Upcoming Games for July 27, 2021
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best Line | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (45-54) Philadelphia Phillies (50-49) | Erick Fedde Matt Moore | 46.8% 53.2% | +112 -120 +114 -121 | 4.32 4.66 | 8.98 | o9½-122 u10½+105 o10½-120 u10½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Milwaukee Brewers (58-42) Pittsburgh Pirates (38-61) | Brett Anderson Luis Oviedo | 53.2% 46.8% | -140 +140 -147 +140 | 4.41 4.08 | 8.49 | o8½-115 u9+100 o9-120 u9+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Miami Marlins (43-57) Baltimore Orioles (34-64) | Sandy Alcantara Spenser Watkins | 58.0% 42.0% | -121 +113 -125 +120 | 4.79 3.95 | 8.74 | o9-110 u9½-112 o9-110 u9-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Atlanta Braves (49-51) New York Mets (53-45) | Charlie Morton Jerad Eickhoff | 50.9% 49.1% | -148 +138 -148 +142 | 4.31 4.22 | 8.53 | o9-115 u9-105 o9-110 u9-105 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Toronto Blue Jays (49-47) Boston Red Sox (62-39) | Robbie Ray Garrett Richards | 52.8% 47.2% | -137 +127 -136 +130 | 4.65 4.36 | 9.01 | o11-115 u11+100 o11-115 u11-102 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| New York Yankees (51-47) Tampa Bay Rays (60-40) | Jordan Montgomery Shane McClanahan | 46.8% 53.2% | +130 -134 +130 -134 | 3.88 4.21 | 8.09 | o7½-110 u8-112 o7½-115 u7½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| St. Louis Cardinals (50-50) Cleveland Indians (49-48) | Adam Wainwright Cal Quantrill | 51.4% 48.6% | -110 +107 -117 +109 | 4.00 3.86 | 7.86 | o9-114 u9½+100 o9½-110 u9½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Cincinnati Reds (51-49) Chicago Cubs (50-51) | Vladimir Gutierrez Adbert Alzolay | 44.7% 55.3% | +150 -161 +160 -166 | 4.13 4.68 | 8.81 | o10½-110 u10½+100 o10½-105 u10½-115 | |||
| Arizona Diamondbacks (31-70) Texas Rangers (35-65) | Taylor Widener Dane Dunning | 46.1% 53.9% | +138 -141 +133 -139 | 3.89 4.29 | 8.18 | o8½-105 u8½-111 o8½-104 u8½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Detroit Tigers (47-55) Minnesota Twins (43-58) | Tyler Alexander Kenta Maeda | 38.9% 61.1% | +176 -186 +175 -185 | 3.70 4.87 | 8.57 | o9-110 u9-108 o9-110 u9-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Chicago White Sox (59-41) Kansas City Royals (43-55) | Dylan Cease Brad Keller | 56.6% 43.4% | -141 +131 -143 +136 | 5.18 4.49 | 9.67 | o10-101 u9½+100 o9½-115 u9½+100 | |||
| Colorado Rockies (43-57) Los Angeles Angels (50-49) | Austin Gomber Jose Suarez | 42.8% 57.2% | +121 -131 +127 -133 | 3.63 4.38 | 8.01 | o9-110 u9-110 o9-105 u9+100 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (61-40) San Francisco Giants (62-37) | Julio Urias Logan Webb | 54.4% 45.6% | -116 +115 -116 +112 | 4.69 4.22 | 8.91 | o8-119 u8½-110 o8-120 u8½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Houston Astros (61-40) Seattle Mariners (55-46) | Lance McCullers Chris Flexen | 57.1% 42.9% | -156 +146 -156 +150 | 4.62 3.88 | 8.50 | o8½+105 u8-105 o8-115 u8+100 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (56-45) San Diego Padres (58-44) | James Kaprielian Chris Paddack | 48.1% 51.9% | +144 -153 +142 -147 | 4.06 4.26 | 8.32 | o8½-116 u8½+100 o8½-115 u8½+103 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best Line | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros Seattle Mariners | 60.8% 39.2% | -166 +153 -165 +158 | 8 11 | -0.94734-0.95797 | -0.93542 | |
| Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Angels | 38.9% 61.1% | +142 -152 +143 -150 | 2 6 | -0.52182-0.52227 | -0.49315 | |
| Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins | 35.8% 64.2% | +159 -173 +161 -166 | 5 6 | -0.47578-0.47868 | -0.44245 | |
| Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals | 51.8% 48.2% | -117 +107 -119 +117 | 3 4 | -0.74957-0.77892 | -0.72884 | |
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 45.7% 54.3% | +156 -169 +157 -167 | 0 1 | -0.48352-0.48373 | -0.61089 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs | 49.2% 50.8% | +123 -133 +122 -130 | 5 6 | -0.57975-0.58609 | -0.67800 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 8 | 6-2 (0.750) | 0 | -0.61785 | |
| Sportsbooks | 8 | 6-2 (0.750) | 0 | -0.62364 | |
| DRatings | 8 | 6-2 (0.750) | 0 | -0.64060 | -0.02274 -0.01696 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.