NCAA FBS (1-A) College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 10/15/2017.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
7-0
3.617
1
0.973 (24)
3.139 (5)
3.680 (1)
4.140 (1)
2
Penn St
6-0
3.265
1
0.735 (46)
3.115 (6)
3.291 (2)
3.419 (2)
3
Georgia
7-0
3.213
3
0.753 (44)
4.129 (1)
2.715 (11)
2.905 (6)
4
Miami FL
5-0
3.055
1
0.879 (34)
3.454 (2)
2.914 (6)
2.783 (9)
5
Clemson
6-1
3.045
-4
1.174 (11)
2.535 (11)
3.251 (3)
3.348 (3)
6
Notre Dame
5-1
2.935
2
1.081 (17)
3.246 (4)
2.815 (7)
2.740 (10)
7
TCU
6-0
2.904
4
0.421 (64)
3.342 (3)
2.783 (9)
2.540 (13)
8
USC
6-1
2.717
-1
1.190 (10)
2.680 (8)
2.658 (13)
2.876 (7)
9
Ohio St
6-1
2.707
0
0.728 (47)
1.894 (24)
3.179 (4)
2.926 (4)
10
Oklahoma St
5-1
2.618
3
0.803 (40)
2.352 (12)
2.749 (10)
2.734 (11)
11
Wisconsin
6-0
2.569
1
0.309 (72)
2.576 (10)
2.665 (12)
2.382 (15)
12
Washington
6-1
2.555
-8
0.317 (71)
1.758 (27)
2.936 (5)
2.920 (5)
13
Oklahoma
5-1
2.509
-3
0.563 (53)
1.875 (25)
2.807 (8)
2.808 (8)
14
Michigan
5-1
2.468
3
0.949 (26)
2.237 (17)
2.644 (14)
2.456 (14)
15
Virginia Tech
5-1
2.370
0
0.616 (49)
2.284 (14)
2.543 (15)
2.166 (17)
16
Stanford
5-2
2.259
2
1.141 (14)
2.157 (18)
2.367 (19)
2.196 (16)
17
Auburn
5-2
2.227
-3
0.568 (52)
1.506 (37)
2.477 (16)
2.729 (12)
18
Florida St
2-3
2.195
2
2.332 (1)
1.990 (20)
2.369 (18)
2.152 (18)
19
Michigan St
5-1
2.185
2
1.325 (4)
2.814 (7)
2.087 (25)
1.525 (23)
20
NC State
6-1
2.139
3
0.817 (39)
2.295 (13)
2.303 (20)
1.631 (22)
21
South Florida
6-0
2.076
-2
-0.76 (124)
2.242 (16)
2.146 (22)
1.725 (20)
22
UCF
5-0
2.024
6
0.079 (91)
2.609 (9)
2.132 (24)
1.044 (35)
23
Washington St
6-1
1.995
-7
0.428 (62)
2.273 (15)
1.984 (26)
1.643 (21)
24
Iowa
4-2
1.872
1
1.015 (20)
1.934 (23)
2.145 (23)
1.287 (31)
25
West Virginia
4-2
1.844
10
0.053 (97)
1.661 (32)
2.235 (21)
1.373 (28)
26
Georgia Tech
3-2
1.782
-2
0.803 (41)
0.987 (58)
2.375 (17)
1.756 (19)
27
Utah
4-2
1.617
10
0.342 (69)
1.372 (46)
1.971 (27)
1.295 (30)
28
Mississippi St
4-2
1.605
10
1.004 (21)
1.596 (33)
1.760 (34)
1.333 (29)
29
Texas A&M
5-2
1.603
12
0.801 (42)
1.789 (26)
1.741 (36)
1.103 (33)
30
Texas Tech
4-2
1.601
-4
0.916 (31)
1.684 (30)
1.883 (30)
0.972 (37)
31
San Diego St
6-1
1.590
-9
0.562 (54)
1.973 (21)
1.679 (37)
0.918 (39)
32
LSU
5-2
1.577
0
0.399 (66)
1.374 (45)
1.773 (33)
1.488 (25)
33
Wake Forest
4-2
1.572
1
0.748 (45)
1.691 (29)
1.865 (31)
