NCAA FBS (1-A) College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index.
More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Preseason: Updated 8/3/2017.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
0-0
3.594
0
0 (1)
3.414 (1)
3.167 (1)
3.816 (1)
2
Ohio St
0-0
3.190
1
0 (1)
2.878 (3)
2.633 (3)
3.500 (2)
3
USC
0-0
2.690
4
0 (1)
2.509 (5)
2.087 (10)
2.986 (3)
4
Florida St
0-0
2.680
4
0 (1)
2.392 (8)
2.187 (9)
2.958 (4)
5
Oklahoma
0-0
2.611
0
0 (1)
2.415 (6)
2.385 (5)
2.753 (5)
6
LSU
0-0
2.416
4
0 (1)
1.960 (16)
2.235 (6)
2.605 (6)
7
Clemson
0-0
2.389
-5
0 (1)
3.278 (2)
2.703 (2)
2.036 (12)
8
Wisconsin
0-0
2.263
1
0 (1)
2.374 (9)
2.017 (11)
2.337 (8)
9
Washington
0-0
2.248
-5
0 (1)
2.585 (4)
2.202 (7)
2.183 (10)
10
Auburn
0-0
2.205
11
0 (1)
1.634 (26)
1.785 (17)
2.523 (7)
11
Penn St
0-0
2.170
0
0 (1)
2.405 (7)
1.769 (19)
2.278 (9)
12
Michigan
0-0
2.062
-6
0 (1)
2.079 (10)
2.419 (4)
1.908 (13)
13
Louisville
0-0
1.919
9
0 (1)
1.509 (31)
1.811 (14)
2.067 (11)
14
Stanford
0-0
1.910
-2
0 (1)
2.007 (13)
2.194 (8)
1.767 (14)
15
Miami FL
0-0
1.765
-1
0 (1)
1.871 (18)
1.788 (16)
1.729 (16)
16
South Florida
0-0
1.655
9
0 (1)
1.809 (22)
1.519 (35)
1.672 (17)
17
Georgia
0-0
1.637
19
0 (1)
1.430 (33)
1.485 (40)
1.751 (15)
18
Oklahoma St
0-0
1.604
2
0 (1)
1.775 (23)
1.788 (15)
1.485 (19)
19
Virginia Tech
0-0
1.561
-3
0 (1)
1.925 (17)
1.706 (21)
1.409 (21)
20
Florida
0-0
1.515
-7
0 (1)
2.076 (11)
1.777 (18)
1.266 (23)
21
North Carolina
0-0
1.496
-2
0 (1)
1.738 (24)
1.898 (12)
1.267 (22)
22
Tennessee
0-0
1.481
-7
0 (1)
1.859 (19)
1.880 (13)
1.221 (25)
23
UCLA
0-0
1.341
37
0 (1)
0.576 (70)
1.318 (54)
1.541 (18)
24
Kansas St
0-0
1.323
4
0 (1)
1.631 (27)
1.452 (44)
1.192 (26)
25
NC State
0-0
1.320
13
0 (1)
1.243 (40)
1.504 (38)
1.263 (24)
26
Washington St
0-0
1.316
3
0 (1)
1.544 (29)
1.613 (32)
1.136 (27)
27
WKU
0-0
1.307
6
0 (1)
1.352 (36)
1.705 (22)
1.129 (28)
28
Pittsburgh
0-0
1.294
-4
0 (1)
1.854 (20)
1.604 (33)
1.024 (31)
29
Colorado
0-0
1.217
-12
0 (1)
1.974 (14)
1.434 (45)
0.937 (36)
30
Texas
0-0
1.201
36
0 (1)
0.368 (78)
1.147 (58)
1.432 (20)
31
Mississippi
0-0
1.191
8
0 (1)
1.012 (52)
1.758 (20)
1.000 (32)
32
Nebraska
0-0
1.175
-5
0 (1)
1.689 (25)
1.428 (46)
0.941 (35)
