NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 11/18/2018.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
11-0
3.690
0
0.726 (36)
4.151 (1)
2.570 (1)
4.633 (1)
2
Clemson
11-0
3.046
0
0.788 (28)
3.656 (3)
1.973 (3)
3.421 (3)
3
Georgia
10-1
2.996
0
1.019 (9)
3.532 (4)
2.002 (2)
3.433 (2)
4
Notre Dame
11-0
2.815
0
0.869 (19)
3.816 (2)
1.612 (6)
2.248 (7)
5
Michigan
10-1
2.525
0
0.758 (33)
2.989 (6)
1.694 (4)
2.844 (4)
6
LSU
9-2
2.396
0
0.827 (23)
2.988 (7)
1.616 (5)
2.203 (8)
7
UCF
10-0
2.337
0
-0.05 (111)
3.060 (5)
1.481 (8)
1.895 (12)
8
Oklahoma
10-1
2.046
0
0.633 (46)
2.304 (12)
1.443 (9)
2.518 (5)
9
Florida
8-3
2.013
2
0.871 (18)
2.512 (9)
1.362 (12)
1.838 (15)
10
Missouri
7-4
2.012
3
1.252 (1)
2.382 (10)
1.483 (7)
1.980 (10)
11
Kentucky
8-3
1.962
1
1.051 (8)
2.592 (8)
1.283 (15)
1.434 (21)
12
Ohio St
10-1
1.924
2
0.507 (57)
2.242 (13)
1.272 (17)
2.317 (6)
13
Washington St
10-1
1.856
1
0.472 (65)
2.317 (11)
1.381 (11)
1.420 (22)
14
Texas A&M
7-4
1.839
2
1.139 (5)
2.239 (14)
1.299 (14)
1.736 (17)
15
Mississippi St
7-4
1.827
0
0.999 (11)
2.088 (15)
1.410 (10)
1.897 (11)
16
West Virginia
8-2
1.707
7
0.540 (55)
1.856 (19)
1.356 (13)
1.990 (9)
17
South Carolina
6-4
1.657
2
1.188 (3)
2.046 (16)
1.210 (20)
1.389 (24)
18
Auburn
7-4
1.614
2
0.725 (37)
1.803 (22)
1.241 (18)
1.816 (16)
19
Penn St
8-3
1.611
1
0.819 (24)
1.786 (24)
1.223 (19)
1.886 (13)
20
Utah
8-3
1.598
1
0.850 (21)
1.810 (21)
1.281 (16)
1.612 (18)
21
Syracuse
8-3
1.569
4
0.477 (62)
2.041 (17)
1.099 (29)
1.096 (31)
22
Washington
8-3
1.562
0
0.626 (47)
1.706 (26)
1.204 (21)
1.874 (14)
23
Texas
8-3
1.464
1
0.772 (32)
1.649 (28)
1.191 (23)
1.463 (19)
24
Utah St
10-1
1.445
1
-0.41 (127)
1.831 (20)
1.126 (26)
0.916 (36)
25
Stanford
6-4
1.405
2
0.992 (13)
1.596 (29)
1.147 (25)
1.359 (25)
26
Pittsburgh
7-4
1.391
7
0.930 (16)
1.801 (23)
1.108 (27)
0.716 (43)
27
Fresno St
9-2
1.380
3
0.150 (90)
1.560 (31)
1.160 (24)
1.285 (27)
28
Boise St
9-2
1.311
6
0.290 (78)
1.591 (30)
1.023 (32)
1.048 (33)
29
Army
9-2
1.309
6
0.126 (93)
2.027 (18)
0.830 (50)
0.085 (65)
30
NC State
7-3
1.304
1
0.657 (42)
1.520 (32)
1.012 (34)
1.250 (29)
31
Tennessee
5-6
1.281
6
1.219 (2)
1.731 (25)
0.958 (36)
0.564 (52)
32
Cincinnati
9-2
1.258
0
0.111 (94)
1.699 (27)
0.921 (41)
0.598 (47)
33
Michigan St
6-5
1.225
7
0.998 (12)
1.332 (41)
1.038 (31)
1.286 (26)
