NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Preseason: Updated 7/10/2018.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
0-0
3.534
0
0 (1)
3.435 (2)
3.133 (1)
3.726 (1)
2
Ohio St
0-0
3.251
2
0 (1)
3.003 (4)
2.886 (6)
3.464 (3)
3
Georgia
0-0
3.200
1
0 (1)
3.132 (3)
3.085 (2)
3.265 (5)
4
Clemson
0-0
3.148
3
0 (1)
2.743 (8)
2.923 (4)
3.342 (4)
5
Oklahoma
0-0
2.993
3
0 (1)
2.777 (6)
2.917 (5)
3.078 (6)
6
Washington
0-0
2.904
10
0 (1)
1.713 (23)
2.257 (13)
3.471 (2)
7
Auburn
0-0
2.882
2
0 (1)
2.615 (9)
2.744 (8)
3.006 (8)
8
Wisconsin
0-0
2.875
3
0 (1)
3.001 (5)
2.852 (7)
2.853 (9)
9
Penn St
0-0
2.783
3
0 (1)
2.760 (7)
2.963 (3)
2.714 (10)
10
Michigan
0-0
2.520
14
0 (1)
1.642 (26)
1.856 (25)
3.017 (7)
11
Notre Dame
0-0
2.500
1
0 (1)
2.486 (10)
2.371 (10)
2.557 (11)
12
UCF
0-0
2.194
9
0 (1)
3.674 (1)
2.626 (9)
1.645 (23)
13
Michigan St
0-0
2.190
1
0 (1)
2.434 (11)
2.028 (16)
2.197 (15)
14
Miami FL
0-0
2.185
0
0 (1)
2.094 (15)
2.089 (15)
2.247 (13)
15
USC
0-0
2.114
0
0 (1)
2.152 (14)
1.853 (26)
2.214 (14)
16
Oklahoma St
0-0
2.089
3
0 (1)
1.984 (16)
2.303 (11)
2.027 (17)
17
Texas
0-0
2.085
16
0 (1)
1.245 (38)
1.778 (27)
2.423 (12)
18
Stanford
0-0
1.968
5
0 (1)
1.679 (25)
1.899 (23)
2.069 (16)
19
Mississippi St
0-0
1.903
2
0 (1)
1.730 (22)
1.926 (21)
1.936 (19)
20
TCU
0-0
1.832
9
0 (1)
2.320 (12)
2.266 (12)
1.530 (27)
21
Florida St
0-0
1.816
10
0 (1)
1.367 (37)
1.698 (31)
1.977 (18)
22
LSU
0-0
1.804
2
0 (1)
1.733 (21)
1.924 (22)
1.772 (21)
23
West Virginia
0-0
1.644
20
0 (1)
1.034 (47)
1.377 (42)
1.908 (20)
24
Virginia Tech
0-0
1.605
2
0 (1)
1.637 (27)
1.954 (20)
1.452 (28)
25
Texas A&M
0-0
1.529
16
0 (1)
1.171 (41)
1.340 (44)
1.697 (22)
26
NC State
0-0
1.514
8
0 (1)
1.900 (17)
2.023 (17)
1.206 (34)
27
Boise St
0-0
1.511
9
0 (1)
1.398 (34)
1.428 (40)
1.574 (26)
28
Louisville
0-0
1.503
1
0 (1)
1.412 (33)
1.857 (24)
1.378 (31)
29
Northwestern
0-0
1.486
12
0 (1)
2.204 (13)
1.956 (19)
1.111 (38)
30
Iowa
0-0
1.480
11
0 (1)
1.859 (18)
2.110 (14)
1.122 (37)
31
Oregon
0-0
1.414
17
0 (1)
0.901 (55)
1.253 (48)
1.610 (25)
32
South Carolina
0-0
1.375
4
0 (1)
1.733 (20)
1.553 (36)
1.211 (33)
33
Utah
0-0
1.373
11
0 (1)
0.862 (57)
1.492 (39)
