NCAA FBS (1-A) College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index.
More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 1/10/2017.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
14-1
3.454
0
1.392 (1)
3.414 (1)
3.167 (1)
4.100 (1)
2
Clemson
14-1
3.076
3
1.260 (6)
3.278 (2)
2.703 (2)
3.022 (4)
3
Ohio St
11-2
2.848
-1
1.232 (7)
2.878 (3)
2.633 (3)
3.121 (2)
4
Washington
12-2
2.505
-1
0.929 (36)
2.585 (4)
2.202 (7)
2.756 (5)
5
Oklahoma
11-2
2.425
3
0.968 (30)
2.415 (6)
2.385 (5)
2.526 (7)
6
Michigan
10-3
2.337
-2
0.951 (34)
2.079 (10)
2.419 (4)
3.095 (3)
7
USC
10-3
2.332
0
1.296 (4)
2.509 (5)
2.087 (10)
2.143 (10)
8
Florida St
10-3
2.323
4
1.376 (2)
2.392 (8)
2.187 (9)
2.323 (8)
9
Wisconsin
11-3
2.193
1
1.085 (15)
2.374 (9)
2.017 (11)
1.864 (12)
10
LSU
8-4
2.136
4
1.294 (5)
1.960 (16)
2.235 (6)
2.577 (6)
11
Penn St
11-3
2.096
-5
1.059 (17)
2.405 (7)
1.769 (19)
1.588 (17)
12
Stanford
10-3
2.040
1
1.120 (12)
2.007 (13)
2.194 (8)
1.882 (11)
13
Florida
9-4
1.909
4
1.170 (9)
2.076 (11)
1.777 (18)
1.553 (19)
14
Miami FL
9-4
1.843
11
0.805 (52)
1.871 (18)
1.788 (16)
1.842 (14)
15
Tennessee
9-4
1.842
9
1.000 (22)
1.859 (19)
1.880 (13)
1.716 (15)
16
Virginia Tech
10-4
1.795
10
0.995 (23)
1.925 (17)
1.706 (21)
1.496 (20)
17
Colorado
10-4
1.766
-8
1.037 (20)
1.974 (14)
1.434 (45)
1.621 (16)
18
W Michigan
13-1
1.758
-7
0.033 (103)
2.058 (12)
1.508 (37)
1.148 (30)
19
North Carolina
8-5
1.719
9
1.138 (10)
1.738 (24)
1.898 (12)
1.342 (22)
20
Oklahoma St
10-3
1.713
13
0.739 (57)
1.775 (23)
1.788 (15)
1.366 (21)
21
Auburn
8-5
1.711
-5
1.067 (16)
1.634 (26)
1.785 (17)
1.854 (13)
22
Louisville
9-4
1.705
-3
0.915 (39)
1.509 (31)
1.811 (14)
2.207 (9)
23
West Virginia
10-3
1.681
-3
0.857 (45)
1.818 (21)
1.617 (31)
1.313 (24)
24
Pittsburgh
8-5
1.660
-3
1.088 (14)
1.854 (20)
1.604 (33)
1.080 (34)
25
South Florida
11-2
1.622
-3
0.286 (81)
1.809 (22)
1.519 (35)
1.145 (31)
26
Georgia Tech
9-4
1.613
8
0.984 (24)
1.973 (15)
1.402 (49)
0.719 (46)
27
Nebraska
9-4
1.538
-9
0.847 (47)
1.689 (25)
1.428 (46)
1.201 (27)
28
Kansas St
9-4
1.522
9
0.750 (56)
1.631 (27)
1.452 (44)
1.261 (26)
29
Washington St
8-5
1.508
-14
1.000 (21)
1.544 (29)
1.613 (32)
1.200 (28)
30
Iowa
8-5
1.444
-7
0.888 (40)
1.503 (32)
1.626 (30)
0.918 (37)
31
Texas A&M
8-5
1.440
-2
0.875 (41)
1.283 (38)
1.676 (25)
1.579 (18)
32
Utah
9-4
1.438
-2
