NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Capitals (3-1-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (1-3-1)
Charlie Lindgren
Samuel Ersson
46.8%
53.2%
+103
-113
+100
-110
+1½-260
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+225
2.70
3.05
5.75
o6+109
u6-120
o6+105
u6-125
Minnesota Wild (3-0-2)
Florida Panthers (4-2-1)
Filip Gustavsson
Sergei Bobrovsky
39.7%
60.3%
+128
-143
+132
-140
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
2.52
3.56
6.08
o6+102
u5½+110
o5½-125
u5½+105
Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0)
New Jersey Devils (5-2-1)
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jacob Markström
44.5%
55.5%
+135
-160
+142
-160
+1½-180
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.07
3.66
6.73
o6½-120
u6½+100
o6½-120
u6½+100
Dallas Stars (5-1-0)
Buffalo Sabres (2-4-1)
Jake Oettinger
Unknown
56.9%
43.1%
-148
+136
-145
+135
-1½+168
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
3.38
2.63
6.01
o6+100
u6-113
o6+105
u6-120
New York Rangers (4-0-1)
Montreal Canadiens (2-3-1)
Igor Shesterkin
Sam Montembeault
63.4%
36.6%
-204
+184
-210
+205
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-128
3.54
2.40
5.94
o6-115
u6+102
o6-115
u6+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Maple Leafs (3-2-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (2-3-0)
Anthony Stolarz
Daniil Tarasov
62.9%
37.1%
-230
+190
-225
+193
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
3.89
2.75
6.64
o6½-115
u6½-105
o6½-115
u6½-105
Detroit Red Wings (2-3-0)
New York Islanders (2-1-2)
Alex Lyon
Ilya Sorokin
45.7%
54.3%
+134
-148
+130
-140
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2.83
3.30
6.13
o6-115
u6+105
o6-120
u6+105
Winnipeg Jets (5-0-0)
St. Louis Blues (4-2-0)
Unknown
Joel Hofer
56.6%
43.4%
-146
+133
-150
+137
-1½+175
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
3.16
2.44
5.60
o6+103
u6-118
o6+105
u6-120
Vancouver Canucks (2-1-2)
Chicago Blackhawks (2-3-1)
Kevin Lankinen
Arvid Söderblom
64.9%
35.1%
-169
+155
-165
+155
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.52
2.32
5.84
o6-109
u6-103
o6-110
u6+100
Colorado Avalanche (2-4-0)
Seattle Kraken (4-2-0)
Unknown
Joey Daccord
51.8%
48.2%
-117
+105
-115
+111
-1½+210
+1½-225
-1½+210
+1½-235
3.09
2.90
5.99
o6½-103
u6½-110
o6½-105
u6½-110
Boston Bruins (3-2-1)
Nashville Predators (0-5-0)
Jeremy Swayman
Juuse Saros
50.0%
50.0%
+109
-118
+106
-113
+1½-245
-1½+205
+1½-240
-1½+210
2.88
2.89
5.77
o6-103
u6-110
o6-110
u6-110
Carolina Hurricanes (2-2-0)
Edmonton Oilers (2-4-0)
Pyotr Kochetkov
Stuart Skinner
46.6%
53.4%
+119
-131
+120
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
2.92
3.28
6.20
o6-118
u6+106
o6-120
u6+105
Ottawa Senators (3-2-0)
Utah Hockey Club (4-1-1)
Anton Forsberg
Connor Ingram
50.8%
49.2%
-102
-110
+100
-108
+1½-240
-1½+205
+1½-240
-1½+210
3.22
3.12
6.34
o6½-108
u6½-108
o6½-110
u6½-110
Pittsburgh Penguins (3-4-0)
Calgary Flames (4-0-1)
Unknown
Daniel Vladař
48.9%
51.1%
-102
-110
-104
-102
+1½-250
-1½+215
-1½+225
+1½-261
3.01
3.12
6.13
o6½-103
u6½-111
o6½-105
u6½-110
San Jose Sharks (0-4-2)
Anaheim Ducks (2-2-1)
Unknown
Unknown
41.2%
58.8%
+156
-165
+155
-169
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-164
-1½+150
2.50
3.45
5.95
o6+104
u6-117
o6+105
u6-120
Los Angeles Kings (3-1-2)
Vegas Golden Knights (3-2-1)
Unknown
Unknown
44.6%
55.4%
+127
-140
+130
-137
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+185
2.59
3.17
5.76
o6+102
u6-113
o6+100
u6-115
Games for Oct 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
45.5%
54.5%
+119
-130
+116
-125
+1½-207
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+190
2
5
-0.59214-0.60613-0.60726
Los Angeles Kings
Anaheim Ducks
64.4%
35.6%
-170
+155
-170
+157
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-155
4
1
-0.48418-0.48119-0.44037
Colorado Avalanche
San Jose Sharks
70.7%
29.3%
-270
+237
-268
+245
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
1
-0.34121-0.33505-0.34653
Pittsburgh Penguins
Winnipeg Jets
39.6%
60.4%
+115
-124
+114
-116
+1½-198
-1½+183
+1½-185
-1½+197
3
6
-0.60989-0.62601-0.50501
Calgary Flames
Seattle Kraken
44.7%
55.3%
+129
-143
+130
-139
+1½-193
-1½+172
+1½-200
-1½+185
1
2
-0.55506-0.55823-0.59218
Boston Bruins
Utah Hockey Club
59.0%
41.0%
-137
+131
-130
+125
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+190
+1½-210
1
2
-0.84814-0.82055-0.89235
