| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Los Angeles Dodgers (40-26) | 0.4039 | - | -0.0369 (24) | 0.3117 (2) | 0.3656 (2) | 0.5370 (1) |
| 2. Tampa Bay Rays (43-24) | 0.3287 | - | 0.0195 (9) | 0.3825 (1) | 0.4366 (1) | 0.1654 (6) |
| 3. Houston Astros (37-28) | 0.2365 | +1 | 0.0355 (5) | 0.1994 (6) | 0.3252 (3) | 0.1860 (5) |
| 4. Chicago White Sox (41-25) | 0.2241 | -1 | -0.0783 (30) | 0.2310 (4) | 0.2908 (5) | 0.1503 (7) |
| 5. San Diego Padres (38-30) | 0.2201 | - | -0.0240 (22) | 0.1401 (9) | 0.2291 (6) | 0.2935 (3) |
| 6. San Francisco Giants (41-25) | 0.1777 | +1 | -0.0454 (26) | 0.2217 (5) | 0.3013 (4) | 0.0088 (19) |
| 7. Oakland Athletics (41-27) | 0.1772 | +1 | -0.0108 (17) | 0.2331 (3) | 0.2131 (8) | 0.0837 (10) |
| 8. New York Yankees (33-32) | 0.1692 | -2 | 0.0189 (10) | 0.0643 (14) | 0.0844 (12) | 0.3621 (2) |
| 9. Toronto Blue Jays (33-31) | 0.1469 | - | 0.1058 (1) | 0.1357 (10) | 0.2259 (7) | 0.0795 (11) |
| 10. Boston Red Sox (40-27) | 0.1439 | - | -0.0008 (15) | 0.1840 (7) | 0.1892 (9) | 0.0572 (14) |
| 11. Chicago Cubs (38-28) | 0.1107 | - | -0.0220 (21) | 0.1417 (8) | 0.1767 (10) | 0.0129 (17) |
| 12. New York Mets (33-25) | 0.1042 | +1 | -0.0586 (29) | 0.0714 (13) | 0.1077 (11) | 0.1345 (8) |
| 13. Milwaukee Brewers (38-28) | 0.0879 | -1 | -0.0367 (23) | 0.0983 (12) | 0.0410 (13) | 0.1242 (9) |
| 14. Atlanta Braves (30-33) | 0.0549 | - | -0.0052 (16) | -0.0266 (20) | 0.0016 (16) | 0.1923 (4) |
| 15. Cleveland Indians (35-28) | 0.0444 | +1 | -0.0492 (27) | 0.1008 (11) | -0.0032 (17) | 0.0340 (15) |
| 16. Los Angeles Angels (33-33) | 0.0335 | -1 | 0.0426 (4) | 0.0507 (15) | 0.0362 (14) | 0.0131 (16) |
| 17. Philadelphia Phillies (32-32) | 0.0230 | - | 0.0301 (6) | -0.0100 (17) | 0.0136 (15) | 0.0664 (13) |
| 18. Cincinnati Reds (33-31) | -0.0063 | - | -0.0536 (28) | 0.0126 (16) | -0.0436 (18) | 0.0115 (18) |
| 19. St. Louis Cardinals (33-33) | -0.0526 | - | -0.0209 (20) | -0.0265 (19) | -0.0998 (19) | -0.0323 (21) |
| 20. Washington Nationals (28-35) | -0.0985 | - | 0.0011 (14) | -0.1491 (23) | -0.1233 (21) | -0.0216 (20) |
| 21. Miami Marlins (29-37) | -0.1336 | - | -0.0126 (18) | -0.1430 (22) | -0.1499 (22) | -0.1077 (22) |
| 22. Minnesota Twins (26-40) | -0.1404 | +1 | -0.0403 (25) | -0.2241 (25) | -0.2628 (25) | 0.0681 (12) |
| 23. Seattle Mariners (33-35) | -0.1408 | +1 | 0.0168 (11) | -0.0102 (18) | -0.1048 (20) | -0.3113 (28) |
| 24. Kansas City Royals (30-35) | -0.1459 | -2 | -0.0158 (19) | -0.0998 (21) | -0.1620 (23) | -0.1771 (23) |
| 25. Texas Rangers (25-41) | -0.2451 | - | 0.0811 (2) | -0.2287 (26) | -0.2054 (24) | -0.3018 (26) |
| 26. Detroit Tigers (27-39) | -0.2940 | +1 | 0.0261 (8) | -0.2020 (24) | -0.2799 (26) | -0.4029 (30) |
| 27. Baltimore Orioles (22-43) | -0.3054 | -1 | 0.0697 (3) | -0.3264 (28) | -0.3092 (27) | -0.2801 (25) |
| 28. Colorado Rockies (26-41) | -0.3059 | - | 0.0149 (12) | -0.2945 (27) | -0.3200 (28) | -0.3037 (27) |
| 29. Pittsburgh Pirates (23-42) | -0.3954 | - | 0.0277 (7) | -0.3528 (29) | -0.4484 (29) | -0.3864 (29) |
| 30. Arizona Diamondbacks (20-47) | -0.4248 | - | 0.0073 (13) | -0.4884 (30) | -0.5282 (30) | -0.2558 (24) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This is a ratings system designed specifically for Major League Baseball. It is a combination of the Standard Rating, Inference Rating, and Vegas Rating. All three ratings are now weighted equally throughout the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.
We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Predictions.
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