All of today’s NHL hockey predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.
Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Monday, April 23rd, 2018
| Date |
Time |
Teams |
Lines – Updated 4/22 @ 10:10 pm |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Goals |
 |
 |
 |
| 4/23 |
7:00 pm |
Boston |
-117 |
-130 |
-120 |
47.9% |
2.95 |
6.02 |
| Toronto |
+106 |
+110 |
+110 |
52.1% |
3.07 |
| 4/23 |
7:35 pm |
Washington |
-108 |
-115 |
-110 |
46% |
2.82 |
5.88 |
| Columbus |
-102 |
-105 |
+100 |
54% |
3.06 |
The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.
Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis
Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. Games with an orange check mark have significant bet value on one or more of the money line, puck line and over/under.
Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Game Analysis
Time: 7:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Boston Bruins |
52-21-12 |
3 |
-9.06 |
3.08 |
2.52 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Toronto Maple Leafs |
50-27-8 |
8 |
3.51 |
3.23 |
2.7 |
| Starting Goalies: T Rask (BOS) – Record: 34-14-5, F Andersen (TOR) – Record: 38-21-5 |
Washington Capitals vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Game Analysis
Time: 7:35 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Washington Capitals |
49-26-9 |
9 |
4.87 |
2.97 |
2.89 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Columbus Blue Jackets |
47-30-7 |
10 |
-6.9 |
2.87 |
2.68 |
| Starting Goalies: B Holtby (WAS) – Record: 34-16-4, S Bobrovsky (CBJ) – Record: 37-22-6 |
Tomorrow’s NHL Game Predictions – Tuesday, April 24th, 2018
| Date |
Matchup |
Teams |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Goals |
| Game analysis not available yet. |
Tomorrow’s game projections are simply listed with the odds for each team to win and score projections. We do not post the lines for these games because in most cases the lines aren’t out yet. These numbers may change on game day as we have more information about starting goalies, injuries, etc.
Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results
| Date |
Teams |
 |
DRatings Odds to Win |
Final Score |
GTBets Log Loss |
DRatings Log Loss |
| 4/22 |
PIT |
-169 |
0.511 |
8 |
-0.49739 |
-0.67139 |
| PHI |
+147 |
0.489 |
5 |
| 4/22 |
NSH |
-189 |
0.635 |
5 |
-0.46686 |
-0.45413 |
| COL |
+157 |
0.365 |
0 |
The table above lists how our projections have done against GTBets (which is representative of most sportsbooks). Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.
NHL Season Prediction Results
2017-2018 Season
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| GTBets |
1311 |
775 |
510 |
26 |
0.601 |
-0.66727 |
| DRatings |
1311 |
755 |
552 |
4 |
0.577 |
-0.67303 |
Yesterday
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| GTBets |
2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-0.48212 |
| DRatings |
2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-0.56276 |
Last Week
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| GTBets |
21 |
13 |
8 |
0 |
0.619 |
-0.68674 |
| DRatings |
21 |
10 |
11 |
0 |
0.476 |
-0.7112 |
Last Two Weeks
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| GTBets |
40 |
25 |
15 |
0 |
0.625 |
-0.65268 |
| DRatings |
40 |
21 |
19 |
0 |
0.525 |
-0.66654 |
NHL Playoff Probabilities
Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.
First Round Playoff Series
(1) Tampa Bay vs. (WC2) New Jersey
Tampa Bay has won the series 4-1.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 1 |
Tampa Bay |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
| WC2 |
New Jersey |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
(2) Boston vs. (3) Toronto
Boston leads the series 3 to 2.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 2 |
Boston |
0% |
0% |
45% |
34% |
79% |
| 3 |
Toronto |
0% |
0% |
0% |
21% |
21% |
(1) Washington vs. (WC1) Columbus
Washington leads the series 3 to 2.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 1 |
Washington |
0% |
0% |
40.5% |
33.5% |
74% |
| WC1 |
Columbus |
0% |
0% |
0% |
26% |
26% |
(2) Pittsburgh vs. (3) Philadelphia
Pittsburgh has won the series 4-2.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 2 |
Pittsburgh |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
100% |
| 3 |
Philadelphia |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
(1) Nashville vs. (WC2) Colorado
Nashville has won the series 4-2.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 1 |
Nashville |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
100% |
| WC2 |
Colorado |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
(2) Winnipeg vs. (3) Minnesota
Winnipeg has won the series 4-1.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 2 |
Winnipeg |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
| 3 |
Minnesota |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
(1) Vegas vs. (WC1) Los Angeles
Vegas has won the series 4-0.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 1 |
Vegas |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
| WC1 |
Los Angeles |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
(2) Anaheim vs. (3) San Jose
San Jose has won the series 4-0.
| Rank |
Team |
Win in 4 |
Win in 5 |
Win in 6 |
Win in 7 |
Win Series |
| 2 |
Anaheim |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| 3 |
San Jose |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
NHL Odds to Advance In Playoffs
Below are the odds to advance to each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The teams are broken into their regional brackets.
Eastern Conference – Atlantic
| Rank |
Team |
To Make 2nd Round |
To Make the Semis |
To Win Conference |
To Win Stanley Cup |
| 1 |
Tampa Bay |
100% |
53.7% |
34.9% |
18.1% |
| WC2 |
New Jersey |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| 2 |
Boston |
79% |
39.2% |
18% |
10.5% |
| 3 |
Toronto |
21% |
7.1% |
3.5% |
1.3% |
Eastern Conference – Metropolitan
| Rank |
Team |
To Make 2nd Round |
To Make the Semis |
To Win Conference |
To Win Stanley Cup |
| 1 |
Washington |
74% |
36.1% |
15.4% |
6.3% |
| WC1 |
Columbus |
26% |
9.2% |
3.3% |
1.6% |
| 2 |
Pittsburgh |
100% |
54.7% |
24.9% |
11.9% |
| 3 |
Philadelphia |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Western Conference – Central
| Rank |
Team |
To Make 2nd Round |
To Make the Semis |
To Win Conference |
To Win Stanley Cup |
| 1 |
Nashville |
100% |
36.5% |
22.6% |
13.4% |
| WC2 |
Colorado |
0% |
8.1% |
2.2% |
0.9% |
| 2 |
Winnipeg |
100% |
55.4% |
35.4% |
20.1% |
| 3 |
Minnesota |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Western Conference – Pacific
| Rank |
Team |
To Make 2nd Round |
To Make the Semis |
To Win Conference |
To Win Stanley Cup |
| 1 |
Vegas |
100% |
34.3% |
14% |
5.7% |
| WC1 |
Los Angeles |
0% |
16.9% |
5.8% |
2.2% |
| 2 |
Anaheim |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| 3 |
San Jose |
100% |
48.8% |
20% |
8% |
