MLB Baseball Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. New York Yankees (8-1)0.7030--0.0271 (20)0.6890 (1)0.7305 (1)0.6898 (1)
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (7-4)0.5317--0.0192 (19)0.4111 (4)0.5169 (3)0.6706 (2)
3. Minnesota Twins (8-2)0.5128-0.0166 (16)0.5700 (2)0.6564 (2)0.3103 (6)
4. Washington Nationals (3-4)0.2879+20.3205 (1)0.3433 (5)0.4148 (5)0.1040 (11)
5. Houston Astros (5-4)0.2871--0.1443 (25)0.1836 (9)0.2194 (7)0.4614 (3)
6. Atlanta Braves (7-4)0.2373-20.0391 (12)0.1857 (8)0.2159 (8)0.3120 (5)
7. Colorado Rockies (7-2)0.2345+10.0068 (18)0.4405 (3)0.4841 (4)-0.2273 (23)
8. Chicago Cubs (8-2)0.2134-1-0.2086 (26)0.2639 (6)0.2628 (6)0.1120 (10)
9. San Diego Padres (7-4)0.1502+50.0373 (13)0.1959 (7)0.2094 (9)0.0440 (16)
10. Chicago White Sox (6-4)0.1436+20.0235 (15)0.1550 (10)0.1788 (10)0.0967 (12)
11. Oakland Athletics (6-4)0.1323+2-0.2206 (28)0.1064 (11)0.1167 (11)0.1747 (8)
12. Tampa Bay Rays (4-6)0.1203-30.0702 (10)0.0295 (15)0.0769 (13)0.2573 (7)
13. Milwaukee Brewers (3-4)0.0560-3-0.0854 (22)0.0484 (14)0.0038 (17)0.1161 (9)
14. Cleveland Indians (5-6)0.0342-30.0811 (9)-0.0041 (17)0.0406 (15)0.0673 (15)
15. Toronto Blue Jays (3-4)0.0336+10.2161 (3)0.0838 (12)0.1133 (12)-0.0977 (19)
16. St. Louis Cardinals (2-3)0.0295-1-0.0712 (21)-0.0273 (18)0.0415 (14)0.0759 (14)
17. New York Mets (4-7)-0.0073-0.0868 (8)-0.1465 (20)-0.1872 (20)0.3161 (4)
18. San Francisco Giants (5-6)-0.1101-0.2061 (4)-0.0016 (16)-0.0216 (18)-0.3104 (24)
19. Baltimore Orioles (5-3)-0.1161-0.1547 (6)0.0814 (13)0.0250 (16)-0.4607 (28)
20. Arizona Diamondbacks (3-7)-0.1237-0.2365 (2)-0.0992 (19)-0.1718 (19)-0.1008 (20)
21. Cincinnati Reds (5-5)-0.1285+2-0.2157 (27)-0.2084 (22)-0.2527 (23)0.0779 (13)
22. Boston Red Sox (3-7)-0.1765-10.1731 (5)-0.2703 (23)-0.2295 (22)-0.0270 (18)
23. Texas Rangers (3-5)-0.1814-10.0157 (17)-0.1472 (21)-0.2057 (21)-0.1925 (22)
24. Los Angeles Angels (3-7)-0.3123+20.0322 (14)-0.4686 (28)-0.4679 (27)0.0043 (17)
25. Philadelphia Phillies (1-3)-0.3455-1-0.1277 (24)-0.4665 (27)-0.4602 (26)-0.1062 (21)
26. Seattle Mariners (4-7)-0.3564-10.0674 (11)-0.2782 (24)-0.4116 (25)-0.3817 (26)
27. Miami Marlins (2-1)-0.4046--0.3455 (30)-0.3132 (25)-0.3263 (24)-0.5772 (30)
28. Pittsburgh Pirates (2-8)-0.4605-0.1409 (7)-0.4959 (30)-0.5334 (29)-0.3512 (25)
29. Detroit Tigers (5-5)-0.4719+1-0.2720 (29)-0.3715 (26)-0.4950 (28)-0.5522 (29)
30. Kansas City Royals (3-8)-0.4872-1-0.1037 (23)-0.4836 (29)-0.5358 (30)-0.4425 (27)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This is a ratings system designed specifically for Major League Baseball. It is a combination of the Standard Rating, Inference Rating, and Vegas Rating. All three ratings are now weighted equally throughout the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Predictions.