Wyoming Cowboys Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Wyoming Cowboys. All of these projections for Wyoming are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Wyoming Record and Rankings

Record: 17-11
Projected Final Record: 18.2-12.8

Mountain West Conference Record: 8-7
Projected Final Mountain West Record: 9.2-8.8
Projected Final Rank in the Mountain West: 7

Wyoming Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 103
RPI Rank: 84
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-2 2-3 8-4 4-2
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.400 0.667 0.667

Our current projections give the Wyoming Cowboys a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Wyoming’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Wyoming Cowboys. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Wyoming Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 300 Chattanooga Home W 74-65
11/13 107 Oregon St Away W 75-66
11/20 74 S Dakota St George Town, Cayman Islands W 77-65
11/21 62 ULL George Town, Cayman Islands W 70-61
11/22 3 Cincinnati George Town, Cayman Islands L 53-78
11/26 No Rank NM Highlands Home W 83-70
11/29 202 Denver Away L 78-88
12/2 137 Drake Home W 96-89
12/6 71 South Carolina Away L 64-80
12/9 168 Pacific Home W 86-72
12/12 162 E Washington Home W 93-88
12/16 301 TX Southern Home W 72-66
12/19 123 N Colorado Home L 84-91
12/27 89 San Diego St Home W 82-69
1/3 23 Nevada Away L 83-92
1/6 59 Boise St Home W 79-78
1/10 136 New Mexico Away L 66-75
1/13 204 Colorado St Home L 73-78
1/20 132 Utah St Away W 85-77
1/24 23 Nevada Home W 104-103
1/27 321 San Jose St Away W 90-86
1/31 204 Colorado St Away W 91-86
2/3 80 Fresno St Home L 62-80
2/7 132 Utah St Home W 83-65
2/10 86 UNLV Away L 70-85
2/14 89 San Diego St Away L 77-87
2/17 321 San Jose St Home W 89-75
2/20 136 New Mexico Home L 114-119
2/24 80 Fresno St Away 19.6%
2/28 226 Air Force Home 86.8%
3/3 59 Boise St Away 18.4%