Youngstown State Penguins Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Youngstown State Penguins. All of these projections for Youngstown St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Youngstown St Record and Rankings

Record: 12-20
Projected Final Record: 12.0-20.0

Horizon Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final Horizon Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 6

Youngstown St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 271
RPI Rank: 295
NET Rank: 269
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 1-11 9-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.083 0.600

Our current projections give the Youngstown State Penguins a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Youngstown St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Youngstown State Penguins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Youngstown St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 121 Pittsburgh Away L 53-69
11/10 132 Akron Neutral L 69-98
11/12 No Rank Heidelberg Home W 106-83
11/16 203 Columbia Neutal W 94-83
11/17 265 Fordham Away L 61-67
11/18 173 Florida Intl Neutral L 93-102
11/21 No Rank Westminster PA Home W 104-66
11/28 267 Robert Morris Away L 56-76
12/1 77 West Virginia Away L 72-106
12/4 117 C Michigan Home L 94-100
12/8 282 W Michigan Home L 77-88
12/15 321 Binghamton Away W 58-48
12/18 46 Ohio St Away L 56-75
12/28 248 Detroit Home L 66-78
12/30 192 Oakland Home L 74-76
1/3 198 WI Green Bay Away L 93-99
1/5 306 WI Milwaukee Away W 76-51
1/10 201 IL Chicago Away L 63-78
1/12 216 IUPUI Away W 82-76
1/17 138 Wright St Home L 74-80
1/19 113 N Kentucky Home L 74-82
1/26 285 Cleveland St Away L 62-72
1/31 192 Oakland Away W 75-74
2/2 248 Detroit Away W 72-70
2/7 306 WI Milwaukee Home W 72-71
2/9 198 WI Green Bay Home W 96-77
2/14 216 IUPUI Home W 75-73
2/16 201 IL Chicago Home W 81-73
2/21 113 N Kentucky Away L 69-76
2/23 138 Wright St Away L 54-82
3/2 285 Cleveland St Home L 80-89
3/6 192 Oakland Away L 84-88