NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 24, 2023

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Islanders (37-27-8)
Columbus Blue Jackets (22-41-7)
Ilya Sorokin
Daniil Tarasov
61.5%
38.5%
-173
+164
-185
+169
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-143
3.45
2.37
5.82
o6-120
u6½-113
o6-120
u6+100
New Jersey Devils (45-18-8)
Buffalo Sabres (33-31-6)
Vitek Vanecek
Craig Anderson
58.7%
41.3%
-165
+155
-164
+154
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-164
3.82
2.89
6.71
o6½-132
u6½+121
o6½-130
u6½+115
Arizona Coyotes (27-33-12)
Colorado Avalanche (41-23-6)
Karel Vejmelka
Alexandar Georgiev
29.5%
70.5%
+368
-420
+375
-430
+1½+147
-1½-160
+1½+150
-1½-170
2.28
3.68
5.96
o6½+107
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-120
Games for Mar 23, 2023

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Seattle Kraken (39-24-7)
Nashville Predators (35-26-8)
49.5%
50.5%
-129
+117
-128
+120
-1½+200
+1½-227
-1½+202
+1½-210
6.06
o6-118
u6½-115
o6-120
u6+105
3rd P
04:55
1
1
Pittsburgh Penguins (35-26-10)
Dallas Stars (38-19-14)
37.3%
62.7%
+142
-154
+145
-152
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
6.16
o6½+100
u6½-110
o6½+100
u6½-115
2nd P
14:00
1
1
Vegas Golden Knights (44-21-6)
Calgary Flames (32-25-15)
48.5%
51.5%
+124
-134
+126
-130
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+175
6.05
o6½+100
u6+114
o6½+100
u6½-115
2nd P
13:58
2
1
Winnipeg Jets (40-29-3)
Anaheim Ducks (23-38-10)
64.2%
35.8%
-270
+244
-280
+255
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
6.30
o6-115
u6+104
o6-120
u6+105
1st P
13:10
0
0
San Jose Sharks (19-37-15)
Vancouver Canucks (31-34-5)
38.0%
62.0%
+150
-161
+155
-161
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+145
6.68
o6½-129
u7-138
o6½-130
u7-125
1st P
13:30
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Blues
Detroit Red Wings
45.8%
54.2%
+110
-120
+110
-118
+1½-220
-1½+193
+1½-220
-1½+205
4
3
-0.76336-0.75927-0.78154
Tampa Bay Lightning
Ottawa Senators
56.6%
43.4%
-121
+111
-122
+118
-1½+193
+1½-215
-1½+200
+1½-210
2
7
-0.76791-0.78755-0.83506
Montreal Canadiens
Boston Bruins
21.2%
78.8%
+354
-400
+360
-415
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-150
2
4
-0.24321-0.23884-0.23843
Chicago Blackhawks
Washington Capitals
31.6%
68.4%
+256
-290
+268
-290
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
6
-0.32047-0.31148-0.38005
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
43.4%
56.6%
+131
-143
+135
-140
+1½-202
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+179
2
1
-0.85840-0.86325-0.83577
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
51.3%
48.7%
+122
-127
+122
-126
+1½-193
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+184
6
2
-0.80737-0.80544-0.66727
Minnesota Wild
Philadelphia Flyers
60.0%
40.0%
-143
+132
-140
+135
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+177
+1½-185
4
5
-0.86090-0.86325-0.91517
Arizona Coyotes
Edmonton Oilers
24.5%
75.5%
+410
-467
+415
-480
+1½+161
-1½-173
+1½+160
-1½-180
3
4
-0.21355-0.21076-0.28040
Pittsburgh Penguins
Colorado Avalanche
40.6%
59.4%
+136
-147
+135
-145
+1½-178
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+163
5
2
-0.87736-0.87165-0.90212
Vegas Golden Knights
Vancouver Canucks
55.0%
45.0%
-130
+118
-130
+125
-1½+183
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-190
4
3
-0.59419-0.58016-0.59787
Calgary Flames
Anaheim Ducks
60.9%
39.1%
-210
+188
-210
+195
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-133
5
1
-0.41380-0.40573-0.49615
Seattle Kraken
Dallas Stars
41.0%
59.0%
+150
-163
+145
-159
+1½-168
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+155
5
4
-0.93586-0.91792-0.89218
Detroit Red Wings
St. Louis Blues
41.2%
58.8%
+133
-146
+135
-140
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+179
3
2
-0.86831-0.86325-0.88591
Arizona Coyotes
Winnipeg Jets
33.9%
66.1%
+273
-295
+255
-285
+1½+102
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-110
1
2
-0.30673-0.32247-0.41359
Toronto Maple Leafs
New York Islanders
55.4%
44.6%
-111
+106
-110
+103
-1½+214
+1½-245
-1½+218
+1½-240
2
7
-0.73414-0.72433-0.80654
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
49.3%
50.7%
+107
-116
+110
-119
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+213
3
2
-0.74748-0.76132-0.70775
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.60440 
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.60498 
DRatings84-4 (0.500)0-0.61671
-0.01232
-0.01173