0.876 (40)
34
Texas
3-3
1.565
-5
1.146 (13)
1.160 (52)
1.926 (28)
1.441 (26)
35
Iowa St
4-2
1.501
5
0.643 (48)
1.417 (41)
1.911 (29)
0.860 (41)
36
Indiana
3-3
1.500
0
1.093 (16)
1.405 (43)
1.615 (40)
1.417 (27)
37
Boise St
4-2
1.440
11
0.860 (35)
1.585 (34)
1.600 (41)
0.953 (38)
38
Louisville
4-3
1.436
-11
0.494 (57)
0.900 (63)
1.791 (32)
1.502 (24)
39
Florida
3-3
1.414
-8
1.244 (7)
1.295 (48)
1.654 (39)
1.132 (32)
40
Oregon
4-3
1.375
-1
0.893 (33)
1.417 (40)
1.523 (45)
1.048 (34)
41
Toledo
5-1
1.344
9
0.228 (78)
2.12 (19)
1.330 (55)
0.334 (59)
42
Northwestern
3-3
1.341
14
1.066 (18)
1.293 (49)
1.666 (38)
0.809 (42)
43
Virginia
5-1
1.339
11
0.309 (73)
1.738 (28)
1.431 (50)
0.636 (48)
44
South Carolina
5-2
1.328
9
0.939 (27)
1.666 (31)
1.458 (47)
0.640 (47)
45
Duke
4-3
1.277
-3
0.817 (38)
1.229 (50)
1.594 (42)
0.760 (45)
46
California
4-3
1.259
14
1.271 (6)
1.543 (36)
1.593 (43)
0.270 (61)
47
Kansas St
3-3
1.230
-14
0.295 (75)
0.697 (72)
1.743 (35)
1.001 (36)
48
W Michigan
4-2
1.219
-3
0.198 (83)
1.323 (47)
1.566 (44)
0.443 (51)
49
Navy
5-1
1.168
-6
0.334 (70)
1.585 (34)
1.262 (60)
0.439 (52)
50
Houston
4-2
1.154
-20
0.438 (61)
1.070 (55)
1.410 (52)
0.797 (43)
51
Memphis
5-1
1.142
12
0.206 (81)
1.942 (22)
1.038 (71)
0.266 (62)
52
Arizona St
3-3
1.120
14
1.420 (3)
1.415 (42)
1.313 (58)
0.374 (56)
53
Kentucky
5-1
1.087
2
-0.18 (107)
1.506 (38)
1.144 (65)
0.426 (53)
54
Boston College
3-4
1.049
13
1.612 (2)
1.382 (44)
1.315 (57)
0.118 (67)
55
Mississippi
3-3
0.986
20
0.921 (30)
0.903 (62)
1.317 (56)
0.490 (50)
56
UCLA
3-3
0.983
-9
1.033 (19)
1.057 (57)
1.098 (67)
0.675 (46)
57
Arizona
4-2
0.981
8
0.203 (82)
0.92 (61)
1.349 (54)
0.390 (55)
58
Purdue
3-3
0.969
3
1.157 (12)
0.757 (69)
1.457 (48)
0.358 (58)
59
SMU
4-2
0.945
-1
0.169 (85)
1.192 (51)
1.196 (64)
0.156 (66)
60
Maryland
3-3
0.943
-14
1.117 (15)
1.130 (53)
1.375 (53)
-0.09 (71)
61
Colorado
4-3
0.902
-12
-0.06 (103)
0.290 (83)
1.411 (51)
0.786 (44)
62
Minnesota
3-3
0.899
-11
0.444 (60)
0.552 (73)
1.441 (49)
0.368 (57)
63
Syracuse
4-3
0.897
13
0.581 (51)
0.975 (59)
1.312 (59)
0.031 (69)
64
Tennessee
3-3
0.876
-20
0.450 (58)
0.787 (67)
1.197 (63)
0.406 (54)
65
Appalachian St
4-2
0.815
3
-0.39 (114)
0.924 (60)
1.088 (68)
0.167 (65)
66
Pittsburgh
2-5
0.804
-7
1.279 (5)
0.286 (84)
1.476 (46)
0.261 (63)
67
N Illinois
4-2
0.762
4
0.063 (93)
1.115 (54)
1.085 (69)
-0.30 (74)
68
Vanderbilt
