MLB Baseball Predictions


Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to gamble on baseball then I highly suggest reading my blog post: The Top 5 Online Sportsbooks for U.S. Players.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is only at Level 1, but our plan is to have this Level 3 ready by June 2018. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.

All upcoming MLB baseball predictions are listed below. There, you will find the odds of winning, predicted score and estimated money line. We hope you enjoy.

Today’s MLB Game Predictions – Sunday, April 22nd, 2018

Time Teams Prob Pitchers Lines – Updated 4/22 @ 11:17 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
Over/Under
1:05 PM Indians Kluber (2-1)
-255
-270
-250
o7½ -112
59.9%
3.64
6.64
Orioles Cashner (1-2)
+233
+225
+230
u7½ +102
40.1%
2.99
1:05 PM Blue Jays Garcia (2-0)
+206
+205
+220
o8½ +105
39.9%
4.18
9.30
Yankees Severino (3-1)
-223
-240
-230
u8½ -115
60.1%
5.12
1:10 PM Royals Skoglund (0-2)
+148
+144
+150
o9 +102
41.1%
4.75
10.4
Tigers Liriano (2-1)
-158
-168
-160
u9 -112
58.9%
5.67
1:10 PM Twins Hughes (0-0)
+115
+113
+115
o9 -105
49.6%
3.87
7.77
Rays Chirinos (0-1)
-125
-133
-125
u9 -105
50.4%
3.90
1:35 PM Mets Wheeler (1-1)
+121
+113
+120
o8½ -110
51.7%
4.89
9.62
Braves Foltynewicz (1-1)
-131
-133
-130
u8½ +100
48.3%
4.73
1:35 PM Pirates Williams (3-1)
+135
+128
+135
o8 -105
48.7%
4.61
9.35
Phillies Pivetta (1-0)
-145
-148
-145
u8 -105
51.3%
4.74
2:10 PM Astros McCullers (2-1)
-201
-210
-200
o8 -105
51.1%
4.31
8.52
White Sox Lopez (0-2)
+186
+180
+185
u8 -105
48.9%
4.21
2:10 PM Marlins Smith (0-2)
+162
+163
+162
o9 -109
38%
3.73
8.49
Brewers Guerra (1-0)
-172
-188
-172
u9 -101
62%
4.75
2:15 PM Reds Castillo (1-2)
+137
+138
+135
o7½ -105
34.3%
3.33
7.92
Cardinals Mikolas (2-0)
-147
-158
-145
u7½ -105
65.7%
4.58
3:05 PM Mariners TBD
-123
-130
-126
o10 -117
48.9%
5.30
10.7
Rangers Perez (1-2)
+113
+110
+116
u10 +107
51.1%
5.42
3:10 PM Cubs Quintana (1-1)
-125
-137
-131
o10½ +100
50.8%
4.37
8.68
Rockies Marquez (1-1)
+115
+117
+126
u10½ -110
49.2%
4.31
4:05 PM Red Sox Price (2-1)
-136
-144
-135
o8½ -117
56.2%
4.62
8.71
Athletics Mengden (2-2)
+126
+124
+125
u8½ +107
43.8%
4.09
4:07 PM Giants Cueto (1-0)
+102
-105
+102
o9 +102
45.8%
3.68
7.68
Angels Barria (1-0)
-112
-115
-112
u9 -112
54.2%
4.00
4:10 PM Padres Lucchesi (2-0)
+131
+135
+135
o7 -103
34%
3.32
7.92
D-backs Corbin (3-0)
-141
-155
-145
u7 -107
66%
4.59
8:05 PM Nationals Hellickson (0-0)
+166
+155
+167
o8 -105
42.7%
4.24
9.16
Dodgers Wood (0-2)
-176
-180
-177
u8 -105
57.3%
4.91


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Tomorrows’s MLB Game Predictions – Monday, April 23rd, 2018

Time (ET) Matchup Teams Prob Pitchers Money Line Prediction Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
6:40 PM Braves vs. Reds Braves McCarthy (3-0)
-129
55.4%
4.65
8.82
Reds Romano (0-2)
+119
44.6%
4.17
7:05 PM Indians vs. Orioles Indians Carrasco (3-0)
-149
59.1%
4.09
7.50
Orioles Gausman (1-1)
+139
40.9%
3.41
7:05 PM Twins vs. Yankees Twins Odorizzi (1-1)
-107
50.5%
4.80
9.54
Yankees TBD
-102
49.5%
4.74
8:05 PM Athletics vs. Rangers Athletics Cahill (1-0)
-107
50.7%
5.87
11.6
Rangers Moore (1-3)
-102
49.3%
5.79
8:10 PM Angels vs. Astros Angels TBD
-104
49.9%
4.08
8.18
Astros TBD
-105
50.1%
4.09
8:10 PM Mariners vs. White Sox Mariners Leake (2-1)
-153
59.8%
4.78
8.72
White Sox Gonzalez (0-3)
+143
40.2%
3.93
8:40 PM Padres vs. Rockies Padres Mitchell (0-2)
+159
37.9%
3.98
9.06
Rockies Bettis (3-0)
-169
62.1%
5.08
10:10 PM Marlins vs. Dodgers Marlins Garcia (1-0)
+135
41.5%
4.31
9.43
Dodgers TBD
-145
58.5%
5.11
10:15 PM Nationals vs. Giants Nationals TBD
-102
49.4%
4.54
9.14
Giants TBD
-107
50.6%
4.60

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Yesterday’s MLB Game Prediction Results

Date Teams OddsPortal ML DRatings Odds to Win Final Score OddsPortal Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
4/21 CIN -220 0.342 3 -0.40651 -0.41855
STL +190 0.658 4
4/21 PIT -173 0.365 2 -0.47725 -0.45413
PHI +158 0.635 6
4/21 MIA -195 0.395 5 -0.43833 -0.50253
MIL +175 0.605 6
4/21 NYM +148 0.565 3 -0.92377 -0.83241
ATL -158 0.435 4
4/21 CHC +114 0.496 2 -0.78145 -0.68518
COL -124 0.504 5
4/21 SD -164 0.311 2 -0.49864 -0.37251
ARI +149 0.689 6
4/21 WAS +103 0.567 0 -0.7309 -0.83702
LAD -113 0.433 4
4/21 TOR -158 0.526 1 -0.50587 -0.74655
NYY +148 0.474 9
4/21 KC -108 0.477 4 -0.6793 -0.64817
DET -102 0.523 12
4/21 CLE +175 0.625 4 -0.43833 -0.47
BAL -195 0.375 0
4/21 MIN -120 0.514 1 -0.62755 -0.72155
TB +110 0.486 10
4/21 HOU +185 0.602 10 -0.41737 -0.5075
CHW -210 0.398 1
4/21 SEA +148 0.532 9 -0.50114 -0.63111
TEX -163 0.468 7
4/21 BOS +145 0.585 0 -0.91936 -0.87948
OAK -160 0.415 3
4/21 SF -220 0.342 3 -0.40651 -0.41855
LAA +190 0.658 4

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MLB Season Prediction Results

2018
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 299 176 115 8 0.602 -0.66502
DRatings 299 175 123 1 0.587 -0.66831
Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 15 11 4 0 0.733 -0.58349
DRatings 15 10 5 0 0.667 -0.60835
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 88 53 32 3 0.619 -0.64196
DRatings 88 52 35 1 0.597 -0.64233
Last Two Weeks
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 178 107 66 5 0.615 -0.65159
DRatings 178 107 70 1 0.604 -0.64673