NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 1/8/2019.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Clemson
15-0
4.302
1
1.308 (4)
4.818 (1)
3.718 (1)
3.517 (2)
2
Alabama
14-1
3.696
1
1.245 (6)
3.863 (2)
3.365 (2)
3.695 (1)
3
Notre Dame
12-1
2.893
1
1.214 (8)
3.447 (3)
2.333 (6)
1.933 (7)
4
Georgia
11-3
2.581
1
1.189 (11)
2.53 (7)
2.613 (3)
2.704 (3)
5
Oklahoma
12-2
2.545
4
1.201 (10)
2.712 (4)
2.339 (5)
2.322 (4)
6
Ohio St
13-1
2.471
2
0.836 (48)
2.681 (5)
2.238 (7)
2.145 (6)
7
LSU
10-3
2.397
1
1.020 (20)
2.534 (6)
2.397 (4)
1.916 (8)
8
Texas A&M
9-4
2.189
5
1.299 (5)
2.345 (9)
2.150 (9)
1.709 (11)
9
Florida
10-3
2.140
1
0.852 (45)
2.202 (12)
2.219 (8)
1.786 (9)
10
Michigan
10-3
2.126
3
1.045 (18)
2.122 (13)
2.077 (11)
2.223 (5)
11
Syracuse
10-3
2.122
5
0.796 (52)
2.387 (8)
2.088 (10)
1.257 (21)
12
UCF
12-1
2.048
7
0.105 (99)
2.208 (10)
2.042 (13)
1.500 (17)
13
Kentucky
10-3
1.971
1
0.907 (34)
2.203 (11)
1.887 (20)
1.304 (20)
14
Texas
10-4
1.886
13
1.155 (13)
2.003 (15)
1.923 (15)
1.413 (18)
15
Washington
10-4
1.881
0
0.928 (29)
1.943 (17)
1.899 (17)
1.631 (16)
16
Washington St
11-2
1.861
1
0.673 (58)
2.082 (14)
1.818 (22)
1.164 (25)
17
Fresno St
12-2
1.777
6
0.246 (85)
1.927 (18)
1.816 (23)
1.187 (24)
18
Mississippi St
8-5
1.775
4
1.060 (16)
1.638 (24)
2.075 (12)
1.726 (10)
19
West Virginia
8-4
1.772
5
0.979 (23)
1.745 (21)
1.892 (19)
1.657 (13)
20
Missouri
8-5
1.733
9
1.013 (21)
1.641 (23)
1.970 (14)
1.637 (14)
21
Auburn
8-5
1.722
1
0.946 (26)
1.647 (22)
1.922 (16)
1.635 (15)
22
Penn St
9-4
1.689
3
0.937 (27)
1.592 (26)
1.897 (18)
1.664 (12)
23
Stanford
9-4
1.674
1
1.034 (19)
1.821 (20)
1.680 (25)
1.147 (26)
24
Appalachian St
11-2
1.612
4
-0.00 (114)
1.855 (19)
1.631 (26)
0.726 (41)
25
Iowa
9-4
1.542
10
0.822 (49)
1.437 (34)
1.880 (21)
1.321 (19)
26
Army
11-2
1.531
0
0.128 (97)
1.998 (16)
1.346 (41)
0.218 (63)
27
Utah St
11-2
1.510
4
-0.22 (124)
1.575 (27)
1.717 (24)
0.918 (35)
28
Utah
9-5
1.501
7
0.978 (24)
1.524 (31)
1.623 (27)
1.209 (23)
29
NC State
9-4
1.463
4
0.849 (46)
1.531 (29)
1.531 (33)
1.105 (27)
30
Boise St
10-3
1.452
2
0.501 (66)
1.528 (30)
1.586 (28)
0.950 (34)
31
Northwestern
9-5
1.424
10
1.072 (15)
1.552 (28)
1.561 (31)
0.739 (39)
32
Iowa St
8-5
1.413
8
0.907 (35)
1.505 (32)
1.450 (37)
1.025 (30)
33
Cincinnati
11-2
1.346
3
-0.01 (115)
1.602 (25)
1.318 (44)
0.497 (47)