3-4
0.749
-16
0.992 (22)
0.824 (65)
1.051 (70)
0.097 (68)
69
Colorado St
5-2
0.726
-12
-0.06 (102)
0.388 (78)
1.214 (62)
0.284 (60)
70
Nebraska
3-4
0.688
-6
0.845 (36)
0.309 (81)
1.236 (61)
0.188 (64)
71
Arkansas
2-4
0.677
2
0.926 (29)
0.418 (76)
0.954 (73)
0.513 (49)
72
Marshall
5-1
0.558
8
-0.35 (113)
1.49 (39)
0.640 (84)
-0.83 (86)
73
Troy
4-2
0.506
-11
-0.27 (111)
0.809 (66)
0.725 (77)
-0.30 (73)
74
Fresno St
4-2
0.476
23
0.056 (96)
0.855 (64)
0.719 (79)
-0.47 (80)
75
Army
5-2
0.413
-1
-0.50 (120)
0.736 (70)
0.720 (78)
-0.58 (82)
76
Tulane
3-3
0.410
-6
0.419 (65)
0.781 (68)
0.687 (81)
-0.59 (83)
77
Louisiana Tech
3-3
0.399
1
-0.10 (105)
0.297 (82)
0.919 (74)
-0.41 (78)
78
Tulsa
2-5
0.388
4
0.840 (37)
0.130 (89)
0.980 (72)
-0.35 (75)
79
North Carolina
1-6
0.383
-7
1.207 (9)
-0.26 (100)
1.102 (66)
-0.07 (70)
80
Arkansas St
3-2
0.250
-3
-1.03 (129)
-0.17 (96)
0.849 (75)
-0.27 (72)
81
Wyoming
4-2
0.221
5
-0.46 (118)
0.414 (77)
0.728 (76)
-0.96 (91)
82
Air Force
2-4
0.169
3
0.094 (89)
-0.17 (97)
0.708 (80)
-0.35 (76)
83
FL Atlantic
3-3
0.137
1
0.168 (86)
0.493 (75)
0.536 (89)
-1.07 (93)
84
Temple
3-4
0.128
-15
0.299 (74)
0.062 (90)
0.645 (83)
-0.73 (85)
85
North Texas
4-2
0.103
6
-0.19 (108)
1.068 (56)
0.314 (98)
-1.57 (106)
86
New Mexico
3-3
0.099
-7
-0.04 (100)
0.154 (88)
0.587 (85)
-0.86 (87)
87
Ohio
5-2
0.081
5
-0.81 (126)
0.000 (91)
0.565 (86)
-0.69 (84)
88
Southern Miss
4-2
0.052
1
-0.76 (125)
0.508 (74)
0.396 (94)
-1.18 (98)
89
Akron
3-3
0.038
-6
-0.13 (106)
0.203 (87)
0.529 (90)
-1.07 (95)
90
WKU
4-2
0.010
-9
-1.38 (130)
-0.58 (111)
0.662 (82)
-0.38 (77)
91
MTSU
3-4
-0.02
-3
0.180 (84)
0.343 (80)
0.342 (96)
-1.16 (97)
92
UT San Antonio
3-2
-0.07
-5
-0.92 (128)
-0.26 (101)
0.538 (88)
-0.93 (89)
93
Buffalo
3-4
-0.12
1
0.012 (99)
0.211 (86)
0.321 (97)
-1.39 (102)
94
E Michigan
2-4
-0.13
10
0.240 (77)
-0.48 (105)
0.561 (87)
-0.96 (90)
95
Missouri
1-5
-0.21
1
0.955 (25)
-0.61 (112)
0.269 (99)
-0.55 (81)
96
Cincinnati
2-5
-0.24
4
0.900 (32)
0.358 (79)
-0.00 (107)
-1.47 (105)
97
New Mexico St
3-4
-0.25
5
0.070 (92)
-0.03 (93)
0.145 (101)
-1.29 (100)
98
Rutgers
2-4
-0.25
15
0.214 (80)
-0.64 (113)
0.485 (92)
-1.11 (96)
99
Utah St
3-4
-0.30
-9
0.045 (98)
-0.49 (107)
0.392 (95)
-1.34 (101)
100
BYU
1-6
-0.36
-7
0.791 (43)
-1.07 (118)
0.431 (93)
-0.88 (88)
101
Florida Intl
4-2
-0.36
17
-0.46 (117)
0.726 (71)
-0.23 (116)
