NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 19, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Columbus Blue Jackets (23-34-11)
Detroit Red Wings (34-28-6)
Unknown
Unknown
36.8%
63.2%
+150
-160
+150
-156
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+155
2.79
3.94
6.73
o6½-118
u6½+105
o6½-120
u6½+100
Winnipeg Jets (43-19-5)
New York Rangers (45-19-4)
Unknown
Unknown
45.9%
54.1%
+109
-122
+105
-115
+1½-245
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+221
2.61
3.06
5.67
o5½-112
u5½-101
o5½-110
u5½-105
Ottawa Senators (28-34-4)
Boston Bruins (40-14-15)
Unknown
Unknown
35.6%
64.4%
+190
-212
+190
-210
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-140
-1½+122
2.54
3.73
6.27
o6-113
u6-102
o6-105
u6-105
Toronto Maple Leafs (38-19-9)
Philadelphia Flyers (34-26-8)
Unknown
Unknown
55.7%
44.3%
-135
+123
-130
+121
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+184
+1½-200
3.47
2.86
6.33
o6½+109
u6½-120
o6½+100
u6½-120
Pittsburgh Penguins (30-28-9)
New Jersey Devils (32-32-4)
Unknown
Unknown
45.2%
54.8%
+118
-133
+117
-125
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.95
3.46
6.41
o6½-101
u6½-112
o6½-105
u6½-115
Carolina Hurricanes (42-20-6)
New York Islanders (29-23-15)
Unknown
Unknown
58.4%
41.6%
-154
+138
-155
+146
-1½+170
+1½-193
-1½+170
+1½-185
3.50
2.59
6.09
o6+101
u6-113
o6-105
u6-115
Colorado Avalanche (43-20-5)
St. Louis Blues (36-29-3)
Unknown
Unknown
57.6%
42.4%
-201
+186
-200
+185
-1½+125
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
3.62
2.80
6.42
o6½+104
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-115
San Jose Sharks (16-44-7)
Nashville Predators (39-25-4)
Unknown
Unknown
24.6%
75.4%
+336
-386
+330
-370
+1½+133
-1½-150
+1½+122
-1½-140
2.22
3.93
6.15
o6-108
u6-103
o6-110
u6-110
Montreal Canadiens (25-31-11)
Edmonton Oilers (40-21-4)
Unknown
Unknown
25.6%
74.4%
+314
-363
+324
-370
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+127
-1½-145
2.51
4.12
6.63
o6½-108
u6½-108
o6½-110
u6½-110
Buffalo Sabres (32-31-5)
Vancouver Canucks (42-18-8)
Unknown
Unknown
36.3%
63.7%
+173
-195
+170
-190
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-145
-1½+125
2.59
3.74
6.33
o6½+100
u6+109
o6-120
u6+100
Chicago Blackhawks (19-44-5)
Los Angeles Kings (34-22-11)
Unknown
Unknown
25.8%
74.2%
+315
-365
+319
-360
+1½+126
-1½-142
+1½+120
-1½-130
2.14
3.74
5.88
o5½-113
u5½+100
o5½-110
u5½-105
Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6)
Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7)
Unknown
Unknown
47.4%
52.6%
+123
-135
+123
-134
+1½-205
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+183
3.02
3.31
6.33
o6½-103
u6½-113
o6½+100
u6½-110
Minnesota Wild (33-27-8)
Anaheim Ducks (23-42-3)
Unknown
Unknown
61.8%
38.2%
-211
+190
-210
+190
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
3.68
2.58
6.26
o6+100
u6-113
o6+100
u6-115
Games for Mar 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Sabres
Seattle Kraken
47.4%
52.6%
-101
-111
+104
-110
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-245
-1½+240
6
2
-0.71633-0.72685-0.74629
Washington Capitals
Calgary Flames
40.6%
59.4%
+117
-130
+115
-125
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+192
5
2
-0.80044-0.78592-0.90106
Anaheim Ducks
St. Louis Blues
37.3%
62.7%
+195
-220
+195
-210
+1½-127
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
2
4
-0.40084-0.40573-0.46662
Detroit Red Wings
Pittsburgh Penguins
46.3%
53.7%
+117
-128
+124
-135
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
6
-0.59931-0.57499-0.62168
Carolina Hurricanes
Ottawa Senators
60.5%
39.5%
-205
+197
-205
+195
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
7
2
-0.40609-0.40836-0.50266
Winnipeg Jets
Columbus Blue Jackets
66.1%
33.9%
-242
+214
-240
+216
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+102
+1½-120
6
1
-0.37161-0.37040-0.41349
San Jose Sharks
Chicago Blackhawks
39.2%
60.8%
+150
-161
+155
-159
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
5
-0.49984-0.49397-0.49705
New Jersey Devils
Vegas Golden Knights
41.0%
59.0%
+167
-183
+170
-180
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
1
3
-0.45692-0.45497-0.52804
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
37.9%
62.1%
+135
-149
+137
-140
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