34
South Carolina
7-6
1.337
16
1.229 (7)
1.359 (39)
1.483 (34)
1.007 (32)
35
Pittsburgh
7-7
1.328
6
1.348 (2)
1.395 (37)
1.573 (29)
0.664 (42)
36
Boston College
7-5
1.295
2
0.864 (43)
1.293 (42)
1.462 (36)
1.013 (31)
37
Duke
8-5
1.274
6
0.927 (30)
1.347 (40)
1.422 (38)
0.761 (37)
38
Oregon
9-4
1.270
0
0.459 (70)
1.416 (35)
1.275 (47)
0.752 (38)
39
Oklahoma St
7-6
1.270
18
0.875 (41)
1.193 (43)
1.542 (32)
1.065 (29)
40
Wisconsin
8-5
1.258
7
0.671 (59)
1.116 (47)
1.567 (30)
1.210 (22)
41
Virginia
8-5
1.162
9
0.543 (63)
1.153 (46)
1.467 (35)
0.660 (43)
42
Michigan St
7-6
1.155
3
0.908 (32)
1.099 (48)
1.375 (40)
0.964 (33)
43
Wake Forest
7-6
1.145
1
1.045 (17)
1.368 (38)
1.278 (46)
0.133 (67)
44
TCU
7-6
1.117
14
0.912 (31)
1.184 (44)
1.207 (50)
0.729 (40)
45
Troy
10-3
1.093
7
0.052 (109)
1.449 (33)
1.069 (60)
-0.10 (70)
46
Miami FL
7-6
1.074
10
0.640 (60)
0.933 (55)
1.344 (42)
1.096 (28)
47
Purdue
6-7
1.058
2
1.116 (14)
0.943 (54)
1.383 (39)
0.890 (36)
48
Tennessee
5-7
1.033
11
1.164 (12)
1.156 (45)
1.165 (52)
0.371 (56)
49
UAB
11-3
1.015
7
-0.13 (121)
1.408 (36)
0.910 (68)
-0.17 (74)
50
Minnesota
7-6
1.005
12
0.862 (44)
1.005 (50)
1.342 (43)
0.415 (53)
51
Baylor
7-6
0.963
20
0.839 (47)
1.075 (49)
1.145 (56)
0.255 (61)
52
Arizona St
7-6
0.956
6
0.767 (55)
0.979 (52)
1.190 (51)
0.466 (49)
53
Vanderbilt
6-7
0.946
20
0.998 (22)
0.883 (60)
1.282 (45)
0.579 (45)
54
Georgia Tech
7-6
0.929
12
0.797 (51)
0.926 (56)
1.122 (57)
0.605 (44)
55
Ohio
9-4
0.925
1
-0.09 (118)
0.950 (53)
1.228 (48)
0.307 (57)
56
Ga Southern
10-3
0.922
3
0.137 (94)
1.311 (41)
0.901 (69)
-0.40 (82)
57
Florida St
5-7
0.884
6
1.317 (3)
0.986 (51)
0.961 (65)
0.392 (55)
58
Texas Tech
5-7
0.837
10
0.888 (36)
0.761 (65)
1.151 (53)
0.552 (46)
59
BYU
7-6
0.805
7
0.491 (67)
0.805 (63)
1.147 (55)
0.210 (64)
60
California
7-6
0.784
7
0.622 (61)
0.805 (62)
1.023 (62)
0.293 (58)
61
Buffalo
10-4
0.775
12
-0.09 (119)
0.901 (58)
0.921 (67)
0.080 (68)
62
Kansas St
5-7
0.760
14
0.885 (37)
0.706 (67)
1.151 (54)
0.262 (60)
63
Temple
8-5
0.759
15
0.281 (79)
0.782 (64)
0.983 (64)
0.282 (59)
64
Marshall
9-4
0.709
8
0.010 (113)
0.891 (59)
0.826 (72)
-0.13 (72)
65
MTSU
8-6
0.698
0
0.356 (75)
0.917 (57)
0.823 (73)
-0.28 (80)
66
USC
5-7
0.685
2
0.976 (25)
0.589 (72)
1.009 (63)
0.451 (50)
67
Virginia Tech
6-7
0.680
4
0.780 (54)
0.747 (66)
0.857 (70)
0.136 (65)
68