33
Toledo
0-0
1.161
16
0 (1)
0.879 (56)
1.461 (43)
1.106 (29)
34
Boise St
0-0
1.160
3
0 (1)
1.297 (37)
1.324 (53)
1.057 (30)
35
Iowa
0-0
1.157
-5
0 (1)
1.503 (32)
1.626 (30)
0.875 (39)
36
Texas A&M
0-0
1.151
-5
0 (1)
1.283 (38)
1.676 (25)
0.899 (37)
37
TCU
0-0
1.114
11
0 (1)
0.748 (64)
1.630 (29)
0.990 (33)
38
Appalachian St
0-0
1.098
-4
0 (1)
1.531 (30)
1.385 (50)
0.870 (40)
39
Houston
0-0
1.083
1
0 (1)
1.105 (47)
1.670 (26)
0.832 (42)
40
San Diego St
0-0
1.077
5
0 (1)
1.117 (46)
1.334 (52)
0.960 (34)
41
BYU
0-0
1.066
2
0 (1)
1.117 (45)
1.546 (34)
0.853 (41)
42
Georgia Tech
0-0
1.061
-16
0 (1)
1.973 (15)
1.402 (49)
0.691 (46)
43
Northwestern
0-0
1.037
-1
0 (1)
1.258 (39)
1.499 (39)
0.790 (43)
44
Utah
0-0
1.021
-12
0 (1)
1.411 (34)
1.691 (23)
0.645 (48)
45
Notre Dame
0-0
1.001
16
0 (1)
0.341 (81)
1.661 (27)
0.891 (38)
46
West Virginia
0-0
0.951
-23
0 (1)
1.818 (21)
1.617 (31)
0.457 (49)
47
Memphis
0-0
0.947
3
0 (1)
0.903 (54)
1.377 (51)
0.779 (44)
48
Oregon
0-0
0.880
5
0 (1)
0.707 (67)
1.514 (36)
0.659 (47)
49
Michigan St
0-0
0.811
29
0 (1)
-0.08 (97)
1.468 (42)
0.761 (45)
50
Minnesota
0-0
0.758
-15
0 (1)
1.572 (28)
1.263 (56)
0.345 (55)
51
Mississippi St
0-0
0.758
1
0 (1)
0.822 (59)
1.482 (41)
0.441 (50)
52
Tulsa
0-0
0.730
-8
0 (1)
1.365 (35)
1.072 (61)
0.429 (51)
53
Arkansas
0-0
0.723
-12
0 (1)
1.184 (42)
1.645 (28)
0.224 (59)
54
Navy
0-0
0.700
0
0 (1)
0.897 (55)
1.411 (48)
0.355 (54)
55
W Michigan
0-0
0.633
-37
0 (1)
2.058 (12)
1.508 (37)
-0.08 (69)
56
Troy
0-0
0.611
-5
0 (1)
1.203 (41)
0.838 (69)
0.368 (53)
57
Baylor
0-0
0.588
-10
0 (1)
0.705 (68)
1.686 (24)
0.101 (62)
58
Temple
0-0
0.562
-12
0 (1)
1.093 (48)
1.422 (47)
0.070 (64)
59
Kentucky
0-0
0.552
-3
0 (1)
1.134 (43)
0.872 (67)
0.274 (56)
60
Louisiana Tech
0-0
0.531
2
0 (1)
0.748 (63)
1.121 (59)
0.230 (58)
61
Colorado St
0-0
0.454
6
0 (1)
0.767 (62)
0.732 (76)
0.260 (57)
62
Arkansas St
0-0
0.422
8
0 (1)
0.726 (65)
0.766 (73)
0.203 (60)
63
Texas Tech
0-0
0.359
2
0 (1)
0.460 (75)
1.257 (57)
-0.03 (67)
64
Arizona St
0-0
0.336
4
0 (1)
0.557 (71)
1.085 (60)
-0.03 (66)
65
UCF
0-0
0.336
23
0 (1)
0.183 (90)
0.312 (98)
0.383 (52)
66
Indiana
0-0
0.330
5
0 (1)
0.512 (72)
0.893 (66)
0.050 (65)
67
MTSU
0-0
0.281
17
0 (1)
0.291 (82)
