MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 13, 2020

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (6-7)
New York Mets (7-11)
Austin Voth
David Peterson
54.1%
45.9%
+116
-124
+115
-122
4.21
3.78
8.00
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Baltimore Orioles (8-7)
Philadelphia Phillies (5-7)
Tom Eshelman
Jake Arrieta
43.6%
56.4%
+175
-185
+172
-185
4.53
5.21
9.74
o9½-115
u9½-105
o10+100
u10-115
Tampa Bay Rays (10-8)
Boston Red Sox (6-11)
Tyler Glasnow
Kyle Hart
55.6%
44.4%
-152
+143
-147
+141
5.24
4.66
9.90
o9½+104
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (3-13)
Cincinnati Reds (8-9)
Trevor Williams
Anthony DeSclafani
36.6%
63.4%
+160
-170
+167
-174
3.79
5.20
8.99
o9-120
u9½-120
o9-120
u9+100
Milwaukee Brewers (7-8)
Chicago Cubs (11-3)
Brett Anderson
Yu Darvish
41.4%
58.6%
+167
-174
+164
-176
3.86
4.76
8.62


PostponedSt. Louis Cardinals (2-3)
Chicago White Sox (9-9)
Unknown
Unknown
46.0%
54.0%


4.47
4.89
9.37


San Diego Padres (11-7)
Los Angeles Dodgers (11-7)
Chris Paddack
Julio Urias
43.2%
56.8%
+127
-135
+130
-135
3.37
4.08
7.45
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Aug 12, 2020
Games for Aug 14, 2020

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.7%
61.3%
+150
-157
+158
-161
0
6
-0.50178-0.48673-0.48890
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
42.9%
57.1%
+108
-117
+112
-118
4
7
-0.63639-0.62588-0.56021
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
57.1%
42.9%
-146
+136
-143
+136
9
5
-0.53635-0.54065-0.56021
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
35.0%
65.0%
+177
-187
+180
-188
1
5
-0.43807-0.43414-0.43054
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
54.7%
45.3%
-132
+125
-131
+125
12
2
-0.57579-0.57745-0.60334
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
48.3%
51.7%
+116
-126
+117
-124
6
11
-0.60279-0.60446-0.65962
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.64838 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.65124 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.65276
-0.00438
-0.00152

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.