UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 30, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Apr 27, 2024
Fights for May 4, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jamahal Hill
Alex Pereira		40.2%
59.8%
+122
-130
+130
-125
Loss
Win		-0.58609-0.57807-0.51333
Yan Xiaonan
Zhang Weili		30.0%
70.0%
+410
-425
+425
-500
Loss
Win		-0.21690-0.20586-0.35615
Max Holloway
Justin Gaethje		41.4%
58.6%
+155
-160
+175
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94358-0.99777-0.88104
Arman Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira		65.5%
34.5%
-215
+185
-194
+200
Win
Loss		-0.41480-0.40890-0.42350
Cody Brundage
Bo Nickal		20.5%
79.5%
+950
-1500
+850
-1300
Loss
Win		-0.09675-0.10738-0.22969
Aleksandar Rakic
Jiri Prochazka		68.9%
31.1%
-130
+121
-115
+120
Loss
Win		-0.81054-0.77781-1.16787
Aljamain Sterling
Calvin Kattar		59.7%
40.3%
-185
+170
-170
+170
Win
Loss		-0.45144-0.46262-0.51639
Kayla Harrison
Holly Holm		68.0%
32.0%
-450
+360
-425
+445
Win
Loss		-0.23562-0.20430-0.38568
Diego Lopes
Sodiq Yusuff		52.7%
47.3%
-150
+140
-155
+150
Win
Loss		-0.52736-0.50566-0.63966
Renato Moicano
Jalin Turner		32.9%
67.1%
+220
-255
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19349-1.18136-1.11164
Marina Rodriguez
Jessica Andrade		50.8%
49.2%
+143
-158
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.51401-0.55431-0.70826
Jim Miller
Bobby Green		30.8%
69.2%
+173
-190
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44410-0.42889-0.36860
Cody Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo		28.1%
71.9%
+300
-375
+300
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27511-0.28030-0.33001
Chris Curtis
Brendan Allen		43.4%
56.6%
+200
-210
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.40015-0.40084-0.56853
Damon Jackson
Alexander Hernandez		43.2%
56.8%
+160
-170
+165
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96964-0.98152-0.83836
Chepe Mariscal
Morgan Charriere		48.9%
51.1%
+125
-143
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.84332-0.84211-0.71502
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1310-3 (0.769)0-0.51614 
Sportsbooks1310-3 (0.769)0-0.51486 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.58706
-0.07093
-0.07220

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.