All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.
Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Tuesday, December 18th, 2018
| Date |
Time |
Teams |
Lines – Updated 12/18 @ 1:53 pm |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Goals |
 |
 |
 |
| 12/18 |
7:00 pm |
Florida |
+114 |
+115 |
+115 |
44.4% |
2.73 |
5.79 |
| Buffalo |
-126 |
-135 |
-125 |
55.6% |
3.05 |
| 12/18 |
7:00 pm |
Toronto |
-150 |
-170 |
-165 |
57.1% |
3.19 |
5.96 |
| New Jersey |
+136 |
+150 |
+145 |
42.9% |
2.77 |
| 12/18 |
7:00 pm |
Anaheim |
+128 |
+125 |
+130 |
42% |
2.88 |
6.27 |
| NY Rangers |
-141 |
-145 |
-140 |
58% |
3.39 |
| 12/18 |
7:00 pm |
Detroit |
+158 |
+155 |
+162 |
32.9% |
2.47 |
5.95 |
| Philadelphia |
-175 |
-175 |
-172 |
67.1% |
3.48 |
| 12/18 |
8:00 pm |
San Jose |
+107 |
+100 |
+105 |
47.2% |
2.94 |
6.05 |
| Minnesota |
-118 |
-120 |
-125 |
52.8% |
3.11 |
| 12/18 |
8:30 pm |
Nashville |
-140 |
-150 |
-145 |
59.1% |
3.24 |
5.94 |
| Chicago |
+127 |
+130 |
+135 |
40.9% |
2.70 |
| 12/18 |
8:30 pm |
Calgary |
-123 |
-125 |
-118 |
54.1% |
2.74 |
5.27 |
| Dallas |
+111 |
+105 |
+108 |
45.9% |
2.52 |
| 12/18 |
9:00 pm |
NY Islanders |
+119 |
+115 |
+117 |
37.4% |
2.69 |
6.16 |
| Arizona |
-131 |
-135 |
-127 |
62.6% |
3.47 |
| 12/18 |
9:00 pm |
St Louis |
+134 |
+135 |
+140 |
40.3% |
2.61 |
5.78 |
| Edmonton |
-148 |
-155 |
-150 |
59.7% |
3.17 |
| 12/18 |
10:00 pm |
Tampa Bay |
-176 |
-180 |
-210 |
67% |
3.55 |
6.07 |
| Vancouver |
+159 |
+160 |
+175 |
33% |
2.52 |
| 12/18 |
10:30 pm |
Winnipeg |
-154 |
-160 |
-147 |
64% |
3.29 |
5.77 |
| Los Angeles |
+139 |
+140 |
+137 |
36% |
2.48 |
The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.
Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis
Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. Games with an orange check mark have significant bet value on one or more of the money line, puck line and over/under.
Anaheim Ducks vs. New York Rangers Game Analysis
Time: 7:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Anaheim Ducks |
19-11-5 |
17 |
-0.3 |
2.66 |
2.86 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| New York Rangers |
14-13-5 |
23 |
-1.83 |
2.94 |
3.31 |
| Starting Goalies: C Johnson (ANA) – Record: 2-6-0, A Georgiev (NYR) – Record: 4-4-0 |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey Devils Game Analysis
Time: 7:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Toronto Maple Leafs |
21-10-2 |
2 |
2.61 |
3.55 |
2.82 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| New Jersey Devils |
11-13-7 |
28 |
-3.96 |
3 |
3.58 |
| Starting Goalies: F Andersen (TOR) – Record: 17-9-1, K Kinkaid (NJD) – Record: 11-8-6 |
Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers Game Analysis
Time: 7:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Detroit Red Wings |
14-15-5 |
26 |
7.2 |
2.88 |
3.38 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Philadelphia Flyers |
12-15-4 |
21 |
-0.87 |
3 |
3.74 |
| Starting Goalies: J Howard (DET) – Record: 10-7-4, C Hart (PHI) – Record: 0-0-0 |
Florida Panthers vs. Buffalo Sabres Game Analysis
Time: 7:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Florida Panthers |
12-13-6 |
24 |
-9.09 |
3.26 |
3.65 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Buffalo Sabres |
20-9-5 |
14 |
5.45 |
3.09 |
2.88 |
| Starting Goalies: R Luongo (FLA) – Record: 6-5-1, C Hutton (BUF) – Record: 13-8-2 |
San Jose Sharks vs. Minnesota Wild Game Analysis
Time: 8:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| San Jose Sharks |
18-11-5 |
11 |
9.57 |
3.29 |
3 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Minnesota Wild |
17-13-2 |
13 |
1.91 |
3.16 |
2.84 |
