MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Updated on 6/21/2018.

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
New York Yankees
49-21
0.361
0
-0.00 (24)
0.432 (1)
0.457 (1)
0.299 (2)
2
Houston Astros
50-26
0.342
0
0.035 (7)
0.363 (2)
0.432 (2)
0.324 (1)
3
Boston Red Sox
49-26
0.251
0
0.005 (19)
0.326 (3)
0.306 (3)
0.187 (4)
4
Chicago Cubs
42-29
0.154
0
-0.00 (27)
0.145 (6)
0.171 (6)
0.162 (6)
5
Cleveland Indians
40-33
0.132
2
0.014 (11)
0.032 (13)
0.082 (9)
0.217 (3)
6
Seattle Mariners
46-28
0.128
0
0.019 (8)
0.258 (4)
0.269 (4)
0.015 (10)
7
Washington Nationals
38-32
0.109
2
0.008 (15)
0.062 (12)
0.048 (14)
0.149 (7)
8
Los Angeles Angels
39-35
0.109
0
0.044 (5)
0.101 (8)
0.085 (8)
0.115 (8)
9
Los Angeles Dodgers
37-35
0.094
0
-0.01 (29)
0.010 (15)
0.050 (13)
0.166 (5)
10
Atlanta Braves
43-30
0.060
3
0.001 (23)
0.178 (5)
0.180 (5)
-0.04 (20)
11
Milwaukee Brewers
43-30
0.053
0
0.009 (14)
0.132 (7)
0.118 (7)
-0.01 (15)
12
Arizona Diamondbacks
40-33
0.053
0
0.013 (13)
0.097 (9)
0.071 (12)
0.014 (11)
13
St. Louis Cardinals
29-24
0.041
3
-0.01 (30)
0.009 (16)
-0.02 (17)
0.069 (9)
14
Philadelphia Phillies
39-33
0.036
0
0.007 (17)
0.097 (10)
0.082 (10)
-0.01 (16)
15
Oakland Athletics
38-36
0.035
0
0.056 (3)
0.067 (11)
0.077 (11)
0.008 (12)
16
Toronto Blue Jays
34-38
-0.00
2
0.049 (4)
-0.01 (17)
-0.03 (18)
0.004 (13)
17
Colorado Rockies
36-38
-0.03
1
-0.00 (25)
-0.04 (19)
-0.08 (21)
-0.01 (17)
18
San Francisco Giants
37-38
-0.03
1
0.008 (16)
0.020 (14)
0.022 (15)
-0.08 (22)
19
Pittsburgh Pirates
35-37
-0.04
1
0.004 (21)
-0.06 (20)
-0.09 (22)
-0.02 (19)
20
Minnesota Twins
32-37
-0.05
2
0.007 (18)
-0.10 (24)
-0.08 (20)
-0.01 (14)
21
New York Mets
30-40
-0.05
2
0.013 (12)
-0.09 (22)
-0.15 (25)
-0.02 (18)
22
Tampa Bay Rays
34-40
-0.06
1
0.059 (1)
-0.04 (18)
-0.00 (16)
-0.08 (21)
23
Texas Rangers
32-44
-0.10
1
0.058 (2)
-0.09 (21)
-0.07 (19)
-0.11 (24)
24
San Diego Padres
34-42
-0.12
1
0.016 (10)
-0.10 (23)
-0.10 (23)
-0.15 (26)
25
Cincinnati Reds
28-45
-0.18
0
0.005 (20)
-0.24 (27)
-0.21 (27)
-0.13 (25)
26
Detroit Tigers
36-39
-0.18
0
-0.01 (28)
-0.13 (25)
-0.11 (24)
-0.22 (28)
27
Miami Marlins
29-46
-0.21
0
0.019 (9)
-0.18 (26)
-0.18 (26)
-0.24 (30)
28
Baltimore Orioles
21-51
-0.24
0
0.043 (6)
-0.41 (29)
-0.40 (29)
-0.09 (23)
29
Kansas City Royals
22-52
-0.30
1
0.001 (22)
-0.43 (30)
-0.42 (30)
-0.18 (27)
30
Chicago White Sox
24-48
-0.30
1
-0.00 (26)
-0.39 (28)
-0.35 (28)
-0.23 (29)