Maryland
5-7
0.656
1
0.908 (33)
0.492 (76)
1.104 (58)
0.443 (51)
69
Memphis
8-6
0.647
14
0.065 (106)
0.473 (80)
1.090 (59)
0.478 (48)
70
Nebraska
4-8
0.625
7
0.872 (42)
0.384 (86)
1.222 (49)
0.423 (52)
71
Mississippi
5-7
0.619
10
0.885 (38)
0.472 (81)
1.033 (61)
0.407 (54)
72
N Illinois
8-6
0.605
12
0.524 (65)
0.849 (61)
0.628 (84)
-0.28 (79)
73
Indiana
5-7
0.572
5
0.936 (28)
0.495 (75)
0.930 (66)
0.218 (62)
74
Arkansas St
8-5
0.525
7
0.148 (93)
0.656 (70)
0.815 (74)
-0.44 (85)
75
Miami OH
6-6
0.504
0
0.408 (72)
0.624 (71)
0.804 (75)
-0.44 (84)
76
Nevada
8-5
0.479
7
0.094 (101)
0.683 (68)
0.672 (81)
-0.57 (91)
77
UCLA
3-9
0.425
2
1.205 (9)
0.446 (82)
0.716 (79)
-0.15 (73)
78
Wyoming
6-6
0.418
4
0.377 (74)
0.514 (74)
0.738 (78)
-0.47 (86)
79
Houston
8-5
0.409
9
-0.22 (125)
0.350 (88)
0.683 (80)
0.133 (66)
80
North Texas
9-4
0.396
5
-0.26 (126)
0.486 (78)
0.585 (86)
-0.24 (76)
81
E Michigan
7-6
0.394
8
0.085 (102)
0.488 (77)
0.669 (82)
-0.41 (83)
82
Arizona
5-7
0.386
1
0.397 (73)
0.296 (91)
0.841 (71)
-0.09 (69)
83
ULL
7-6
0.379
5
0.345 (76)
0.657 (69)
0.575 (87)
-0.93 (101)
84
Florida Intl
9-4
0.378
7
-0.42 (130)
0.528 (73)
0.625 (85)
-0.58 (93)
85
Toledo
7-6
0.314
11
-0.13 (120)
0.248 (92)
0.741 (77)
-0.20 (75)
86
San Diego St
7-6
0.308
6
0.181 (89)
0.383 (87)
0.489 (91)
-0.27 (78)
87
Louisiana Tech
8-5
0.300
8
-0.04 (117)
0.478 (79)
0.445 (93)
-0.57 (92)
88
Tulane
7-6
0.259
1
0.075 (104)
0.394 (84)
0.464 (92)
-0.57 (90)
89
Colorado
5-7
0.253
0
0.544 (62)
0.164 (95)
0.644 (83)
-0.12 (71)
90
Air Force
5-7
0.176
2
0.256 (83)
0.066 (99)
0.770 (76)
-0.47 (87)
91
W Michigan
7-6
0.173
5
0.084 (103)
0.321 (89)
0.321 (97)
-0.60 (94)
92
FL Atlantic
5-7
0.166
1
0.312 (77)
0.092 (98)
0.555 (89)
-0.25 (77)
93
South Florida
7-6
0.149
9
0.155 (92)
0.307 (90)
0.239 (100)
-0.56 (88)
94
Hawaii
8-6
0.115
4
0.054 (107)
0.400 (83)
0.223 (102)
-1.06 (102)
95
Southern Miss
6-5
0.110
2
-0.29 (128)
0.241 (93)
0.397 (95)
-0.84 (97)
96
ULM
6-6
0.092
2
0.156 (91)
0.393 (85)
0.223 (101)
-1.19 (103)
97
Kansas
3-9
-0.00
5
0.808 (50)
-0.12 (102)
0.562 (88)
-0.62 (95)
98
SMU
5-7
-0.04
2
0.167 (90)
0.014 (100)
0.321 (96)
-0.89 (100)
99
Illinois
4-8
-0.08
1
0.483 (68)
-0.11 (101)
0.433 (94)
-0.88 (99)
100
Coastal Car
5-7
-0.10
1
0.249 (84)
0.220 (94)
-0.00 (107)
-1.44 (109)
101
North Carolina
2-9
-0.12
3
0.715 (56)
-0.38 (107)
0.531 (90)
