MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 8, 2023

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedArizona Diamondbacks (37-25)
Washington Nationals (25-36)
Merrill Kelly
Josiah Gray
57.6%
42.4%
-157
+147
-160
+151
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
4.43
3.62
8.05
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-115
Games for Jun 7, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
48.4%
51.6%
+116
-122
+121
-120
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+150
1
3
-0.61109-0.60407-0.66114
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
41.4%
58.6%
+119
-127
+120
-128
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+165
0
3
-0.59673-0.59314-0.53409
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-176
+170
-177
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+108
10
13
-0.45793-0.45719-0.50673
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
47.5%
52.5%
+138
-143
+139
-145
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
10
-0.53883-0.53471-0.64377
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
50.4%
49.6%
-107
+101
-110
+101
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-163
2
3
-0.71245-0.71924-0.70150
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
33.2%
66.8%
+206
-225
+210
-230
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38665-0.38037-0.40410
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
40.1%
59.9%
+125
-133
+127
-126
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
6
5
-0.82608-0.81783-0.91492
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
59.5%
40.5%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-1½-117
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
6
4
-0.47678-0.47678-0.51977
Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers
49.7%
50.3%
-102
-103
-102
-106
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
6
3
-0.69557-0.70261-0.69858
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
41.8%
58.2%
+100
-108
+108
-110
+1½-210
-1½+184
+1½-195
-1½+180
2
4
-0.67446-0.65120-0.54116
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
61.7%
38.3%
-230
+214
-235
+215
-1½-155
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+152
6
0
-0.37634-0.37333-0.48285
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
42.3%
57.7%
+133
-139
+138
-142
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+140
2
6
-0.55271-0.54003-0.54993
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
61.5%
38.5%
-210
+199
-210
+198
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-145
+1½+135
5
4
-0.40127-0.40237-0.48675
St. Louis Cardinals
Texas Rangers
44.9%
55.1%
+122
-128
+128
-130
+1½-158
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+146
1
0
-0.80930-0.82798-0.80002
Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers
46.3%
53.7%
+134
-140
+128
-134
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
10
-0.54962-0.56867-0.62206
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
50.0%
50.0%
+114
-120
+115
-120
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
5
7
-0.61880-0.61667-0.69393
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.57754 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.57368 
DRatings118-3 (0.727)0-0.60078
-0.02325
-0.02710

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.