34
Iowa St
6-4
1.220
6
0.893 (17)
1.335 (40)
1.107 (28)
1.096 (32)
35
Iowa
7-4
1.218
1
0.646 (44)
1.154 (48)
1.200 (22)
1.453 (20)
36
Boston College
7-4
1.207
7
0.580 (50)
1.361 (39)
1.004 (35)
1.162 (30)
37
Duke
7-4
1.196
1
0.787 (29)
1.500 (33)
0.927 (40)
0.817 (38)
38
Northwestern
7-4
1.193
1
0.967 (14)
1.444 (35)
1.019 (33)
0.779 (39)
39
Wisconsin
7-4
1.178
3
0.544 (54)
1.202 (46)
1.041 (30)
1.393 (23)
40
Appalachian St
8-2
1.126
0
-0.21 (119)
1.470 (34)
0.882 (44)
0.570 (51)
41
Vanderbilt
5-6
1.081
7
1.139 (4)
1.290 (43)
0.935 (39)
0.737 (42)
42
Oregon
7-4
1.075
3
0.448 (66)
1.293 (42)
0.861 (47)
0.848 (37)
43
Georgia Tech
7-4
1.061
3
0.481 (60)
1.288 (44)
0.863 (46)
0.774 (40)
44
Miami FL
6-5
1.042
9
0.551 (52)
1.059 (50)
0.906 (42)
1.277 (28)
45
Virginia
7-4
1.000
2
0.378 (73)
1.247 (45)
0.864 (45)
0.516 (54)
46
Buffalo
9-2
0.996
9
-0.18 (118)
1.437 (36)
0.724 (58)
0.195 (61)
47
Oklahoma St
6-5
0.946
10
0.532 (56)
0.910 (57)
0.957 (37)
1.036 (34)
48
Purdue
5-6
0.924
7
0.939 (15)
0.882 (59)
0.943 (38)
1.016 (35)
49
Arizona St
6-5
0.922
5
0.671 (41)
1.040 (51)
0.883 (43)
0.635 (45)
50
Temple
7-4
0.891
5
0.400 (71)
1.022 (55)
0.840 (49)
0.587 (50)
51
Troy
9-2
0.872
1
-0.22 (120)
1.421 (37)
0.611 (67)
-0.28 (78)
52
California
6-4
0.813
6
0.555 (51)
1.036 (52)
0.727 (57)
0.301 (58)
53
UAB
9-2
0.797
4
-0.47 (129)
1.364 (38)
0.537 (75)
-0.42 (82)
54
Florida St
5-6
0.797
5
1.007 (10)
1.015 (56)
0.643 (65)
0.439 (56)
55
Mississippi
5-6
0.785
5
0.857 (20)
0.825 (63)
0.809 (51)
0.610 (46)
56
Texas Tech
5-6
0.781
9
0.720 (38)
0.777 (65)
0.851 (48)
0.641 (44)
57
TCU
5-6
0.744
4
0.731 (34)
0.768 (66)
0.703 (60)
0.754 (41)
58
Wake Forest
5-6
0.743
7
0.796 (26)
1.095 (49)
0.648 (64)
-0.15 (73)
59
Ohio
7-4
0.739
14
-0.01 (108)
0.882 (60)
0.774 (53)
0.223 (60)
60
USC
5-6
0.718
4
0.800 (25)
0.744 (67)
0.735 (56)
0.598 (47)
61
Houston
8-3
0.703
5
-0.37 (125)
0.704 (71)
0.751 (55)
0.596 (49)
62
BYU
6-5
0.699
2
0.394 (72)
0.882 (58)
0.701 (61)
0.123 (63)
63
N Illinois
7-4
0.680
9
0.437 (68)
1.036 (52)
0.591 (69)
-0.23 (76)
64
Ga Southern
8-3
0.666
10
0.010 (105)
1.198 (47)
0.501 (83)
-0.64 (92)
65
MTSU
7-4
0.660
2
0.196 (86)
1.026 (54)
0.565 (70)
-0.28 (77)
66
Memphis
7-4
0.638
9
-0.13 (117)
0.610 (79)
0.754 (54)
0.477 (55)
67
Maryland
5-6
0.630
5
0.702 (39)
0.548 (84)
0.783 (52)
0.564 (53)
68
Indiana
5-6