1.451 (29)
34
Kansas St
0-0
1.356
2
0 (1)
1.452 (32)
1.694 (32)
1.191 (35)
35
Iowa St
0-0
1.312
10
0 (1)
1.692 (24)
1.960 (18)
0.947 (42)
36
Florida
0-0
1.311
27
0 (1)
0.593 (66)
0.945 (67)
1.644 (24)
37
Boston College
0-0
1.272
2
0 (1)
1.371 (36)
1.739 (30)
1.053 (40)
38
Arizona
0-0
1.237
22
0 (1)
0.687 (63)
1.112 (54)
1.426 (30)
39
Georgia Tech
0-0
1.203
0
0 (1)
1.004 (49)
1.638 (34)
1.072 (39)
40
Purdue
0-0
1.191
3
0 (1)
1.190 (40)
1.591 (35)
1.024 (41)
41
Missouri
0-0
1.176
4
0 (1)
0.943 (51)
1.371 (43)
1.153 (36)
42
Memphis
0-0
1.173
16
0 (1)
1.747 (19)
1.754 (28)
0.787 (46)
43
South Florida
0-0
1.142
14
0 (1)
1.517 (28)
1.649 (33)
0.838 (45)
44
Nebraska
0-0
1.125
26
0 (1)
0.584 (69)
0.860 (70)
1.372 (32)
45
Duke
0-0
1.105
5
0 (1)
1.120 (42)
1.545 (37)
0.918 (43)
46
Wake Forest
0-0
1.008
16
0 (1)
1.473 (31)
1.740 (29)
0.586 (54)
47
FL Atlantic
0-0
0.983
9
0 (1)
1.378 (35)
1.518 (38)
0.661 (51)
48
Mississippi
0-0
0.952
9
0 (1)
0.919 (53)
1.143 (53)
0.881 (44)
49
San Diego St
0-0
0.828
3
0 (1)
1.073 (44)
1.032 (62)
0.681 (50)
50
UCLA
0-0
0.822
9
0 (1)
0.834 (59)
0.986 (65)
0.751 (48)
51
California
0-0
0.817
17
0 (1)
0.547 (71)
1.073 (55)
0.778 (47)
52
Pittsburgh
0-0
0.811
3
0 (1)
0.804 (60)
1.425 (41)
0.557 (57)
53
Houston
0-0
0.806
3
0 (1)
0.859 (58)
1.172 (51)
0.641 (52)
54
Navy
0-0
0.805
7
0 (1)
1.057 (46)
1.241 (49)
0.561 (56)
55
Washington St
0-0
0.759
21
0 (1)
1.508 (30)
1.337 (45)
0.332 (66)
56
Fresno St
0-0
0.724
6
0 (1)
1.065 (45)
1.208 (50)
0.437 (61)
57
Syracuse
0-0
0.724
7
0 (1)
0.587 (68)
1.035 (61)
0.629 (53)
58
Arkansas
0-0
0.672
17
0 (1)
0.458 (75)
0.612 (79)
0.750 (49)
59
Arizona St
0-0
0.669
6
0 (1)
1.006 (48)
1.153 (52)
0.383 (64)
60
Texas Tech
0-0
0.655
14
0 (1)
0.978 (50)
1.311 (46)
0.301 (68)
61
Minnesota
0-0
0.623
4
0 (1)
0.526 (73)
1.055 (58)
0.466 (60)
62
Indiana
0-0
0.621
8
0 (1)
0.767 (61)
1.286 (47)
0.307 (67)
63
Maryland
0-0
0.616
2
0 (1)
0.898 (56)
0.944 (68)
0.409 (63)
64
Kentucky
0-0
0.612
6
0 (1)
0.942 (52)
1.028 (63)
0.357 (65)
65
Toledo
0-0
0.544
14
0 (1)
1.090 (43)
1.039 (59)
0.201 (69)
66
Tennessee
0-0
0.491
18
0 (1)
0.149 (87)
0.481 (87)
0.581 (55)
67
Marshall
0-0
0.473
13
0 (1)
0.262 (82)
