Wichita State Shockers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Wichita State Shockers. All of these projections for Wichita St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Wichita St Record and Rankings

Record: 8-8
Projected Final Record: 15.6-14.4

AAC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final AAC Record: 8.6-9.4
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 6

Wichita St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 97
RPI Rank: 74
NET Rank: 105
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 2-1 3-1 3-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.667 0.750 1.000

Our current projections give the Wichita State Shockers a 6.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 9.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 84.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wichita St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.2%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 2.2%
NIT #5 Seed 2.6%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wichita State Shockers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wichita St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 114 Louisiana Tech Home L 58-71
11/9 77 Providence Neutal W 83-80
11/15 72 Davidson Neutral L 53-57
11/16 291 Appalachian St Neutal W 82-76
11/18 50 Alabama Neutral L 86-90
11/25 251 Rice Home W 90-61
12/1 58 Baylor Home W 71-63
12/8 22 Oklahoma Neutral L 48-80
12/12 117 Jacksonville St Home W 69-65
12/15 159 Southern Miss Home W 63-60
12/19 276 Oral Roberts Home W 84-63
12/22 53 VA Commonwealth Away L 54-70
1/3 89 Memphis Away L 74-85
1/6 40 Temple Home L 81-85
1/12 13 Houston Away L 70-79
1/16 48 UCF Home W 75-67
1/19 35 Cincinnati Home 38.2%
1/22 130 South Florida Away 44.1%
1/26 94 Connecticut Away 36.2%
1/30 104 SMU Home 59.8%
2/2 99 Tulsa Home 62.5%
2/6 216 East Carolina Away 62.8%
2/9 305 Tulane Home 92.2%
2/17 35 Cincinnati Away 15.3%
2/20 99 Tulsa Away 41.2%
2/23 89 Memphis Home 57.3%
2/28 94 Connecticut Home 58.2%
3/3 104 SMU Away 37.9%
3/5 216 East Carolina Home 85.7%
3/9 305 Tulane Away 73.4%