0.597
0
0.839 (22)
0.680 (72)
0.638 (66)
0.251 (59)
69
Kansas St
5-6
0.580
13
0.592 (49)
0.625 (75)
0.697 (62)
0.192 (62)
70
Virginia Tech
4-6
0.520
5
0.778 (30)
0.709 (69)
0.448 (86)
0.081 (66)
71
San Diego St
7-4
0.511
2
0.104 (97)
0.732 (68)
0.495 (85)
-0.14 (72)
72
Arizona
5-6
0.509
2
0.442 (67)
0.564 (81)
0.664 (63)
0.009 (69)
73
Nebraska
4-7
0.508
13
0.684 (40)
0.409 (92)
0.714 (59)
0.381 (57)
74
Nevada
7-4
0.502
5
0.105 (95)
0.860 (61)
0.512 (81)
-0.64 (91)
75
Marshall
7-3
0.488
8
-0.25 (122)
0.709 (70)
0.531 (78)
-0.29 (79)
76
Arkansas St
7-4
0.484
9
0.089 (99)
0.828 (62)
0.498 (84)
-0.62 (90)
77
Minnesota
5-6
0.481
6
0.616 (48)
0.513 (86)
0.605 (68)
0.116 (64)
78
Baylor
5-6
0.474
15
0.647 (43)
0.559 (82)
0.554 (73)
0.034 (68)
79
North Texas
8-3
0.463
3
-0.39 (126)
0.641 (74)
0.520 (80)
-0.21 (75)
80
UCLA
3-8
0.450
8
1.088 (6)
0.583 (80)
0.533 (76)
-0.13 (71)
81
E Michigan
6-5
0.447
9
0.136 (91)
0.666 (73)
0.522 (79)
-0.39 (81)
82
Toledo
6-5
0.429
2
-0.00 (106)
0.544 (85)
0.559 (72)
-0.20 (74)
83
Louisiana Tech
7-4
0.426
19
-0.06 (112)
0.807 (64)
0.347 (92)
-0.59 (89)
84
Miami OH
5-6
0.392
8
0.474 (64)
0.612 (78)
0.531 (77)
-0.59 (88)
85
Colorado
5-6
0.383
4
0.499 (58)
0.386 (95)
0.540 (74)
0.039 (67)
86
South Florida
7-4
0.376
8
0.049 (103)
0.621 (76)
0.359 (91)
-0.35 (80)
87
FL Atlantic
5-6
0.353
7
0.344 (77)
0.403 (93)
0.503 (82)
-0.12 (70)
88
Florida Intl
8-3
0.295
3
-0.63 (130)
0.558 (83)
0.390 (89)
-0.72 (94)
89
Wyoming
5-6
0.289
5
0.417 (70)
0.497 (87)
0.432 (87)
-0.66 (93)
90
Tulane
5-6
0.288
13
0.432 (69)
0.472 (89)
0.424 (88)
-0.57 (86)
91
W Michigan
6-5
0.172
1
0.044 (104)
0.339 (96)
0.282 (96)
-0.58 (87)
92
SMU
5-6
0.168
5
0.346 (75)
0.395 (94)
0.365 (90)
-0.95 (97)
93
Air Force
4-7
0.157
4
0.375 (74)
0.111 (99)
0.560 (71)
-0.55 (84)
94
ULL
6-5
0.141
1
0.152 (89)
0.492 (88)
0.283 (95)
-1.25 (102)
95
ULM
6-5
0.125
2
0.104 (96)
0.620 (77)
0.143 (102)
-1.45 (106)
96
Hawaii
7-5
0.068
2
-0.11 (116)
0.436 (91)
0.152 (101)
-1.26 (103)
97
Southern Miss
5-5
-0.00
4
-0.26 (123)
0.220 (97)
0.193 (99)
-1.15 (100)
98
Coastal Car
5-6
-0.03
2
0.255 (82)
0.461 (90)
0.011 (107)
-1.71 (112)
99
North Carolina
2-8
-0.05
0
0.643 (45)
-0.17 (102)
0.336 (93)
-0.52 (83)
100
Kansas
3-8
-0.16
2
0.548 (53)
-0.26 (106)
0.315 (94)
-0.84 (96)
101
Illinois
4-7
-0.16
1
0.290 (79)
-0.10 (101)
0.192 (100)
