Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning | 52.6% 47.4% | -110 +100 -105 +100 | -1½+215 +1½-240 -1½+216 +1½-240 | 2 1 | -0.67015-0.68116 | -0.64190 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche | 40.2% 59.8% | +170 -185 +175 -190 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-135 -1½+131 | 3 2 | -1.01255-1.03022 | -0.91125 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning | 52.8% 47.2% | -103 -107 +100 -103 | +1½-260 +1½-255 -1½+230 +1½-230 | 3 2 | -0.70249-0.70051 | -0.63911 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning | 53.4% 46.6% | +104 -115 +107 -114 | +1½-250 -1½+215 +1½-250 -1½+221 | 2 6 | -0.65049-0.64546 | -0.76374 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche | 42.0% 58.0% | +126 -139 +135 -145 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+179 | 0 7 | -0.56577-0.54173 | -0.54437 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche | 42.0% 58.0% | +127 -140 +135 -145 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+187 | 3 4 | -0.56258-0.54173 | -0.54531 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 06/26/22| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win 1st Rd. | Win 2nd Rd. | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (56-19-7, 119 pts) | 56.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 119.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning (51-23-8, 110 pts) | 51.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | New York Rangers (52-24-6, 110 pts) | 52.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts) | 49.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 104.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Florida Panthers (58-18-6, 122 pts) | 58.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 122.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Carolina Hurricanes (54-20-8, 116 pts) | 54.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 116.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Calgary Flames (50-21-11, 111 pts) | 50.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 111.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | St. Louis Blues (49-22-11, 109 pts) | 49.0 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | Toronto Maple Leafs (54-21-7, 115 pts) | 54.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 115.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Minnesota Wild (53-22-7, 113 pts) | 53.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 113.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Boston Bruins (51-26-5, 107 pts) | 51.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 107.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Pittsburgh Penguins (46-25-11, 103 pts) | 46.0 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 103.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Washington Capitals (44-26-12, 100 pts) | 44.0 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts) | 44.0 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 99.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Dallas Stars (46-30-6, 98 pts) | 46.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Nashville Predators (45-30-7, 97 pts) | 45.0 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 97.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Vegas Golden Knights (43-31-8, 94 pts) | 43.0 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 94.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Vancouver Canucks (40-30-12, 92 pts) | 40.0 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Winnipeg Jets (39-32-11, 89 pts) | 39.0 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 89.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | New York Islanders (37-35-10, 84 pts) | 37.0 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 84.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Columbus Blue Jackets (37-38-7, 81 pts) | 37.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 81.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | San Jose Sharks (32-37-13, 77 pts) | 32.0 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 77.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Anaheim Ducks (31-37-14, 76 pts) | 31.0 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 76.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Buffalo Sabres (32-39-11, 75 pts) | 32.0 | 39.0 | 11.0 | 75.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Detroit Red Wings (32-40-10, 74 pts) | 32.0 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 74.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Ottawa Senators (33-42-7, 73 pts) | 33.0 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 73.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Chicago Blackhawks (28-42-12, 68 pts) | 28.0 | 42.0 | 12.0 | 68.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | New Jersey Devils (27-46-9, 63 pts) | 27.0 | 46.0 | 9.0 | 63.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers (25-46-11, 61 pts) | 25.0 | 46.0 | 11.0 | 61.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Seattle Kraken (27-49-6, 60 pts) | 27.0 | 49.0 | 6.0 | 60.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Arizona Coyotes (25-50-7, 57 pts) | 25.0 | 50.0 | 7.0 | 57.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Montreal Canadiens (22-49-11, 55 pts) | 22.0 | 49.0 | 11.0 | 55.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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