NHL Hockey Predictions


All of today’s NHL hockey predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Monday, April 23rd, 2018

Date Time Teams Lines – Updated 4/22 @ 10:10 pm Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
4/23 7:00 pm Boston
-117
-130
-120
47.9%
2.95
6.02
Toronto
+106
+110
+110
52.1%
3.07
4/23 7:35 pm Washington
-108
-115
-110
46%
2.82
5.88
Columbus
-102
-105
+100
54%
3.06

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

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Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis

Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. Games with an orange check mark have significant bet value on one or more of the money line, puck line and over/under.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Game Analysis

Time: 7:00 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Goals PG Opp Goals PG More Info
Boston Bruins 52-21-12 3 -9.06 3.08 2.52 Matchup and Bet Value
Toronto Maple Leafs 50-27-8 8 3.51 3.23 2.7
Starting Goalies: T Rask (BOS) – Record: 34-14-5, F Andersen (TOR) – Record: 38-21-5

Washington Capitals vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Game Analysis

Time: 7:35 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Goals PG Opp Goals PG More Info
Washington Capitals 49-26-9 9 4.87 2.97 2.89 Matchup and Bet Value
Columbus Blue Jackets 47-30-7 10 -6.9 2.87 2.68
Starting Goalies: B Holtby (WAS) – Record: 34-16-4, S Bobrovsky (CBJ) – Record: 37-22-6

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Tomorrow’s NHL Game Predictions – Tuesday, April 24th, 2018

Date Matchup Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
Game analysis not available yet.

Tomorrow’s game projections are simply listed with the odds for each team to win and score projections. We do not post the lines for these games because in most cases the lines aren’t out yet. These numbers may change on game day as we have more information about starting goalies, injuries, etc.


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Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams DRatings Odds to Win Final Score GTBets Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
4/22 PIT -169 0.511 8 -0.49739 -0.67139
PHI +147 0.489 5
4/22 NSH -189 0.635 5 -0.46686 -0.45413
COL +157 0.365 0

The table above lists how our projections have done against GTBets (which is representative of most sportsbooks). Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

2017-2018 Season
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 1311 775 510 26 0.601 -0.66727
DRatings 1311 755 552 4 0.577 -0.67303
Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 2 2 0 0 1 -0.48212
DRatings 2 2 0 0 1 -0.56276
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 21 13 8 0 0.619 -0.68674
DRatings 21 10 11 0 0.476 -0.7112
Last Two Weeks
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 40 25 15 0 0.625 -0.65268
DRatings 40 21 19 0 0.525 -0.66654

NHL Playoff Probabilities

Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.

First Round Playoff Series

(1) Tampa Bay vs. (WC2) New Jersey

Tampa Bay has won the series 4-1.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
1 Tampa Bay 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
WC2 New Jersey 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

(2) Boston vs. (3) Toronto

Boston leads the series 3 to 2.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
2 Boston 0% 0% 45% 34% 79%
3 Toronto 0% 0% 0% 21% 21%

(1) Washington vs. (WC1) Columbus

Washington leads the series 3 to 2.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
1 Washington 0% 0% 40.5% 33.5% 74%
WC1 Columbus 0% 0% 0% 26% 26%

(2) Pittsburgh vs. (3) Philadelphia

Pittsburgh has won the series 4-2.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
2 Pittsburgh 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
3 Philadelphia 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

(1) Nashville vs. (WC2) Colorado

Nashville has won the series 4-2.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
1 Nashville 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
WC2 Colorado 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

(2) Winnipeg vs. (3) Minnesota

Winnipeg has won the series 4-1.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
2 Winnipeg 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
3 Minnesota 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

(1) Vegas vs. (WC1) Los Angeles

Vegas has won the series 4-0.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
1 Vegas 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
WC1 Los Angeles 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

(2) Anaheim vs. (3) San Jose

San Jose has won the series 4-0.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
2 Anaheim 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 San Jose 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%

NHL Odds to Advance In Playoffs

Below are the odds to advance to each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The teams are broken into their regional brackets.

Eastern Conference – Atlantic

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Tampa Bay 100% 53.7% 34.9% 18.1%
WC2 New Jersey 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Boston 79% 39.2% 18% 10.5%
3 Toronto 21% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3%

Eastern Conference – Metropolitan

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Washington 74% 36.1% 15.4% 6.3%
WC1 Columbus 26% 9.2% 3.3% 1.6%
2 Pittsburgh 100% 54.7% 24.9% 11.9%
3 Philadelphia 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Conference – Central

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Nashville 100% 36.5% 22.6% 13.4%
WC2 Colorado 0% 8.1% 2.2% 0.9%
2 Winnipeg 100% 55.4% 35.4% 20.1%
3 Minnesota 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Conference – Pacific

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Vegas 100% 34.3% 14% 5.7%
WC1 Los Angeles 0% 16.9% 5.8% 2.2%
2 Anaheim 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 San Jose 100% 48.8% 20% 8%