MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 26, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (42-63)
Los Angeles Angels (45-58)
Paul Blackburn
Carson Fulmer
51.2%
48.8%
+105
-113
+104
-109


4.23
4.10
8.33
o9½-103
u9½-112
o9½+100
u9½-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50)
Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50)
Luis Ortiz
Zac Gallen
36.2%
63.8%
+151
-160
+152
-162
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
3.51
4.96
8.47
o7½-115
u8+102
o8½+105
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (38-65)
San Francisco Giants (49-55)
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Harrison
33.4%
66.6%
+151
-160
+155
-165
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
3.67
5.40
9.07
o7½-115
u8-113
o8+105
u7½+100
Games for Jul 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota Twins (56-45)
Detroit Tigers (51-53)
57.9%
42.1%
-177
+170
-175
+165
-1½-105
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½-105
8.58
o7½-110
u7½-103
o7½-105
u7½+100
9th
BOT
9
3
Cincinnati Reds (49-53)
Tampa Bay Rays (52-51)
53.3%
46.7%
-104
-104
-102
-105
+1½-210
-1½+190

7.25
o7½+105
u7½-113
o7½+110
u7½-120
10th
TOP
3
2
San Diego Padres (55-50)
Baltimore Orioles (61-41)
37.3%
62.7%
+180
-187
+176
-185
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+105
9.01
o9+102
u9-110
o9+110
u9-115
8th
TOP
4
2
Texas Rangers (51-52)
Toronto Blue Jays (46-56)
47.0%
53.0%
+108
-115
+107
-115
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
8.51
o8-103
u8-108
o8-105
u8-105
7th
BOT
5
4
Atlanta Braves (54-47)
New York Mets (54-48)
47.5%
52.5%
+118
-125
+119
-126
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
7.25
o7½-110
u7½+102
o7½-110
u7½-105
7th
BOT
3
8
New York Yankees (60-44)
Boston Red Sox (54-47)
54.5%
45.5%
-117
+108
-115
+107
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-150
9.45
o9½-103
u9½-113
o9½+100
u9½-110
7th
TOP
3
4
Miami Marlins (37-66)
Milwaukee Brewers (59-43)
30.9%
69.1%
+205
-221
+205
-227
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
7.53
o7½+105
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-110
4th
BOT
5
1
Seattle Mariners (53-51)
Chicago White Sox (27-78)
62.9%
37.1%
-167
+161
-162
+162
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
7.71
o7-120
u7½-120
o7-115
u7+105
5th
TOP
10
0
Los Angeles Dodgers (62-42)
Houston Astros (53-49)
46.1%
53.9%
+124
-131
+129
-130
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
8.24
o8-108
u8-108
o8-110
u8-105
5th
TOP
0
4
Chicago Cubs (49-55)
Kansas City Royals (56-47)
39.3%
60.7%
+134
-140
+134
-142
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-154
-1½+135
9.21
o9-105
u9-108
o8½-115
u9-110
5th
BOT
0
0
Washington Nationals (47-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (53-49)
38.6%
61.4%
+149
-158
+155
-158
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
7.32
o7½+103
u7½-115
o7½+105
u7½-105
4th
BOT
3
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Philadelphia Phillies
42.2%
57.8%
+172
-182
+168
-180
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-129
-1½+111
3
1
-1.01357-1.00169-0.86353
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
47.2%
52.8%
+101
-110
+100
-105
+1½-192
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+173
6
5
-0.71924-0.70528-0.75107
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
58.8%
41.2%
-112
+107
-110
+108
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+165
+1½-165
2
3
-0.73888-0.73693-0.88731
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.2%
59.8%
+112
-120
+115
-118
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
6
-0.62315-0.62019-0.51448
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
51.2%
48.8%
+100
-110
+107
-107

-1½+170
+1½-180
13
0
-0.71668-0.72755-0.66896
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
30.7%
69.3%
+214
-230
+220
-235
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
1
2
-0.37634-0.36844-0.36704
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
42.2%
57.8%
+133
-141
+135
-142
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+143
3
0
-0.86003-0.86664-0.86294
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
63.6%
36.4%
-195
+183
-201
+190
-1½-128
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
7
6
-0.42825-0.41633-0.45303
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
60.4%
39.6%
-146
+139
-150
+142
-1½+100
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
0
-0.53357-0.52396-0.50350
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.6%
66.4%
+174
-184
+175
-180
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+112
8
3
-1.02074-1.01807-1.08981
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
45.5%
54.5%
+110
-118
+112
-120
+1½-178
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+172
8
6
-0.75927-0.76841-0.78810
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
29.2%
70.8%
+238
-268
+240
-270
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+127
-1½-135
2
10
-0.34093-0.33865-0.34487
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
53.2%
46.8%
-115
+106
-112
+104
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+152
+1½-160
3
6
-0.74282-0.73126-0.75830
New York Mets
New York Yankees
43.5%
56.5%
+154
-162
+158
-161
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
3
-0.94412-0.95223-0.83179
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
51.1%
48.9%
-106
-102
-102
-102

-1½+155
+1½-170
12
3
-0.68377-0.69315-0.67154
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
58.1%
41.9%
-134
+126
-133
+127
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
3
6
-0.83037-0.83105-0.87062
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-0.86640 
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-0.85348 
DRatings20-2 (0.000)0-0.80730
0.05911
0.04618

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.