All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.
Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Thursday, October 17th, 2019
| Date |
Time |
Teams |
Lines – Updated 10/17 @ 9:14 am |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Goals |
 |
 |
 |
| 10/17 |
7:00 pm |
Tampa Bay |
+107 |
+105 |
+110 |
41.5% |
2.84 |
6.21 |
| Boston |
-118 |
-125 |
-120 |
58.5% |
3.37 |
| 10/17 |
7:00 pm |
Minnesota |
+137 |
+135 |
+140 |
35.7% |
2.46 |
5.75 |
| Montreal |
-151 |
-155 |
-150 |
64.3% |
3.29 |
| 10/17 |
7:00 pm |
NY Rangers |
+108 |
+105 |
+110 |
47.9% |
2.97 |
6.07 |
| New Jersey |
-119 |
-125 |
-120 |
52.1% |
3.09 |
| 10/17 |
8:00 pm |
Vancouver |
+173 |
+165 |
+167 |
30.8% |
2.14 |
5.31 |
| St Louis |
-193 |
-190 |
-178 |
69.2% |
3.16 |
| 10/17 |
8:00 pm |
NY Islanders |
+115 |
+110 |
+115 |
47.3% |
2.64 |
5.43 |
| Winnipeg |
-127 |
-130 |
-125 |
52.7% |
2.78 |
| 10/17 |
9:00 pm |
Detroit |
+205 |
+200 |
+215 |
30.4% |
2.47 |
6.15 |
| Calgary |
-230 |
-240 |
-235 |
69.6% |
3.68 |
| 10/17 |
10:00 pm |
Nashville |
-120 |
-125 |
-120 |
50.9% |
2.33 |
4.62 |
| Arizona |
+109 |
+105 |
+110 |
49.1% |
2.29 |
| 10/17 |
10:00 pm |
Ottawa |
+252 |
+250 |
+265 |
21.9% |
2.30 |
6.40 |
| Vegas |
-285 |
-300 |
-295 |
78.1% |
4.10 |
| 10/17 |
10:30 pm |
Buffalo |
+109 |
+100 |
+115 |
45.1% |
2.97 |
6.25 |
| Los Angeles |
-120 |
-120 |
-125 |
54.9% |
3.27 |
The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.
Yesterday’s NHL Game Prediction Results
| Date |
Teams |
SB Consensus |
DRatings to Win |
Final Score |
SB Consensus Log Loss |
DRatings Log Loss |
| 10/16 |
TOR |
+115 |
0.423 |
2 |
-0.60825 |
-0.54991 |
| WAS |
-125 |
0.577 |
4 |
| 10/16 |
COL |
-103 |
0.449 |
2 |
-0.6839 |
-0.59602 |
| PIT |
-107 |
0.551 |
3 |
| 10/16 |
DAL |
-110 |
0.425 |
2 |
-0.71668 |
-0.55339 |
| CBJ |
+100 |
0.575 |
3 |
| 10/16 |
PHI |
+118 |
0.364 |
3 |
-0.59723 |
-0.45256 |
| EDM |
-128 |
0.636 |
6 |
| 10/16 |
BUF |
+120 |
0.414 |
2 |
-0.59011 |
-0.53444 |
| ANA |
-130 |
0.586 |
5 |
| 10/16 |
CAR |
+120 |
0.452 |
2 |
-0.59011 |
-0.60148 |
| SJS |
-130 |
0.548 |
5 |
The table above lists how our projections have done against the sportsbook consensus. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.
NHL Season Prediction Results
Yesterday
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
6 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0.833 |
-0.63105 |
| DRatings |
6 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-0.54797 |
Last Week
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
54 |
32 |
22 |
0 |
0.593 |
-0.67283 |
| DRatings |
54 |
36 |
18 |
0 |
0.667 |
-0.63873 |
Last Month
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
97 |
57 |
40 |
0 |
0.588 |
-0.68018 |
| DRatings |
97 |
59 |
38 |
0 |
0.608 |
-0.6686 |
2018-2019
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
97 |
57 |
40 |
0 |
0.588 |
-0.68018 |
| DRatings |
97 |
59 |
38 |
0 |
0.608 |
-0.6686 |
All Time
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Sportsbooks |
1452 |
851 |
575 |
26 |
0.595 |
-0.67335 |
| DRatings |
1452 |
833 |
615 |
4 |
0.575 |
-0.67701 |
