Youngstown State Penguins Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Youngstown State Penguins. All of these projections for Youngstown St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Youngstown St Record and Rankings

Record: 6-13
Projected Final Record: 10.0-21.0

Horizon Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final Horizon Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 9

Youngstown St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 295
RPI Rank: 294
NET Rank: 266
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 1-3 3-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.300

Our current projections give the Youngstown State Penguins a 0.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Youngstown St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Youngstown State Penguins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Youngstown St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 62 Pittsburgh Away L 53-69
11/10 145 Akron Neutral L 69-98
11/12 No Rank Heidelberg Home W 106-83
11/16 278 Columbia Neutal W 94-83
11/17 239 Fordham Away L 61-67
11/18 202 Florida Intl Neutral L 93-102
11/21 No Rank Westminster PA Home W 104-66
11/28 283 Robert Morris Away L 56-76
12/1 93 West Virginia Away L 72-106
12/4 120 C Michigan Home L 94-100
12/8 246 W Michigan Home L 77-88
12/15 336 Binghamton Away W 58-48
12/18 33 Ohio St Away L 56-75
12/28 181 Detroit Home L 66-78
12/30 223 Oakland Home L 74-76
1/3 197 WI Green Bay Away L 93-99
1/5 288 WI Milwaukee Away W 76-51
1/10 198 IL Chicago Away L 63-78
1/12 201 IUPUI Away W 82-76
1/17 174 Wright St Home 34%
1/19 109 N Kentucky Home 20.6%
1/26 300 Cleveland St Away 41.2%
1/31 223 Oakland Away 21.3%
2/2 181 Detroit Away 17.2%
2/7 288 WI Milwaukee Home 57.5%
2/9 197 WI Green Bay Home 42.5%
2/14 201 IUPUI Home 41.2%
2/16 198 IL Chicago Home 41.5%
2/21 109 N Kentucky Away 8.2%
2/23 174 Wright St Away 14.8%
3/2 300 Cleveland St Home 60.1%