NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10)
Boston Bruins (47-20-15)
Ilya Samsonov
Linus Ullmark
43.3%
56.7%
+125
-134
+123
-134
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-214
-1½+190
2.65
3.37
6.02
o5½-118
u5½+105
o5½-120
u5½+105
New York Islanders (39-27-16)
Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7)
Ilya Sorokin
Frederik Andersen
35.6%
64.4%
+210
-235
+214
-238
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+112
2.30
3.49
5.79
o5½+105
u5½-118
o5½+100
u5½-120
Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8)
Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Adin Hill
Jake Oettinger
41.5%
58.5%
+123
-133
+117
-128
+1½-212
-1½+195
+1½-232
-1½+202
2.56
3.48
6.04
o5½-113
u5½+100
o5½-115
u5½-105
Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11)
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Cam Talbot
Stuart Skinner
42.5%
57.5%
+151
-160
+147
-160
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
2.62
3.43
6.05
o6+104
u6-118
o6+100
u6-115
Games for Apr 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
42.9%
57.1%
+140
-147
+136
-149
+1½-193
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
4
-0.53071-0.53539-0.56021
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.2%
53.8%
-104
+112
-105
-103
+1½-280
+1½-175
+1½-265
-1½+240
6
7
-0.73274-0.69788-0.62055
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
34.5%
65.5%
+246
-278
+250
-270
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
4
-0.33145-0.33041-0.42326
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.4%
59.6%
+163
-180
+160
-170
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
3
-0.46466-0.47678-0.51815
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-139
+129
-135
+1½-198
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
1
5
-0.55823-0.56539-0.58064
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
35.9%
64.1%
+229
-235
+216
-240
+1½-124
-1½+112
+1½-127
-1½+120
1
3
-0.35998-0.37040-0.44413
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
23.3%
76.7%
+353
-386
+340
-380
+1½+136
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-145
4
5
-0.24525-0.25238-0.26566
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.4%
73.6%
+311
-355
+330
-380
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-143
4
1
-1.43666-1.48254-1.33355
Edmonton Oilers
Colorado Avalanche
47.7%
52.3%
+235
-250
+235
-246
+1½-112
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+102
1
5
-0.34919-0.35055-0.64882
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames
27.7%
72.3%
+262
-280
+245
-270
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-110
1
5
-0.31837-0.33448-0.32408
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Jets
47.6%
52.4%
-126
+112
-120
+112
-1½+218
+1½-227
+1½-250
-1½+240
2
4
-0.78021-0.76841-0.64720
Seattle Kraken
Minnesota Wild
46.1%
53.9%
+163
-170
+160
-168
+1½-157
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.97678-0.96693-0.77371
Edmonton Oilers
Arizona Coyotes
61.0%
39.0%
-163
+151
-160
+148
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
5
-0.93828-0.92669-0.94217
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
33.3%
66.7%
+237
-260
+223
-250
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-120
-1½+103
1
2
-0.34421-0.36008-0.40486
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.5%
56.5%
+103
-115
+115
-113
+1½-222
-1½+198
+1½-200
-1½+200
4
6
-0.65283-0.62953-0.57008
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
48.1%
51.9%
-129
+121
-128
+117
-1½+195
+1½-212
-1½+197
+1½-220
4
5
-0.80867-0.79671-0.65620
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.51489 
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.51012 
DRatings44-0 (1.000)0-0.53054
-0.01565
-0.02043

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%0.0%0.0%27.7%16.1%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%25.6%15.2%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%100.0%23.6%13.3%
4Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%21.5%11.1%
5Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%0.0%0.0%18.4%8.8%
6Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%18.8%8.7%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%16.0%6.9%
8Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%0.0%0.0%11.9%5.9%
9Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%0.0%0.0%7.4%3.2%
10Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%7.0%2.7%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%0.0%0.0%6.3%2.2%
12Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%5.1%2.1%
13Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%4.5%1.8%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%1.3%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.6%
16Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.