NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 20, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Bruins (1-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (1-0-1)
Linus Ullmark
Carter Hart
58.8%
41.2%
-135
+122
-130
+125
3.36
2.41
5.77
o5½-124
u5½+113
o5½-120
u5½+105
St. Louis Blues (2-0-0)
Vegas Golden Knights (1-1-0)
Jordan Binnington
Robin Lehner
36.6%
63.4%
+115
-127
+110
-120
2.21
3.36
5.57
o5½-118
u5½+107
o5½-120
u5½+110
Games for Oct 19, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Anaheim Ducks
Edmonton Oilers
23.0%
77.0%
+252
-285
+245
-270
5
6
-0.32482-0.33448-0.26174
New York Islanders
Chicago Blackhawks
56.8%
43.2%
-107
+105
-110
+102
4
1
-0.66458-0.66532-0.56567
Los Angeles Kings
Nashville Predators
36.9%
63.1%
+118
-130
+120
-130
1
2
-0.59419-0.59012-0.46073
Winnipeg Jets
Minnesota Wild
37.1%
62.9%
+135
-148
+135
-147
5
6
-0.53828-0.53941-0.46364
Columbus Blue Jackets
Detroit Red Wings
53.8%
46.2%
+104
-115
+110
-115
1
4
-0.65049-0.63673-0.77314
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
39.0%
61.0%
+100
-110
+105
-109
4
1
-0.71668-0.72714-0.94171
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.67053 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.66936 
DRatings115-6 (0.455)0-0.65419
0.01635
0.01517

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/18/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0-1, 5 pts)45.126.98.098.372.2%42.2%23.0%13.3%7.3%
2New York Rangers (2-1-1, 5 pts)42.728.78.594.055.4%29.4%13.4%6.8%3.1%
3Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-1, 5 pts)42.429.98.793.666.2%26.7%10.9%5.2%2.4%
4Tampa Bay Lightning (2-1-0, 4 pts)47.525.06.5101.491.7%61.3%37.9%25.3%16.1%
5Florida Panthers (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.327.47.397.983.6%43.9%21.6%12.8%7.1%
6Carolina Hurricanes (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.426.76.997.875.4%43.7%23.6%14.2%7.6%
7Minnesota Wild (2-0-0, 4 pts)42.729.57.893.169.4%36.0%16.5%7.1%2.9%
8St. Louis Blues (2-0-0, 4 pts)42.130.78.392.462.1%30.7%13.5%5.2%2.2%
9Edmonton Oilers (2-0-0, 4 pts)41.529.67.990.977.4%40.4%19.7%7.8%3.2%
10Columbus Blue Jackets (2-0-0, 4 pts)38.132.38.684.726.6%9.2%3.5%1.4%0.5%
11Anaheim Ducks (2-1-0, 4 pts)35.835.19.180.735.6%11.2%4.0%1.1%0.2%
12Buffalo Sabres (2-0-0, 4 pts)35.335.49.379.919.0%4.9%1.4%0.6%0.2%
13Ottawa Senators (2-1-0, 4 pts)34.335.69.177.615.0%3.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
14Washington Capitals (1-0-1, 3 pts)42.927.68.594.363.4%33.2%16.8%9.3%5.0%
15Philadelphia Flyers (1-0-1, 3 pts)39.231.49.387.832.7%16.8%7.1%3.2%1.4%
16Detroit Red Wings (1-0-1, 3 pts)36.034.910.182.120.8%4.7%1.5%0.5%0.2%
17Vancouver Canucks (1-1-1, 3 pts)35.134.19.780.035.8%14.4%5.4%1.6%0.5%
18Seattle Kraken (1-2-1, 3 pts)35.134.39.679.837.0%15.7%6.0%1.9%0.5%
19Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0, 2 pts)46.626.66.8100.088.1%57.8%37.1%20.9%11.4%
20Boston Bruins (1-0-0, 2 pts)45.427.27.498.184.4%41.3%20.1%11.9%6.3%
21Vegas Golden Knights (1-1-0, 2 pts)44.728.47.096.387.9%56.4%36.7%18.7%9.1%
22Dallas Stars (1-2-0, 2 pts)40.931.47.789.455.9%28.6%13.3%5.4%2.3%
23New Jersey Devils (1-0-0, 2 pts)37.632.68.883.924.3%7.7%2.8%0.9%0.3%
24Los Angeles Kings (1-1-0, 2 pts)35.935.19.080.835.7%12.9%5.3%1.7%0.6%
25San Jose Sharks (1-0-0, 2 pts)35.934.19.080.738.8%14.5%5.7%1.4%0.4%
26Chicago Blackhawks (0-2-1, 1 pts)37.932.99.385.038.5%15.9%7.2%2.6%0.9%
27Calgary Flames (0-1-1, 1 pts)37.132.79.383.451.8%22.1%9.6%3.3%1.1%
28Arizona Coyotes (0-2-1, 1 pts)34.435.79.978.718.3%6.9%2.9%1.0%0.4%
29New York Islanders (0-2-0, 0 pts)42.729.87.492.950.0%26.5%13.5%7.3%4.0%
30Nashville Predators (0-2-0, 0 pts)38.132.68.384.541.0%24.2%12.0%4.8%1.9%
31Montreal Canadiens (0-3-0, 0 pts)36.235.98.981.419.3%4.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%
32Winnipeg Jets (0-2-0, 0 pts)36.234.98.881.326.7%12.4%5.2%1.7%0.7%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.