NHL Hockey Predictions

All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

Date Time Teams Lines – Updated 12/10 @ 4:52 pm Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
12/10 7:30 pm St Louis
-125
-135
-127
51.8%
2.92
5.74
Buffalo
+113
+115
+117
48.2%
2.81
12/10 7:00 pm Tampa Bay
-108
-115
-107
43.5%
3.54
7.58
Florida
-102
-105
-103
56.5%
4.04
12/10 7:00 pm Montreal
+125
+125
+127
37.9%
2.66
6.05
Pittsburgh
-138
-145
-137
62.1%
3.39
12/10 8:00 pm Anaheim
+132
+135
+140
39.1%
2.48
5.58
Minnesota
-146
-155
-150
60.9%
3.09
12/10 8:00 pm San Jose
+152
+150
+154
37.2%
2.79
6.41
Nashville
-168
-170
-164
62.8%
3.61
12/10 8:00 pm Detroit
+212
+205
+215
26.4%
2.58
6.76
Winnipeg
-238
-245
-235
73.6%
4.17
12/10 8:30 pm New Jersey
+174
+170
+175
31.8%
1.94
4.75
Dallas
-194
-200
-190
68.2%
2.80
12/10 9:00 pm Calgary
+114
+110
+117
39.3%
2.67
5.99
Arizona
-126
-130
-127
60.7%
3.31
12/10 9:00 pm Carolina
-115
-120
-115
47.7%
2.80
5.75
Edmonton
+104
+100
+105
52.3%
2.94
12/10 10:00 pm Toronto
-117
-130
-120
47.5%
2.99
6.13
Vancouver
+106
+110
+110
52.5%
3.14
12/10 10:00 pm Chicago
+175
+170
+175
32.6%
2.76
6.69
Vegas
-195
-200
-190
67.4%
3.93
12/10 10:30 pm NY Rangers
+110
+105
+110
47.5%
3.06
6.29
Los Angeles
-121
-125
-120
52.5%
3.22

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams SB Consensus DRatings to Win Final Score SB Consensus Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
12/8 ANA +135 0.376 2 -0.53604 -0.4716
WPG -150 0.624 3
12/8 SJS +131 0.372 1 -0.5526 -0.46522
FLA -142 0.628 5
12/8 ARI +100 0.475 4 -0.71668 -0.74444
CHI -110 0.525 3
12/8 NYR +180 0.321 5 -1.05315 -1.13631
VGK -200 0.679 0
12/8 BUF +160 0.323 3 -0.98261 -1.1301
EDM -180 0.677 2

The table above lists how our projections have done against the sportsbook consensus. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 5 2 3 0 0.4 -0.76821
DRatings 5 2 3 0 0.4 -0.78954
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 52 33 15 4 0.673 -0.64909
DRatings 52 35 17 0 0.673 -0.66017
Last Month
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 216 115 94 7 0.549 -0.68226
DRatings 216 116 100 0 0.537 -0.69448
2019-2020
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 467 255 199 13 0.56 -0.68003
DRatings 467 258 208 1 0.554 -0.68488
All Time
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 1822 1049 734 39 0.586 -0.67412
DRatings 1822 1032 785 5 0.568 -0.67842