NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 12/3/2017.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Clemson
12-1
3.201
1
1.186 (15)
3.009 (3)
3.311 (1)
3.682 (1)
2
Georgia
12-1
3.187
1
1.150 (16)
3.211 (2)
3.070 (4)
3.309 (3)
3
UCF
12-0
3.073
3
0.540 (74)
3.701 (1)
2.452 (10)
1.964 (16)
4
Oklahoma
12-1
2.979
3
0.882 (47)
2.815 (4)
3.145 (2)
3.262 (4)
5
Alabama
11-1
2.896
0
0.791 (52)
2.735 (6)
2.818 (8)
3.598 (2)
6
Ohio St
11-2
2.872
3
1.228 (11)
2.765 (5)
2.943 (5)
3.124 (7)
7
Penn St
10-2
2.807
1
1.088 (23)
2.547 (12)
3.082 (3)
3.239 (5)
8
Auburn
10-3
2.796
-4
1.193 (13)
2.659 (8)
2.866 (7)
3.153 (6)
9
Wisconsin
12-1
2.778
-8
0.920 (42)
2.695 (7)
2.914 (6)
2.833 (8)
10
Notre Dame
9-3
2.551
0
1.535 (2)
2.548 (11)
2.477 (9)
2.691 (10)
11
USC
11-2
2.384
3
1.085 (24)
2.586 (9)
2.045 (22)
2.269 (13)
12
Miami FL
10-2
2.360
-1
1.189 (14)
2.379 (13)
2.371 (13)
2.278 (12)
13
Washington
10-2
2.301
0
0.669 (67)
2.099 (17)
2.423 (12)
2.797 (9)
14
TCU
10-3
2.254
-2
0.791 (53)
2.165 (15)
2.430 (11)
2.256 (14)
15
Memphis
10-2
2.107
1
0.580 (71)
2.549 (10)
1.738 (32)
1.208 (32)
16
Virginia Tech
9-3
2.084
1
0.988 (33)
1.984 (19)
2.278 (15)
2.096 (15)
17
Michigan St
9-3
2.071
2
1.296 (6)
2.271 (14)
2.008 (24)
1.480 (24)
18
Stanford
9-4
2.062
-3
1.148 (17)
2.108 (16)
2.034 (23)
1.953 (17)
19
Oklahoma St
9-3
2.052
-1
0.796 (51)
1.789 (23)
2.332 (14)
2.483 (11)
20
Northwestern
9-3
1.945
0
0.930 (40)
1.998 (18)
2.180 (16)
1.352 (29)
21
NC State
8-4
1.914
1
1.260 (9)
1.903 (21)
2.087 (19)
1.654 (21)
22
Michigan
8-4
1.902
-1
1.203 (12)
1.791 (22)
2.117 (18)
1.916 (19)
23
Louisville
8-4
1.821
1
0.827 (50)
1.656 (26)
2.082 (21)
1.942 (18)
24
LSU
9-3
1.808
-1
0.756 (56)
1.782 (24)
1.879 (26)
1.773 (20)
25
Washington St
9-3
1.738
1
0.752 (58)
1.908 (20)
1.576 (39)
1.429 (26)
26
Iowa
7-5
1.730
-1
1.325 (5)
1.603 (29)
2.140 (17)
1.460 (25)
27
Boston College
7-5
1.626
2
1.421 (3)
1.631 (27)
1.984 (25)
0.981 (37)
28
Mississippi St
8-4
1.613
0
0.897 (45)
1.539 (30)
1.760 (30)
1.614 (22)
29
Iowa St
7-5
1.601
-2
1.012 (30)
1.479 (32)
2.084 (20)
1.184 (33)
30
Florida St
6-6
1.517
0
1.116 (22)
1.375 (35)
1.745 (31)
1.610 (23)
31
Wake Forest
7-5
1.500
1
1.129 (19)
1.388 (33)
1.863 (27)
1.257 (31)
32
South Florida
9-2
1.494
-1
0.126 (88)
1.487 (31)
1.642 (36)
1.261 (30)
33
Toledo
11-2
1.468
1
0.128 (87)
1.689 (25)
1.465 (43)