0.465 (91)
0.203 (61)
68
Vanderbilt
0-0
0.277
-13
0 (1)
1.070 (49)
0.977 (62)
-0.21 (75)
69
Wyoming
0-0
0.251
7
0 (1)
0.708 (66)
0.351 (94)
0.095 (63)
70
South Carolina
0-0
0.227
-7
0 (1)
0.853 (58)
0.839 (68)
-0.18 (73)
71
Wake Forest
0-0
0.214
-7
0 (1)
0.874 (57)
0.758 (74)
-0.17 (72)
72
Air Force
0-0
0.212
-14
0 (1)
0.994 (53)
0.921 (65)
-0.27 (79)
73
Arizona
0-0
0.196
8
0 (1)
0.290 (83)
0.805 (70)
-0.08 (68)
74
Duke
0-0
0.160
0
0 (1)
0.473 (73)
0.962 (63)
-0.25 (77)
75
Missouri
0-0
0.149
5
0 (1)
0.357 (80)
0.785 (72)
-0.16 (71)
76
Maryland
0-0
0.130
-3
0 (1)
0.462 (74)
0.800 (71)
-0.23 (76)
77
Oregon St
0-0
0.113
2
0 (1)
0.456 (76)
0.640 (81)
-0.19 (74)
78
Boston College
0-0
0.047
-19
0 (1)
1.053 (50)
0.938 (64)
-0.57 (86)
79
California
0-0
0.033
-22
0 (1)
0.807 (60)
1.315 (55)
-0.69 (90)
80
Ohio
0-0
0.024
2
0 (1)
0.290 (84)
0.628 (82)
-0.29 (80)
81
Syracuse
0-0
0.023
-4
0 (1)
0.632 (69)
0.660 (79)
-0.39 (82)
82
Iowa St
0-0
-0.03
9
0 (1)
-0.08 (98)
0.748 (75)
-0.34 (81)
83
UT San Antonio
0-0
-0.05
16
0 (1)
-0.00 (95)
0.068 (107)
-0.11 (70)
84
Southern Miss
0-0
-0.08
1
0 (1)
0.242 (87)
0.553 (86)
-0.42 (83)
85
N Illinois
0-0
-0.11
5
0 (1)
0.052 (93)
0.682 (78)
-0.48 (84)
86
Old Dominion
0-0
-0.11
-17
0 (1)
1.050 (51)
0.293 (99)
-0.57 (87)
87
Miami OH
0-0
-0.15
15
0 (1)
-0.05 (96)
0.093 (105)
-0.27 (78)
88
New Mexico
0-0
-0.15
-13
0 (1)
0.774 (61)
0.469 (90)
-0.65 (88)
89
Army
0-0
-0.16
-6
0 (1)
0.411 (77)
0.326 (97)
-0.50 (85)
90
C Michigan
0-0
-0.25
-1
0 (1)
0.161 (91)
0.522 (87)
-0.67 (89)
91
Cincinnati
0-0
-0.38
4
0 (1)
-0.17 (102)
0.652 (80)
-0.86 (93)
92
Virginia
0-0
-0.38
1
0 (1)
-0.09 (99)
0.618 (83)
-0.87 (94)
93
Utah St
0-0
-0.42
7
0 (1)
-0.37 (113)
0.517 (88)
-0.82 (92)
94
SMU
0-0
-0.44
-7
0 (1)
0.359 (79)
0.403 (93)
-0.99 (96)
95
Ga Southern
0-0
-0.49
-9
0 (1)
0.21 (88)
0.707 (77)
-1.17 (99)
96
Marshall
0-0
-0.51
25
0 (1)
-0.95 (127)
0.207 (101)
-0.70 (91)
97
Idaho
0-0
-0.53
-25
0 (1)
1.126 (44)
0.242 (100)
-1.27 (102)
98
East Carolina
0-0
-0.58
3
0 (1)
-0.37 (112)
0.463 (92)
-1.07 (97)
99
ULL
0-0
-0.60
-7
0 (1)
0.259 (86)
0.089 (106)
-1.11 (98)
100
UNLV
0-0
-0.61
9
0 (1)
-0.32 (108)
-0.16 (115)
-0.87 (95)
101
Illinois
0-0
-0.68
-4
0 (1)
-0.21 (103)
0.512 (89)