0.827 (49)
1.411 (34)
1.691 (23)
1.093 (32)
33
WKU
11-3
1.426
5
0.035 (101)
1.352 (36)
1.705 (22)
1.193 (29)
34
Appalachian St
10-3
1.357
7
0.281 (82)
1.531 (30)
1.385 (50)
0.701 (47)
35
Minnesota
9-4
1.357
0
0.653 (60)
1.572 (28)
1.263 (56)
0.768 (45)
36
Georgia
8-5
1.346
6
0.873 (42)
1.430 (33)
1.485 (40)
0.807 (42)
37
Boise St
10-3
1.309
-10
0.412 (72)
1.297 (37)
1.324 (53)
1.326 (23)
38
NC State
7-6
1.263
12
0.977 (26)
1.243 (40)
1.504 (38)
0.914 (38)
39
Mississippi
5-7
1.261
4
1.300 (3)
1.012 (52)
1.758 (20)
1.264 (25)
40
Houston
9-4
1.260
-8
0.256 (84)
1.105 (47)
1.670 (26)
1.084 (33)
41
Arkansas
7-6
1.260
-2
0.953 (33)
1.184 (42)
1.645 (28)
0.850 (40)
42
Northwestern
7-6
1.223
2
0.970 (29)
1.258 (39)
1.499 (39)
0.614 (51)
43
BYU
9-4
1.201
-3
0.450 (70)
1.117 (45)
1.546 (34)
0.894 (39)
44
Tulsa
10-3
1.145
-8
0.197 (89)
1.365 (35)
1.072 (61)
0.499 (53)
45
San Diego St
11-3
1.127
3
-0.00 (106)
1.117 (46)
1.334 (52)
0.798 (43)
46
Temple
10-4
1.120
-15
0.222 (86)
1.093 (48)
1.422 (47)
0.683 (49)
47
Baylor
7-6
1.015
23
0.458 (69)
0.705 (68)
1.686 (24)
0.928 (36)
48
TCU
6-7
1.008
11
0.860 (44)
0.748 (64)
1.630 (29)
0.831 (41)
49
Toledo
9-4
0.987
-3
0.095 (97)
0.879 (56)
1.461 (43)
0.532 (52)
50
Memphis
8-5
0.954
-5
0.371 (74)
0.903 (54)
1.377 (51)
0.390 (55)
51
Troy
10-3
0.950
6
-0.08 (115)
1.203 (41)
0.838 (69)
0.263 (60)
52
Mississippi St
6-7
0.947
1
0.937 (35)
0.822 (59)
1.482 (41)
0.448 (54)
53
Oregon
4-8
0.930
-1
1.053 (18)
0.707 (67)
1.514 (36)
0.684 (48)
54
Navy
9-5
0.920
-7
0.464 (68)
0.897 (55)
1.411 (48)
0.144 (63)
55
Vanderbilt
6-7
0.899
-6
0.971 (28)
1.070 (49)
0.977 (62)
0.164 (62)
56
Kentucky
7-6
0.888
-5
0.761 (55)
1.134 (43)
0.872 (67)
0.056 (65)
57
California
5-7
0.865
-3
1.170 (8)
0.807 (60)
1.315 (55)
0.279 (59)
58
Air Force
10-3
0.863
-2
-0.17 (122)
0.994 (53)
0.921 (65)
0.305 (58)
59
Boston College
7-6
0.850
7
0.602 (63)
1.053 (50)
0.938 (64)
-0.01 (67)
60
UCLA
4-8
0.818
-5
1.120 (11)
0.576 (70)
1.318 (54)
0.791 (44)
61
Notre Dame
4-8
0.806
2
0.925 (37)
0.341 (81)
1.661 (27)
0.936 (35)
62
Louisiana Tech
9-5
0.768
7
0.017 (105)
0.748 (63)
1.121 (59)
0.221 (61)
63
South Carolina
6-7
0.676
-1
0.835 (48)
0.853 (58)
0.839 (68)
-0.22 (73)
64
Wake Forest
7-6
0.666
13
0.724 (58)
0.874 (57)
0.758 (74)
-0.22 (72)
65
Texas Tech
5-7
0.666
9
0.686 (59)
0.460 (75)
1.257 (57)
0.352 (57)
66
Texas
5-7
0.635
