MLB Baseball Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Los Angeles Dodgers (61-40)0.3312--0.0417 (25)0.2321 (5)0.3224 (2)0.4421 (1)
2. Houston Astros (61-40)0.2988-0.0097 (13)0.2914 (2)0.3674 (1)0.2377 (4)
3. Boston Red Sox (62-39)0.2452+10.0263 (8)0.3106 (1)0.3051 (3)0.1178 (10)
4. Tampa Bay Rays (60-40)0.2415-10.0158 (12)0.2797 (3)0.2973 (5)0.1463 (5)
5. San Francisco Giants (62-37)0.2136--0.0489 (27)0.2479 (4)0.3019 (4)0.0899 (12)
6. San Diego Padres (58-44)0.2063--0.0348 (23)0.1166 (10)0.1988 (8)0.3062 (2)
7. Chicago White Sox (59-41)0.1809--0.0561 (29)0.1849 (6)0.2339 (6)0.1237 (8)
8. New York Yankees (51-47)0.1719-0.0466 (4)0.1223 (9)0.1392 (9)0.2557 (3)
9. Toronto Blue Jays (49-47)0.1434-0.0580 (3)0.0915 (12)0.2005 (7)0.1398 (7)
10. Oakland Athletics (56-45)0.1210+10.0065 (15)0.1503 (8)0.1339 (10)0.0780 (13)
11. Milwaukee Brewers (58-42)0.1187-1-0.0761 (30)0.1057 (11)0.1096 (11)0.1412 (6)
12. New York Mets (53-45)0.0577--0.0446 (26)0.0304 (14)0.0216 (16)0.1218 (9)
13. Atlanta Braves (49-51)0.0451--0.0071 (17)-0.0381 (18)0.0593 (12)0.1166 (11)
14. Los Angeles Angels (50-49)0.0413+10.0302 (7)0.0770 (13)0.0332 (15)0.0126 (17)
15. Philadelphia Phillies (50-49)0.0390-10.0420 (5)0.0220 (15)0.0405 (14)0.0549 (14)
16. Cincinnati Reds (51-49)-0.0043--0.0201 (21)-0.0003 (17)-0.0368 (17)0.0239 (15)
17. Seattle Mariners (55-46)-0.0126-0.0262 (9)0.1514 (7)0.0573 (13)-0.2515 (25)
18. Cleveland Indians (49-48)-0.0409--0.0160 (19)0.0172 (16)-0.0634 (18)-0.0784 (21)
19. Chicago Cubs (50-51)-0.0477--0.0220 (22)-0.0603 (20)-0.0793 (20)-0.0030 (18)
20. St. Louis Cardinals (50-50)-0.0736+1-0.0492 (28)-0.0596 (19)-0.1052 (21)-0.0566 (20)
21. Washington Nationals (45-54)-0.0758-10.0088 (14)-0.1309 (22)-0.0778 (19)-0.0170 (19)
22. Minnesota Twins (43-58)-0.1278+1-0.0362 (24)-0.1766 (24)-0.2291 (25)0.0238 (16)
23. Miami Marlins (43-57)-0.1339-10.0190 (10)-0.1803 (26)-0.1370 (22)-0.0831 (22)
24. Detroit Tigers (47-55)-0.1921--0.0156 (18)-0.0825 (21)-0.1389 (23)-0.3584 (30)
25. Kansas City Royals (43-55)-0.1922+1-0.0188 (20)-0.1549 (23)-0.2458 (26)-0.1770 (23)
26. Colorado Rockies (43-57)-0.2026-10.0164 (11)-0.1778 (25)-0.1925 (24)-0.2382 (24)
27. Texas Rangers (35-65)-0.2937-0.0733 (2)-0.2963 (28)-0.3290 (28)-0.2557 (26)
28. Baltimore Orioles (34-64)-0.3006-0.0863 (1)-0.2863 (27)-0.3027 (27)-0.3132 (28)
29. Pittsburgh Pirates (38-61)-0.3337--0.0017 (16)-0.3012 (29)-0.3649 (29)-0.3359 (29)
30. Arizona Diamondbacks (31-70)-0.4259-0.0326 (6)-0.4888 (30)-0.5223 (30)-0.2647 (27)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This is a ratings system designed specifically for Major League Baseball. It is a combination of the Standard Rating, Inference Rating, and Vegas Rating. All three ratings are now weighted equally throughout the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Predictions.