 294 E Illinois Away L 66-68
11/21 283 TN Martin Away L 90-92
11/24 49 Nebraska Away L 49-73
11/28 323 SIUE Home W 83-58
12/1 312 SE Missouri St Away W 70-63
12/5 333 Stetson Away L 64-68
12/8 294 E Illinois Home L 67-74
12/15 216 IUPUI Away L 68-82
12/17 143 N Illinois Away L 76-91
12/20 351 Chicago St Home W 81-52
12/28 133 S Dakota St Home L 58-100
12/30 324 Denver Home W 78-60
1/5 292 Oral Roberts Away L 63-82
1/10 205 N Dakota St Away L 69-85
1/12 296 North Dakota Away L 65-71
1/17 168 NE Omaha Home L 71-80
1/19 218 PFW Home W 87-58
1/26 249 South Dakota Away W 65-59
2/1 296 North Dakota Home L 73-74
2/2 205 N Dakota St Home L 76-78
2/7 218 PFW Away L 64-79
2/16 249 South Dakota Home L 67-80
2/20 168 NE Omaha Away L 63-77
2/23 292 Oral Roberts Home W 75-66
2/28 324 Denver Away L 46-74
3/2 133 S Dakota St Away L 66-86
3/9 133 S Dakota St Neutal W 79-76
3/11 205 N Dakota St Neutral L 73-76