NHL Hockey Predictions


All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Wednesday, June 12th, 2019

Date Time Teams Lines – Updated 6/12 @ 7:55 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
6/12 8:00 pm St Louis
+153
+150
+150
40.3%
2.31
5.13
Boston
-170
-170
-160
59.7%
2.81

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis

Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. The icons are explained below.

: There is Bet Value on the money line.
: There is Bet Value on the puck line.
: There is Bet Value on the over/under.

St. Louis Blues vs. Boston Bruins Game Analysis

Time: 8:00 pm ET

Team Record Team Rank Units W/L Goals PG Opp Goals PG More Info
St. Louis Blues 60-36-11 4 16.66 2.97 2.73 Matchup and Bet Value
Boston Bruins 63-30-11 5 6.38 3.21 2.5
Starting Goalies: J Binnington (STL) – Record: 23-5-1, T Rask (BOS) – Record: 27-12-5

Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams SB Consensus DRatings to Win Final Score SB Consensus Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
6/12 STL +155 0.403 4 -0.95765 -0.90882
BOS -170 0.597 1

The table above lists how our projections have done against the sportsbook consensus. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

Yesterday
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 1 0 1 0 0 -0.95765
DRatings 1 0 1 0 0 -0.90882
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 3 0 3 0 0 -0.86402
DRatings 3 0 3 0 0 -0.84787
Last Month
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 13 4 9 0 0.308 -0.73694
DRatings 13 4 9 0 0.308 -0.73787
2018-2019
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 1358 753 562 43 0.57 -0.6768
DRatings 1358 764 587 7 0.565 -0.68024
All Time
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Sportsbooks 2713 1547 1097 69 0.583 -0.67311
DRatings 2713 1538 1164 11 0.569 -0.67731

NHL Futures and Playoff Probabilities

Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.

Updated 6/7/2019 @ 9:10am.

NHL Odds to Advance in Each Series

Below are the projected games to win each series for every team playoff match in the NHL.

(2) Boston vs. (3) St Louis

The series is tied 3 to 3.

Rank Team Win in 4 Win in 5 Win in 6 Win in 7 Win Series
2 Boston 0% 0% 0% 56.5% 56.5%
3 St Louis 0% 0% 0% 43.5% 43.5%

NHL Odds to Advance In Playoffs

Below are the odds to advance to different stages in the playoffs.

Eastern Conference – Atlantic

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Tampa Bay 0% 0% 0% 0%
WC2 Columbus 100% 0% 0% 0%
2 Boston 100% 100% 100% 56.5%
3 Toronto 0% 0% 0% 0%

Eastern Conference – Metropolitan

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0%
WC1 Carolina 100% 100% 0% 0%
2 NY Islanders 100% 0% 0% 0%
3 Pittsburgh 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Conference – Central

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Nashville 0% 0% 0% 0%
WC2 Dallas 100% 0% 0% 0%
2 Winnipeg 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 St Louis 100% 100% 100% 43.5%

Western Conference – Pacific

Rank Team To Make 2nd Round To Make the Semis To Win Conference To Win Stanley Cup
1 Calgary 0% 0% 0% 0%
WC1 Colorado 100% 0% 0% 0%
2 San Jose 100% 100% 0% 0%
3 Vegas 0% 0% 0% 0%