MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 5, 2023

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Games for Feb 4, 2023
Games for Feb 6, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
44.1%
55.9%
+138
-143
+142
-142
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+162
1
4
-0.53883-0.53311-0.58232
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
58.4%
41.6%
-148
+139
-143
+140
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
3
2
-0.53128-0.53536-0.53779
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
49.8%
50.2%
+102
-107
+100
-106
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-180
5
0
-0.71498-0.70761-0.69800
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
53.4%
46.6%
-120
+113
-120
+114
-1½+145
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
0
7
-0.77096-0.77347-0.76293
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
44.4%
55.6%
+130
-139
+135
-137
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+163
2
5
-0.55823-0.55166-0.58620
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
40.3%
59.7%
+153
-160
+150
-160
+1½-160
-1½+157
+1½-155
-1½+145
6
5
-0.93879-0.93156-0.90832
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
48.0%
52.0%
+109
-118
+110
-114
+1½-215
-1½+188
+1½-200
-1½+190
6
5
-0.75673-0.75080-0.73312
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
48.5%
51.5%
+125
-132
+125
-127
+1½-193
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+176
3
4
-0.57725-0.58467-0.66417
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
+102
-105
+105
-107
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
10
-0.67627-0.66458-0.70950
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
47.2%
52.8%
+133
-141
+136
-142
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
0
-0.86003-0.86912-0.75001
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
52.3%
47.7%
-120
+113
-120
+114
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
4
-0.77096-0.77347-0.73988
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
45.1%
54.9%
+124
-134
+130
-133
+1½-175
-1½+159
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
3
-0.57638-0.56627-0.59937
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
37.8%
62.2%
+166
-179
+167
-178
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
2
4
-0.46119-0.46054-0.47414
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
48.0%
52.0%
+105
-113
+106
-112
+1½-207
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
8
-0.65204-0.65174-0.65427
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-112
+107
-117
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-200
-1½+191
2
0
-0.73382-0.74957-0.76570
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
37.2%
62.8%
+157
-167
+158
-160
+1½-145
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
5
-0.48373-0.48849-0.46593
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.