0.702 (47)
34
South Carolina
8-4
1.389
4
0.967 (36)
1.625 (28)
1.360 (47)
0.611 (51)
35
Kansas St
7-5
1.354
-2
0.698 (65)
1.306 (40)
1.701 (34)
0.918 (38)
36
Georgia Tech
5-6
1.353
-1
1.373 (4)
1.111 (49)
1.819 (28)
1.383 (27)
37
Texas
6-6
1.325
-1
0.983 (34)
1.087 (51)
1.770 (29)
1.379 (28)
38
West Virginia
7-5
1.306
-1
0.723 (63)
1.216 (44)
1.651 (35)
1.019 (35)
39
Oregon
7-5
1.298
0
0.847 (48)
1.298 (42)
1.466 (42)
1.005 (36)
40
Boise St
10-3
1.267
2
0.280 (79)
1.334 (37)
1.343 (48)
0.901 (40)
41
Arizona St
7-5
1.237
0
0.983 (35)
1.384 (34)
1.329 (49)
0.559 (52)
42
Purdue
6-6
1.218
-2
1.127 (20)
1.079 (53)
1.727 (33)
0.812 (41)
43
Texas A&M
7-5
1.208
0
0.789 (54)
1.328 (38)
1.251 (51)
0.711 (46)
44
San Diego St
10-2
1.195
0
-0.06 (102)
1.351 (36)
1.191 (54)
0.654 (50)
45
UCLA
6-6
1.174
0
1.248 (10)
1.298 (41)
1.165 (57)
0.756 (44)
46
FL Atlantic
10-3
1.155
7
0.080 (91)
1.323 (39)
1.422 (45)
0.100 (64)
47
Houston
7-4
1.151
2
0.545 (73)
1.193 (45)
1.294 (50)
0.752 (45)
48
Missouri
7-5
1.149
2
0.636 (69)
1.096 (50)
1.472 (41)
0.772 (43)
49
Utah
6-6
1.146
-2
0.747 (59)
0.987 (57)
1.481 (40)
1.118 (34)
50
Duke
6-6
1.145
-4
0.898 (44)
1.041 (55)
1.611 (37)
0.699 (48)
51
Texas Tech
6-6
1.132
-3
1.022 (28)
1.085 (52)
1.431 (44)
0.777 (42)
52
Navy
6-5
1.072
2
1.041 (27)
1.231 (43)
1.097 (59)
0.470 (54)
53
Arizona
7-5
1.070
-2
0.537 (75)
1.113 (47)
1.216 (52)
0.662 (49)
54
Pittsburgh
5-7
1.021
-2
1.082 (25)
0.880 (63)
1.591 (38)
0.518 (53)
55
Indiana
5-7
0.981
0
1.019 (29)
0.798 (66)
1.382 (46)
0.917 (39)
56
Virginia
6-6
0.937
0
0.939 (39)
0.982 (58)
1.195 (53)
0.327 (56)
57
SMU
7-5
0.909
0
0.573 (72)
1.132 (46)
0.944 (67)
0.068 (66)
58
Kentucky
7-5
0.871
2
0.732 (61)
1.040 (56)
0.888 (70)
0.250 (59)
59
Mississippi
6-6
0.862
-1
0.723 (64)
0.930 (61)
1.054 (62)
0.286 (57)
60
Fresno St
9-4
0.824
-1
0.038 (95)
0.903 (62)
1.070 (61)
0.119 (62)
61
California
5-7
0.822
0
1.052 (26)
0.854 (65)
1.187 (55)
0.073 (65)
62
N Illinois
8-4
0.820
1
0.082 (90)
0.976 (59)
0.993 (64)
-0.02 (68)
63
Army
8-3
0.815
-1
-0.10 (105)
1.113 (48)
0.914 (69)
-0.39 (77)
64
Maryland
4-8
0.758
0
1.592 (1)
0.872 (64)
1.006 (63)
-0.07 (70)
65
Syracuse
4-8
0.756
0
1.289 (7)
0.690 (68)
1.171 (56)
0.264 (58)
66
Troy
10-2
0.744
3
-0.54 (124)
0.939 (60)
0.816 (72)
-0.06 (69)
67
Florida
4-7
0.699
-1
1.141 (18)
0.674 (69)
0.928 (68)
0.385 (55)
