NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 4, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
60.8%
39.2%
-143
+130
-139
+130
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-175
3.70
2.66
6.36
o6½+102
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 3, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
46.6%
53.4%
-107
+102
-102
-105
+1½-275
-1½+250
+1½-280
-1½+250
1
2
-0.71498-0.68605-0.62665
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
47.1%
52.9%
+104
+255
+108
-115
+1½-236
+1½-120
+1½-240
-1½+220
1
5
-1.00802-0.64124-0.63588
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
45.8%
54.2%
+650
-154
+145
-150
+1½-188
-1½+190
+1½-185
-1½+175
5
3
-1.71330-0.90421-0.78027
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
49.8%
50.2%
+104
+1000
+102
-110
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+225
1
8
-1.85508-0.66532-0.68838
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
49.6%
50.4%
+132
+340
+136
-142
+1½-216
-1½+205
+1½-210
-1½+192
4
3
-0.42349-0.86912-0.70130
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
44.2%
55.8%
+210
-110
+105
-108
+1½+100
-1½+216
+1½-230
-1½+221
1
4
-0.47984-0.66240-0.58354
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
44.8%
55.2%
+130
-140
+134
-138
+1½-185
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
0
3
-0.55696-0.55217-0.59435
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
45.9%
54.1%
+275
-130
+120
-128
+1½+115
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+195
1
2
-0.38649-0.59314-0.61517
New York Rangers
Florida Panthers
42.2%
57.8%
+400
-165
+150
-160
+1½+140
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
2
-0.27855-0.50078-0.54799
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
48.3%
51.7%
+111
-120
+110
-117
+1½-236
-1½+260
+1½-240
-1½+208
3
1
-0.76589-0.75717-0.72706
Florida Panthers
New York Rangers
49.8%
50.2%
-125
+114
-122
+120
-1½+220
+1½-260
-1½+215
+1½-242
3
2
-0.61037-0.60274-0.69633
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
46.7%
53.3%
+118
+210
+120
-129
+1½-217
+1½-115
+1½-220
-1½+195
2
5
-0.88460-0.59162-0.63010
New York Rangers
Florida Panthers
43.0%
57.0%
+156
+130
+150
-158
+1½-180
+1½-170
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.64105-0.50269-0.56175
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
45.8%
54.2%
+107
-110
+110
-118
+1½-220
-1½+209
+1½-237
-1½+207
5
3
-0.73443-0.75927-0.78196
New York Rangers
Florida Panthers
42.6%
57.4%
+148
-150
+145
-152
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+172
5
4
-0.91148-0.90736-0.85217
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
48.7%
51.3%
+121
+155
+125
-127
+1½-220
+1½-115
+1½-210
-1½+200
1
3
-0.76725-0.58467-0.66783
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%53.3%
2Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%46.7%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Utah Hockey Club (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.