Winthrop Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Winthrop Eagles. All of these projections for Winthrop are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Winthrop Record and Rankings

Record: 11-6
Projected Final Record: 18.9-10.1

Big South Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final Big South Record: 10.9-5.1
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 3

Winthrop Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 161
RPI Rank: 159
NET Rank: 149
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-1 2-1 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 0.857

Our current projections give the Winthrop Eagles a 23.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 19.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 57.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Winthrop’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 8.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 12.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 10.6%
NIT #8 Seed 8.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Winthrop Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Winthrop Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 106 Vanderbilt Away L 79-92
11/10 325 SIUE Away W 94-82
11/13 No Rank Pfeiffer Home W 134-99
11/17 55 ETSU Home L 74-76
11/21 12 Kentucky Away L 74-87
11/24 No Rank Warren Wilson Home W 116-76
11/28 324 Tennessee Tech Away W 82-70
12/4 72 Davidson Away L 81-99
12/16 No Rank Hiwassee Home W 109-66
12/20 352 MD E Shore Home W 88-74
12/22 148 S Illinois Away W 79-71
12/29 271 Prairie View Home W 76-62
1/1 26 Florida St Away L 76-87
1/5 353 UNC Asheville Away W 80-65
1/10 227 Campbell Away W 90-86
1/12 209 High Point Home W 80-63
1/16 221 Longwood Home L 61-75
1/19 328 SC Upstate Away 76.7%
1/21 353 UNC Asheville Home 98.7%
1/24 168 Gardner Webb Home 62.5%
1/26 225 Presbyterian Away 57.1%
2/2 118 Radford Home 49.6%
2/7 275 Charleston So Away 61.8%
2/9 293 Hampton Home 84.5%
2/13 225 Presbyterian Home 78.7%
2/16 168 Gardner Webb Away 43.5%
2/21 118 Radford Away 30.9%
2/23 275 Charleston So Home 82.8%
2/28 293 Hampton Away 62.8%