Western Michigan Broncos Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Western Michigan Broncos. All of these projections for W Michigan are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

W Michigan Record and Rankings

Record: 6-12
Projected Final Record: 9.3-21.7

MAC Conference Record: 0-5
Projected Final MAC Record: 3.3-14.7
Projected Final Rank in the MAC: 12

W Michigan Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 252
RPI Rank: 221
NET Rank: 236
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-5 0-3 1-1 4-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.500 0.571

Our current projections give the Western Michigan Broncos a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account W Michigan’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Western Michigan Broncos. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

W Michigan Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 192 Detroit Home W 89-76
11/10 23 Mississippi Away L 64-90
11/13 202 Oakland Away W 85-77
11/17 No Rank Aquinas Home W 99-52
11/19 32 Cincinnati Away L 52-78
11/23 343 Southern Univ Neutal W 85-70
11/24 297 Nicholls St Neutral L 61-62
12/1 330 SC Upstate Home L 66-71
12/8 301 Youngstown St Away W 88-77
12/15 6 Michigan Away L 62-70
12/19 70 Dayton Away L 72-85
12/22 267 WI Milwaukee Home L 66-67
12/30 306 UC Riverside Home W 73-64
1/5 158 Akron Away L 48-56
1/8 116 Kent Away L 73-88
1/12 62 Toledo Home L 77-85
1/15 9 Buffalo Home L 79-88
1/19 117 Bowling Green Away L 48-79
1/22 150 Ohio Away 18.4%
1/26 162 E Michigan Home 38.5%
1/29 116 Kent Home 31.7%
2/2 133 C Michigan Away 16.5%
2/5 117 Bowling Green Home 31.7%
2/9 93 Ball St Away 9.7%
2/12 144 N Illinois Home 36.6%
2/16 180 Miami OH Home 43.1%
2/23 162 E Michigan Away 19.6%
2/26 144 N Illinois Away 17.7%
3/2 93 Ball St Home 26.6%
3/5 62 Toledo Away 8%
3/8 133 C Michigan Home 36.6%