68
Ohio
8-4
0.656
0
-0.20 (109)
0.628 (71)
1.091 (60)
-0.00 (67)
69
Minnesota
5-7
0.631
-2
0.890 (46)
0.485 (76)
1.148 (58)
0.237 (60)
70
Nebraska
4-8
0.619
0
1.267 (8)
0.593 (72)
0.965 (66)
0.105 (63)
71
C Michigan
8-4
0.545
2
0.064 (92)
0.796 (67)
0.782 (73)
-0.74 (85)
72
North Texas
9-4
0.527
-1
-0.21 (110)
1.044 (54)
0.406 (92)
-1.07 (97)
73
Temple
6-6
0.518
-1
0.624 (70)
0.633 (70)
0.826 (71)
-0.41 (78)
74
North Carolina
3-9
0.443
0
1.116 (21)
0.374 (80)
0.980 (65)
-0.25 (74)
75
Vanderbilt
5-7
0.436
0
0.670 (66)
0.526 (75)
0.634 (79)
-0.22 (73)
76
Colorado
5-7
0.417
0
0.509 (77)
0.334 (82)
0.734 (74)
0.156 (61)
77
Tulane
5-7
0.398
0
0.730 (62)
0.527 (74)
0.680 (76)
-0.54 (81)
78
Arkansas
4-8
0.359
0
0.900 (43)
0.440 (77)
0.509 (84)
-0.18 (71)
79
W Michigan
6-6
0.338
0
0.185 (83)
0.363 (81)
0.731 (75)
-0.43 (79)
80
Akron
7-6
0.244
1
0.136 (85)
0.587 (73)
0.412 (90)
-1.25 (99)
81
Rutgers
4-8
0.243
1
0.926 (41)
0.406 (78)
0.567 (82)
-0.89 (88)
82
Tennessee
4-8
0.190
1
0.765 (55)
0.207 (86)
0.443 (88)
-0.31 (76)
83
Marshall
7-5
0.182
1
-0.09 (103)
0.214 (85)
0.602 (81)
-0.66 (83)
84
Appalachian St
8-4
0.159
3
-0.55 (125)
0.037 (92)
0.652 (77)
-0.27 (75)
85
Buffalo
6-6
0.157
0
0.008 (97)
0.221 (84)
0.652 (78)
-0.93 (92)
86
E Michigan
5-7
0.135
0
0.230 (81)
0.124 (88)
0.628 (80)
-0.69 (84)
87
Arkansas St
7-4
0.090
-7
-0.79 (129)
0.017 (94)
0.560 (83)
-0.47 (80)
88
Southern Miss
8-4
0.088
0
-0.65 (127)
0.304 (83)
0.304 (96)
-1.04 (95)
89
Wyoming
7-5
0.060
0
-0.33 (115)
0.101 (89)
0.482 (86)
-0.81 (86)
90
Colorado St
7-5
0.048
0
-0.36 (117)
-0.10 (97)
0.499 (85)
-0.19 (72)
91
Florida Intl
8-4
0.016
2
-0.26 (113)
0.377 (79)
0.274 (97)
-1.70 (110)
92
MTSU
6-6
-0.02
-1
-0.22 (111)
0.025 (93)
0.411 (91)
-0.97 (94)
93
Louisiana Tech
6-6
-0.10
-1
-0.35 (116)
-0.10 (96)
0.384 (93)
-0.97 (93)
94
Miami OH
5-7
-0.11
0
-0.00 (99)
-0.13 (99)
0.357 (95)
-0.89 (89)
95
Utah St
6-6
-0.13
0
-0.11 (106)
-0.21 (101)
0.466 (87)
-0.89 (90)
96
Cincinnati
4-8
-0.15
1
0.640 (68)
0.153 (87)
-0.05 (109)
-1.42 (101)
97
Air Force
5-7
-0.15
-1
-0.03 (100)
-0.13 (98)
0.188 (98)
-0.85 (87)
98
UAB
8-4
-0.20
0
-0.90 (130)
0.091 (90)
0.147 (99)
-1.86 (112)
99
East Carolina
3-9
-0.24
0
0.992 (32)
0.046 (91)
0.038 (103)
-1.76 (111)
100
Connecticut
3-9
-0.29
0
0.736 (60)
-0.08 (95)
0.025 (104)
-1.60 (108)
101
UT San Antonio
6-5
-0.37
1
