MLB Baseball Predictions


Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to gamble on baseball then I highly suggest reading my blog post: The Top 5 Online Sportsbooks for U.S. Players.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.

All upcoming MLB baseball predictions are listed below. There, you will find the odds of winning, predicted score and estimated money line. We hope you enjoy.

Today’s MLB Game Predictions – Friday, June 22nd, 2018

Time Teams Prob Pitchers Lines – Updated 6/22 @ 6:26 pm Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
Over/Under
4:10 PM Athletics Sean Manaea
-127
-136
-125
o9 -110
55.8%
4.26
8.06
White Sox James Shields
+117
+116
+115
u9 +100
44.2%
3.79
7:05 PM Phillies Zach Eflin
+139
+134
+142
o8½ -104
41%
3.35
7.37
Nationals Tanner Roark
-149
-154
-152
u8½ -106
59%
4.01
7:05 PM Phillies Zach Eflin
+150
+140
+150
o8½ +100
39.8%
3.39
7.56
Nationals Tanner Roark
-160
-160
-160
u8½ -110
60.2%
4.17
7:05 PM D-backs Patrick Corbin
-123
-133
-120
o7½ +105
47.4%
3.50
7.19
Pirates Ivan Nova
+113
+113
+110
u7½ -115
52.6%
3.69
7:10 PM Cubs Jose Quintana
-138
-150
-138
o8½ -108
58.3%
4.55
8.40
Reds Luis Castillo
+128
+130
+128
u8½ -102
41.7%
3.85
7:10 PM Yankees CC Sabathia
-153
-168
-153
o7½ -115
53.5%
3.51
6.80
Rays Ryne Stanek
+143
+144
+143
u7½ +105
46.5%
3.28
7:10 PM Mariners Wade LeBlanc
+126
+122
+125
o9½ -105
47.9%
3.87
7.90
Red Sox Steven Wright
-136
-142
-135
u9½ -105
52.1%
4.03
7:10 PM Tigers Mike Fiers
+210
+195
+205
o9½ +100
34.1%
3.92
9.33
Indians Shane Bieber
-228
-230
-225
u9½ -110
65.9%
5.40
7:10 PM Dodgers Alex Wood
-145
-155
-143
o7½ -110
50.4%
4.21
8.40
Mets Zack Wheeler
+135
+135
+133
u7½ +100
49.6%
4.18
7:35 PM Orioles Alex Cobb
+167
+165
+173
o8½ +100
33.2%
3.21
7.71
Braves Sean Newcomb
-177
-190
-183
u8½ -110
66.8%
4.50
8:10 PM Royals Danny Duffy
+295
+280
+305
o8½ +100
29.7%
2.92
7.32
Astros Dallas Keuchel
-335
-360
-335
u8½ -110
70.3%
4.40
8:10 PM Athletics Chris Bassitt
-134
-135
-128
o9 -105
57.8%
4.61
8.56
White Sox Lucas Giolito
+124
+115
+118
u9 -105
42.2%
3.94
8:10 PM Rangers Mike Minor
-108
-107
-108
o9 -105
43.4%
3.54
7.58
Twins Fernando Romero
-102
-113
-102
u9 -105
56.6%
4.04
8:10 PM Cardinals Jack Flaherty
+106
+103
+107
o8 -110
45.2%
3.54
7.44
Brewers Junior Guerra
-116
-123
-117
u8 +100
54.8%
3.89
8:40 PM Marlins Wei-Yin Chen
+199
+195
+205
o11 -103
36.9%
4.21
9.70
Rockies Jon Gray
-215
-230
-225
u11 -107
63.1%
5.48
10:07 PM Blue Jays Marco Estrada
+135
+133
+140
o8½ +100
37.7%
3.77
8.61
Angels Andrew Heaney
-145
-153
-150
u8½ -110
62.3%
4.83
10:15 PM Padres Clayton Richard
+119
+119
+123
o7½ -104
41.8%
3.88
8.46
Giants Chris Stratton
-129
-139
-133
u7½ -106
58.2%
4.57

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Today’s MLB Picks and Game Analysis

We are very close to unveiling our bet values for Major League Baseball games. Below are a few advanced metrics on the games played today.

