MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Updated on 7/12/2018.

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
New York Yankees
60-30
0.338
0
-0.00 (25)
0.392 (2)
0.396 (2)
0.284 (2)
2
Houston Astros
62-33
0.324
0
0.024 (8)
0.328 (3)
0.372 (3)
0.319 (1)
3
Boston Red Sox
65-29
0.322
0
0.013 (15)
0.442 (1)
0.462 (1)
0.200 (5)
4
Seattle Mariners
58-35
0.145
0
0.025 (7)
0.271 (4)
0.271 (4)
0.018 (11)
5
Los Angeles Dodgers
49-42
0.130
1
-0.00 (26)
0.045 (14)
0.069 (11)
0.215 (3)
6
Chicago Cubs
52-38
0.126
1
-0.00 (28)
0.112 (9)
0.135 (7)
0.139 (7)
7
Cleveland Indians
50-41
0.104
0
0.004 (21)
-0.00 (19)
0.034 (15)
0.215 (4)
8
Philadelphia Phillies
51-40
0.079
0
0.014 (13)
0.141 (6)
0.124 (8)
0.017 (12)
9
Washington Nationals
45-45
0.079
1
0.021 (10)
-0.00 (18)
-0.03 (19)
0.161 (6)
10
Los Angeles Angels
47-46
0.076
2
0.047 (5)
0.061 (12)
0.035 (14)
0.091 (8)
11
Milwaukee Brewers
55-38
0.070
2
-0.00 (27)
0.133 (7)
0.117 (9)
0.006 (13)
12
Arizona Diamondbacks
51-42
0.064
1
0.007 (19)
0.091 (10)
0.046 (12)
0.037 (10)
13
Atlanta Braves
51-40
0.058
4
0.007 (20)
0.124 (8)
0.104 (10)
-0.00 (14)
14
Oakland Athletics
53-41
0.055
0
0.043 (6)
0.142 (5)
0.186 (5)
-0.03 (20)
15
St. Louis Cardinals
47-43
0.032
0
-0.01 (30)
0.007 (17)
-0.00 (17)
0.057 (9)
16
Tampa Bay Rays
48-44
0.010
0
0.050 (4)
0.088 (11)
0.142 (6)
-0.06 (22)
17
San Francisco Giants
49-46
0.001
1
0.011 (17)
0.048 (13)
0.038 (13)
-0.04 (21)
18
Colorado Rockies
47-45
0.001
1
0.002 (22)
0.010 (15)
0.006 (16)
-0.00 (15)
19
Toronto Blue Jays
42-48
-0.00
2
0.056 (1)
0.007 (16)
-0.01 (18)
-0.01 (17)
20
Pittsburgh Pirates
42-49
-0.05
0
0.012 (16)
-0.09 (20)
-0.12 (22)
-0.01 (18)
21
New York Mets
36-53
-0.09
1
0.013 (14)
-0.15 (24)
-0.21 (26)
-0.02 (19)
22
Minnesota Twins
40-49
-0.09
1
0.000 (23)
-0.18 (26)
-0.18 (25)
-0.00 (16)
23
Cincinnati Reds
41-52
-0.11
1
0.008 (18)
-0.12 (22)
-0.06 (20)
-0.09 (23)
24
Texas Rangers
40-54
-0.11
3
0.053 (2)
-0.10 (21)
-0.09 (21)
-0.12 (25)
25
San Diego Padres
40-55
-0.15
0
0.020 (11)
-0.15 (25)
-0.18 (24)
-0.15 (26)
26
Miami Marlins
39-56
-0.19
0
0.020 (12)
-0.14 (23)
-0.15 (23)
-0.23 (28)
27
Detroit Tigers
40-55
-0.23
0
-0.00 (29)
-0.23 (27)
-0.23 (27)
-0.23 (27)
28
Baltimore Orioles
26-67
-0.27
0
0.052 (3)
-0.42 (29)
-0.41 (29)
-0.12 (24)
29
Chicago White Sox
31-61
-0.31
0
-0.00 (24)
-0.39 (28)
-0.35 (28)
-0.24 (30)
30
Kansas City Royals
26-66
-0.34
0
0.023 (9)
-0.45 (30)
-0.42 (30)
-0.23 (29)