Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots


Date: 13-Jan, Time: 1:05 PM EST

Team Breakdown

These are the general stats for the teams playing in today’s game as well as our projected overall probabilities to win.

Team Record Rank Pts Per Game Pts Against Per Game
To Win
LA Chargers 4-Dec 4 28.19 21.63 20.7
New England 5-Nov 7 27.25 20.31 24.51

Quarterback Breakdown

Below are the general statistics for the starting quarterbacks in this contest.

Team Quarterback Starts Record Yards/Gm TD INT QB Rating
LA Chargers Philip Rivers 16 4-Dec 269.3 32 12 105.5
New England Tom Brady 16 5-Nov 272.2 29 11 97.7

Weather

The weather at a given stadium can have a significant effect on the over/under of a game. Because of the different dimensions of each stadium, wind has varying effect depending on the location and wind direction. Weather is based on data from Weather Underground.

Home Team Stadium Weather O/U Effect
New England Patriots Gillette Stadium 5 mph None

Referee Crew

Every referee may or may not have small underlying biases to which they call games. We’ve collected all the data and parsed each crew into a category that could show their leanings.

Referee ML Effect O/U Effect
Ron Torbert Lean Away Crew Moderate Over Crew

Analysis of the Spread

Our coverage of spreads from four sportsbooks. If there is value in a bet, then it’s based on the best line available.

Teams Lines – Updated 1/11 @ 3:45 pm Bet Value
LA Chargers +4 -113 +4 -110 +4 -107 +4 -110
New England -4 -107 -4 -110 -4 -103 -4 -110

Money Line Analysis

Our coverage of money lines from four sportsbooks. If there is value in a bet, then it’s based on the best line available.

Teams Lines – Updated 1/11 @ 3:45 pm Bet Value
Best Line
LA Chargers 165 165 174 170 174
New England -190 -190 -189 -200 -189

It is important to note that the Bet Value is based on the best available line for each bet type. The Bet Value is designed to be played at the sportsbook that has the best line listed. If the line changes for the worse or that line is not available at your sportsbook, then the Bet Value will not be as strong.

Over/Under Analysis

The over/under is very dependent on the starting quarterback, weather, injuries and other factors. With Bet Value, we take into account these factors and compare them to the best line available from the four listed sportsbooks.

Lines – Updated 1/11 @ 3:45 pm
Total Pts
Bet Value
Over 45 -113 45½ -110 45½ -105 45½ -110 45.2
Under 45 -107 45½ -110 45½ -105 45½ -110