Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers Vegas Golden Knights | 44.7% 55.3% | +181 -190 +180 -188 | +1½-143 -1½+133 +1½-140 -1½+130 | 3 9 | -0.43383-0.43638 | -0.59234 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Florida Panthers | 47.8% 52.2% | -106 -101 -107 +107 | +1½-285 -1½+245 +1½-280 -1½+248 | 3 2 | -0.68136-0.65989 | -0.73783 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Florida Panthers | 48.2% 51.8% | +120 -130 +118 -120 | +1½-240 -1½+209 +1½-230 +1½-265 | 2 3 | -0.59012-0.61031 | -0.65743 | |
| Florida Panthers Vegas Golden Knights | 46.1% 53.9% | +120 -131 +120 -130 | +1½-225 -1½+203 +1½-210 -1½+197 | 2 7 | -0.58864-0.59012 | -0.61787 | |
| Florida Panthers Vegas Golden Knights | 46.7% 53.3% | +121 -134 +125 -132 | +1½-227 -1½+199 +1½-210 -1½+200 | 2 5 | -0.58230-0.57725 | -0.62922 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Dallas Stars | 44.7% 55.3% | +118 -129 +118 -129 | +1½-241 -1½+209 +1½-235 -1½+205 | 6 0 | -0.80111-0.80111 | -0.80616 | |
| Dallas Stars Vegas Golden Knights | 48.1% 51.9% | +133 -144 +140 -146 | +1½-210 -1½+190 +1½-195 -1½+190 | 4 2 | -0.86503-0.88557 | -0.73110 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Dallas Stars | 45.1% 54.9% | +103 -113 +109 -110 | +1½-260 -1½+230 +1½-240 -1½+235 | 2 3 | -0.65676-0.64890 | -0.59922 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Florida Panthers | 51.1% 48.9% | -103 -106 -105 -105 | +1½-260 -1½+230 +1½-265 -1½+235 | 3 4 | -0.68615-0.69315 | -0.71470 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Dallas Stars | 44.4% 55.6% | +140 -149 +140 -150 | +1½-193 -1½+180 +1½-197 -1½+180 | 4 0 | -0.89040-0.89199 | -0.81270 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Florida Panthers | 49.6% 50.4% | -108 -102 -107 -103 | +1½-275 -1½+235 +1½-270 -1½+240 | 0 1 | -0.70719-0.70249 | -0.68470 | |
| Dallas Stars Vegas Golden Knights | 49.0% 51.0% | +106 -112 +106 -115 | +1½-265 -1½+230 +1½-250 -1½+230 | 2 3 | -0.65174-0.64582 | -0.67264 | |
| Florida Panthers Carolina Hurricanes | 41.5% 58.5% | +136 -144 +137 -150 | +1½-197 -1½+177 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 2 1 | -0.87244-0.88460 | -0.87883 | |
| Dallas Stars Vegas Golden Knights | 49.4% 50.6% | +111 -117 +115 -120 | +1½-250 -1½+215 +1½-230 -1½+220 | 3 4 | -0.63074-0.61667 | -0.68090 | |
| Florida Panthers Carolina Hurricanes | 42.6% 57.4% | +133 -143 +130 -140 | +1½-193 -1½+175 +1½-195 -1½+189 | 3 2 | -0.86339-0.85085 | -0.85315 | |
| Seattle Kraken Dallas Stars | 40.5% 59.5% | +166 -185 +170 -183 | +1½-160 -1½+162 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 1 2 | -0.45689-0.45284 | -0.51918 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 06/13/23| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win 1st Rd. | Win 2nd Rd. | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Vegas Golden Knights (51-22-9, 111 pts) | 51.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 111.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 | Florida Panthers (42-32-8, 92 pts) | 42.0 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 92.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (52-21-9, 113 pts) | 52.0 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 113.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Dallas Stars (47-21-14, 108 pts) | 47.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 108.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | New Jersey Devils (52-22-8, 112 pts) | 52.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 112.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Toronto Maple Leafs (50-21-11, 111 pts) | 50.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 111.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers (50-23-9, 109 pts) | 50.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken (46-28-8, 100 pts) | 46.0 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | Boston Bruins (65-12-5, 135 pts) | 65.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 135.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Colorado Avalanche (51-24-7, 109 pts) | 51.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | New York Rangers (47-22-13, 107 pts) | 47.0 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 107.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Los Angeles Kings (47-25-10, 104 pts) | 47.0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 104.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Minnesota Wild (46-25-11, 103 pts) | 46.0 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 103.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Lightning (46-30-6, 98 pts) | 46.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Winnipeg Jets (46-33-3, 95 pts) | 46.0 | 33.0 | 3.0 | 95.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | New York Islanders (42-31-9, 93 pts) | 42.0 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 93.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Calgary Flames (38-27-17, 93 pts) | 38.0 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 93.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Nashville Predators (42-32-8, 92 pts) | 42.0 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres (42-33-7, 91 pts) | 42.0 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 91.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Penguins (40-31-11, 91 pts) | 40.0 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 91.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Ottawa Senators (39-35-8, 86 pts) | 39.0 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Vancouver Canucks (38-37-7, 83 pts) | 38.0 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 83.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | St. Louis Blues (37-38-7, 81 pts) | 37.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 81.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Washington Capitals (35-37-10, 80 pts) | 35.0 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Detroit Red Wings (35-37-10, 80 pts) | 35.0 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Philadelphia Flyers (31-38-13, 75 pts) | 31.0 | 38.0 | 13.0 | 75.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Arizona Coyotes (28-40-14, 70 pts) | 28.0 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 70.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Montreal Canadiens (31-45-6, 68 pts) | 31.0 | 45.0 | 6.0 | 68.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | San Jose Sharks (22-44-16, 60 pts) | 22.0 | 44.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Columbus Blue Jackets (25-48-9, 59 pts) | 25.0 | 48.0 | 9.0 | 59.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks (26-49-7, 59 pts) | 26.0 | 49.0 | 7.0 | 59.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Anaheim Ducks (23-47-12, 58 pts) | 23.0 | 47.0 | 12.0 | 58.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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