9
0.826 (50)
0.368 (78)
1.147 (58)
0.673 (50)
67
Colorado St
7-6
0.607
-9
0.296 (80)
0.767 (62)
0.732 (76)
-0.17 (69)
68
Arizona St
5-7
0.606
-1
0.971 (27)
0.557 (71)
1.085 (60)
-0.06 (68)
69
Old Dominion
10-3
0.599
-1
-0.27 (126)
1.050 (51)
0.293 (98)
-0.44 (77)
70
Arkansas St
8-5
0.550
6
0.035 (102)
0.726 (65)
0.766 (73)
-0.44 (78)
71
Indiana
6-7
0.541
-6
0.792 (53)
0.512 (72)
0.893 (66)
0.026 (66)
72
Idaho
9-4
0.507
1
0.143 (94)
1.126 (44)
0.242 (99)
-1.19 (96)
73
Maryland
6-7
0.506
-13
0.541 (65)
0.462 (74)
0.800 (71)
0.144 (63)
74
Duke
4-8
0.486
4
0.980 (25)
0.473 (73)
0.962 (63)
-0.30 (75)
75
New Mexico
9-4
0.464
-4
-0.11 (116)
0.774 (61)
0.469 (89)
-0.62 (84)
76
Wyoming
8-6
0.439
-15
0.327 (78)
0.708 (66)
0.351 (93)
-0.34 (76)
77
Syracuse
4-8
0.432
8
1.117 (13)
0.632 (69)
0.660 (79)
-0.66 (87)
78
Michigan St
3-9
0.424
2
0.918 (38)
-0.08 (96)
1.468 (42)
0.371 (56)
79
Oregon St
4-8
0.397
-15
0.960 (31)
0.456 (76)
0.640 (81)
-0.23 (74)
80
Missouri
4-8
0.386
-1
0.632 (61)
0.357 (80)
0.785 (72)
-0.20 (71)
81
Arizona
3-9
0.301
0
1.039 (19)
0.290 (83)
0.805 (70)
-0.53 (81)
82
Ohio
8-6
0.232
2
-0.05 (110)
0.290 (84)
0.628 (82)
-0.66 (86)
83
Army
8-5
0.229
3
-0.41 (128)
0.411 (77)
0.326 (96)
-0.57 (82)
84
MTSU
8-5
0.222
-1
-0.23 (125)
0.291 (82)
0.465 (90)
-0.44 (79)
85
Southern Miss
7-6
0.212
7
-0.16 (121)
0.242 (87)
0.553 (85)
-0.49 (80)
86
Ga Southern
5-7
0.209
5
0.220 (87)
0.21 (88)
0.707 (77)
-0.66 (85)
87
SMU
5-7
0.171
-5
0.571 (64)
0.359 (79)
0.403 (92)
-0.89 (91)
88
UCF
6-7
0.160
-16
0.308 (79)
0.183 (90)
0.312 (97)
-0.18 (70)
89
C Michigan
6-7
0.114
0
0.086 (98)
0.161 (91)
0.522 (86)
-0.76 (89)
90
N Illinois
5-7
0.098
-2
0.181 (90)
0.052 (93)
0.682 (78)
-0.76 (90)
91
Iowa St
3-9
0.060
2
0.816 (51)
-0.08 (97)
0.748 (75)
-0.61 (83)
92
ULL
6-7
-0.02
-5
0.077 (99)
0.259 (86)
0.089 (105)
-1.23 (99)
93
Virginia
2-10
-0.03
7
0.958 (32)
-0.09 (98)
0.618 (83)
-0.97 (93)
94
Hawaii
7-7
-0.06
2
0.098 (96)
0.276 (85)
-0.04 (112)
-1.27 (100)
95
Cincinnati
4-8
-0.06
0
0.348 (75)
-0.17 (101)
0.652 (80)
-0.96 (92)
96
E Michigan
7-6
-0.10
-6
-0.12 (118)
0.197 (89)
-0.08 (113)
-1.21 (98)
97
Illinois
3-9
-0.13
4
0.864 (43)
-0.21 (102)
0.512 (88)
-1.01 (95)
98
South Alabama
6-7
-0.14
-1
-0.14 (120)
0.149 (92)
0.026 (109)
-1.45 (105)
99
UT San Antonio
6-7
-0.17
-5
-0.07 (113)
-0.00 (94)
0.068 (106)
-1.21 (97)
100
Utah St
