Wichita State Shockers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Wichita State Shockers. All of these projections for Wichita St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Wichita St Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 18.0-10.0

AAC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final AAC Record: 11.5-6.5
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 3

Wichita St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 88
RPI Rank: 31
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 14 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 1-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Wichita State Shockers a 92.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 3.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wichita St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 15.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 29.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 18.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 9.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 7.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.0%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wichita State Shockers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wichita St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 81 Louisiana Tech Home L 58-71
11/9 71 Providence Neutal W 83-80
11/15 97 Davidson Neutal 53.5%
11/25 268 Rice Home 93%
12/1 83 Baylor Home 50.7%
12/8 74 Oklahoma Away 26.2%
12/12 225 Jacksonville St Home 89.7%
12/15 129 Southern Miss Home 82.6%
12/19 312 Oral Roberts Home 97.7%
12/22 144 VA Commonwealth Away 56.3%
1/3 105 Memphis Away 39.5%
1/6 116 Temple Home 68.7%
1/12 33 Houston Away 15.5%
1/16 131 UCF Home 79.4%
1/19 52 Cincinnati Home 50.7%
1/22 256 South Florida Away 77.2%
1/26 160 Connecticut Away 58.2%
1/30 210 SMU Home 87.3%
2/2 107 Tulsa Home 67.6%
2/6 292 East Carolina Away 82.8%
2/9 215 Tulane Home 87.8%
2/17 52 Cincinnati Away 25.7%
2/20 107 Tulsa Away 43.9%
2/23 105 Memphis Home 62.1%
2/28 160 Connecticut Home 83.3%
3/3 210 SMU Away 63.4%
3/5 292 East Carolina Home 93.8%
3/9 215 Tulane Away 64.5%