MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (0-0)
San Diego Padres (0-0)
Tyler Glasnow
Yu Darvish
63.1%
36.9%
-191
+182
-188
+175
-1½-117
+1½+102
-1½-119
+1½+103
4.93
3.56
8.49
o8½-113
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Games for Mar 19, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
48.1%
51.9%
-103
-103
-105
+105


5
0
-0.69315-0.66904-0.73187
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
+107
-113
+105
-113
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
11
7
-0.74108-0.73601-0.66569
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.7%
43.3%
-110
+105
-110
+105

+1½-210
-1½+204
3
1
-0.65817-0.65817-0.56764
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
43.4%
56.6%
+140
-143
+136
-143
+1½-154
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+136
9
1
-0.88059-0.87079-0.83374
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
47.4%
52.6%
+140
-149
+142
-150
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
6
-0.52846-0.52396-0.64308
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
40.5%
59.5%
+147
-151
+152
-154
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+131
4
2
-0.91063-0.92738-0.90271
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
48.4%
51.6%
+121
-131
+124
-130
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
11
4
-0.81238-0.81805-0.72505
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
45.0%
55.0%
+167
-177
+175
-180
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+110
5
1
-0.99552-1.01807-0.79893
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
45.2%
54.8%
+108
-117
+112
-116
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
2
-0.75211-0.76012-0.79376
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.2%
50.8%
-128
+119
-126
+120
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
6
1
-0.59519-0.59626-0.70991
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.3%
46.7%
-127
+121
-128
+122
-1½+118
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-130
5
6
-0.80488-0.80930-0.76068
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
47.6%
52.4%
-102
-103
-102
+100
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
5
4
-0.69557-0.68824-0.74326
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
45.6%
54.4%
-106
-102
+100
+101
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-200
-1½+180
10
3
-0.68377-0.69065-0.78539
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.3%
44.7%
-119
+113
-118
+117
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+132
+1½-145
1
2
-0.76891-0.77683-0.80430
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
46.6%
53.4%
+108
-117
+108
-110
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
8
5
-0.75211-0.73693-0.76351
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
45.2%
54.8%
+150
-157
+149
-151
+1½-140
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+134
0
10
-0.50367-0.51138-0.60161
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.