MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

Updated on 4/23/2019.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Houston Astros
13-9
0.259
1
0.127 (20)
0.290 (4)
0.469 (1)
0.243 (2)
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
15-9
0.259
1
0.084 (24)
0.278 (6)
0.417 (2)
0.248 (1)
3
Milwaukee Brewers
13-11
0.195
1
0.265 (8)
0.364 (1)
0.342 (3)
0.102 (9)
4
Boston Red Sox
9-13
0.182
1
0.120 (21)
0.253 (7)
0.076 (13)
0.144 (4)
5
Tampa Bay Rays
15-8
0.178
1
0.001 (28)
0.300 (3)
0.259 (5)
0.111 (7)
6
New York Yankees
12-10
0.165
1
-0.03 (29)
0.139 (11)
-0.05 (22)
0.179 (3)
7
St. Louis Cardinals
13-9
0.160
0
0.145 (19)
0.279 (5)
0.339 (4)
0.094 (10)
8
Chicago Cubs
10-10
0.125
0
0.180 (13)
0.156 (9)
0.073 (14)
0.107 (8)
9
Oakland Athletics
12-11
0.119
1
0.186 (12)
0.336 (2)
0.185 (7)
0.001 (16)
10
Cleveland Indians
12-9
0.106
3
-0.04 (30)
0.141 (10)
0.127 (11)
0.087 (11)
11
Washington Nationals
10-11
0.096
2
0.152 (18)
0.031 (16)
-0.03 (18)
0.132 (6)
12
Pittsburgh Pirates
12-8
0.077
4
0.278 (5)
0.195 (8)
0.185 (8)
0.013 (15)
13
Colorado Rockies
10-13
0.072
2
0.173 (15)
0.137 (12)
-0.06 (23)
0.036 (14)
14
New York Mets
12-10
0.066
2
0.166 (16)
0.031 (17)
0.036 (15)
0.086 (12)
15
Philadelphia Phillies
12-10
0.057
4
0.112 (22)
-0.09 (22)
-0.05 (21)
0.141 (5)
16
Atlanta Braves
11-10
0.052
2
0.175 (14)
0.070 (14)
0.025 (16)
0.042 (13)
17
Seattle Mariners
14-9
0.007
2
0.155 (17)
0.090 (13)
0.170 (9)
-0.03 (21)
18
Minnesota Twins
13-7
-0.01
2
0.025 (26)
0.053 (15)
0.105 (12)
-0.04 (22)
19
Los Angeles Angels
9-14
-0.01
2
0.267 (7)
0.012 (18)
-0.04 (20)
-0.03 (19)
20
Arizona Diamondbacks
12-11
-0.03
2
0.199 (11)
-0.04 (20)
0.135 (10)
-0.02 (18)
21
Texas Rangers
12-9
-0.08
3
0.272 (6)
-0.02 (19)
0.224 (6)
-0.12 (24)
22
San Diego Padres
12-11
-0.09
1
0.204 (10)
-0.22 (26)
0.001 (17)
-0.02 (17)
23
Cincinnati Reds
8-13
-0.09
1
0.368 (1)
-0.20 (25)
-0.15 (24)
-0.03 (20)
24
Toronto Blue Jays
11-12
-0.11
1
0.241 (9)
-0.07 (21)
-0.04 (19)
-0.13 (25)
25
San Francisco Giants
9-14
-0.16
2
0.294 (3)
-0.29 (28)
-0.17 (25)
-0.09 (23)
26
Chicago White Sox
9-12
-0.18
0
0.017 (27)
-0.18 (24)
-0.27 (27)
-0.19 (27)
27
Kansas City Royals
7-16
-0.19
0
0.058 (25)
-0.17 (23)
-0.34 (28)
-0.20 (28)
28
Detroit Tigers
10-10
-0.22
1
0.100 (23)
-0.26 (27)
-0.27 (26)
-0.20 (29)
29
Miami Marlins
6-16
-0.25
1
0.305 (2)
-0.41 (30)
-0.54 (30)
-0.17 (26)
30
Baltimore Orioles
8-16
-0.33
0
0.281 (4)
-0.37 (29)
-0.36 (29)
-0.31 (30)