| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Los Angeles Dodgers (35-15) | 0.5632 | - | 0.0011 (15) | 0.5011 (1) | 0.6027 (1) | 0.5876 (1) |
| 2. San Diego Padres (32-19) | 0.3441 | - | 0.0486 (6) | 0.3454 (3) | 0.4310 (2) | 0.2559 (4) |
| 3. Tampa Bay Rays (31-18) | 0.2713 | - | -0.0227 (22) | 0.3486 (2) | 0.3228 (5) | 0.1402 (7) |
| 4. Chicago White Sox (32-17) | 0.2603 | - | -0.0722 (27) | 0.3340 (4) | 0.4118 (3) | 0.0329 (16) |
| 5. New York Yankees (28-21) | 0.2409 | - | -0.0084 (20) | 0.2009 (6) | 0.2723 (6) | 0.2507 (5) |
| 6. Minnesota Twins (31-20) | 0.2318 | - | -0.0551 (25) | 0.2309 (5) | 0.3285 (4) | 0.1360 (8) |
| 7. Oakland Athletics (31-19) | 0.2137 | +1 | -0.0945 (28) | 0.1636 (8) | 0.1978 (8) | 0.2812 (3) |
| 8. Atlanta Braves (29-21) | 0.1879 | -1 | -0.0113 (21) | 0.1940 (7) | 0.2423 (7) | 0.1272 (9) |
| 9. Cleveland Indians (26-23) | 0.1270 | - | -0.0258 (23) | 0.0576 (13) | 0.1364 (9) | 0.1891 (6) |
| 10. Chicago Cubs (30-20) | 0.1045 | - | -0.1135 (29) | 0.0990 (11) | 0.1266 (10) | 0.0879 (12) |
| 11. Houston Astros (24-25) | 0.0621 | - | 0.0085 (13) | -0.0537 (15) | -0.0602 (17) | 0.3038 (2) |
| 12. Philadelphia Phillies (24-24) | 0.0189 | - | -0.0005 (17) | 0.0159 (14) | -0.0148 (12) | 0.0556 (14) |
| 13. San Francisco Giants (24-24) | 0.0155 | +1 | 0.1008 (2) | 0.0652 (12) | 0.1261 (11) | -0.1464 (23) |
| 14. Toronto Blue Jays (26-22) | 0.0015 | -1 | -0.0002 (16) | 0.1449 (9) | -0.0254 (13) | -0.1194 (21) |
| 15. New York Mets (22-27) | 0.0014 | - | -0.0027 (18) | -0.0775 (17) | -0.0392 (15) | 0.1233 (10) |
| 16. Milwaukee Brewers (23-26) | -0.0636 | - | -0.0698 (26) | -0.1517 (22) | -0.0831 (20) | 0.0467 (15) |
| 17. Miami Marlins (25-22) | -0.0641 | - | 0.0246 (11) | 0.1045 (10) | -0.0327 (14) | -0.2691 (26) |
| 18. St. Louis Cardinals (22-23) | -0.0759 | - | -0.0404 (24) | -0.0978 (19) | -0.0748 (18) | -0.0543 (20) |
| 19. Colorado Rockies (22-26) | -0.0859 | - | 0.0938 (3) | -0.0608 (16) | -0.1767 (23) | -0.0211 (18) |
| 20. Cincinnati Reds (25-26) | -0.1024 | +1 | -0.1373 (30) | -0.1595 (24) | -0.2111 (24) | 0.0651 (13) |
| 21. Arizona Diamondbacks (19-31) | -0.1067 | +1 | 0.1641 (1) | -0.1589 (23) | -0.1404 (21) | -0.0192 (17) |
| 22. Washington Nationals (18-29) | -0.1117 | +1 | 0.0344 (10) | -0.1698 (26) | -0.1416 (22) | -0.0220 (19) |
| 23. Los Angeles Angels (20-30) | -0.1266 | -3 | 0.0122 (12) | -0.2569 (28) | -0.2414 (26) | 0.1224 (11) |
| 24. Kansas City Royals (21-29) | -0.1729 | - | 0.0593 (5) | -0.1238 (20) | -0.0543 (16) | -0.3421 (27) |
| 25. Baltimore Orioles (22-27) | -0.1865 | - | 0.0348 (9) | -0.0807 (18) | -0.0748 (18) | -0.4073 (29) |
| 26. Seattle Mariners (22-27) | -0.2317 | - | 0.0042 (14) | -0.1642 (25) | -0.2697 (27) | -0.2632 (25) |
| 27. Detroit Tigers (21-27) | -0.2400 | - | 0.0398 (7) | -0.1344 (21) | -0.2245 (25) | -0.3643 (28) |
| 28. Boston Red Sox (18-32) | -0.2526 | - | 0.0658 (4) | -0.2269 (27) | -0.3118 (28) | -0.2198 (24) |
| 29. Texas Rangers (18-31) | -0.2999 | - | 0.0358 (8) | -0.3311 (29) | -0.4251 (29) | -0.1425 (22) |
| 30. Pittsburgh Pirates (14-34) | -0.5220 | - | -0.0063 (19) | -0.5572 (30) | -0.5937 (30) | -0.4141 (30) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This is a ratings system designed specifically for Major League Baseball. It is a combination of the Standard Rating, Inference Rating, and Vegas Rating. All three ratings are now weighted equally throughout the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.
We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Predictions.
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