MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings – DII

Updated on 5/25/2017.

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Houston Astros
31-16
0.284
0
-0.00 (21)
0.272 (1)
0.292 (2)
0.153 (4)
2
New York Yankees
27-17
0.244
0
0.030 (9)
0.232 (3)
0.253 (3)
0.094 (7)
3
Colorado Rockies
31-17
0.232
3
-0.00 (22)
0.131 (9)
0.302 (1)
-0.03 (17)
4
Boston Red Sox
24-21
0.173
0
0.050 (6)
0.236 (2)
0.129 (10)
0.148 (5)
5
Baltimore Orioles
25-20
0.170
2
0.061 (4)
0.221 (4)
0.134 (6)
0.009 (11)
6
Cleveland Indians
24-21
0.144
8
0.032 (8)
0.162 (5)
0.131 (8)
0.160 (3)
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
29-19
0.134
6
-0.03 (25)
0.089 (12)
0.166 (5)
0.009 (10)
8
Los Angeles Dodgers
27-20
0.132
3
-0.04 (26)
0.132 (8)
0.131 (8)
0.261 (1)
9
Washington Nationals
28-17
0.126
4
-0.14 (29)
0.116 (11)
0.132 (7)
0.137 (6)
10
Chicago Cubs
24-21
0.095
2
0.004 (16)
0.149 (6)
0.057 (13)
0.217 (2)
11
Texas Rangers
24-23
0.074
2
-0.03 (24)
0.124 (10)
0.039 (15)
-0.04 (20)
12
Milwaukee Brewers
25-21
0.068
4
-0.01 (23)
0.043 (14)
0.085 (11)
-0.10 (26)
13
Minnesota Twins
25-18
0.061
7
0.028 (11)
-0.11 (23)
0.182 (4)
-0.07 (23)
14
Los Angeles Angels
25-24
0.058
4
-0.00 (20)
0.135 (7)
0.006 (16)
-0.02 (15)
15
St.Louis Cardinals
23-20
0.058
8
0.003 (17)
0.054 (13)
0.060 (12)
0.080 (8)
16
Detroit Tigers
22-23
0.039
1
0.066 (3)
0.026 (16)
0.048 (14)
-0.04 (19)
17
Toronto Blue Jays
21-26
-0.01
1
0.059 (5)
0.032 (15)
-0.04 (19)
-0.01 (13)
18
Tampa Bay Rays
24-25
-0.01
2
0.069 (1)
-0.00 (17)
-0.01 (17)
-0.00 (12)
19
Cincinnati Reds
22-24
-0.07
3
0.015 (14)
-0.13 (25)
-0.03 (18)
-0.09 (25)
20
Oakland Athletics
21-25
-0.08
1
0.039 (7)
-0.07 (20)
-0.08 (22)
-0.04 (18)
21
Chicago White Sox
20-25
-0.08
2
0.029 (10)
-0.12 (24)
-0.05 (20)
-0.20 (30)
22
San Francisco Giants
20-28
-0.09
4
0.027 (12)
-0.10 (22)
-0.09 (23)
-0.01 (14)
23
Seattle Mariners
20-27
-0.10
6
0.015 (15)
-0.01 (18)
-0.16 (25)
-0.03 (16)
24
Kansas City Royals
19-27
-0.11
1
0.068 (2)
-0.16 (26)
-0.07 (21)
-0.07 (24)
25
Pittsburgh Pirates
21-26
-0.13
1
-0.00 (19)
-0.18 (27)
-0.09 (24)
-0.05 (22)
26
Atlanta Braves
20-24
-0.13
1
-0.11 (28)
-0.03 (19)
-0.20 (26)
-0.11 (27)
27
New York Mets
19-25
-0.20
0
-0.14 (30)
-0.10 (21)
-0.28 (27)
0.041 (9)
28
San Diego Padres
17-31
-0.27
1
0.024 (13)
-0.25 (28)
-0.29 (28)
-0.15 (29)
29
Philadelphia Phillies
15-29
-0.37
1
-0.00 (18)
-0.43 (30)
-0.33 (29)
-0.12 (28)
30
Miami Marlins
16-29
-0.38
0
-0.07 (27)
-0.40 (29)
-0.36 (30)
-0.04 (21)
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