| Starting Goalies: M Jones (SJ) – Record: 13-7-3, D Dubnyk (MIN) – Record: 12-10-2 |
Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars Game Analysis
Time: 8:30 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Calgary Flames |
22-10-2 |
4 |
6.64 |
3.59 |
2.74 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Dallas Stars |
16-14-3 |
12 |
-5.15 |
2.79 |
2.82 |
| Starting Goalies: D Rittich (CGY) – Record: 11-3-1, B Bishop (DAL) – Record: 10-8-1 |
Nashville Predators vs. Chicago Blackhawks Game Analysis
Time: 8:30 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Nashville Predators |
22-10-2 |
3 |
2.32 |
3.15 |
2.53 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Chicago Blackhawks |
10-19-6 |
31 |
-5.17 |
2.83 |
3.86 |
| Starting Goalies: P Rinne (NSH) – Record: 14-5-1, C Ward (CHI) – Record: 4-5-4 |
St. Louis Blues vs. Edmonton Oilers Game Analysis
Time: 9:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| St. Louis Blues |
12-15-4 |
25 |
4.46 |
2.84 |
3.45 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Edmonton Oilers |
18-13-3 |
10 |
0.32 |
2.88 |
2.97 |
| Starting Goalies: J Allen (STL) – Record: 10-9-4, C Talbot (EDM) – Record: 7-9-2 |
New York Islanders vs. Arizona Coyotes Game Analysis
Time: 9:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| New York Islanders |
16-12-4 |
22 |
2.91 |
2.91 |
2.88 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Arizona Coyotes |
14-16-2 |
20 |
3.17 |
2.53 |
2.78 |
| Starting Goalies: R Lehner (NYI) – Record: 4-6-3, D Kuemper (ARI) – Record: 4-7-2 |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vancouver Canucks Game Analysis
Time: 10:00 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Tampa Bay Lightning |
25-7-2 |
1 |
-0.36 |
4.06 |
2.85 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Vancouver Canucks |
16-16-4 |
27 |
4.86 |
3.06 |
3.28 |
| Starting Goalies: A Vasilevskiy (TB) – Record: 10-3-2, J Markstrom (VAN) – Record: 13-9-3 |
Winnipeg Jets vs. Los Angeles Kings Game Analysis
Time: 10:30 pm ET
| Team |
Record |
Team Rank |
Units W/L |
Goals PG |
Opp Goals PG |
More Info |
| Winnipeg Jets |
22-9-2 |
5 |
-10.52 |
3.67 |
2.85 |
Matchup and Bet Value |
| Los Angeles Kings |
11-20-3 |
30 |
-12.5 |
2.21 |
3.12 |
| Starting Goalies: C Hellebuyck (WPG) – Record: 15-8-1, J Quick (LA) – Record: 2-8-2 |
Tomorrow’s NHL Game Predictions – Wednesday, December 19th, 2018
| Date |
Matchup |
Teams |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Goals |
| 12/19 |
Pittsburgh at Washington |
Pittsburgh |
39.3% |
2.81 |
6.30 |
| Washington |
60.7% |
3.49 |
| 12/19 |
Montreal at Colorado |
Montreal |
36.3% |
2.49 |
5.76 |
| Colorado |
63.7% |
3.27 |
Tomorrow’s game projections are simply listed with the odds for each team to win and score projections. We do not post the lines for these games because in most cases the lines aren’t out yet. These numbers may change on game day as we have more information about starting goalies, injuries, etc.
Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results
| Date |
Teams |
|
DRatings Odds to Win |
Final Score |
GTBets Log Loss |
DRatings Log Loss |
| 12/17 |
VGK |
+120 |
0.383 |
0 |
-0.57618 |
-0.48289 |
| CBJ |
-140 |
0.617 |
1 |
| 12/17 |
ANA |
+155 |
0.355 |
4 |
-0.96421 |
-1.03564 |
| PIT |
-175 |
0.645 |
2 |
| 12/17 |
NSH |
-175 |
0.693 |
3 |
-0.96421 |
-1.18091 |
| OTT |
+155 |
0.307 |
4 |
| 12/17 |
BOS |
+125 |
0.439 |
4 |
-0.84657 |
-0.82326 |
| MTL |
-145 |
0.561 |
0 |
| 12/17 |
NYI |
+150 |
0.341 |
4 |
-0.94549 |
-1.07587 |
| COL |
-170 |
0.659 |
1 |
The table above lists how our projections have done against 5Dimes (which is representative of most sportsbooks). Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.
