Upcoming Games for August 13, 2020
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best Line | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | Bet Value | More Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals (6-7) New York Mets (7-11) | Austin Voth David Peterson | 54.1% 45.9% | +116 -124 +115 -122 | 4.21 3.78 | 8.00 | o9-110 u9-110 o9-110 u9-110 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (8-7) Philadelphia Phillies (5-7) | Tom Eshelman Jake Arrieta | 43.6% 56.4% | +175 -185 +172 -185 | 4.53 5.21 | 9.74 | o9½-115 u9½-105 o10+100 u10-115 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (10-8) Boston Red Sox (6-11) | Tyler Glasnow Kyle Hart | 55.6% 44.4% | -152 +143 -147 +141 | 5.24 4.66 | 9.90 | o9½+104 u9½-120 o9½+100 u9½-120 | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates (3-13) Cincinnati Reds (8-9) | Trevor Williams Anthony DeSclafani | 36.6% 63.4% | +160 -170 +167 -174 | 3.79 5.20 | 8.99 | o9-120 u9½-120 o9-120 u9+100 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (7-8) Chicago Cubs (11-3) | Brett Anderson Yu Darvish | 41.4% 58.6% | +167 -174 +164 -176 | 3.86 4.76 | 8.62 | ||||
| Postponed | St. Louis Cardinals (2-3) Chicago White Sox (9-9) | Unknown Unknown | 46.0% 54.0% | 4.47 4.89 | 9.37 | ||||
| San Diego Padres (11-7) Los Angeles Dodgers (11-7) | Chris Paddack Julio Urias | 43.2% 56.8% | +127 -135 +130 -135 | 3.37 4.08 | 7.45 | o8½-105 u8½-105 o8½-105 u8½-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best Line | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers | 38.7% 61.3% | +150 -157 +158 -161 | 0 6 | -0.50178-0.48673 | -0.48890 | |
| Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers | 42.9% 57.1% | +108 -117 +112 -118 | 4 7 | -0.63639-0.62588 | -0.56021 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox | 57.1% 42.9% | -146 +136 -143 +136 | 9 5 | -0.53635-0.54065 | -0.56021 | |
| San Francisco Giants Houston Astros | 35.0% 65.0% | +177 -187 +180 -188 | 1 5 | -0.43807-0.43414 | -0.43054 | |
| Minnesota Twins Milwaukee Brewers | 54.7% 45.3% | -132 +125 -131 +125 | 12 2 | -0.57579-0.57745 | -0.60334 | |
| Washington Nationals New York Mets | 48.3% 51.7% | +116 -126 +117 -124 | 6 11 | -0.60279-0.60446 | -0.65962 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | Log Loss | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.64838 | |
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.65124 | |
| DRatings | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.65276 | -0.00438 -0.00152 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.