UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+145
-160
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+285
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+550
-775
+525
-700
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-425
+355
-380
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-440
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-110
-110
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-550
+425
-510
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Matt Brown
Carlos Condit		38.1%
61.9%
+172
-200
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43920-0.41146-0.47939
Jingliang Li
Santiago Ponzinibbio		30.2%
69.8%
+285
-350
+290
-330
Win
Loss		-1.38490-1.38454-1.19889
Alessio Di Chirico
Joaquin Buckley		32.9%
67.1%
+233
-262
+250
-250
Win
Loss		-1.22676-1.25278-1.11170
Punahele Soriano
Dusko Todorovic		41.2%
58.8%
+147
-170
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-0.93813-0.97625-0.88603
Joselyne Edwards
Wu Yanan		50.0%
50.0%
-110
+102
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66532-0.67015-0.69315
Justin Tafa
Carlos Felipe		33.4%
66.6%
+167
-186
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.45482-0.45144-0.40618
David Zawada
Ramazan Emeev		22.0%
78.0%
+267
-300
+265
-310
Loss
Win		-0.30991-0.30921-0.24868
Vanessa Melo
Sarah Moras		40.8%
59.2%
+155
-180
+175
-180
Win
Loss		-0.97051-1.01807-0.89622
Jacob Kilburn
Austin Lingo		51.3%
48.7%
+192
-225
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.40191-0.40323-0.71963
Geoff Neal
Stephen Thompson		51.9%
48.1%
-110
-103
-108
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70970-0.71255-0.73166
Marlon Vera
Jose Aldo		42.5%
57.5%
+120
-137
+125
-127
Loss
Win		-0.57668-0.58426-0.55339
Khaos Williams
Michel Pereira		50.9%
49.1%
-120
+111
-115
+110
Loss
Win		-0.76735-0.75362-0.71040
Rob Font
Marlon Moraes		46.7%
53.3%
+150
-165
+150
-150
Win
Loss		-0.94500-0.91629-0.76053
Greg Hardy
Marcin Tybura		59.1%
40.9%
-102
-105
-115
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68591-0.71609-0.89475
Alex Morono
Anthony Pettis		34.0%
66.0%
+175
-195
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43280-0.44201-0.41620
Pannie Kianzad
Sijara Eubanks		39.0%
61.0%
+120
-140
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.83101-0.83246-0.94156
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.