Upcoming Games for October 4, 2023
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (84-77) Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) | Braxton Garrett Aaron Nola | 41.6% 58.4% | +140 -145 +138 -147 | +1½-160 -1½+147 +1½-155 -1½+148 | 3.71 4.60 | 8.31 | o8-108 u8-105 o8-105 u8-105 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays Minnesota Twins | 47.7% 52.3% | +136 -143 +135 -140 | +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 0 2 | -0.54235-0.54782 | -0.64781 | |
| Texas Rangers Tampa Bay Rays | 46.4% 53.6% | +137 -145 +136 -141 | +1½-153 -1½+143 +1½-155 -1½+150 | 7 1 | -0.87659-0.86741 | -0.76895 | |
| Miami Marlins Philadelphia Phillies | 41.5% 58.5% | +141 -148 +148 -157 | +1½-150 -1½+145 +1½-155 -1½+141 | 1 4 | -0.52787-0.50687 | -0.53679 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Milwaukee Brewers | 37.6% 62.4% | +156 -163 +161 -170 | +1½-135 -1½+122 +1½-130 -1½+122 | 6 3 | -0.95034-0.97204 | -0.97944 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Minnesota Twins | 51.0% 49.0% | +115 -119 +112 -116 | +1½-191 -1½+173 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 1 3 | -0.61841-0.63038 | -0.71415 | |
| Texas Rangers Tampa Bay Rays | 45.0% 55.0% | +144 -153 +145 -155 | +1½-150 -1½+147 +1½-158 -1½+145 | 4 0 | -0.90646-0.91198 | -0.79949 | |
| Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals | 49.8% 50.2% | -114 +106 -115 +106 | -1½+142 +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-159 | 3 4 | -0.74068-0.74282 | -0.69013 | |
| Minnesota Twins Colorado Rockies | 64.0% 36.0% | -147 +141 -150 +143 | -1½-108 +1½-108 -1½-104 +1½-110 | 2 3 | -0.88965-0.89936 | -1.02104 | |
| San Diego Padres Chicago White Sox | 55.8% 44.2% | -190 +180 -200 +185 | -1½-133 +1½+125 -1½-135 +1½+130 | 2 1 | -0.43510-0.42286 | -0.58295 | |
| Houston Astros Arizona Diamondbacks | 52.4% 47.6% | -215 +197 -200 +197 | -1½-130 +1½+122 -1½-125 +1½+120 | 8 1 | -0.40099-0.40883 | -0.64561 | |
| New York Yankees Kansas City Royals | 55.9% 44.1% | -129 +123 -131 +122 | -1½+122 +1½-135 -1½+122 +1½-140 | 2 5 | -0.81369-0.81491 | -0.81823 | |
| Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners | 44.9% 55.1% | +105 -113 +110 -115 | +1½-200 -1½+180 +1½-195 -1½+183 | 0 1 | -0.65204-0.63673 | -0.59578 | |
| Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers | 46.9% 53.1% | +110 -116 +112 -115 | +1½-193 -1½+172 +1½-185 -1½+180 | 2 5 | -0.63482-0.63228 | -0.63220 | |
| Chicago Cubs Milwaukee Brewers | 48.6% 51.4% | +125 -134 +125 -130 | +1½-163 -1½+147 +1½-160 -1½+150 | 0 4 | -0.57442-0.58016 | -0.66464 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets | 53.9% 46.1% | +109 -116 +110 -118 | +1½-183 -1½+170 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 9 1 | -0.75256-0.75927 | -0.61804 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays | 44.4% 55.6% | -106 +100 -105 -105 | -1½+145 +1½-158 | 12 8 | -0.67889-0.69315 | -0.81121 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.64894 | |
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.64070 | |
| DRatings | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.65118 | -0.00225 -0.01048 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.