0.597 (80)
0.474 (58)
68
Temple
0-0
0.424
1
0 (1)
0.677 (64)
0.963 (66)
0.136 (70)
69
Arkansas St
0-0
0.415
20
0 (1)
-0.03 (94)
0.561 (81)
0.467 (59)
70
Army
0-0
0.396
28
0 (1)
1.51 (29)
1.061 (56)
-0.15 (80)
71
Appalachian St
0-0
0.395
5
0 (1)
0.570 (70)
1.059 (57)
0.074 (72)
72
Troy
0-0
0.373
23
0 (1)
1.195 (39)
1.022 (64)
-0.10 (78)
73
Ohio
0-0
0.339
4
0 (1)
0.546 (72)
1.039 (60)
-0.00 (75)
74
North Carolina
0-0
0.301
2
0 (1)
0.257 (83)
0.828 (71)
0.092 (71)
75
Virginia
0-0
0.287
13
0 (1)
0.736 (62)
0.860 (69)
-0.06 (76)
76
N Illinois
0-0
0.272
5
0 (1)
0.622 (65)
0.702 (72)
0.006 (74)
77
SMU
0-0
0.197
5
0 (1)
0.588 (67)
0.692 (73)
-0.10 (79)
78
Colorado
0-0
0.183
3
0 (1)
0.053 (90)
0.629 (78)
0.030 (73)
79
Baylor
0-0
0.155
36
0 (1)
-1.26 (122)
0.350 (91)
0.430 (62)
80
Wyoming
0-0
0.079
2
0 (1)
0.292 (80)
0.673 (75)
-0.22 (81)
81
Vanderbilt
0-0
0.040
7
0 (1)
0.493 (74)
0.679 (74)
-0.33 (83)
82
Tulane
0-0
0.036
5
0 (1)
0.386 (78)
0.648 (77)
-0.30 (82)
83
North Texas
0-0
0.008
10
0 (1)
0.910 (54)
0.361 (90)
-0.36 (84)
84
Utah St
0-0
-0.02
13
0 (1)
-0.37 (103)
0.348 (93)
-0.08 (77)
85
W Michigan
0-0
-0.09
0
0 (1)
0.150 (86)
0.535 (83)
-0.41 (86)
86
MTSU
0-0
-0.10
2
0 (1)
0.124 (88)
0.466 (88)
-0.40 (85)
87
Buffalo
0-0
-0.14
0
0 (1)
0.113 (89)
0.559 (82)
-0.49 (87)
88
Louisiana Tech
0-0
-0.20
5
0 (1)
0.194 (85)
0.668 (76)
-0.66 (93)
89
Miami OH
0-0
-0.28
7
0 (1)
-0.28 (102)
0.242 (95)
-0.50 (88)
90
Rutgers
0-0
-0.30
11
0 (1)
0.392 (77)
0.496 (85)
-0.82 (96)
91
Cincinnati
0-0
-0.31
4
0 (1)
0.041 (91)
-0.05 (108)
-0.51 (89)
92
Tulsa
0-0
-0.36
14
0 (1)
-0.74 (114)
0.349 (92)
-0.57 (91)
93
Colorado St
0-0
-0.41
1
0 (1)
-0.27 (101)
0.496 (86)
-0.82 (97)
94
UAB
0-0
-0.42
5
0 (1)
-0.00 (92)
0.062 (103)
-0.72 (94)
95
UNLV
0-0
-0.43
10
0 (1)
-0.45 (106)
-0.01 (106)
-0.60 (92)
96
Air Force
0-0
-0.44
2
0 (1)
-0.14 (97)
0.220 (96)
-0.79 (95)
97
E Michigan
0-0
-0.47
6
0 (1)
-0.02 (93)
0.498 (84)
-1.00 (99)
98
Nevada
0-0
-0.49
19
0 (1)
-0.93 (115)
-0.04 (107)
-0.56 (90)
99
BYU
0-0
-0.65
5
0 (1)
-0.56 (109)
0.089 (101)
-0.98 (98)
100
Southern Miss
0-0
-0.70
14
0 (1)
0.275 (81)
0.279 (94)
-1.35 (110)
101
Florida Intl
0-0
-0.71
8
0 (1)
0.233 (84)
