MLB Baseball Predictions


Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. We show the odds of every game below, but one can find the most recent odds for each game at MLB Odds and Lines.

The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to gamble on baseball then I highly suggest reading my blog post: The Top 5 Online Sportsbooks for U.S. Players.

All upcoming MLB baseball predictions are listed below. There, you will find the odds of winning, predicted score and estimated money line. We hope you enjoy.

MLB Baseball Computer Predictions – Donchess Inference Ratings

MLB Baseball Game Predictions – Wednesday, August 16th

Time Teams Prob Pitchers Lines – Updated 8/16 @ 9:25 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
Over/Under
1:05 PM Angels Nolasco (5-12)
+113
+107
+114
o9 -105
45.4%
5.06
10.6
Nationals Roark (9-7)
-123
-127
-119
u9 -105
54.6%
5.54
1:10 PM Giants Cain (3-9)
+152
+145
+158
o9½ +105
37.1%
3.79
8.72
Marlins Urena (10-5)
-162
-170
-163
u9½ -115
62.9%
4.92
2:10 PM Pirates Cole (10-8)
+114
+105
+116
o8½ +105
52.5%
4.09
7.99
Brewers Nelson (9-6)
-124
-125
-121
u8½ -115
47.5%
3.89
3:35 PM Royals Duffy (7-8)
-130
-135
-129
o9 -105
52%
4.58
8.99
Athletics Blackburn (3-1)
+120
+115
+124
u9 -105
48%
4.40
3:40 PM Orioles Jimenez (5-7)
-102
-110
-101
o10 +102
45.5%
4.58
9.60
Mariners Gonzales (0-0)
-108
-110
-104
u10 -112
54.5%
5.01
3:40 PM Phillies Pivetta (4-7)
+117
+113
+122
o9 +115
39.8%
3.68
8.19
Padres Richard (5-12)
-127
-133
-127
u9 -125
60.2%
4.51
7:07 PM Rays Faria (5-3)
+127
+125
+129
o8½ -105
36.4%
3.48
8.05
Blue Jays Stroman (10-6)
-137
-145
-134
u8½ -105
63.6%
4.57
7:10 PM Yankees Garcia (5-8)
-137
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
54.5%
4.92
9.42
Mets Gsellman (5-5)
+127
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
45.5%
4.50
7:10 PM Cardinals Lynn (10-6)
+127
+120
+130
o9½ +105
49.3%
4.03
8.11
Red Sox Rodriguez (4-3)
-137
-140
-135
u9½ -115
50.7%
4.08
8:05 PM Reds Bailey (4-6)
+183
+177
+190
No Odds
35.4%
4.41
10.3
Cubs Lackey (10-9)
-197
-207
-200
No Odds
64.6%
5.92
8:05 PM Tigers Sanchez (3-3)
+165
+155
+166
o10½ -103
30.2%
4.36
10.8
Rangers Hamels (7-1)
-175
-180
-173
u10½ -107
69.8%
6.52
8:10 PM D-backs Walker (6-6)
+134
+132
+141
o9 -105
45.9%
4.52
9.43
Astros Morton (9-5)
-144
-152
-146
u9 -105
54.1%
4.91
8:10 PM Indians Carrasco (11-5)
-169
-175
-170
o9 -115
64.2%
5.63
9.86
Twins Gibson (6-9)
+159
+150
+163
u9 +105
35.8%
4.23
8:40 PM Braves Foltynewicz (10-7)
+146
+141
+150
o11½ +110
44.7%
5.62
11.8
Rockies Gray (4-2)
-156
-162
-155
u11½ -120
55.3%
6.24
10:10 PM White Sox Rodon (1-4)
+275
+265
+285
o7½ -105
27.4%
2.91
7.53
Dodgers Darvish (8-9)
-310
-330
-305
u7½ -105
72.6%
4.61


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MLB Baseball Game Predictions – Thursday, August 17th