-1.13 (99)
102
Liberty
4-6
-0.21
1
0.263 (80)
0.150 (98)
0.036 (105)
-1.87 (116)
103
Navy
3-8
-0.23
3
0.485 (59)
-0.37 (109)
0.227 (98)
-0.76 (95)
104
Oregon St
2-9
-0.27
0
0.731 (35)
-0.19 (104)
0.104 (103)
-1.32 (104)
105
Akron
4-6
-0.28
8
-0.00 (107)
-0.06 (100)
-0.00 (110)
-1.53 (108)
106
Louisville
2-9
-0.33
1
1.055 (7)
-0.34 (108)
0.002 (109)
-1.02 (98)
107
Old Dominion
4-7
-0.39
4
-0.22 (121)
-0.28 (107)
-0.02 (111)
-1.53 (107)
108
Arkansas
2-9
-0.41
1
0.790 (27)
-0.84 (120)
0.281 (97)
-0.57 (85)
109
Massachusetts
4-8
-0.44
1
0.244 (84)
-0.18 (103)
-0.14 (118)
-1.87 (117)
110
Charlotte
4-7
-0.46
2
-0.03 (110)
-0.22 (105)
-0.06 (114)
-2.04 (119)
111
East Carolina
3-7
-0.48
2
0.081 (100)
-0.55 (112)
0.045 (104)
-1.38 (105)
112
New Mexico
3-8
-0.48
3
0.255 (81)
-0.41 (110)
0.004 (108)
-1.75 (113)
113
Ball St
4-7
-0.52
4
0.079 (101)
-0.45 (111)
-0.07 (115)
-1.70 (111)
114
Colorado St
3-8
-0.60
1
0.214 (85)
-0.62 (115)
-0.08 (116)
-1.63 (109)
115
UNLV
3-8
-0.62
3
-0.06 (113)
-0.6 (114)
-0.06 (113)
-1.86 (115)
116
Bowling Green
3-8
-0.67
11
0.066 (102)
-0.55 (113)
-0.16 (120)
-2.14 (120)
117
Tulsa
2-9
-0.75
3
0.129 (92)
-1.12 (124)
0.021 (106)
-1.24 (101)
118
Georgia St
2-9
-0.76
2
0.344 (76)
-0.62 (116)
-0.19 (121)
-2.42 (123)
119
Kent
2-9
-0.85
0
0.188 (87)
-0.81 (119)
-0.22 (124)
-2.29 (122)
120
Rutgers
1-10
-0.85
2
0.773 (31)
-1.14 (126)
-0.03 (112)
-1.68 (110)
121
WKU
2-9
-0.88
4
-0.08 (114)
-1.00 (123)
-0.21 (122)
-1.92 (118)
122
New Mexico St
3-8
-0.91
2
-0.11 (115)
-0.76 (117)
-0.38 (126)
-2.51 (124)
123
Texas St
3-8
-0.92
1
-0.41 (128)
-0.86 (122)
-0.21 (123)
-2.59 (126)
124
South Alabama
2-9
-0.94
1
0.175 (88)
-0.80 (118)
-0.37 (125)
-2.62 (127)
125
San Jose St
1-10
-0.96
4
0.478 (61)
-1.12 (125)
-0.13 (117)
-2.22 (121)
126
UT San Antonio
3-8
-0.97
4
-0.03 (109)
-0.85 (121)
-0.41 (127)
-2.55 (125)
127
C Michigan
1-10
-0.99
1
0.249 (83)
-1.29 (127)
-0.15 (119)
-1.85 (114)
128
Connecticut
1-10
-1.36
0
0.475 (63)
-1.31 (128)
-0.57 (128)
-3.23 (129)
129
UTEP
1-10
-1.71
0
-0.30 (124)
-2.03 (129)
-0.62 (129)
-3.05 (128)
130
Rice
1-11
-1.96
0
0.095 (98)
-2.34 (130)
-0.78 (130)
-3.31 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.767
2
ACC
1.034
3
Big 12
0.980
4
Big Ten
0.928
5
Pac-12
0.918
6
Independents
0.739
7
AAC
0.472
8
MWC
0.271
9
Sun Belt
0.073
10
CUSA
0.069
11
MAC
0.006