Yale Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Yale Bulldogs. All of these projections for Yale are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Yale Record and Rankings

Record: 11-3
Projected Final Record: 20.8-6.2

Ivy League Conference Record: 1-0
Projected Final Ivy League Record: 10.8-3.2
Projected Final Rank in the Ivy League: 1

Yale Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 66
RPI Rank: 56
NET Rank: 79
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-0 2-0 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Yale Bulldogs a 29.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 65.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 4.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Yale’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 14.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 11.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 1.8%
NIT #2 Seed 2.6%
NIT #3 Seed 6.8%
NIT #4 Seed 10.4%
NIT #5 Seed 11.2%
NIT #6 Seed 16.8%
NIT #7 Seed 12.6%
NIT #8 Seed 3.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Yale Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Yale Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 255 California Neutal W 76-59
11/17 76 Memphis Away L 102-109
11/21 72 Vermont Away L 70-79
11/28 317 Bryant Away W 103-61
12/1 97 Miami FL Neutal W 77-73
12/5 146 Lehigh Home W 97-87
12/8 3 Duke Away L 58-91
12/11 302 Albany NY Home W 71-63
12/20 265 Monmouth NJ Away W 66-58
12/22 227 Iona Home W 99-84
1/2 348 Kennesaw Home W 92-65
1/5 279 CS Northridge Away W 94-90
1/8 No Rank Skidmore Home W 88-59
1/19 135 Brown Away W 70-67
1/25 135 Brown Home 81.6%
2/1 145 Harvard Away 57.1%
2/2 199 Dartmouth Away 70.3%
2/8 140 Princeton Home 82.1%
2/9 111 Penn Home 71.8%
2/15 282 Columbia Away 80.4%
2/16 216 Cornell Away 73.4%
2/22 199 Dartmouth Home 88.6%
2/23 145 Harvard Home 80.4%
3/1 216 Cornell Home 91.4%
3/2 282 Columbia Home 92.2%
3/8 111 Penn Away 48.9%
3/9 140 Princeton Away 57.1%