| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Los Angeles Dodgers (55-22) | 0.7491 | - | 0.1094 (15) | 0.7262 (1) | 0.8515 (1) | 0.6704 (1) |
| 2. Tampa Bay Rays (52-28) | 0.4841 | - | 0.1697 (8) | 0.5721 (2) | 0.6161 (2) | 0.2613 (4) |
| 3. New York Yankees (38-30) | 0.4043 | - | 0.1424 (13) | 0.3395 (5) | 0.4268 (5) | 0.4486 (2) |
| 4. Atlanta Braves (43-29) | 0.3885 | - | 0.1584 (10) | 0.4200 (3) | 0.5030 (3) | 0.2415 (6) |
| 5. San Diego Padres (39-27) | 0.3487 | - | 0.1142 (14) | 0.3798 (4) | 0.4585 (4) | 0.2068 (8) |
| 6. Oakland Athletics (39-28) | 0.2181 | - | 0.0148 (20) | 0.2492 (6) | 0.2347 (7) | 0.1693 (12) |
| 7. Houston Astros (37-36) | 0.1716 | - | 0.0786 (19) | 0.1517 (10) | 0.1624 (9) | 0.2014 (9) |
| 8. Philadelphia Phillies (28-32) | 0.1329 | - | 0.1501 (12) | 0.0908 (11) | 0.1373 (11) | 0.1718 (11) |
| 9. Toronto Blue Jays (32-31) | 0.1123 | - | 0.1810 (5) | 0.2270 (7) | 0.1769 (8) | -0.0706 (19) |
| 10. New York Mets (26-34) | 0.1098 | - | 0.1600 (9) | 0.0260 (14) | 0.0901 (14) | 0.2158 (7) |
| 11. Washington Nationals (26-34) | 0.0537 | - | 0.1565 (11) | 0.0380 (12) | 0.1480 (10) | -0.0245 (18) |
| 12. San Francisco Giants (29-31) | 0.0497 | - | 0.1701 (7) | 0.1632 (9) | 0.2416 (6) | -0.2591 (24) |
| 13. Miami Marlins (33-32) | 0.0255 | - | 0.1811 (4) | 0.1941 (8) | 0.1048 (12) | -0.2276 (23) |
| 14. Los Angeles Angels (26-34) | -0.0012 | +1 | 0.0881 (18) | -0.0147 (19) | 0.0073 (17) | 0.0042 (16) |
| 15. Minnesota Twins (36-26) | -0.0040 | -1 | -0.2648 (28) | -0.1288 (21) | -0.1332 (20) | 0.2536 (5) |
| 16. Arizona Diamondbacks (25-35) | -0.0299 | +1 | 0.1829 (3) | 0.0116 (17) | 0.0513 (15) | -0.1540 (20) |
| 17. Cleveland Indians (35-28) | -0.0471 | +1 | -0.2514 (27) | -0.1847 (22) | -0.2369 (22) | 0.2845 (3) |
| 18. Boston Red Sox (24-36) | -0.0505 | -2 | 0.2085 (1) | 0.0137 (16) | 0.0330 (16) | -0.2002 (21) |
| 19. Chicago White Sox (36-27) | -0.0589 | - | -0.2415 (25) | -0.1251 (20) | -0.1561 (21) | 0.1066 (14) |
| 20. Colorado Rockies (26-34) | -0.0815 | +1 | 0.1767 (6) | 0.0286 (13) | -0.0683 (19) | -0.2081 (22) |
| 21. Baltimore Orioles (25-35) | -0.1038 | -1 | 0.1988 (2) | 0.0090 (18) | 0.0907 (13) | -0.4145 (27) |
| 22. Chicago Cubs (34-28) | -0.1216 | - | -0.2787 (30) | -0.2493 (24) | -0.2890 (24) | 0.1774 (10) |
| 23. Seattle Mariners (27-33) | -0.1643 | - | 0.1019 (16) | 0.0141 (15) | -0.0402 (18) | -0.4722 (30) |
| 24. Cincinnati Reds (31-31) | -0.2054 | - | -0.2773 (29) | -0.3355 (26) | -0.4252 (27) | 0.1484 (13) |
| 25. St. Louis Cardinals (31-30) | -0.2236 | - | -0.2512 (26) | -0.3092 (25) | -0.3585 (25) | -0.0004 (17) |
| 26. Milwaukee Brewers (29-33) | -0.2436 | - | -0.2354 (24) | -0.3987 (27) | -0.4208 (26) | 0.0935 (15) |
| 27. Texas Rangers (22-38) | -0.2723 | - | 0.0904 (17) | -0.2019 (23) | -0.2710 (23) | -0.3462 (25) |
| 28. Kansas City Royals (26-34) | -0.4156 | - | -0.2003 (23) | -0.4314 (28) | -0.4516 (28) | -0.3634 (26) |
| 29. Detroit Tigers (23-35) | -0.5518 | - | -0.1775 (21) | -0.5332 (29) | -0.6780 (29) | -0.4447 (28) |
| 30. Pittsburgh Pirates (19-41) | -0.6732 | - | -0.1896 (22) | -0.7430 (30) | -0.8051 (30) | -0.4694 (29) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This is a ratings system designed specifically for Major League Baseball. It is a combination of the Standard Rating, Inference Rating, and Vegas Rating. All three ratings are now weighted equally throughout the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.
We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Predictions.
Related Blog Posts
Betting Analysis Methodology
A brief explainer on how to use our predictive analysis to get an advantage in the betting markets.
Sports Betting Glossary and Slang
The sports betting glossary provides a list of terms and phrases that are used in the sports betting industry. This terminology is used throughout our site.
Top 5 Las Vegas Sportsbooks
We discuss the best sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip.
Advantage Betting Using Implied Margin
Implied margin is one of the many ways in which a sharp bettor can find an advantage over a sportbook.
Explaining Log Loss
A quick introduction to the analytic term that is used to judge accuracy.