William & Mary Tribe Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the William & Mary Tribe. All of these projections for William & Mary are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.

William & Mary Record and Rankings

Record: 9-16
Projected Final Record: 11.7-18.3

Colonial Conference Record: 5-8
Projected Final Colonial Record: 7.7-10.3
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 6

William & Mary Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 219
RPI Rank: 208
NET Rank: 203
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-6 1-6 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.143 0.778

Our current projections give the William & Mary Tribe a 3.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 96.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account William & Mary’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the William & Mary Tribe. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

William & Mary Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 228 High Point Home W 79-69
11/10 151 Duquesne Away L 70-84
11/15 192 IL Chicago Away L 95-100
11/17 78 Notre Dame Away L 64-73
11/20 121 Radford Home L 72-81
11/24 179 St Joseph’s PA Home W 87-85
11/28 155 Marshall Away L 64-84
12/1 138 George Mason Home L 84-87
12/5 89 Old Dominion Away L 53-71
12/8 268 Hampton Away W 76-71
12/16 No Rank Peace Home W 106-89
12/22 2 Virginia Away L 40-72
12/28 265 James Madison Home W 79-74
12/30 262 Towson Home W 71-61
1/3 226 Delaware Away L 56-58
1/5 207 Drexel Away W 84-66
1/10 63 Hofstra Home L 90-93
1/12 98 Northeastern Home L 70-90
1/19 301 Elon Home L 71-76
1/24 287 UNC Wilmington Away L 88-93
1/26 106 Col Charleston Away L 59-74
1/31 207 Drexel Home W 75-69
2/2 226 Delaware Home W 84-63
2/7 98 Northeastern Away L 60-72
2/9 63 Hofstra Away L 87-93
2/16 301 Elon Away 58.5%
2/21 106 Col Charleston Home 37.2%
2/23 287 UNC Wilmington Home 75.7%
2/28 262 Towson Away 48.5%
3/2 265 James Madison Away 48.9%