NHL Hockey Predictions


All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Thursday, June 7th, 2018

Date Time Teams Lines – Updated 6/6 @ 9:35 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
6/7 8:00 pm Washington
+124
+120
+124
43.6%
2.69
5.76
Vegas
-137
-140
-134
56.4%
3.06

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

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Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis

Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. Games with an orange check mark have significant bet value on one or more of the money line, puck line and over/under.

Washington Capitals vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game Analysis

Time: 8:00 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Goals PG Opp Goals PG More Info
Washington Capitals 64-32-9 5 12.96 2.8 2.56 Matchup and Bet Value
Vegas Golden Knights 64-29-8 2 2.7 2.87 2.34
Starting Goalies: B Holtby (WAS) – Record: 34-16-4, M Fleury (VGK) – Record: 29-13-4

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Tomorrow’s NHL Game Predictions – TBD

Date Matchup Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
Game analysis not available yet.

Tomorrow’s game projections are simply listed with the odds for each team to win and score projections. We do not post the lines for these games because in most cases the lines aren’t out yet. These numbers may change on game day as we have more information about starting goalies, injuries, etc.


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Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams DRatings Odds to Win Final Score GTBets Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
6/7 WAS +139 0.436 4 -0.90595 -0.83011
VGK -161 0.564 3

The table above lists how our projections have done against GTBets (which is representative of most sportsbooks). Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

2017-2018 Season
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 1355 794 535 26 0.596 -0.6694
DRatings 1355 774 577 4 0.573 -0.67438
Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 1 0 1 0 0 -0.90595
DRatings 1 0 1 0 0 -0.83011
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 3 2 1 0 0.667 -0.7165
DRatings 3 1 2 0 0.333 -0.72186
Last Two Weeks
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
GTBets 5 3 2 0 0.6 -0.70253
DRatings 5 2 3 0 0.4 -0.69669

NHL Playoff Probabilities

Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.

Stanley Cup Playoff Series

(1) Vegas vs. (1) Washington

Washington has won the series 4-1.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
1 Vegas 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
1 Washington 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%

NHL Odds to Advance In Playoffs

Below are the odds to advance to each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The teams are broken into their regional brackets.

Eastern Conference – Atlantic

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Tampa Bay 100% 100% 0% 0%
WC2 New Jersey 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Boston 100% 0% 0% 0%
3 Toronto 0% 0% 0% 0%

Eastern Conference – Metropolitan

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Washington 100% 100% 100% 100%
WC1 Columbus 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Pittsburgh 100% 0% 0% 0%
3 Philadelphia 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Conference – Central

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Nashville 100% 0% 0% 0%
WC2 Colorado 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Winnipeg 100% 100% 0% 0%
3 Minnesota 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Conference – Pacific

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Vegas 100% 100% 100% 0%
WC1 Los Angeles 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Anaheim 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 San Jose 100% 0% 0% 0%