NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dallas Stars
57.6%
42.4%
-175
+160
-170
+156
2
0
-0.46861-0.47884-0.55114
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.5%
59.5%
+152
-165
+150
-165
3
2
-0.94907-0.94500-0.90419
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dallas Stars
57.8%
42.2%
-155
+142
-150
+140
5
4
-0.51532-0.52482-0.54839
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dallas Stars
56.9%
43.1%
-160
+146
-155
+148
5
2
-0.50345-0.50700-0.56405
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.1%
56.9%
+145
-158
+145
-155
2
3
-0.50730-0.51109-0.56349
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.9%
56.1%
+143
-150
+141
-150
4
1
-0.90199-0.89779-0.82367
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/28/20
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Tampa Bay Lightning (60-24-10, 130 pts)43.021.06.092.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Dallas Stars (52-32-11, 115 pts)37.024.08.082.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights (51-29-11, 113 pts)39.024.08.086.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4New York Islanders (48-28-14, 110 pts)35.023.010.080.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Boston Bruins (49-19-15, 113 pts)44.014.012.0100.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Colorado Avalanche (51-24-10, 112 pts)42.020.08.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (51-27-7, 109 pts)41.021.07.089.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Vancouver Canucks (46-34-6, 98 pts)36.027.06.078.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9St. Louis Blues (44-25-11, 99 pts)42.019.010.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Washington Capitals (43-24-10, 96 pts)41.020.08.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-7, 89 pts)40.023.06.086.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Edmonton Oilers (38-28-9, 85 pts)37.025.09.083.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Columbus Blue Jackets (37-25-18, 92 pts)33.022.015.081.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Carolina Hurricanes (42-28-6, 90 pts)38.025.05.081.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Toronto Maple Leafs (38-27-10, 86 pts)36.025.09.081.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Winnipeg Jets (38-31-6, 82 pts)37.028.06.080.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New York Rangers (37-31-5, 79 pts)37.028.05.079.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Calgary Flames (41-31-8, 90 pts)36.027.07.079.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Nashville Predators (36-28-9, 81 pts)35.026.08.078.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Florida Panthers (36-29-8, 80 pts)35.026.08.078.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Minnesota Wild (36-30-7, 79 pts)35.027.07.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Arizona Coyotes (37-34-8, 82 pts)33.029.08.074.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Blackhawks (36-34-9, 81 pts)32.030.08.072.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Montreal Canadiens (36-36-9, 81 pts)31.031.09.071.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25New Jersey Devils (28-29-12, 68 pts)28.029.012.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (30-31-8, 68 pts)30.031.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Anaheim Ducks (29-33-9, 67 pts)29.033.09.067.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Los Angeles Kings (29-35-6, 64 pts)29.035.06.064.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (29-36-5, 63 pts)29.036.05.063.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Ottawa Senators (25-34-12, 62 pts)25.034.012.062.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Detroit Red Wings (17-49-5, 39 pts)17.049.05.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.