-0.38 (81)
102
Liberty
6-6
-0.15
1
-0.14 (122)
0.143 (96)
0.054 (105)
-1.58 (115)
103
Charlotte
5-7
-0.17
0
0.096 (100)
0.110 (97)
0.071 (104)
-1.57 (114)
104
Louisville
2-10
-0.26
1
1.373 (1)
-0.24 (105)
0.019 (106)
-0.85 (98)
105
Navy
3-10
-0.34
1
0.536 (64)
-0.55 (114)
0.279 (99)
-0.74 (96)
106
Akron
4-8
-0.38
0
0.202 (87)
-0.21 (103)
-0.15 (115)
-1.40 (108)
107
Oregon St
2-10
-0.42
0
0.795 (53)
-0.38 (108)
-0.02 (108)
-1.27 (106)
108
Massachusetts
4-8
-0.44
2
0.274 (80)
-0.21 (104)
-0.23 (117)
-1.60 (117)
109
UNLV
4-8
-0.47
0
-0.02 (116)
-0.37 (106)
-0.03 (109)
-1.58 (116)
110
Arkansas
2-10
-0.50
2
0.878 (39)
-0.88 (123)
0.290 (98)
-0.56 (89)
111
WKU
3-9
-0.51
4
0.038 (111)
-0.44 (109)
-0.10 (111)
-1.48 (112)
112
Old Dominion
4-8
-0.58
4
-0.26 (127)
-0.48 (112)
-0.26 (119)
-1.46 (111)
113
Ball St
4-8
-0.58
2
0.131 (95)
-0.47 (111)
-0.23 (116)
-1.57 (113)
114
New Mexico
3-9
-0.60
0
0.288 (78)
-0.53 (113)
-0.14 (114)
-1.62 (118)
115
Tulsa
3-9
-0.66
3
0.043 (110)
-0.82 (121)
-0.06 (110)
-1.19 (104)
116
Colorado St
3-9
-0.67
1
0.266 (81)
-0.72 (118)
-0.12 (112)
-1.44 (110)
117
East Carolina
3-9
-0.67
4
0.230 (86)
-0.68 (116)
-0.23 (118)
-1.39 (107)
118
South Alabama
3-9
-0.71
1
0.194 (88)
-0.45 (110)
-0.44 (125)
-2.12 (125)
119
Bowling Green
3-9
-0.80
1
0.075 (105)
-0.66 (115)
-0.42 (122)
-1.95 (121)
120
Rutgers
1-11
-0.82
1
0.875 (40)
-1.18 (126)
0.144 (103)
-1.25 (105)
121
Georgia St
2-10
-0.82
1
0.455 (71)
-0.71 (117)
-0.34 (121)
-2.07 (123)
122
UT San Antonio
3-9
-0.91
4
0.129 (96)
-0.78 (120)
-0.50 (126)
-2.10 (124)
123
Texas St
3-9
-0.92
2
-0.32 (129)
-0.87 (122)
-0.31 (120)
-2.18 (127)
124
New Mexico St
3-9
-0.93
0
0.016 (112)
-0.77 (119)
-0.52 (127)
-2.17 (126)
125
San Jose St
1-11
-0.96
2
0.676 (57)
-1.11 (125)
-0.14 (113)
-1.87 (120)
126
Kent
2-10
-0.99
4
0.113 (98)
-0.98 (124)
-0.43 (123)
-2.02 (122)
127
C Michigan
1-11
-1.13
0
0.264 (82)
-1.30 (127)
-0.43 (124)
-1.74 (119)
128
Rice
2-11
-1.50
1
0.054 (108)
-1.49 (129)
-0.89 (128)
-2.62 (128)
129
Connecticut
1-11
-1.52
1
0.476 (69)
-1.34 (128)
-1.06 (130)
-2.95 (130)
130
UTEP
1-11
-1.60
0
-0.21 (123)
-1.65 (130)
-0.92 (129)
-2.64 (129)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.688
2
Big 12
1.255
3
ACC
1.233
4
Big Ten
1.048
5
Pac-12
0.937
6
Independents
0.616
7
AAC
0.352
8
MWC
0.320
9
Sun Belt
0.204
10
CUSA
0.132
11
MAC
-0.02