Wichita State Shockers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Wichita State Shockers. All of these projections for Wichita St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Wichita St Record and Rankings

Record: 25-8
Projected Final Record: 25.0-8.0

AAC Conference Record: 15-5
Projected Final AAC Record: 15.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 2

Wichita St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 18
RPI Rank: 12
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-4 10-2 3-1 8-0
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.833 0.750 1.000

Our current projections give the Wichita State Shockers a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wichita St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 24.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 52.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wichita State Shockers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wichita St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 268 Missouri KC Home W 109-57
11/13 91 Col Charleston Home W 81-63
11/20 203 California Lahaina, HI W 92-82
11/21 47 Marquette Lahaina, HI W 80-66
11/22 52 Notre Dame Lahaina, HI L 66-67
11/28 297 Savannah St Home W 112-66
12/2 35 Baylor Away W 69-62
12/5 59 S Dakota St Home W 95-85
12/9 37 Oklahoma St Away W 78-66
12/16 40 Oklahoma Home L 83-91
12/19 283 Arkansas St Home W 89-80
12/22 160 FL Gulf Coast Home W 75-65
12/30 136 Connecticut Away W 72-62
1/4 21 Houston Home W 81-63
1/7 246 South Florida Home W 95-57
1/11 272 East Carolina Away W 95-60
1/13 87 Tulsa Away W 72-69
1/17 98 SMU Home L 78-83
1/20 21 Houston Away L 59-73
1/25 85 UCF Home W 81-62
1/28 87 Tulsa Home W 90-71
2/1 82 Temple Away L 79-81
2/6 110 Memphis Away W 85-65
2/10 136 Connecticut Home W 95-74
2/15 82 Temple Home W 93-86
2/18 5 Cincinnati Away W 76-72
2/21 167 Tulane Home W 93-86
2/24 98 SMU Away W 84-78
3/1 85 UCF Away W 75-71
3/4 5 Cincinnati Home L 61-62
3/9 82 Temple Orlando, FL W 89-81
3/10 21 Houston Orlando, FL L 74-77
3/16 96 Marshall NCAA Tournament San Diego CA L 75-81