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox Game Analysis

Time: 4:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Oakland Athletics 38-36 15 1.18 4.49 4.43 Matchup and Bet Value
Chicago White Sox 24-48 30 -14.31 3.75 5.1
Starting Pitchers: Sean Manaea OAK (6-6 3.56 ERA), James Shields CHW (2-8 4.63 ERA)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Game Analysis

Time: 7:05 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Philadelphia Phillies 39-33 14 4.14 4.29 4.21 Matchup and Bet Value
Washington Nationals 39-32 7 -3.85 4.28 3.61
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin PHI (4-2 3.43 ERA), Tanner Roark WAS (3-7 3.87 ERA)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Game Analysis

Time: 7:05 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Arizona Diamondbacks 41-33 12 8.66 4.49 3.77 Matchup and Bet Value
Pittsburgh Pirates 35-38 19 -4.76 4.51 4.66
Starting Pitchers: Patrick Corbin ARI (6-3 3.48 ERA), Ivan Nova PIT (4-5 4.42 ERA)

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Game Analysis

Time: 7:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Chicago Cubs 42-30 4 5.9 4.83 3.51 Matchup and Bet Value
Cincinnati Reds 29-45 25 -9.17 4.34 5.11
Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana CHC (6-5 4.06 ERA), Luis Castillo CIN (4-8 5.77 ERA)

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Game Analysis

Time: 7:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
New York Yankees 50-21 1 10.93 5.32 3.8 Matchup and Bet Value
Tampa Bay Rays 34-40 22 -1.41 3.88 4.11
Starting Pitchers: CC Sabathia NYY (4-2 3.3 ERA), Ryne Stanek TB (1-1 2.21 ERA)

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Game Analysis

Time: 7:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Seattle Mariners 46-29 6 14.85 4.33 4.15 Matchup and Bet Value
Boston Red Sox 50-26 3 8.83 5.04 3.62
Starting Pitchers: Wade LeBlanc SEA (3-0 2.63 ERA), Steven Wright BOS (2-1 1.23 ERA)

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Game Analysis

Time: 7:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Detroit Tigers 36-39 26 8.6 4.17 4.52 Matchup and Bet Value
Cleveland Indians 40-33 5 -9.3 4.9 4.26
Starting Pitchers: Mike Fiers DET (5-3 4.09 ERA), Shane Bieber CLE (1-0 3.97 ERA)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Game Analysis

Time: 7:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Los Angeles Dodgers 37-35 9 -8 4.65 3.97 Matchup and Bet Value
New York Mets 30-41 21 -7.92 3.87 4.58
Starting Pitchers: Alex Wood LAD (2-5 4.22 ERA), Zack Wheeler NYM (2-5 4.82 ERA)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves Game Analysis

Time: 7:35 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Baltimore Orioles 21-52 28 -28.58 3.56 5.12 Matchup and Bet Value
Atlanta Braves 43-30 10 15.32 4.92 3.92
Starting Pitchers: Alex Cobb BAL (2-9 7.14 ERA), Sean Newcomb ATL (8-2 2.7 ERA)

Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros Game Analysis

Time: 8:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Kansas City Royals 22-52 29 -23.23 3.62 5.55 Matchup and Bet Value
Houston Astros 50-26 2 1.99 5.18 3.07
Starting Pitchers: Danny Duffy KC (3-7 5.55 ERA), Dallas Keuchel HOU (4-8 4.15 ERA)

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox Game Analysis

Time: 8:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Oakland Athletics 38-36 15 1.18 4.49 4.43 Matchup and Bet Value
Chicago White Sox 24-48 30 -14.31 3.75 5.1
Starting Pitchers: Chris Bassitt OAK (0-2 2.45 ERA), Lucas Giolito CHW (4-7 7.19 ERA)

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Game Analysis

Time: 8:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Texas Rangers 32-44 23 -2.33 4.32 5.25 Matchup and Bet Value
Minnesota Twins 32-38 20 -4.39 4.26 4.41
Starting Pitchers: Mike Minor TEX (4-4 5.35 ERA), Fernando Romero MIN (3-2 4.17 ERA)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Analysis

Time: 8:10 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
St. Louis Cardinals 29-24 13 -15.01 4.32 4.24 Matchup and Bet Value
Milwaukee Brewers 44-30 11 13.43 4.43 3.66
Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty STL (3-2 2.66 ERA), Junior Guerra MIL (3-5 2.89 ERA)

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Game Analysis

Time: 8:40 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Miami Marlins 29-46 27 -2.38 3.55 5.04 Matchup and Bet Value
Colorado Rockies 37-38 17 0.71 4.71 5.35
Starting Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen MIA (2-3 5.91 ERA), Jon Gray COL (6-7 5.89 ERA)

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels Game Analysis

Time: 10:07 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
Toronto Blue Jays 34-39 16 -6.33 4.49 4.79 Matchup and Bet Value
Los Angeles Angels 40-35 8 -3 4.6 4.19
Starting Pitchers: Marco Estrada TOR (4-6 4.66 ERA), Andrew Heaney LAA (3-5 3.64 ERA)

