MLB Baseball Ratings


Below are listed the current MLB Baseball computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. These ratings are updated about once a week during the season so check back early and often.
More information on how these MLB computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a MLB ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Inference Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Inference Rating– Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, but outcome and score differential are no factor at all. This rating system, combined with the Inference Rating, is a very good predictor of future outcomes.

We also do predictions on every game during the Major League Baseball season. For more information on this go to MLB Game Prediction.

Updated on 8/20/2019.

MLB Baseball Computer Ratings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Inference (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
82-44
0.341
1
0.039 (19)
0.384 (1)
0.366 (1)
0.281 (1)
2
Houston Astros
80-46
0.318
1
0.006 (23)
0.353 (2)
0.323 (3)
0.269 (2)
3
New York Yankees
83-43
0.275
0
-0.02 (28)
0.337 (3)
0.346 (2)
0.188 (4)
4
Atlanta Braves
74-52
0.181
0
0.051 (14)
0.237 (4)
0.236 (4)
0.103 (8)
5
Minnesota Twins
76-49
0.147
1
-0.02 (27)
0.194 (6)
0.154 (7)
0.080 (11)
6
Tampa Bay Rays
73-53
0.141
1
-0.00 (24)
0.141 (8)
0.123 (11)
0.140 (5)
7
Oakland Athletics
71-53
0.128
1
0.031 (22)
0.199 (5)
0.226 (5)
0.030 (16)
8
Washington Nationals
68-56
0.128
4
0.053 (13)
0.138 (9)
0.212 (6)
0.114 (7)
9
Boston Red Sox
67-59
0.115
2
0.036 (20)
0.062 (16)
0.067 (15)
0.190 (3)
10
Chicago Cubs
66-58
0.113
3
0.046 (16)
0.109 (12)
0.100 (13)
0.118 (6)
11
St. Louis Cardinals
66-57
0.109
2
0.040 (18)
0.147 (7)
0.153 (9)
0.057 (13)
12
Cleveland Indians
74-51
0.108
3
-0.02 (29)
0.116 (10)
0.153 (8)
0.096 (9)
13
Milwaukee Brewers
64-61
0.103
3
0.060 (10)
0.110 (11)
0.043 (17)
0.095 (10)
14
Philadelphia Phillies
64-60
0.071
1
0.054 (12)
0.094 (13)
0.049 (16)
0.039 (14)
15
New York Mets
64-60
0.070
1
0.068 (8)
0.073 (15)
0.125 (10)
0.064 (12)
16
Arizona Diamondbacks
63-63
0.047
1
0.082 (6)
0.079 (14)
0.089 (14)
0.001 (18)
17
Cincinnati Reds
58-66
0.033
1
0.058 (11)
0.031 (18)
0.031 (18)
0.036 (15)
18
San Francisco Giants
63-62
-0.00
0
0.089 (5)
0.050 (17)
0.100 (12)
-0.08 (21)
19
Colorado Rockies
57-68
-0.02
1
0.105 (3)
-0.02 (19)
-0.04 (19)
-0.02 (20)
20
San Diego Padres
59-65
-0.02
2
0.092 (4)
-0.05 (21)
-0.07 (20)
0.010 (17)
21
Los Angeles Angels
62-65
-0.04
2
0.033 (21)
-0.05 (22)
-0.09 (21)
-0.02 (19)
22
Texas Rangers
61-64
-0.06
1
0.051 (15)
-0.04 (20)
-0.10 (22)
-0.10 (23)
23
Pittsburgh Pirates
51-73
-0.11
0
0.115 (2)
-0.13 (23)
-0.20 (25)
-0.08 (22)
24
Seattle Mariners
53-73
-0.18
0
0.063 (9)
-0.20 (25)
-0.22 (27)
-0.15 (24)
25
Chicago White Sox
56-68
-0.20
0
-0.02 (30)
-0.19 (24)
-0.18 (24)
-0.22 (26)
26
Toronto Blue Jays
52-75
-0.21
0
0.041 (17)
-0.25 (27)
-0.18 (23)
-0.16 (25)
27
Miami Marlins
45-78
-0.23
0
0.132 (1)
-0.23 (26)
-0.20 (26)
-0.23 (28)
28
Kansas City Royals
45-80
-0.32
0
-0.02 (26)
-0.39 (28)
-0.34 (28)
-0.23 (27)
29
Baltimore Orioles
39-86
-0.38
0
0.076 (7)
-0.43 (29)
-0.40 (29)
-0.31 (30)
30
Detroit Tigers
37-85
-0.43
0
-0.01 (25)
-0.54 (30)
-0.60 (30)
-0.27 (29)