Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix. All of these projections for WI Green Bay are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

WI Green Bay Record and Rankings

Record: 9-9
Projected Final Record: 15.3-15.7

Horizon Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Horizon Record: 9.3-8.7
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 6

WI Green Bay Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 197
RPI Rank: 173
NET Rank: 196
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-2 0-3 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.000 0.857

Our current projections give the Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix a 5.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 94.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account WI Green Bay’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

WI Green Bay Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank WI Lutheran Home W 110-54
11/9 163 Indiana St Home L 74-78
11/11 25 Iowa Away L 82-93
11/16 297 E Washington Away W 82-78
11/17 259 Morehead St Neutal W 87-70
11/20 81 Oregon Away L 72-83
11/28 138 N Illinois Home W 85-83
12/1 68 Belmont Home W 100-92
12/8 115 Bowling Green Away L 68-97
12/11 No Rank WI Stout Home W 112-46
12/14 54 Creighton Away L 65-86
12/16 4 Michigan St Away L 83-104
12/22 171 Evansville Away L 75-80
12/29 288 WI Milwaukee Away W 92-82
1/3 295 Youngstown St Home W 99-93
1/5 300 Cleveland St Home W 90-89
1/10 181 Detroit Away L 83-101
1/12 223 Oakland Away L 78-90
1/17 201 IUPUI Home 57.3%
1/19 198 IL Chicago Home 57.5%
1/24 109 N Kentucky Away 16%
1/26 174 Wright St Away 25.2%
2/1 288 WI Milwaukee Home 79.7%
2/7 300 Cleveland St Away 58.2%
2/9 295 Youngstown St Away 57.5%
2/14 223 Oakland Home 62.1%
2/16 181 Detroit Home 56.5%
2/22 198 IL Chicago Away 39.2%
2/24 201 IUPUI Away 38.5%
2/28 174 Wright St Home 47.8%
3/2 109 N Kentucky Home 39.2%