Wright State Raiders Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Wright State Raiders. All of these projections for Wright St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Wright St Record and Rankings

Record: 25-10
Projected Final Record: 25.0-10.0

Horizon Conference Record: 17-4
Projected Final Horizon Record: 17.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 2

Wright St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 128
RPI Rank: 99
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 14 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 1-1 5-3 16-3
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.500 0.625 0.842

Our current projections give the Wright State Raiders a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wright St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 60.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 40.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wright State Raiders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wright St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 46 Loyola-Chicago Away L 80-84
11/14 190 Miami OH Away L 67-73
11/18 63 Murray St Home L 61-80
11/20 No Rank Tiffin Home W 73-49
11/24 263 Gardner Webb Home W 67-47
11/25 302 Jacksonville Home W 68-44
11/26 205 Fairfield Home W 57-56
12/2 72 WKU Away L 60-78
12/5 No Rank Ohio Valley Home W 98-68
12/9 191 Kent Home W 63-54
12/16 113 Toledo Away W 77-69
12/19 137 Missouri St Away L 50-66
12/22 114 Georgia Tech Away W 85-81
12/28 210 IL Chicago Home W 65-61
12/30 289 IUPUI Home W 60-52
1/5 325 Detroit Away W 80-73
1/7 188 Oakland Away W 86-81
1/11 135 N Kentucky Away W 84-81
1/15 326 Youngstown St Home W 77-67
1/18 276 WI Green Bay Away W 80-67
1/20 206 WI Milwaukee Away L 61-66
1/26 325 Detroit Home W 87-55
1/28 188 Oakland Home W 64-51
2/1 288 Cleveland St Away L 74-77
2/3 326 Youngstown St Away W 83-57
2/8 276 WI Green Bay Home W 68-64
2/10 206 WI Milwaukee Home L 73-74
2/16 135 N Kentucky Home W 69-67
2/19 288 Cleveland St Home W 72-63
2/23 289 IUPUI Away L 56-66
2/25 210 IL Chicago Away W 88-81
3/3 276 WI Green Bay Detroit, MI W 87-72
3/5 206 WI Milwaukee Detroit, MI W 59-53
3/6 288 Cleveland St Detroit, MI W 74-57
3/15 12 Tennessee NCAA Tournament Dallas TX L 47-73