NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 3, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Jose Sharks (13-9-1)
New York Rangers (14-4-3)
James Reimer
Igor Shesterkin
33.8%
66.2%
+175
-195
+180
-198
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+127
2.21
3.45
5.66
o5½+100
u5½-109
o5½-105
u5½-115
New Jersey Devils (9-8-4)
Winnipeg Jets (10-8-4)
Jonathan Bernier
Connor Hellebuyck
35.7%
64.3%
+170
-189
+175
-185
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
2.32
3.51
5.83
o5½-120
u5½+110
o5½-120
u6-115
Vegas Golden Knights (12-10-0)
Arizona Coyotes (5-16-2)
Robin Lehner
Carter Hutton
66.8%
33.2%
-218
+195
-210
+198
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-131
3.41
2.14
5.55
o6+102
u6-113
o6+105
u6-120
Edmonton Oilers (16-5-0)
Seattle Kraken (8-13-2)
Mikko Koskinen
Philipp Grubauer
59.9%
40.1%
-125
+113
-126
+119
-1½+175
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
3.57
2.55
6.12
o6-116
u6+105
o6-120
u6+105
Calgary Flames (14-4-5)
Anaheim Ducks (13-8-3)
Daniel Vladar
John Gibson
54.7%
45.3%
-123
+111
-120
+120
-1½+188
+1½-218
-1½+195
+1½-210
2.94
2.43
5.37
o5½+106
u5½-117
o5½+100
u5½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 2, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Calgary Flames
Los Angeles Kings
57.3%
42.7%
-150
+136
-143
+135
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-170
3
2
-0.53428-0.54412-0.55701
Columbus Blue Jackets
Dallas Stars
39.8%
60.2%
+181
-202
+195
-210
+1½-135
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
3
-0.42661-0.40573-0.50687
Boston Bruins
Nashville Predators
52.8%
47.2%
-111
+101
-113
+103
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+208
+1½-230
2
0
-0.66563-0.65676-0.63951
New Jersey Devils
Minnesota Wild
35.4%
64.6%
+153
-170
+155
-169
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
2
5
-0.48721-0.48503-0.43728
San Jose Sharks
New York Islanders
40.7%
59.3%
+127
-140
+125
-134
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+190
2
1
-0.84337-0.82789-0.89862
Buffalo Sabres
Florida Panthers
26.2%
73.8%
+250
-280
+254
-284
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
4
7
-0.32768-0.32350-0.30414
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.66487 
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.66013 
DRatings107-3 (0.700)0-0.69987
-0.03500
-0.03974

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/02/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (16-4-3, 35 pts)49.122.98.1106.299.0%58.0%31.2%18.0%9.9%
2Toronto Maple Leafs (17-6-1, 35 pts)49.125.56.4104.698.7%51.9%26.5%14.6%7.9%
3Washington Capitals (14-4-6, 34 pts)43.724.011.498.792.4%48.6%23.8%11.9%5.8%
4Minnesota Wild (16-6-1, 33 pts)47.326.46.4100.992.9%53.2%25.6%12.9%6.1%
5Calgary Flames (14-4-5, 33 pts)44.624.910.599.796.3%47.3%22.7%9.9%4.3%
6Edmonton Oilers (16-5-0, 32 pts)48.226.25.5102.096.4%57.4%31.9%16.2%8.1%
7Carolina Hurricanes (15-6-1, 31 pts)48.525.46.1103.196.2%58.8%35.3%19.7%10.1%
8New York Rangers (14-4-3, 31 pts)44.325.88.897.587.0%41.7%18.0%7.9%3.4%
9Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-4, 30 pts)45.924.19.0100.898.0%50.7%27.0%15.7%8.7%
10Anaheim Ducks (13-8-3, 29 pts)38.332.39.486.044.7%12.4%4.3%1.3%0.5%
11St. Louis Blues (12-8-3, 27 pts)41.630.58.992.157.4%24.2%10.4%4.3%2.0%
12San Jose Sharks (13-9-1, 27 pts)39.232.67.285.749.9%15.7%5.5%1.8%0.7%
13Detroit Red Wings (12-9-3, 27 pts)37.534.09.684.516.0%6.5%2.1%0.7%0.2%
14Dallas Stars (12-7-2, 26 pts)42.029.88.292.265.6%28.6%12.8%5.3%2.4%
15Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1, 25 pts)47.726.36.0101.493.3%63.8%39.2%22.8%12.9%
16Pittsburgh Penguins (10-8-5, 25 pts)40.629.610.792.051.9%25.6%11.2%4.8%2.1%
17Nashville Predators (12-10-1, 25 pts)41.331.16.689.255.0%25.5%11.7%4.9%2.2%
18Boston Bruins (12-8-0, 24 pts)44.429.85.894.686.3%32.1%15.4%7.6%3.6%
19Vegas Golden Knights (12-10-0, 24 pts)44.530.35.394.283.8%48.1%26.7%13.5%6.9%
20Winnipeg Jets (10-8-4, 24 pts)37.931.910.285.930.6%16.0%6.6%2.3%0.9%
21Columbus Blue Jackets (12-9-0, 24 pts)39.333.26.585.127.1%10.8%3.8%1.3%0.4%
22New Jersey Devils (9-8-4, 22 pts)35.433.810.881.513.4%3.5%1.0%0.3%0.1%
23Los Angeles Kings (9-9-4, 22 pts)34.434.710.879.716.3%3.1%1.0%0.2%0.1%
24Philadelphia Flyers (8-9-4, 20 pts)35.233.310.581.014.3%5.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%
25Buffalo Sabres (8-12-3, 19 pts)30.839.110.171.71.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Chicago Blackhawks (8-12-2, 18 pts)34.736.68.678.15.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (8-13-2, 18 pts)33.637.08.575.68.4%2.3%0.8%0.3%0.0%
28Vancouver Canucks (8-14-2, 18 pts)32.138.48.572.74.2%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
29Montreal Canadiens (6-17-2, 14 pts)31.141.58.470.70.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Islanders (5-10-3, 13 pts)36.132.89.181.317.7%5.9%2.7%0.9%0.4%
31Arizona Coyotes (5-16-2, 12 pts)28.742.39.066.50.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Ottawa Senators (5-15-1, 11 pts)28.941.18.065.80.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.