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Game Analysis

Time: 10:15 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Runs PG Opp Runs PG More Info
San Diego Padres 34-43 24 -1.98 3.75 4.51 Matchup and Bet Value
San Francisco Giants 38-38 18 6.01 4.17 4.47
Starting Pitchers: Clayton Richard SD (6-6 4.31 ERA), Chris Stratton SF (8-4 4.22 ERA)


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Tomorrows’s MLB Game Predictions – Saturday, June 23rd, 2018

Time (ET) Matchup Teams Prob Pitchers Money Line Prediction Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Runs
2:10 PM Athletics vs. White Sox Athletics Daniel Mengden
-135
56.5%
4.34
8.16
White Sox Dylan Covey
+125
43.5%
3.81
2:10 PM Rangers vs. Twins Rangers Yovani Gallardo
+125
43.3%
3.82
8.20
Twins Jake Odorizzi
-135
56.7%
4.37
3:10 PM Marlins vs. Rockies Marlins Trevor Richards
+156
38.3%
4.30
9.74
Rockies Tyler Anderson
-166
61.7%
5.44
4:05 PM Phillies vs. Nationals Phillies Aaron Nola
+108
46.9%
3.40
7.02
Nationals Erick Fedde
-118
53.1%
3.62
4:05 PM Padres vs. Giants Padres Jordan Lyles
+138
41.1%
4.18
9.19
Giants Andrew Suarez
-148
58.9%
5.00
4:05 PM D-backs vs. Pirates D-backs Zack Greinke
+100
48.7%
3.49
7.07
Pirates Joe Musgrove
-110
51.3%
3.58
4:10 PM Cardinals vs. Brewers Cardinals Miles Mikolas
+103
47.9%
3.59
7.35
Brewers Chase Anderson
-113
52.1%
3.75
4:10 PM Cubs vs. Reds Cubs Undecided
-131
55.8%
4.82
9.12
Reds Anthony DeSclafani
+121
44.2%
4.29
4:10 PM Yankees vs. Rays Yankees Sonny Gray
-152
59.5%
4.34
7.93
Rays Wilmer Font
+142
40.5%
3.59
4:10 PM Orioles vs. Braves Orioles Dylan Bundy
+153
38.7%
3.40
7.66
Braves Julio Teheran
-163
61.3%
4.26
6:10 PM Tigers vs. Indians Tigers Undecided
+220
30.8%
3.72
9.22
Indians Trevor Bauer
-230
69.2%
5.50
7:15 PM Dodgers vs. Mets Dodgers Caleb Ferguson
+129
42.6%
3.36
7.27
Mets Jacob deGrom
-139
57.4%
3.90
7:15 PM Mariners vs. Red Sox Mariners Mike Leake
+168
36.5%
3.63
8.39
Red Sox Eduardo Rodriguez
-178
63.5%
4.76
7:15 PM Royals vs. Astros Royals Ian Kennedy
+280
26%
2.92
7.69
Astros Lance McCullers
-290
74%
4.76
9:07 PM Blue Jays vs. Angels Blue Jays Marcus Stroman
+149
39.3%
3.72
8.34
Angels Andrew Heaney
-159
60.7%
4.61

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Yesterday’s MLB Game Prediction Results

Date Teams OddsPortal ML DRatings Odds to Win Final Score OddsPortal Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
6/21 NYM -154 0.433 4 -0.51972 -0.5674
COL +142 0.567 6
6/21 ARI -118 0.465 9 -0.75418 -0.76572
PIT +108 0.535 3
6/21 CHC +166 0.582 2 -0.9982 -0.87227
CIN -181 0.418 6
6/21 STL -114 0.483 3 -0.65009 -0.65971
MIL +105 0.517 11
6/21 SD -162 0.403 0 -0.50048 -0.51584
SF +149 0.597 3
6/21 SEA -189 0.309 3 -0.44608 -0.36962
NYY +172 0.691 4
6/21 BOS +116 0.539 9 -0.60453 -0.61804
MIN -126 0.461 2
6/21 TOR -135 0.376 5 -0.57305 -0.4716
LAA +125 0.624 8
6/21 BAL -274 0.298 2 -0.33253 -0.35382
WAS +246 0.702 4

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MLB Season Prediction Results

2018
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 1104 631 456 17 0.579 -0.6734
DRatings 1104 619 480 5 0.563 -0.68005
Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 9 7 2 0 0.778 -0.59765
DRatings 9 7 2 0 0.778 -0.57711
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 92 53 38 1 0.582 -0.66603
DRatings 92 51 40 1 0.56 -0.66582
Last Two Weeks
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 184 105 77 2 0.576 -0.67008
DRatings 184 105 78 1 0.573 -0.67005