-2.06 (117)
102
UNLV
2-4
-0.39
3
0.059 (94)
-0.54 (108)
0.090 (102)
-1.07 (94)
103
South Alabama
2-4
-0.40
18
0.150 (87)
-0.09 (95)
0.080 (103)
-1.69 (109)
104
Idaho
2-4
-0.40
2
-0.24 (110)
-0.48 (106)
0.217 (100)
-1.45 (104)
105
Miami OH
2-5
-0.47
-4
-0.09 (104)
-0.57 (109)
0.003 (105)
-1.22 (99)
106
Baylor
0-6
-0.47
-11
0.928 (28)
-1.82 (123)
0.492 (91)
-0.45 (79)
107
UAB
4-2
-0.50
8
-0.84 (127)
0.251 (85)
-0.00 (108)
-2.44 (122)
108
C Michigan
3-4
-0.53
0
-0.06 (101)
-0.21 (98)
-0.11 (113)
-1.71 (110)
109
Georgia St
3-2
-0.54
8
-0.30 (112)
-0.40 (103)
-0.06 (110)
-1.61 (108)
110
Illinois
2-4
-0.58
-12
0.505 (55)
-0.77 (116)
0.025 (104)
-1.45 (103)
111
ULL
3-3
-0.61
-1
-0.53 (122)
-0.39 (102)
-0.12 (114)
-1.80 (113)
112
Connecticut
2-4
-0.62
8
0.093 (90)
-0.01 (92)
-0.36 (119)
-1.91 (114)
113
Old Dominion
2-4
-0.67
-10
0.141 (88)
-0.58 (110)
-0.00 (106)
-2.03 (116)
114
Oregon St
1-6
-0.68
-15
0.976 (23)
-1.31 (121)
-0.06 (111)
-0.97 (92)
115
Hawaii
3-4
-0.68
-1
-0.46 (116)
-0.70 (115)
-0.08 (112)
-1.77 (112)
116
ULM
3-3
-0.74
-9
-0.53 (123)
-0.45 (104)
-0.27 (118)
-1.98 (115)
117
Ball St
2-4
-0.75
-6
-0.40 (115)
-0.83 (117)
-0.13 (115)
-1.77 (111)
118
East Carolina
1-6
-0.77
-6
1.229 (8)
-0.08 (94)
-0.46 (120)
-2.28 (119)
119
Nevada
1-6
-0.81
0
0.445 (59)
-1.25 (120)
-0.06 (109)
-1.61 (107)
120
Bowling Green
1-6
-0.84
-11
0.587 (50)
-0.68 (114)
-0.25 (117)
-2.11 (118)
121
Coastal Car
1-5
-0.99
-5
-0.51 (121)
-1.83 (124)
-0.60 (123)
-2.68 (124)
122
Kent
2-5
-1.03
2
0.503 (56)
-0.22 (99)
-0.60 (124)
-2.89 (126)
123
Kansas
1-5
-1.19
-1
0.250 (76)
-1.32 (122)
-0.50 (121)
-2.28 (120)
124
Rice
1-5
-1.41
1
0.422 (63)
-1.11 (119)
-0.88 (128)
-2.76 (125)
125
Ga Southern
0-5
-1.59
-2
0.388 (67)
-2.10 (127)
-0.74 (125)
-2.48 (123)
126
Massachusetts
0-6
-1.70
0
-0.21 (109)
-2.78 (130)
-0.52 (122)
-2.41 (121)
127
San Jose St
1-7
-1.72
0
0.221 (79)
-1.97 (126)
-0.81 (126)
-3.06 (127)
128
Charlotte
0-7
-1.82
1
0.058 (95)
-2.21 (128)
-0.85 (127)
-3.07 (128)
129
UTEP
0-7
-2.02
-1
0.370 (68)
-2.51 (129)
-1.02 (129)
-3.22 (129)
130
Texas St
1-6
-2.24
0
-0.47 (119)
-1.93 (125)
-1.60 (130)
-3.85 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
ACC
1.667
2
SEC
1.482
3
BIG10
1.469
4
PAC12
1.423
5
BIG12
1.410
6
INDEP
0.993
7
AAC
0.649
8
MWC
0.071
9
MAC
-0.17
10
CUSA
-0.30
11
SUNBELT
-0.36
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