3-9
-0.18
2
0.476 (67)
-0.37 (112)
0.517 (87)
-0.71 (88)
101
East Carolina
3-9
-0.23
3
0.539 (66)
-0.37 (111)
0.463 (91)
-0.98 (94)
102
Miami OH
6-7
-0.24
-4
-0.05 (111)
-0.05 (95)
0.093 (104)
-1.49 (107)
103
Tulane
4-8
-0.27
-4
0.267 (83)
-0.13 (100)
0.059 (107)
-1.32 (101)
104
Akron
5-7
-0.29
1
0.053 (100)
-0.31 (106)
0.335 (95)
-1.33 (102)
105
Bowling Green
4-8
-0.34
2
0.161 (92)
-0.36 (109)
0.567 (84)
-1.84 (116)
106
Purdue
3-9
-0.35
-3
0.609 (62)
-0.29 (105)
0.173 (101)
-1.47 (106)
107
Nevada
5-7
-0.39
-1
-0.19 (124)
-0.23 (103)
0.050 (108)
-1.71 (113)
108
San Jose St
4-8
-0.42
1
0.165 (91)
-0.36 (110)
0.126 (102)
-1.56 (109)
109
UNLV
4-8
-0.45
-1
-0.07 (114)
-0.32 (107)
-0.16 (114)
-1.40 (104)
110
ULM
4-8
-0.52
1
0.347 (76)
-0.09 (99)
-0.38 (122)
-2.26 (124)
111
Rutgers
2-10
-0.53
1
0.853 (46)
-0.73 (121)
0.338 (94)
-1.37 (103)
112
Connecticut
3-9
-0.54
2
0.329 (77)
-0.57 (116)
0.108 (103)
-1.59 (110)
113
Georgia St
3-9
-0.57
2
0.240 (85)
-0.55 (115)
0.015 (110)
-1.70 (112)
114
North Texas
5-8
-0.58
-4
-0.00 (107)
-0.24 (104)
-0.49 (125)
-1.96 (117)
115
Ball St
4-8
-0.61
-2
-0.14 (119)
-0.66 (119)
0.012 (111)
-1.55 (108)
116
Florida Intl
4-8
-0.67
1
-0.03 (109)
-0.50 (114)
-0.19 (115)
-2.08 (120)
117
Charlotte
4-8
-0.70
-1
-0.17 (123)
-0.44 (113)
-0.39 (123)
-2.15 (122)
118
New Mexico St
3-9
-0.70
1
0.400 (73)
-0.33 (108)
-0.49 (124)
-2.38 (126)
119
Kansas
2-10
-0.71
1
0.791 (54)
-0.64 (118)
-0.19 (116)
-1.83 (115)
120
Kent
3-9
-0.73
-2
0.198 (88)
-0.66 (120)
-0.25 (117)
-1.82 (114)
121
Marshall
3-9
-0.74
2
-0.11 (117)
-0.95 (126)
0.207 (100)
-1.63 (111)
122
UTEP
4-8
-0.83
-1
-0.41 (127)
-0.64 (117)
-0.50 (126)
-2.09 (121)
123
Massachusetts
2-10
-0.85
-1
0.433 (71)
-0.80 (122)
-0.28 (119)
-2.04 (118)
124
Rice
3-9
-0.91
0
0.023 (104)
-0.82 (124)
-0.34 (120)
-2.22 (123)
125
FL Atlantic
3-9
-0.92
0
-0.01 (108)
-0.92 (125)
-0.27 (118)
-2.06 (119)
126
Texas St
2-10
-1.15
-1
0.110 (95)
-0.81 (123)
-0.72 (128)
-3.13 (128)
127
Buffalo
2-10
-1.24
-2
-0.06 (112)
-1.16 (127)
-0.37 (121)
-3.05 (127)
128
Fresno St
1-11
-1.51
-3
0.152 (93)
-1.79 (128)
-0.50 (127)
-2.30 (125)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.440
2
ACC
1.386
3
PAC12
1.292
4
BIG10
1.105
5
BIG12
1.001
6
INDEP
0.745
7
AAC
0.519
8
MWC
0.162
9
SUNBELT
0.044
10
MAC
-0.10
11
CUSA
-0.17
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