0.183 (98)
-1.32 (109)
102
C Michigan
0-0
-0.73
20
0 (1)
0.399 (76)
0.449 (89)
-1.51 (115)
103
East Carolina
0-0
-0.75
3
0 (1)
-0.06 (95)
0.045 (104)
-1.25 (105)
104
Akron
0-0
-0.76
14
0 (1)
0.355 (79)
0.191 (97)
-1.44 (113)
105
ULM
0-0
-0.77
5
0 (1)
-0.58 (111)
-0.13 (111)
-1.08 (101)
106
New Mexico St
0-0
-0.77
8
0 (1)
-0.13 (96)
0.079 (102)
-1.28 (108)
107
WKU
0-0
-0.82
1
0 (1)
-0.43 (105)
-0.17 (113)
-1.19 (103)
108
Illinois
0-0
-0.90
3
0 (1)
-0.69 (113)
-0.09 (109)
-1.28 (107)
109
Ga Southern
0-0
-0.91
10
0 (1)
-1.00 (116)
-0.47 (120)
-1.07 (100)
110
Old Dominion
0-0
-0.93
1
0 (1)
-0.23 (100)
-0.33 (117)
-1.35 (111)
111
Bowling Green
0-0
-0.95
3
0 (1)
-0.64 (112)
-0.15 (112)
-1.35 (112)
112
Massachusetts
0-0
-0.95
5
0 (1)
-0.51 (107)
0.154 (99)
-1.52 (116)
113
Connecticut
0-0
-0.95
11
0 (1)
-0.20 (98)
0.010 (105)
-1.54 (117)
114
New Mexico
0-0
-0.97
4
0 (1)
-1.00 (117)
-0.27 (115)
-1.25 (106)
115
Georgia St
0-0
-0.99
12
0 (1)
-0.21 (99)
-0.10 (110)
-1.56 (118)
116
Oregon St
0-0
-1.03
6
0 (1)
-1.68 (126)
-0.47 (121)
-1.09 (102)
117
UT San Antonio
0-0
-1.05
16
0 (1)
-0.37 (104)
0.130 (100)
-1.70 (121)
118
Kansas
0-0
-1.10
5
0 (1)
-1.73 (127)
-0.42 (119)
-1.22 (104)
119
South Alabama
0-0
-1.11
7
0 (1)
-0.55 (108)
-0.25 (114)
-1.61 (119)
120
ULL
0-0
-1.15
4
0 (1)
-0.57 (110)
-0.35 (118)
-1.63 (120)
121
Ball St
0-0
-1.37
4
0 (1)
-1.33 (124)
-1.05 (128)
-1.51 (114)
122
Hawaii
0-0
-1.48
2
0 (1)
-1.07 (120)
-0.54 (122)
-1.98 (122)
123
Coastal Car
0-0
-1.53
10
0 (1)
-1.00 (118)
-0.31 (116)
-2.17 (124)
124
San Jose St
0-0
-1.68
2
0 (1)
-1.30 (123)
-1.00 (127)
-2.06 (123)
125
Charlotte
0-0
-1.72
1
0 (1)
-1.26 (121)
-0.85 (123)
-2.20 (125)
126
Kent
0-0
-2.03
5
0 (1)
-1.04 (119)
-0.92 (124)
-2.73 (128)
127
Rice
0-0
-2.10
1
0 (1)
-1.74 (128)
-0.93 (125)
-2.68 (127)
128
Texas St
0-0
-2.18
1
0 (1)
-1.46 (125)
-0.96 (126)
-2.87 (129)
129
Liberty
0-0
-2.46
1
0 (1)
-2.21 (129)
-2.43 (130)
-2.54 (126)
130
UTEP
0-0
-2.64
1
0 (1)
-2.73 (130)
-1.38 (129)
-3.14 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.534
2
BIG10
1.396
3
ACC
1.320
4
BIG12
1.302
5
PAC12
1.103
6
INDEP
0.366
7
AAC
0.365
8
MWC
-0.23
9
SUNBELT
-0.46
10
MAC
-0.55
11
CUSA
-0.66