MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Updated on 10/5/2017.

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Cleveland Indians
102-60
0.387
0
-0.02 (20)
0.317 (1)
0.527 (1)
0.252 (2)
2
Houston Astros
101-61
0.262
0
-0.00 (17)
0.310 (3)
0.166 (4)
0.198 (4)
3
Los Angeles Dodgers
104-58
0.229
1
-0.04 (28)
0.311 (2)
0.067 (11)
0.288 (1)
4
New York Yankees
91-71
0.224
1
0.019 (12)
0.176 (5)
0.317 (2)
0.228 (3)
5
Boston Red Sox
93-69
0.191
2
0.025 (10)
0.204 (4)
0.164 (5)
0.195 (5)
6
Chicago Cubs
92-70
0.165
0
-0.04 (27)
0.121 (8)
0.252 (3)
0.186 (6)
7
Washington Nationals
97-65
0.140
1
-0.08 (30)
0.161 (6)
0.096 (7)
0.113 (7)
8
Arizona Diamondbacks
93-69
0.134
1
-0.03 (23)
0.161 (7)
0.082 (9)
0.103 (8)
9
Minnesota Twins
85-77
0.084
0
0.019 (13)
0.080 (9)
0.091 (8)
-0.03 (17)
10
Milwaukee Brewers
86-76
0.062
2
-0.02 (22)
0.044 (11)
0.097 (6)
0.004 (13)
11
Colorado Rockies
87-75
0.036
0
-0.01 (19)
0.074 (10)
-0.03 (17)
0.014 (12)
12
St.Louis Cardinals
83-79
0.029
2
-0.02 (21)
0.002 (15)
0.081 (10)
0.079 (9)
13
Tampa Bay Rays
80-82
0.027
3
0.047 (4)
0.028 (12)
0.024 (13)
0.056 (10)
14
Los Angeles Angels
80-82
0.001
1
0.028 (7)
0.018 (13)
-0.03 (16)
0.033 (11)
15
Toronto Blue Jays
76-86
0.001
1
0.046 (5)
-0.02 (18)
0.063 (12)
-0.00 (16)
16
Kansas City Royals
80-82
-0.01
1
0.031 (6)
0.012 (14)
-0.05 (20)
-0.05 (19)
17
Seattle Mariners
78-84
-0.02
0
0.026 (9)
-0.01 (16)
-0.04 (18)
-0.00 (15)
18
Texas Rangers
78-84
-0.03
2
0.024 (11)
-0.01 (17)
-0.05 (19)
-0.07 (20)
19
Oakland Athletics
75-87
-0.04
0
0.028 (8)
-0.05 (20)
-0.02 (15)
-0.11 (24)
20
Baltimore Orioles
75-87
-0.07
2
0.062 (1)
-0.03 (19)
-0.15 (26)
-0.00 (14)
21
Miami Marlins
77-85
-0.11
1
-0.05 (29)
-0.11 (22)
-0.10 (22)
-0.09 (21)
22
Pittsburgh Pirates
75-87
-0.12
1
-0.01 (18)
-0.11 (21)
-0.13 (25)
-0.05 (18)
23
San Diego Padres
71-91
-0.13
0
-0.00 (16)
-0.15 (23)
-0.11 (24)
-0.16 (27)
24
Chicago White Sox
67-95
-0.14
1
0.052 (3)
-0.16 (24)
-0.10 (21)
-0.28 (30)
25
Philadelphia Phillies
66-96
-0.17
1
-0.03 (25)
-0.26 (30)
-0.01 (14)
-0.17 (28)
26
Cincinnati Reds
68-94
-0.20
2
0.011 (14)
-0.20 (26)
-0.20 (27)
-0.10 (22)
27
San Francisco Giants
64-98
-0.20
2
0.004 (15)
-0.24 (29)
-0.11 (23)
-0.10 (23)
28
Atlanta Braves
72-90
-0.21
1
-0.03 (26)
-0.18 (25)
-0.26 (29)
-0.13 (25)
29
New York Mets
70-92
-0.22
1
-0.03 (24)
-0.21 (27)
-0.24 (28)
-0.14 (26)
30
Detroit Tigers
64-98
-0.25
0
0.057 (2)
-0.21 (28)
-0.32 (30)
-0.18 (29)