Time (ET) Matchup Teams Prob Pitchers Money Line Prediction Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
1:10 PM Indians vs. Twins Indians Clevinger (6-4)
-131
55.9%
5.16
9.76
Twins Berrios (10-5)
+121
44.1%
4.59
2:10 PM D-backs vs. Astros D-backs Corbin (9-11)
+123
43.7%
4.68
10.0
Astros Fiers (7-7)
-133
56.3%
5.32
2:20 PM Reds vs. Cubs Reds Feldman (7-7)
+140
40.7%
4.36
9.62
Cubs Lester (8-7)
-150
59.3%
5.26
3:10 PM Braves vs. Rockies Braves Sims (0-3)
+151
39%
5.35
12.0
Rockies Hoffman (6-4)
-161
61%
6.67
4:07 PM Rays vs. Blue Jays Rays Archer (8-7)
-118
53.2%
4.90
9.51
Blue Jays Rowley (1-0)
+108
46.8%
4.60
7:05 PM Cardinals vs. Pirates Cardinals Wainwright (12-5)
+112
45.9%
3.94
8.23
Pirates Taillon (7-5)
-122
54.1%
4.28
7:10 PM Yankees vs. Mets Yankees Severino (9-5)
-158
60.5%
4.59
8.30
Mets Matz (2-6)
+148
39.5%
3.71
8:05 PM White Sox vs. Rangers White Sox Lopez (0-0)
+114
45.6%
5.40
11.3
Rangers Ross (3-2)
-124
54.4%
5.90
10:10 PM Nationals vs. Padres Nationals TBD
+148
39.4%
3.80
8.51
Padres Chacin (11-8)
-158
60.6%
4.71
10:15 PM Phillies vs. Giants Phillies Nola (9-7)
-175
63.1%
3.97
7.02
Giants TBD
+165
36.9%
3.05


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MLB Baseball Game Prediction Results – Tuesday, August 15th

Date Teams OddsPortal ML DRatings Odds to Win Final Score OddsPortal Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
8/15 Houston Astros -114 0.591 9 -0.6737 -0.52594
Arizona Diamondbacks -105 0.409 4
8/15 New York Mets +125 0.552 4 -0.55545 -0.80296
New York Yankees -149 0.448 5
8/15 Los Angeles Angels -109 0.293 1 -0.69097 -0.34672
Washington Nationals -110 0.707 3
8/15 Tampa Bay Rays -102 0.387 6 -0.72442 -0.94933
Toronto Blue Jays -116 0.613 4
8/15 St.Louis Cardinals +129 0.498 4 -0.54246 -0.68916
Boston Red Sox -154 0.502 10
8/15 San Francisco Giants -104 0.458 9 -0.71745 -0.78089
Miami Marlins -115 0.542 4
8/15 Pittsburgh Pirates +112 0.541 1 -0.59944 -0.77871
Milwaukee Brewers -135 0.459 3
8/15 Cincinnati Reds +139 0.401 2 -0.91424 -0.91379
Chicago Cubs -167 0.599 1
8/15 Detroit Tigers -109 0.592 4 -0.69097 -0.89649
Texas Rangers -110 0.408 10
8/15 Cleveland Indians -167 0.619 8 -0.51053 -0.47965
Minnesota Twins +140 0.381 1
8/15 Atlanta Braves +160 0.39 4 -0.9968 -0.94161
Colorado Rockies -192 0.61 3
8/15 Kansas City Royals -128 0.534 8 -0.77368 -0.76357
Oakland Athletics +108 0.466 10
8/15 Chicago White Sox +303 0.273 1 -0.272 -0.31883
Los Angeles Dodgers -385 0.727 6
8/15 Philadelphia Phillies +145 0.441 4 -0.49802 -0.58161
San Diego Padres -172 0.559 8
8/15 Baltimore Orioles -103 0.475 1 -0.66711 -0.64436
Seattle Mariners -115 0.525 3

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MLB Baseball Prediction Results

2017
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
OddsPortal 1781 999 770 12 0.564 -0.67517
DRatings 1781 977 799 5 0.55 -0.68338
Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
OddsPortal 15 10 5 0 0.667 -0.65515
DRatings 15 7 8 0 0.467 -0.69424
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
OddsPortal 98 56 41 1 0.577 -0.67791
DRatings 98 51 47 0 0.52 -0.68698
Last Two Weeks
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
OddsPortal 192 107 84 1 0.56 -0.67749
DRatings 192 107 85 0 0.557 -0.68324


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