MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2020

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (34-18)
Baltimore Orioles (22-30)
Undecided
John Means
58.1%
41.9%


5.00
4.15
9.15


New York Yankees (30-21)
Boston Red Sox (19-33)
Deivi Garcia
Tanner Houck
59.3%
40.7%
-165
+160
-165
+156
5.24
4.27
9.51
o10-110
u10-110
o10-110
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (33-18)
Cincinnati Reds (26-26)
Dylan Cease
Michael Lorenzen
50.1%
49.9%
-109
+105
-112
+105
4.88
4.87
9.75
o9-120
u9+105
o9-120
u9+105
Atlanta Braves (30-21)
New York Mets (23-28)
Kyle Wright
Rick Porcello
50.7%
49.3%
+110
-113
+105
-112
4.19
4.11
8.30
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u10-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (28-23)
Detroit Tigers (21-29)
Carlos Carrasco
Matthew Boyd
56.9%
43.1%
-195
+188
-200
+180
4.77
4.04
8.81
o8-110
u8+100
o8-110
u8-105
Washington Nationals (19-30)
Miami Marlins (26-24)
Max Scherzer
Undecided
55.4%
44.6%


4.30
3.74
8.04


Kansas City Royals (21-30)
Milwaukee Brewers (24-26)
Brad Keller
Josh Lindblom
47.3%
52.7%
+135
-137
+128
-135
3.76
4.04
7.80
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (20-32)
Houston Astros (25-26)
Madison Bumgarner
Jose Urquidy
40.3%
59.7%
+190
-195
+185
-200
3.82
4.84
8.65
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (26-25)
Philadelphia Phillies (26-25)
Taijuan Walker
Undecided
44.3%
55.7%


4.11
4.71
8.81


Los Angeles Dodgers (37-15)
Colorado Rockies (22-28)
Tony Gonsolin
Antonio Senzatela
70.6%
29.4%
-177
+170
-180
+165
6.70
4.58
11.28
o12½-110
u12½-110
o12½-110
u12½-105
St. Louis Cardinals (24-24)
Pittsburgh Pirates (15-36)
Jack Flaherty
Joe Musgrove
61.9%
38.1%
-157
+155
-158
+150
4.53
3.28
7.81
o8+105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (25-25)
Oakland Athletics (32-19)
Tyler Anderson
Mike Minor
37.3%
62.7%
+139
-145

3.45
4.78
8.23
o8½-115
u8½+100

San Diego Padres (33-19)
Seattle Mariners (22-29)
Dinelson Lamet
Justin Dunn
65.0%
35.0%
-215
+209
-210
+190
5.11
3.54
8.65
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (18-33)
Los Angeles Angels (22-30)
Kyle Cody
Julio Teheran
39.5%
60.5%
+125
-132
+123
-130
4.38
5.48
9.87
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-110
Washington Nationals (19-30)
Miami Marlins (26-24)
Undecided
Undecided
49.8%
50.2%


4.39
4.42
8.81


Minnesota Twins (31-22)
Chicago Cubs (31-20)
Jose Berrios
Yu Darvish
44.0%
56.0%
+145
-141
+138
-145
4.21
4.84
9.05


Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 19, 2020
Games for Sep 21, 2020

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
St. Louis Cardinals (24-24)
Pittsburgh Pirates (15-36)
59.7%
40.3%
-163
+155
-160
+152
9.61
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8-115
u8+105
7th
BOT
5
4
Chicago White Sox (33-18)
Cincinnati Reds (26-26)
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-124
+120
-125
8.85
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8-108
8th
TOP
5
0
Atlanta Braves (30-21)
New York Mets (23-28)
53.9%
46.1%
-157
+150
-157
+150
7.62
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-115
7th
TOP
1
3
Kansas City Royals (21-30)
Milwaukee Brewers (24-26)
38.2%
61.8%
+190
-200
+190
-200
7.86
o8+100
u8-115
o8+105
u7½+100
8th
TOP
0
1
Arizona Diamondbacks (20-32)
Houston Astros (25-26)
39.2%
60.8%
+160
-167
+156
-165
8.76
o9-120
u9+105
o9-120
u9½-115
8th
BOT
2
3
New York Yankees (30-21)
Boston Red Sox (19-33)
61.7%
38.3%
-182
+175
-185
+175
11.07
o10-105
u10-105
o10-110
u10+100
7th
BOT
7
0
Tampa Bay Rays (34-18)
Baltimore Orioles (22-30)
64.1%
35.9%
-178
+170
-174
+165
10.50
o8½+105
u8½-120
o8-120
u8½-110
6th
BOT
3
1
Los Angeles Dodgers (37-15)
Colorado Rockies (22-28)
70.1%
29.9%
-270
+250
-260
+250
11.48
o12-110
u12-108
o12-110
u12+102
6th
BOT
3
1
Minnesota Twins (31-22)
Chicago Cubs (31-20)
50.3%
49.7%
-124
+120
-123
+120
10.05
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-104
5th
TOP
1
1
Texas Rangers (18-33)
Los Angeles Angels (22-30)
44.9%
55.1%
+150
-155
+148
-155
8.15
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-120
2nd
BOT
3
0
San Diego Padres (33-19)
Seattle Mariners (22-29)
61.3%
38.7%
-160
+155
-160
+153
8.82
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
58.1%
41.9%
-193
+185
-190
+180
2
5
-1.06106-1.04700-0.86945
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
53.8%
46.2%
+115
-118
+115
-120
3
7
-0.61975-0.61587-0.77193
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.5%
48.5%
-137
+135
-135
+130
1
3
-0.85864-0.84360-0.72293
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-154
+145
-153
0
6
-0.50559-0.51368-0.51706
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
66.3%
33.7%
-180
+175
-182
+175
6
1
-0.44690-0.44493-0.41128
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
36.4%
63.6%
+155
-164
+152
-158
0
6
-0.48690-0.49793-0.45196
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.66314 
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.66050 
DRatings63-3 (0.500)0-0.62410
0.03904
0.03640

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.