Buffalo Sabres
Chicago Blackhawks
59.1%
40.9%
-139
+127
-140
+130
-1½+170
+1½-183
-1½+175
+1½-185
4
2
-0.56387-0.55696-0.52547
Carolina Hurricanes
St. Louis Blues
57.2%
42.8%
-159
+145
-160
+148
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
3
4
-0.91792-0.92669-0.84889
Vancouver Canucks
Philadelphia Flyers
54.9%
45.1%
-140
+127
-140
+131
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-195
3
0
-0.56258-0.55511-0.59973
Washington Capitals
New Jersey Devils
36.9%
63.1%
+156
-169
+160
-165
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+149
6
5
-0.95870-0.96273-0.99764
New York Rangers
Toronto Maple Leafs
47.0%
53.0%
+110
-124
+114
-120
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
4
1
-0.77126-0.77347-0.75466
Montreal Canadiens
New York Islanders
36.7%
63.3%
+203
-228
+215
-230
+1½-129
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+110
3
4
-0.38850-0.37533-0.45771
Minnesota Wild
Columbus Blue Jackets
59.6%
40.4%
-172
+157
-171
+160
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
1
-0.47955-0.47594-0.51758
Vegas Golden Knights
Florida Panthers
44.4%
55.6%
+111
-123
+110
-115
+1½-235
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+210
3
4
-0.62018-0.63673-0.58783
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
48.0%
52.0%
-116
+103
-115
+114
-1½+225
+1½-236
-1½+220
+1½-224
1
4
-0.73727-0.76297-0.65425
Detroit Red Wings
Nashville Predators
42.5%
57.5%
+180
-197
+180
-196
+1½-138
-1½+127
+1½-142
-1½+125
5
2
-1.04985-1.04874-0.85576
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.59214 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.60613 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.60726
-0.01512
-0.00113

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/20/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1New York Rangers (4-0-1, 9 pts)47.226.78.1102.487.5%64.2%41.0%23.8%14.3%
2Dallas Stars (5-1-0, 10 pts)47.227.87.1101.485.3%59.2%37.3%23.2%13.1%
3Florida Panthers (4-2-1, 9 pts)46.327.97.8100.482.6%53.4%34.3%19.6%11.4%
4Edmonton Oilers (2-4-0, 4 pts)44.030.97.195.268.4%44.9%28.6%15.9%8.7%
5Carolina Hurricanes (2-2-0, 4 pts)45.129.57.397.677.0%49.0%27.3%15.6%8.7%
6Winnipeg Jets (5-0-0, 10 pts)46.727.77.6100.986.2%47.3%25.9%14.7%7.4%
7Toronto Maple Leafs (3-2-0, 6 pts)43.930.67.695.366.0%42.5%21.2%10.1%5.1%
8Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0, 6 pts)44.330.07.796.369.8%37.4%18.0%8.0%3.9%
9Vegas Golden Knights (3-2-1, 7 pts)42.930.58.694.467.0%35.9%19.2%8.9%3.8%
10Colorado Avalanche (2-4-0, 4 pts)42.631.97.592.757.6%28.3%14.8%8.3%3.8%
11Vancouver Canucks (2-1-2, 6 pts)42.629.89.794.867.2%39.3%18.0%8.0%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (3-2-1, 7 pts)42.830.88.493.961.3%31.5%14.8%6.8%2.9%
13New Jersey Devils (5-2-1, 11 pts)43.530.08.495.567.2%28.9%13.0%5.8%2.5%
14Los Angeles Kings (3-1-2, 8 pts)42.429.99.694.564.9%31.3%15.2%6.4%2.4%
15Minnesota Wild (3-0-2, 8 pts)41.330.610.092.759.2%22.4%8.3%3.3%1.1%
16Nashville Predators (0-5-0, 0 pts)39.234.97.986.330.3%15.4%6.8%3.0%1.1%
17New York Islanders (2-1-2, 6 pts)40.431.410.291.049.2%20.1%7.1%2.5%0.9%
18St. Louis Blues (4-2-0, 8 pts)41.332.58.290.947.3%17.7%6.5%2.4%0.8%
19Ottawa Senators (3-2-0, 6 pts)40.533.28.389.341.6%15.0%4.7%1.7%0.6%
20Detroit Red Wings (2-3-0, 4 pts)40.133.88.188.338.6%11.8%4.3%1.8%0.6%
21Pittsburgh Penguins (3-4-0, 6 pts)39.934.08.188.035.9%15.2%5.1%1.6%0.6%
22Calgary Flames (4-0-1, 9 pts)41.531.29.392.354.1%20.5%7.6%2.3%0.6%
23Utah Hockey Club (4-1-1, 9 pts)40.632.19.390.545.1%16.6%5.4%2.0%0.6%
24Seattle Kraken (4-2-0, 8 pts)41.032.98.190.145.8%16.3%5.6%1.5%0.5%
25Washington Capitals (3-1-0, 6 pts)40.633.18.389.543.9%15.4%4.4%1.4%0.5%
26Buffalo Sabres (2-4-1, 5 pts)38.734.39.086.531.0%6.8%2.6%0.9%0.3%
27Philadelphia Flyers (1-3-1, 3 pts)37.235.29.683.922.1%5.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
28Anaheim Ducks (2-2-1, 5 pts)34.137.510.478.610.6%2.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
29Montreal Canadiens (2-3-1, 5 pts)35.436.79.880.713.1%1.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
30Columbus Blue Jackets (2-3-0, 4 pts)35.137.59.479.613.2%1.7%0.3%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (2-3-1, 5 pts)34.337.510.278.89.9%2.1%0.4%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (0-4-2, 2 pts)29.340.911.870.51.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.