-0.75 (128)
-0.40 (103)
0.113 (100)
-1.10 (98)
102
Tulsa
2-10
-0.39
-1
0.754 (57)
-0.63 (110)
0.380 (94)
-0.89 (90)
103
WKU
6-6
-0.42
0
-0.60 (126)
-0.29 (102)
-0.06 (110)
-1.52 (104)
104
BYU
4-9
-0.47
0
0.128 (86)
-0.56 (108)
0.046 (102)
-1.06 (96)
105
UNLV
5-7
-0.48
0
-0.23 (112)
-0.47 (105)
-0.04 (108)
-1.29 (100)
106
New Mexico St
6-6
-0.55
3
-0.50 (121)
-0.43 (104)
-0.21 (112)
-1.54 (105)
107
Old Dominion
5-7
-0.56
3
-0.10 (104)
-0.18 (100)
-0.31 (113)
-2.30 (121)
108
Massachusetts
4-8
-0.59
-1
-0.19 (108)
-0.60 (109)
0.063 (101)
-1.68 (109)
109
Bowling Green
2-10
-0.60
-1
0.530 (76)
-0.51 (106)
-0.04 (107)
-1.90 (113)
110
Illinois
2-10
-0.63
1
1.009 (31)
-0.65 (111)
-0.03 (105)
-1.58 (107)
111
Baylor
1-11
-0.72
1
0.943 (38)
-1.32 (124)
0.414 (89)
-0.61 (82)
112
Georgia St
6-5
-0.72
-6
-0.54 (123)
-0.54 (107)
-0.41 (118)
-1.90 (114)
113
Nevada
3-9
-0.76
0
0.235 (80)
-0.92 (117)
-0.04 (106)
-1.43 (102)
114
Idaho
4-8
-0.82
5
-0.33 (114)
-0.83 (115)
-0.18 (111)
-1.93 (116)
115
ULM
4-8
-0.82
-1
0.110 (89)
-0.77 (114)
-0.31 (114)
-1.91 (115)
116
South Alabama
4-8
-0.87
-1
-0.41 (118)
-0.74 (113)
-0.45 (119)
-2.06 (118)
117
Coastal Car
3-9
-0.87
1
-0.41 (119)
-1.17 (120)
-0.48 (120)
-2.41 (122)
118
New Mexico
3-9
-0.89
-1
0.001 (98)
-0.98 (118)
-0.33 (115)
-1.56 (106)
119
ULL
5-7
-0.93
-3
-0.43 (120)
-0.74 (112)
-0.54 (121)
-2.28 (120)
120
Hawaii
3-9
-1.07
0
-0.18 (107)
-1.04 (119)
-0.58 (122)
-2.06 (117)
121
Kent
2-10
-1.21
2
0.503 (78)
-0.90 (116)
-0.81 (124)
-2.99 (125)
122
Oregon St
1-11
-1.23
0
0.838 (49)
-1.58 (126)
-0.40 (117)
-1.45 (103)
123
Ga Southern
2-10
-1.26
-2
0.024 (96)
-1.19 (121)
-0.67 (123)
-2.57 (123)
124
Ball St
2-10
-1.37
0
-0.05 (101)
-1.19 (122)
-0.93 (126)
-2.79 (124)
125
Kansas
1-11
-1.43
0
0.957 (37)
-1.76 (128)
-0.37 (116)
-2.11 (119)
126
Charlotte
1-11
-1.49
0
0.063 (93)
-1.29 (123)
-0.88 (125)
-3.23 (127)
127
San Jose St
2-11
-1.56
0
0.059 (94)
-1.33 (125)
-1.07 (128)
-3.25 (128)
128
Rice
1-11
-1.77
0
0.176 (84)
-1.80 (129)
-0.96 (127)
-3.07 (126)
129
Texas St
2-10
-1.79
0
-0.53 (122)
-1.65 (127)
-1.18 (129)
-3.37 (129)
130
UTEP
0-12
-2.62
0
0.218 (82)
-2.86 (130)
-1.46 (130)
-3.80 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
ACC
1.548
2
BIG10
1.423
3
SEC
1.390
4
PAC12
1.201
5
BIG12
1.185
6
INDEP
0.963
7
AAC
0.802
8
MAC
0.035
9
MWC
-0.15
10
CUSA
-0.27
11
SUNBELT
-0.53