5
-0.53715-0.54426-0.47683
Washington Capitals
Vancouver Canucks
34.9%
65.1%
+197
-219
+198
-220
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+117
2
1
-1.11152-1.11474-1.05340
Colorado Avalanche
Edmonton Oilers
42.9%
57.1%
+113
-126
+117
-127
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+181
3
2
-0.78277-0.79483-0.84572
Nashville Predators
Seattle Kraken
48.5%
51.5%
-126
+113
-120
+112
-1½+205
+1½-236
-1½+210
+1½-240
4
1
-0.61090-0.62315-0.72410
Los Angeles Kings
Dallas Stars
40.1%
59.9%
+150
-164
+148
-160
+1½-167
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
4
-0.49707-0.50395-0.51311
Minnesota Wild
St. Louis Blues
49.4%
50.6%
-129
+116
-125
+118
-1½+200
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-220
2
3
-0.79607-0.79350-0.68177
Montreal Canadiens
Calgary Flames
35.9%
64.1%
+145
-160
+148
-163
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
5
-0.50878-0.50114-0.44404
Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto Maple Leafs
50.7%
49.3%
-140
+127
-140
+130
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+181
+1½-200
5
4
-0.56258-0.55696-0.67909
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-0.75838 
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-0.75638 
DRatings20-2 (0.000)0-0.82368
-0.06529
-0.06729

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/17/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (40-14-15, 95 pts)46.619.016.3109.6100.0%25.4%11.6%10.8%5.0%
2Florida Panthers (45-19-4, 94 pts)53.623.35.1112.4100.0%72.2%44.5%21.7%12.9%
3New York Rangers (45-19-4, 94 pts)53.323.55.2111.8100.0%77.2%35.9%18.3%9.4%
4Vancouver Canucks (42-18-8, 92 pts)50.022.89.2109.2100.0%70.6%27.0%14.6%7.0%
5Winnipeg Jets (43-19-5, 91 pts)51.124.46.5108.6100.0%42.8%29.0%15.1%7.8%
6Colorado Avalanche (43-20-5, 91 pts)51.124.76.1108.4100.0%35.1%21.7%15.9%8.3%
7Dallas Stars (41-19-9, 91 pts)48.823.110.1107.6100.0%22.0%11.9%15.1%7.5%
8Carolina Hurricanes (42-20-6, 90 pts)50.724.27.1108.4100.0%22.8%7.0%24.1%13.4%
9Toronto Maple Leafs (38-19-9, 85 pts)46.724.710.5104.099.9%2.4%1.0%10.6%5.0%
10Edmonton Oilers (40-21-4, 84 pts)50.426.25.4106.399.8%29.2%10.3%22.2%11.9%
11Nashville Predators (39-25-4, 82 pts)46.730.05.398.794.3%0.1%0.1%6.3%2.4%
12Los Angeles Kings (34-22-11, 79 pts)42.427.212.497.386.4%0.1%0.0%4.7%1.7%
13Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7, 79 pts)44.029.68.496.480.3%0.1%0.0%4.7%1.9%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6, 78 pts)44.430.27.496.196.1%0.0%0.0%8.4%3.4%
15Philadelphia Flyers (34-26-8, 76 pts)40.831.79.591.167.3%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.6%
16St. Louis Blues (36-29-3, 75 pts)43.434.24.491.218.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.2%
17Minnesota Wild (33-27-8, 74 pts)40.432.39.490.112.1%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
18Detroit Red Wings (34-28-6, 74 pts)40.933.67.589.241.7%0.0%0.0%1.8%0.6%
19Washington Capitals (32-25-9, 73 pts)39.232.010.889.243.4%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.2%
20New York Islanders (29-23-15, 73 pts)36.229.216.689.036.4%0.0%0.0%1.0%0.3%
21Calgary Flames (33-29-5, 71 pts)41.034.56.588.56.7%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
22Pittsburgh Penguins (30-28-9, 69 pts)36.934.410.784.47.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Buffalo Sabres (32-31-5, 69 pts)38.536.96.683.64.6%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (28-26-12, 68 pts)36.332.113.686.21.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25New Jersey Devils (32-32-4, 68 pts)38.737.85.582.93.4%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
26Arizona Coyotes (28-35-5, 61 pts)34.141.26.774.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Montreal Canadiens (25-31-11, 61 pts)30.538.513.074.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Ottawa Senators (28-34-4, 60 pts)34.841.26.075.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (23-34-11, 57 pts)28.041.112.968.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (23-42-3, 49 pts)28.149.14.961.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (19-44-5, 43 pts)23.851.27.054.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (16-44-7, 39 pts)20.852.19.150.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.