NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 8, 2022

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville Predators (12-9-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (15-9-1)
Juuse Saros
Brian Elliott
39.0%
61.0%
+162
-180
+162
-179
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+141
2.51
3.57
6.08
o6-127
u6+115
o6-125
u6+105
Los Angeles Kings (14-10-4)
Toronto Maple Leafs (16-5-6)
Jonathan Quick
Ilya Samsonov
35.9%
64.1%
+156
-173
+155
-167
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
2.61
3.78
6.39
o6-107
u6-103
o6-110
u6-110
Detroit Red Wings (13-7-5)
Florida Panthers (12-10-4)
Ville Husso
Sergei Bobrovsky
32.1%
67.9%
+188
-205
+184
-200
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+130
2.60
3.90
6.50
o6½-102
u6½-108
o6½-105
u6½-110
Winnipeg Jets (16-7-1)
St. Louis Blues (12-14-0)
Connor Hellebuyck
Thomas Greiss
49.5%
50.5%
-122
+112
-119
+112
-1½+215
+1½-241
-1½+210
+1½-240
2.98
3.03
6.01
o6-105
u6-105
o6-105
u6-110
Ottawa Senators (10-14-1)
Dallas Stars (14-7-5)
Anton Forsberg
Jake Oettinger
36.9%
63.1%
+173
-190
+175
-188
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
2.59
3.72
6.31
o6½-123
u6½+112
o6½-120
u6½+105
Games for Dec 7, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Canucks
San Jose Sharks
56.1%
43.9%
-110
+105
-115
+108
-1½+210
+1½-240
-1½+205
+1½-230
6
5
-0.65817-0.64124-0.57770
New York Rangers
Vegas Golden Knights
44.3%
55.7%
+108
-119
+120
-122
+1½-212
-1½+188
+1½-200
-1½+194
5
1
-0.75624-0.79255-0.81367
Arizona Coyotes
Edmonton Oilers
29.5%
70.5%
+248
-281
+250
-270
+1½+107
-1½-121
+1½+100
-1½-118
2
8
-0.32903-0.33041-0.34995
Boston Bruins
Colorado Avalanche
50.8%
49.2%
-167
+160
-170
+155
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
0
-0.47929-0.48418-0.67676
Minnesota Wild
Calgary Flames
43.5%
56.5%
+130
-144
+131
-142
+1½-196
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.55199-0.55259-0.57052
Buffalo Sabres
Columbus Blue Jackets
59.0%
41.0%
-160
+145
-154
+140
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+163
+1½-165
9
4
-0.50878-0.52308-0.52701
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks76-1 (0.857)0-0.55066 
Sportsbooks76-1 (0.857)0-0.55713 
DRatings76-1 (0.857)0-0.58573
-0.03507
-0.02860

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/07/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (21-3-1, 43 pts)55.420.95.7116.5100.0%68.3%42.2%27.8%18.3%
2New Jersey Devils (21-4-1, 43 pts)50.425.06.6107.498.0%48.3%23.4%9.7%4.7%
3Vegas Golden Knights (19-8-1, 39 pts)48.227.76.1102.593.6%51.4%27.6%13.3%6.0%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (16-5-6, 38 pts)47.123.811.1105.495.8%51.4%23.9%13.2%7.3%
5Carolina Hurricanes (14-6-6, 34 pts)45.525.411.1102.189.3%51.9%27.7%12.2%6.6%
6Winnipeg Jets (16-7-1, 33 pts)46.828.56.7100.387.8%43.1%19.6%9.8%4.2%
7Dallas Stars (14-7-5, 33 pts)43.827.710.598.184.4%39.1%17.7%8.9%3.4%
8Seattle Kraken (15-7-3, 33 pts)42.730.29.094.568.1%28.8%11.3%4.5%1.7%
9Pittsburgh Penguins (14-8-4, 32 pts)44.328.39.498.179.0%38.1%19.1%8.2%3.9%
10New York Islanders (16-11-0, 32 pts)44.232.25.693.959.7%23.8%11.0%4.4%2.0%
11Los Angeles Kings (14-10-4, 32 pts)40.631.79.790.849.9%17.7%7.7%3.1%1.1%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (15-9-1, 31 pts)46.828.96.399.984.7%46.2%22.2%11.6%6.3%
13New York Rangers (13-10-5, 31 pts)40.830.710.592.150.3%19.2%9.1%3.9%2.0%
14Detroit Red Wings (13-7-5, 31 pts)38.032.411.787.623.5%4.4%1.3%0.4%0.1%
15Edmonton Oilers (15-12-0, 30 pts)45.231.65.395.675.1%39.5%21.1%10.6%4.5%
16Calgary Flames (13-10-3, 29 pts)44.329.58.196.879.5%46.5%25.0%12.9%5.8%
17Florida Panthers (12-10-4, 28 pts)42.430.29.494.261.0%29.0%13.0%6.4%3.3%
18Minnesota Wild (13-10-2, 28 pts)43.231.27.694.064.9%33.4%16.5%8.0%3.5%
19Washington Capitals (12-12-4, 28 pts)39.832.69.689.131.9%12.1%5.1%1.8%0.8%
20Montreal Canadiens (13-11-2, 28 pts)37.436.08.783.410.7%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.0%
21Colorado Avalanche (13-10-1, 27 pts)47.528.65.9101.090.5%57.8%36.5%22.4%12.1%
22Vancouver Canucks (12-12-3, 27 pts)39.334.08.887.330.0%13.9%5.8%2.3%0.8%
23Nashville Predators (12-9-2, 26 pts)41.032.78.390.345.0%16.1%5.6%2.2%0.7%
24Buffalo Sabres (12-13-1, 25 pts)38.236.57.383.711.5%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.1%
25St. Louis Blues (12-14-0, 24 pts)40.735.75.687.029.7%12.6%5.4%2.1%0.8%
26Philadelphia Flyers (9-13-5, 23 pts)31.638.511.975.01.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Ottawa Senators (10-14-1, 21 pts)35.838.67.679.33.2%1.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%
28San Jose Sharks (8-16-5, 21 pts)29.440.911.770.60.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Arizona Coyotes (7-13-4, 18 pts)31.239.611.273.61.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Columbus Blue Jackets (8-15-2, 18 pts)31.541.49.172.10.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (7-14-4, 18 pts)30.140.811.171.30.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Anaheim Ducks (7-17-3, 17 pts)28.743.49.967.30.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.