NHL Hockey Predictions


All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Thursday, October 17th, 2019

Date Time Teams Lines – Updated 10/17 @ 9:14 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
10/17 7:00 pm Tampa Bay
+107
+105
+110
41.5%
2.84
6.21
Boston
-118
-125
-120
58.5%
3.37
10/17 7:00 pm Minnesota
+137
+135
+140
35.7%
2.46
5.75
Montreal
-151
-155
-150
64.3%
3.29
10/17 7:00 pm NY Rangers
+108
+105
+110
47.9%
2.97
6.07
New Jersey
-119
-125
-120
52.1%
3.09
10/17 8:00 pm Vancouver
+173
+165
+167
30.8%
2.14
5.31
St Louis
-193
-190
-178
69.2%
3.16
10/17 8:00 pm NY Islanders
+115
+110
+115
47.3%
2.64
5.43
Winnipeg
-127
-130
-125
52.7%
2.78
10/17 9:00 pm Detroit
+205
+200
+215
30.4%
2.47
6.15
Calgary
-230
-240
-235
69.6%
3.68
10/17 10:00 pm Nashville
-120
-125
-120
50.9%
2.33
4.62
Arizona
+109
+105
+110
49.1%
2.29
10/17 10:00 pm Ottawa
+252
+250
+265
21.9%
2.30
6.40
Vegas
-285
-300
-295
78.1%
4.10
10/17 10:30 pm Buffalo
+109
+100
+115
45.1%
2.97
6.25
Los Angeles
-120
-120
-125
54.9%
3.27

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams SB Consensus DRatings to Win Final Score SB Consensus Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
10/16 TOR +115 0.423 2 -0.60825 -0.54991
WAS -125 0.577 4
10/16 COL -103 0.449 2 -0.6839 -0.59602
PIT -107 0.551 3
10/16 DAL -110 0.425 2 -0.71668 -0.55339
CBJ +100 0.575 3
10/16 PHI +118 0.364 3 -0.59723 -0.45256
EDM -128 0.636 6
10/16 BUF +120 0.414 2 -0.59011 -0.53444
ANA -130 0.586 5
10/16 CAR +120 0.452 2 -0.59011 -0.60148
SJS -130 0.548 5

The table above lists how our projections have done against the sportsbook consensus. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 6 5 1 0 0.833 -0.63105
DRatings 6 6 0 0 1 -0.54797
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 54 32 22 0 0.593 -0.67283
DRatings 54 36 18 0 0.667 -0.63873
Last Month
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 97 57 40 0 0.588 -0.68018
DRatings 97 59 38 0 0.608 -0.6686
2018-2019
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 97 57 40 0 0.588 -0.68018
DRatings 97 59 38 0 0.608 -0.6686
All Time
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 1452 851 575 26 0.595 -0.67335
DRatings 1452 833 615 4 0.575 -0.67701