NHL Season Prediction Results
Yesterday
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| 5Dimes |
5 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
0.2 |
-0.85933 |
| DRatings |
5 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
0.2 |
-0.91971 |
Last Week
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| 5Dimes |
52 |
35 |
17 |
0 |
0.673 |
-0.63549 |
| DRatings |
52 |
34 |
18 |
0 |
0.654 |
-0.62837 |
Last Two Weeks
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| 5Dimes |
101 |
66 |
32 |
3 |
0.668 |
-0.64652 |
| DRatings |
101 |
62 |
39 |
0 |
0.614 |
-0.64912 |
2018-2019
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| 5Dimes |
516 |
293 |
206 |
17 |
0.584 |
-0.67725 |
| DRatings |
516 |
299 |
215 |
2 |
0.581 |
-0.68021 |
All Time
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
1871 |
1087 |
741 |
43 |
0.592 |
-0.67157 |
| DRatings |
1871 |
1073 |
792 |
6 |
0.575 |
-0.67599 |
NHL Futures and Playoff Probabilities
Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.
NHL Record and Points Projection
Below are the projected records for every team in the NHL along with the probabilities that they win their division.
| Atlantic | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj OT Losses | Proj Points | Prob Win Division | Prob to Make Playoffs |
| Boston | 43.7 | 28.2 | 10.1 | 97.5 | 5.0% | 77.2% |
| Buffalo | 43.4 | 28.3 | 10.3 | 97.1 | 3.2% | 74.1% |
| Detroit | 35.4 | 35.4 | 11.3 | 82.0 | 0.1% | 7.8% |
| Florida | 37.2 | 32.0 | 12.8 | 87.2 | 0.2% | 25.9% |
| Montreal | 38.9 | 31.3 | 11.8 | 89.5 | 0.4% | 39.5% |
| Ottawa | 33.9 | 36.9 | 11.3 | 79.0 | 0.0% | 4.2% |
| Tampa Bay | 52.5 | 23.2 | 6.3 | 111.3 | 64.1% | 99.6% |
| Toronto | 49.6 | 25.7 | 6.7 | 105.9 | 27.0% | 97.0% |
| Metropolitan | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj OT Losses | Proj Points | Prob Win Division | Prob to Make Playoffs |
| Carolina | 40.5 | 31.1 | 10.4 | 91.5 | 10.2% | 52.4% |
| Columbus | 43.5 | 30.4 | 8.1 | 95.1 | 21.3% | 70.9% |
| NY Islanders | 39.0 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 88.9 | 4.7% | 34.9% |
| NY Rangers | 37.6 | 34.3 | 10.1 | 85.4 | 2.0% | 19.4% |
| New Jersey | 35.7 | 33.5 | 12.8 | 84.2 | 2.2% | 17.2% |
| Philadelphia | 38.1 | 33.8 | 10.1 | 86.3 | 2.7% | 25.6% |
| Pittsburgh | 41.2 | 28.5 | 12.3 | 94.6 | 16.4% | 67.5% |
| Washington | 45.2 | 27.7 | 9.1 | 99.6 | 40.5% | 86.8% |
| Central | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj OT Losses | Proj Points | Prob Win Division | Prob to Make Playoffs |
| Chicago | 31.8 | 38.4 | 11.8 | 75.4 | 0.0% | 1.5% |
| Colorado | 44.0 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 99.0 | 13.1% | 85.4% |
| Dallas | 41.3 | 30.9 | 9.7 | 92.4 | 3.9% | 56.4% |
| Minnesota | 43.6 | 30.3 | 8.1 | 95.2 | 5.7% | 72.6% |
| Nashville | 49.5 | 26.0 | 6.4 | 105.5 | 46.8% | 97.7% |
| St Louis | 36.8 | 34.3 | 10.8 | 84.5 | 0.2% | 19.5% |
| Winnipeg | 47.6 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 103.1 | 30.3% | 95.0% |
| Pacific | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj OT Losses | Proj Points | Prob Win Division | Prob to Make Playoffs |
| Anaheim | 39.7 | 30.7 | 11.6 | 90.9 | 6.6% | 47.9% |
| Arizona | 38.3 | 34.8 | 8.9 | 85.6 | 1.7% | 23.3% |
| Calgary | 45.8 | 28.1 | 8.1 | 99.6 | 39.5% | 89.7% |
| Edmonton | 42.1 | 31.3 | 8.6 | 92.9 | 12.8% | 60.8% |
| Los Angeles | 33.9 | 39.3 | 8.8 | 76.6 | 0.3% | 2.6% |
| San Jose | 43.5 | 28.0 | 10.6 | 97.5 | 27.1% | 80.3% |
| Vancouver | 34.7 | 37.3 | 10.1 | 79.4 | 0.2% | 6.0% |
| Vegas | 42.9 | 32.0 | 7.1 | 93.0 | 11.8% | 61.3% |
NHL Odds to Advance In Playoffs
Below are the odds to advance to different stages in the playoffs.
