MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Updated on 7/27/2017.

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
71-31
0.533
0
-0.02 (27)
0.482 (1)
0.591 (1)
0.302 (1)
2
Houston Astros
67-34
0.341
0
-0.02 (25)
0.393 (2)
0.282 (2)
0.137 (5)
3
Washington Nationals
60-39
0.182
0
-0.05 (30)
0.202 (3)
0.160 (4)
0.132 (6)
4
Kansas City Royals
53-47
0.117
4
-0.01 (23)
0.069 (9)
0.172 (3)
-0.06 (23)
5
Colorado Rockies
58-45
0.105
1
0.005 (12)
0.160 (5)
0.044 (11)
-0.01 (15)
6
Arizona Diamondbacks
58-43
0.104
1
-0.00 (18)
0.175 (4)
0.024 (15)
0.034 (10)
7
Cleveland Indians
54-45
0.085
3
-0.03 (29)
0.092 (6)
0.077 (7)
0.217 (2)
8
Chicago Cubs
53-47
0.083
2
-0.01 (22)
0.055 (10)
0.113 (5)
0.150 (3)
9
Boston Red Sox
56-47
0.060
2
-0.02 (28)
0.087 (7)
0.030 (14)
0.142 (4)
10
Milwaukee Brewers
54-49
0.038
1
-0.02 (26)
0.026 (12)
0.052 (10)
-0.08 (24)
11
New York Yankees
53-46
0.037
4
-0.01 (21)
0.083 (8)
-0.01 (20)
0.112 (7)
12
Tampa Bay Rays
53-49
0.034
2
-0.02 (24)
0.033 (11)
0.035 (13)
0.004 (13)
13
Pittsburgh Pirates
50-52
0.021
4
-0.00 (19)
-0.03 (19)
0.088 (6)
-0.04 (18)
14
Texas Rangers
49-52
0.019
2
0.008 (10)
-0.02 (17)
0.065 (8)
-0.02 (16)
15
St.Louis Cardinals
50-51
0.001
4
0.015 (9)
-0.00 (15)
0.012 (16)
0.042 (9)
16
Atlanta Braves
48-52
-0.00
0
0.004 (13)
-0.06 (20)
0.058 (9)
-0.14 (27)
17
Los Angeles Angels
49-53
-0.00
4
0.037 (2)
-0.00 (16)
-0.00 (19)
-0.08 (25)
18
New York Mets
47-52
-0.02
2
-0.00 (17)
-0.08 (22)
0.043 (12)
0.008 (12)
19
Minnesota Twins
49-51
-0.02
2
0.007 (11)
-0.00 (14)
-0.05 (21)
-0.04 (19)
20
Seattle Mariners
51-52
-0.03
2
0.002 (15)
0.000 (13)
-0.07 (22)
0.019 (11)
21
Toronto Blue Jays
47-54
-0.03
3
-0.00 (16)
-0.07 (21)
0.003 (18)
0.065 (8)
22
Miami Marlins
46-53
-0.04
3
0.018 (7)
-0.09 (23)
0.008 (17)
-0.06 (22)
23
Baltimore Orioles
48-53
-0.07
1
0.016 (8)
-0.03 (18)
-0.10 (23)
-0.05 (20)
24
Oakland Athletics
44-57
-0.12
3
0.031 (6)
-0.12 (25)
-0.13 (25)
-0.05 (21)
25
San Diego Padres
44-57
-0.13
2
0.032 (5)
-0.13 (26)
-0.13 (24)
-0.16 (28)
26
Detroit Tigers
45-55
-0.14
0
-0.00 (20)
-0.12 (24)
-0.18 (27)
0.000 (14)
27
San Francisco Giants
40-63
-0.20
1
0.039 (1)
-0.24 (29)
-0.16 (26)
-0.03 (17)
28
Cincinnati Reds
41-60
-0.26
1
0.034 (4)
-0.21 (27)
-0.31 (29)
-0.09 (26)
29
Chicago White Sox
39-59
-0.30
0
0.003 (14)
-0.24 (28)
-0.36 (30)
-0.20 (30)
30
Philadelphia Phillies
35-64
-0.32
0
0.036 (3)
-0.34 (30)
-0.31 (28)
-0.17 (29)
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