-1.30 (104)
102
Akron
0-0
-0.68
2
0 (1)
-0.31 (107)
0.335 (96)
-1.21 (100)
103
Hawaii
0-0
-0.71
-9
0 (1)
0.276 (85)
-0.04 (113)
-1.24 (101)
104
E Michigan
0-0
-0.76
-8
0 (1)
0.197 (89)
-0.08 (114)
-1.28 (103)
105
Purdue
0-0
-0.80
1
0 (1)
-0.29 (106)
0.173 (102)
-1.34 (105)
106
Tulane
0-0
-0.84
-3
0 (1)
-0.13 (101)
0.059 (108)
-1.39 (106)
107
Rutgers
0-0
-0.88
4
0 (1)
-0.73 (122)
0.338 (95)
-1.43 (107)
108
Bowling Green
0-0
-0.91
-3
0 (1)
-0.36 (110)
0.567 (85)
-1.67 (114)
109
Connecticut
0-0
-0.92
3
0 (1)
-0.57 (116)
0.108 (104)
-1.45 (108)
110
Nevada
0-0
-0.96
-3
0 (1)
-0.23 (104)
0.050 (109)
-1.56 (111)
111
San Jose St
0-0
-0.99
-3
0 (1)
-0.36 (111)
0.126 (103)
-1.61 (113)
112
South Alabama
0-0
-0.99
-14
0 (1)
0.149 (92)
0.026 (110)
-1.70 (115)
113
Kansas
0-0
-1.03
6
0 (1)
-0.64 (119)
-0.19 (117)
-1.47 (109)
114
Ball St
0-0
-1.06
1
0 (1)
-0.66 (120)
0.012 (112)
-1.60 (112)
115
FL Atlantic
0-0
-1.10
10
0 (1)
-0.92 (126)
-0.27 (119)
-1.49 (110)
116
Georgia St
0-0
-1.24
-3
0 (1)
-0.55 (115)
0.015 (111)
-1.94 (118)
117
New Mexico St
0-0
-1.24
1
0 (1)
-0.33 (109)
-0.49 (124)
-1.78 (116)
118
Coastal Car
0-0
-1.25
12
0 (1)
-1.02 (128)
-1.29 (130)
-3.02 (129)
119
Massachusetts
0-0
-1.30
4
0 (1)
-0.80 (123)
-0.28 (120)
-1.86 (117)
120
ULM
0-0
-1.34
-10
0 (1)
-0.09 (100)
-0.38 (123)
-2.06 (119)
121
Florida Intl
0-0
-1.38
-5
0 (1)
-0.50 (114)
-0.19 (116)
-2.09 (120)
122
North Texas
0-0
-1.47
-8
0 (1)
-0.24 (105)
-0.49 (125)
-2.18 (122)
123
Kent
0-0
-1.51
-3
0 (1)
-0.66 (121)
-0.25 (118)
-2.24 (124)
124
Rice
0-0
-1.54
0
0 (1)
-0.82 (125)
-0.34 (121)
-2.23 (123)
125
UAB
0-0
-1.55
4
0 (1)
0 (94)
0.579 (84)
-2.83 (128)
126
Fresno St
0-0
-1.65
2
0 (1)
-1.79 (130)
-0.50 (127)
-2.10 (121)
127
Charlotte
0-0
-1.76
-10
0 (1)
-0.60 (117)
-0.55 (128)
-2.55 (125)
128
UTEP
0-0
-1.83
-6
0 (1)
-0.64 (118)
-0.50 (126)
-2.69 (126)
129
Buffalo
0-0
-1.94
-2
0 (1)
-1.16 (129)
-0.37 (122)
-2.80 (127)
130
Texas St
0-0
-2.20
-4
0 (1)
-0.81 (124)
-0.72 (129)
-3.16 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.440
2
ACC
1.386
3
PAC12
1.292
4
BIG10
1.105
5
BIG12
1.001
6
INDEP
0.745
7
AAC
0.519
8
MWC
0.162
9
SUNBELT
0.044
10
MAC
-0.10
11
CUSA
-0.17
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