MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 13, 2021

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
Line
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco Giants (39-23)
Washington Nationals (25-34)
Johnny Cueto
Joe Ross
53.5%
46.5%

-128
+118
4.63
4.27
8.90

o8½-110
u8½-110
New York Yankees (33-30)
Philadelphia Phillies (30-31)
Domingo German
Aaron Nola
49.4%
50.6%
+116
-124
+118
-122
4.16
4.22
8.38
o8½+105
u8+100
o8½-100
u8½-115
San Diego Padres (37-28)
New York Mets (31-24)
Chris Paddack
Joey Lucchesi
50.4%
49.6%
-122
+112
-126
+120
4.45
4.41
8.86
o8+100
u8-115
o7½-120
u8-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (29-32)
Miami Marlins (28-35)
Drew Smyly
Pablo Lopez
49.7%
50.3%
+118
-128
+121
-127
4.22
4.25
8.47
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-110
Colorado Rockies (25-39)
Cincinnati Reds (30-31)
Antonio Senzatela
Tony Santillan
39.9%
60.1%
+140
-150
+145
-148
3.63
4.70
8.33
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
All Bet Values Active
Toronto Blue Jays (31-30)
Boston Red Sox (39-25)
Robbie Ray
Martin Perez
49.1%
50.9%
-115
+105
-111
+108
4.44
4.53
8.97
o10-105
u10-110
o10+100
u10-102
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (39-24)
Detroit Tigers (26-37)
Carlos Rodon
Kyle Funkhouser
66.3%
33.7%

-230
+208
4.78
3.09
7.87

o8½-120
u9-110
Seattle Mariners (31-34)
Cleveland Indians (33-27)
Logan Gilbert
Shane Bieber
35.1%
64.9%
+207
-229
+210
-230
2.93
4.48
7.41
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-102
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (22-40)
Tampa Bay Rays (40-24)
Bruce Zimmerman
Michael Wacha
37.7%
62.3%

+159
-168
3.80
5.08
8.88

o8-105
u8-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (23-39)
Milwaukee Brewers (36-27)
Wil Crowe
Adrian Houser
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-200
+187
-200
3.36
4.85
8.21
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Houston Astros (36-27)
Minnesota Twins (25-38)
Framber Valdez
Michael Pineda
51.1%
48.9%
-140
+130
-132
+130
4.45
4.34
8.79
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (30-32)
Oakland Athletics (38-27)
Kris Bubic
Chris Bassitt
41.0%
59.0%
+166
-181
+175
-179
3.50
4.45
7.95
o8½+105
u8½-120
o8-115
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (24-40)
Los Angeles Dodgers (38-25)
Dane Dunning
Walker Buehler
28.3%
71.7%
+224
-250
+239
-245
3.01
5.26
8.27
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (31-32)
Arizona Diamondbacks (20-44)
Patrick Sandoval
Jon Duplantier
57.7%
42.3%
-126
+116
-126
+118
5.25
4.45
9.70
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-105
St. Louis Cardinals (32-31)
Chicago Cubs (36-27)
Carlos Martinez
Zach Davies
43.1%
56.9%
+125
-135
+130
-135
3.67
4.39
8.06
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Games for Jun 12, 2021
Games for Jun 14, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Texas Rangers (24-40)
Los Angeles Dodgers (38-25)
28.8%
71.2%
+233
-250
+245
-256
8.24
o8-111
u8-105
o8-105
u8-105
FINAL
FINAL
12
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
52.0%
48.0%
-113
+104
-107
+105
2
5
-0.73345-0.72256-0.73357
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
53.1%
46.9%
-113
+152
-113
+108
2
1
-0.55848-0.64512-0.63288
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
40.2%
59.8%
+157
-171
+163
-167
2
7
-0.48036-0.47493-0.51468
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.6%
43.4%
-115
+106
-115
+110
8
7
-0.64582-0.63673-0.56937
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians
44.2%
55.8%
+105
-113
+107
-114
4
5
-0.65204-0.64546-0.58288
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
33.1%
66.9%
+200
-220
+195
-210
4
5
-0.39531-0.40573-0.40193
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.63745 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64015 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.60513
0.03232
0.03502

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.