| East | Team | To Make Playoffs | ML to Make Playoffs | Prob to Win Conf | ML to Win Conf | Prob to Win Cup | ML to Win Cup |
| Atlantic | Boston | 77.2% | -339 | 7.8% | +1182 | 3.7% | +2603 |
| Atlantic | Buffalo | 74.1% | -286 | 5.7% | +1654 | 2.6% | +3746 |
| Atlantic | Detroit | 7.8% | +1182 | 0.1% | +99900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| Atlantic | Florida | 25.9% | +286 | 1.0% | +9900 | 0.1% | +99900 |
| Atlantic | Montreal | 39.5% | +153 | 1.4% | +7043 | 0.5% | +19900 |
| Atlantic | Ottawa | 4.2% | +2281 | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| Atlantic | Tampa Bay | 99.6% | -24900 | 26.7% | +275 | 13.6% | +635 |
| Atlantic | Toronto | 97.0% | -3233 | 16.6% | +502 | 8.1% | +1135 |
| Metropolitan | Carolina | 52.4% | -110 | 4.8% | +1983 | 1.5% | +6567 |
| Metropolitan | Columbus | 70.9% | -244 | 10.3% | +871 | 5.4% | +1752 |
| Metropolitan | NY Islanders | 34.9% | +187 | 1.0% | +9900 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| Metropolitan | NY Rangers | 19.4% | +415 | 1.1% | +8991 | 0.3% | +33233 |
| Metropolitan | New Jersey | 17.2% | +481 | 1.3% | +7592 | 0.5% | +19900 |
| Metropolitan | Philadelphia | 25.6% | +291 | 1.3% | +7592 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| Metropolitan | Pittsburgh | 67.5% | -208 | 8.5% | +1076 | 3.3% | +2930 |
| Metropolitan | Washington | 86.8% | -658 | 12.4% | +706 | 5.9% | +1595 |
| West | Team | To Make Playoffs | ML to Make Playoffs | Prob to Win Conf | ML to Win Conf | Prob to Win Cup | ML to Win Cup |
| Central | Chicago | 1.5% | +6567 | 0.1% | +99900 | 0.1% | +99900 |
| Central | Colorado | 85.4% | -585 | 11.2% | +793 | 5.3% | +1787 |
| Central | Dallas | 56.4% | -129 | 3.2% | +3025 | 1.1% | +8991 |
| Central | Minnesota | 72.6% | -265 | 6.9% | +1349 | 3.5% | +2757 |
| Central | Nashville | 97.7% | -4248 | 25.1% | +298 | 16.9% | +492 |
| Central | St Louis | 19.5% | +413 | 1.3% | +7592 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| Central | Winnipeg | 95.0% | -1900 | 18.2% | +449 | 10.0% | +900 |
| Pacific | Anaheim | 47.9% | +109 | 1.2% | +8233 | 0.3% | +33233 |
| Pacific | Arizona | 23.3% | +329 | 1.0% | +9900 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| Pacific | Calgary | 89.7% | -871 | 9.6% | +942 | 4.3% | +2226 |
| Pacific | Edmonton | 60.8% | -155 | 3.2% | +3025 | 1.7% | +5782 |
| Pacific | Los Angeles | 2.6% | +3746 | 0.2% | +49900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| Pacific | San Jose | 80.3% | -408 | 12.4% | +706 | 6.8% | +1371 |
| Pacific | Vancouver | 6.0% | +1567 | 0.2% | +49900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| Pacific | Vegas | 61.3% | -158 | 6.2% | +1513 | 2.9% | +3348 |
