MLB Baseball Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56)0.4275--0.0518 (26)0.3577 (2)0.4582 (1)0.4686 (1)
2. San Francisco Giants (107-55)0.3178--0.0423 (25)0.3626 (1)0.4137 (2)0.1757 (9)
3. Tampa Bay Rays (100-62)0.2882-0.0197 (10)0.3305 (3)0.3562 (3)0.1766 (8)
4. Houston Astros (95-67)0.2783-0.0064 (16)0.2628 (4)0.3161 (4)0.2566 (3)
5. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71)0.2597-0.0317 (7)0.2308 (7)0.3144 (5)0.2348 (4)
6. New York Yankees (92-70)0.2354-0.0323 (6)0.2330 (5)0.2005 (9)0.2728 (2)
7. Boston Red Sox (92-70)0.2099-0.0379 (5)0.2324 (6)0.2293 (7)0.1673 (10)
8. Chicago White Sox (93-69)0.1938--0.0251 (22)0.1783 (9)0.2019 (8)0.2018 (6)
9. Atlanta Braves (88-73)0.1786--0.0636 (28)0.1412 (10)0.2335 (6)0.1622 (11)
10. Milwaukee Brewers (95-67)0.1459--0.0752 (30)0.1255 (11)0.1263 (11)0.1865 (7)
11. Oakland Athletics (86-76)0.1166-0.0309 (8)0.1186 (12)0.1339 (10)0.0973 (13)
12. Seattle Mariners (90-72)0.0595-0.0252 (9)0.2019 (8)0.1079 (12)-0.1355 (21)
13. St. Louis Cardinals (90-72)0.0546--0.0664 (29)0.0895 (13)0.0940 (13)-0.0208 (16)
14. San Diego Padres (79-83)0.0179--0.0007 (17)-0.0999 (22)-0.0650 (19)0.2220 (5)
15. Cincinnati Reds (83-79)-0.0077--0.0565 (27)-0.0445 (17)-0.0372 (16)0.0598 (15)
16. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80)-0.0167--0.0405 (24)-0.0776 (20)-0.0613 (18)0.0905 (14)
17. Cleveland Indians (80-82)-0.0387-0.0093 (15)0.0106 (14)-0.0198 (14)-0.1083 (19)
18. Los Angeles Angels (77-85)-0.0425-0.0564 (3)0.0044 (15)-0.0373 (17)-0.0959 (18)
19. Minnesota Twins (73-89)-0.0667-0.0146 (12)-0.0487 (18)-0.0855 (21)-0.0663 (17)
20. New York Mets (77-85)-0.0694--0.0340 (23)-0.1592 (23)-0.1544 (23)0.1081 (12)
21. Colorado Rockies (74-87)-0.1195+20.0124 (13)-0.0991 (21)-0.0822 (20)-0.1779 (24)
22. Detroit Tigers (77-85)-0.1210-10.0098 (14)-0.0058 (16)-0.0359 (15)-0.3248 (28)
23. Kansas City Royals (74-88)-0.1223-10.0187 (11)-0.0566 (19)-0.1063 (22)-0.2059 (25)
24. Chicago Cubs (71-91)-0.2241--0.0240 (21)-0.2304 (24)-0.2909 (25)-0.1509 (23)
25. Miami Marlins (67-95)-0.2491--0.0104 (18)-0.2937 (26)-0.3083 (26)-0.1439 (22)
26. Washington Nationals (65-97)-0.2630--0.0162 (20)-0.3425 (27)-0.3194 (27)-0.1248 (20)
27. Texas Rangers (60-102)-0.2800-0.0676 (2)-0.2498 (25)-0.2854 (24)-0.3058 (27)
28. Pittsburgh Pirates (61-101)-0.3734--0.0137 (19)-0.3501 (28)-0.4160 (28)-0.3547 (29)
29. Baltimore Orioles (52-110)-0.3935-0.0991 (1)-0.3745 (29)-0.4317 (29)-0.3750 (30)
30. Arizona Diamondbacks (52-110)-0.3975-0.0466 (4)-0.4498 (30)-0.4503 (30)-0.2907 (26)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB Baseball ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our MLB predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.