MLB Baseball Ratings

Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

Updated on 6/11/2019.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Chg	SOS (Rank)	Standard (Rank)	Inference (Rank)	Vegas (Rank)
1	Los Angeles Dodgers	45-22	0.324	0	0.039 (21)	0.412 (2)	0.456 (1)	0.253 (1)
2	Houston Astros	45-22	0.304	0	0.007 (23)	0.391 (3)	0.377 (2)	0.234 (2)
3	Milwaukee Brewers	38-28	0.257	0	0.105 (6)	0.458 (1)	0.340 (3)	0.094 (8)
4	Tampa Bay Rays	41-24	0.198	1	-0.03 (26)	0.280 (5)	0.240 (5)	0.132 (5)
5	Boston Red Sox	34-33	0.178	1	0.023 (22)	0.195 (6)	0.060 (13)	0.164 (3)
6	Minnesota Twins	43-21	0.161	3	-0.04 (30)	0.305 (4)	0.336 (4)	0.044 (14)
7	Chicago Cubs	37-28	0.156	0	0.071 (14)	0.186 (7)	0.213 (6)	0.132 (4)
8	New York Yankees	40-24	0.132	2	-0.03 (28)	0.153 (8)	0.148 (11)	0.115 (6)
9	New York Mets	32-33	0.088	6	0.074 (12)	0.097 (12)	0.053 (14)	0.082 (11)
10	St. Louis Cardinals	32-32	0.083	2	0.100 (9)	0.085 (13)	0.083 (12)	0.082 (10)
11	Atlanta Braves	37-29	0.076	1	0.081 (11)	0.101 (11)	0.184 (7)	0.055 (13)
12	Philadelphia Phillies	37-29	0.075	1	0.066 (15)	0.046 (16)	0.183 (8)	0.098 (7)
13	Colorado Rockies	34-31	0.071	1	0.102 (8)	0.143 (10)	0.155 (9)	0.012 (15)
14	Washington Nationals	31-35	0.042	0	0.088 (10)	-0.01 (18)	0.035 (17)	0.087 (9)
15	Pittsburgh Pirates	30-35	0.034	1	0.163 (1)	0.143 (9)	-0.00 (19)	-0.05 (21)
16	Oakland Athletics	33-32	0.023	3	0.059 (17)	0.052 (14)	0.036 (15)	-0.00 (17)
17	Arizona Diamondbacks	35-32	0.021	3	0.104 (7)	0.050 (15)	0.151 (10)	-0.00 (18)
18	Los Angeles Angels	32-35	-0.01	3	0.055 (19)	0.028 (17)	-0.10 (21)	-0.04 (20)
19	San Diego Padres	33-33	-0.02	2	0.110 (5)	-0.07 (19)	-0.08 (20)	0.003 (16)
20	Cincinnati Reds	29-35	-0.04	1	0.133 (4)	-0.08 (21)	0.035 (16)	-0.00 (19)
21	Cleveland Indians	33-32	-0.04	3	-0.03 (27)	-0.17 (23)	-0.13 (22)	0.064 (12)
22	Texas Rangers	35-30	-0.09	0	0.050 (20)	-0.08 (20)	0.003 (18)	-0.11 (24)
23	Seattle Mariners	26-41	-0.10	0	0.059 (18)	-0.15 (22)	-0.30 (27)	-0.06 (22)
24	Toronto Blue Jays	23-42	-0.20	1	0.060 (16)	-0.27 (25)	-0.38 (28)	-0.13 (25)
25	San Francisco Giants	26-38	-0.22	1	0.142 (3)	-0.36 (29)	-0.26 (25)	-0.10 (23)
26	Detroit Tigers	24-38	-0.22	3	0.001 (24)	-0.23 (24)	-0.29 (26)	-0.21 (29)
27	Chicago White Sox	30-34	-0.25	3	-0.04 (29)	-0.34 (27)	-0.25 (24)	-0.18 (26)
28	Miami Marlins	23-41	-0.26	0	0.149 (2)	-0.33 (26)	-0.22 (23)	-0.21 (28)
29	Kansas City Royals	20-44	-0.27	2	-0.01 (25)	-0.35 (28)	-0.43 (29)	-0.20 (27)
30	Baltimore Orioles	20-45	-0.37	0	0.073 (13)	-0.48 (30)	-0.46 (30)	-0.28 (30)