Upcoming Games for September 28, 2022
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds (60-94) Pittsburgh Pirates (57-97) | Luis Cessa Bryse Wilson | 50.9% 49.1% | +105 -112 +115 -112 | +1½-195 -1½+173 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4.43 4.34 | 8.77 | o8-115 u8+102 o8-115 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Tampa Bay Rays (84-69) Cleveland Guardians (86-67) | Tyler Glasnow Triston McKenzie | 47.6% 52.4% | +111 -120 +115 -120 | +1½-215 -1½+189 +1½-210 -1½+185 | 3.49 3.73 | 7.22 | o6½-118 u7-120 o6½-110 u6½-105 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (63-90) Detroit Tigers (60-92) | Daniel Lynch Matt Manning | 49.1% 50.9% | +121 -130 +120 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 4.30 4.40 | 8.70 | o8+105 u7½+102 o8+100 u8-120 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (96-58) Washington Nationals (53-100) | Jake Odorizzi Josiah Gray | 57.7% 42.3% | -202 +188 -210 +195 | -1½-128 +1½+112 -1½-130 +1½+112 | 4.81 3.99 | 8.80 | o8½-113 u8½+100 o8½-120 u8½+100 | |||
| New York Yankees (94-59) Toronto Blue Jays (87-67) | Gerrit Cole Mitch White | 56.7% 43.3% | -128 +120 -115 +105 | -1½+135 +1½-148 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 4.23 3.52 | 7.75 | o7½-118 u7½+102 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Miami Marlins (63-90) New York Mets (97-57) | Jesus Luzardo Taijuan Walker | 37.5% 62.5% | +168 -180 +175 -184 | +1½-125 -1½+112 +1½-130 -1½+116 | 3.19 4.49 | 7.68 | o7-103 u7-113 o7-105 u7-105 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (80-73) Boston Red Sox (72-81) | Dean Kremer Rich Hill | 48.5% 51.5% | +101 -109 +100 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+173 +1½-197 -1½+175 | 4.43 4.59 | 9.02 | o9-108 u9-108 o9-105 u9-110 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (83-69) Chicago Cubs (67-86) | Aaron Nola Hayden Wesneski | 59.9% 40.1% | -177 +166 -174 +165 | -1½-115 +1½-105 -1½-110 +1½-108 | 4.10 3.06 | 7.16 | o8-110 u8-110 o7-120 u7+100 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| St. Louis Cardinals (89-65) Milwaukee Brewers (82-71) | Jose Quintana Brandon Woodruff | 47.9% 52.1% | +137 -147 +122 -145 | +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+155 | 3.97 4.18 | 8.15 | o7-118 u7+102 o7-110 u7-110 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (76-77) Minnesota Twins (74-79) | Johnny Cueto Josh Winder | 50.3% 49.7% | -109 +103 -108 +102 | -1½+152 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 3.96 3.92 | 7.88 | o7-120 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
| Arizona Diamondbacks (71-83) Houston Astros (101-53) | Zac Gallen Justin Verlander | 33.7% 66.3% | +166 -180 +165 -180 | +1½-135 -1½+127 +1½-143 -1½+125 | 2.74 4.42 | 7.16 | o6½-110 u6½-103 o6½-105 u6½-105 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (56-97) Los Angeles Angels (67-86) | Adrian Martinez Michael Lorenzen | 38.4% 61.6% | +166 -180 +165 -176 | +1½-125 -1½+112 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 3.53 4.74 | 8.27 | o8½-102 u8½-113 o8½-105 u8½+100 | |||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (106-47) San Diego Padres (85-68) | Julio Urias Joe Musgrove | 52.1% 47.9% | -140 +130 -133 +130 | -1½+127 +1½-142 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 4.05 3.84 | 7.89 | o7½+102 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Texas Rangers (65-87) Seattle Mariners (83-69) | Martin Perez George Kirby | 43.9% 56.1% | +134 -160 +146 -160 | +1½-160 -1½+135 +1½-159 -1½+140 | 3.36 4.00 | 7.36 | o7-110 u7-110 o7+100 u7-120 | |||
| Colorado Rockies (65-88) San Francisco Giants (75-78) | Jose Urena Undecided Undecided | 38.1% 61.9% | 3.59 4.84 | 8.43 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants | 40.6% 59.4% | +181 -194 +185 -195 | +1½-122 -1½+107 +1½-120 -1½+115 | 2 5 | -0.43134-0.42580 | -0.52108 | |
| Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners | 37.7% 62.3% | +178 -191 +181 -190 | +1½-118 -1½+105 +1½-115 -1½+107 | 5 0 | -1.03840-1.04418 | -0.97670 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres | 51.6% 48.4% | +100 -108 +100 -102 | -1½+153 +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 3 4 | -0.67446-0.68824 | -0.72542 | |
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels | 40.0% 60.0% | +180 -192 +183 -200 | +1½-118 -1½+102 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 3 4 | -0.43383-0.42529 | -0.51068 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Houston Astros | 35.5% 64.5% | +187 -203 +189 -200 | +1½-115 -1½+102 +1½+105 -1½-103 | 2 10 | -0.41875-0.41806 | -0.43897 | |
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 49.1% 50.9% | -119 +111 -118 +112 | -1½+143 +1½-158 -1½+145 +1½-159 | 0 4 | -0.76385-0.76430 | -0.67539 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 9-5 (0.633) | 1 | -0.69110 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.68686 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68417 | 0.00693 0.00268 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.