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/22/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (54-11-5, 113 pts)62.214.05.8130.2100.0%80.6%59.2%41.2%31.4%
2Carolina Hurricanes (46-15-8, 100 pts)53.819.29.0116.6100.0%68.8%40.5%18.9%12.5%
3New Jersey Devils (45-18-8, 98 pts)51.321.79.0111.6100.0%52.8%25.1%10.7%6.4%
4Vegas Golden Knights (44-21-6, 94 pts)49.625.27.2106.4100.0%55.4%29.7%15.8%5.3%
5Toronto Maple Leafs (42-19-9, 93 pts)48.423.410.2107.0100.0%57.5%20.2%9.1%5.5%
6New York Rangers (41-20-10, 92 pts)47.223.811.0105.3100.0%47.8%23.4%9.1%5.2%
7Los Angeles Kings (41-20-10, 92 pts)46.924.011.1104.999.9%50.1%24.5%12.2%4.1%
8Dallas Stars (38-19-14, 90 pts)44.322.715.0103.699.7%51.9%25.8%12.5%4.1%
9Minnesota Wild (41-22-8, 90 pts)47.225.89.0103.499.8%50.1%24.8%12.7%4.1%
10Edmonton Oilers (41-23-8, 90 pts)46.926.38.8102.699.8%54.3%29.8%15.5%5.5%
11Tampa Bay Lightning (42-24-6, 90 pts)46.928.07.1100.999.8%42.4%12.9%4.9%2.3%
12Colorado Avalanche (41-23-6, 88 pts)48.127.07.0103.199.8%56.2%31.1%16.7%6.4%
13Seattle Kraken (39-24-7, 85 pts)45.628.38.199.396.3%41.7%17.8%8.2%2.5%
14Winnipeg Jets (40-29-3, 83 pts)45.332.74.094.768.2%26.6%11.2%4.5%1.4%
15New York Islanders (37-27-8, 82 pts)42.330.79.093.680.5%22.7%8.6%2.8%1.2%
16Pittsburgh Penguins (35-26-10, 80 pts)40.730.211.192.659.5%12.9%4.5%1.3%0.5%
17Florida Panthers (36-28-7, 79 pts)41.832.08.191.855.0%13.8%5.5%2.1%1.0%
18Calgary Flames (32-25-15, 79 pts)37.628.415.991.215.7%6.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
19Nashville Predators (35-26-8, 78 pts)41.131.59.491.620.8%7.4%2.7%0.8%0.3%
20Washington Capitals (33-31-8, 74 pts)37.835.19.184.71.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
21Ottawa Senators (34-32-5, 73 pts)39.236.66.284.61.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (33-31-6, 72 pts)38.536.27.384.41.8%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
23Detroit Red Wings (31-30-9, 71 pts)36.335.310.483.00.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (31-33-6, 68 pts)36.438.37.380.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Vancouver Canucks (31-34-5, 67 pts)37.138.76.280.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Arizona Coyotes (27-33-12, 66 pts)31.237.513.275.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Philadelphia Flyers (26-32-12, 64 pts)31.237.313.475.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (28-37-6, 62 pts)32.142.57.571.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Anaheim Ducks (23-38-10, 56 pts)27.043.511.565.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Chicago Blackhawks (24-40-6, 54 pts)28.745.87.564.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31San Jose Sharks (19-37-15, 53 pts)22.942.616.562.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Columbus Blue Jackets (22-41-7, 51 pts)26.347.18.661.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.