Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 10 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
11/2 Eintracht Frankfurt Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 63.3% Stuttgart -173 1.94 2.77
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 14% Eintracht Frankfurt +615 0.82
Odds to Draw: 22.7% Draw +341
11/3 Nurnberg Augsburg Augsburg to win: 66.3% Augsburg -197 2.08 2.89
Nurnberg to win: 12.4% Nurnberg +707 0.80
Odds to Draw: 21.3% Draw +370
11/3 Hoffenheim Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 52.6% Bayer Leverkusen -111 1.81 2.86
Hoffenheim to win: 20.5% Hoffenheim +388 1.05
Odds to Draw: 26.9% Draw +272
11/3 Freiburg Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 89.2% Bayern Munich -826 3.29 3.77
Freiburg to win: 3.1% Freiburg +3126 0.47
Odds to Draw: 7.7% Draw +1199
11/3 Hannover Schalke Schalke to win: 70.2% Schalke -236 2.09 2.81
Hannover to win: 10.5% Hannover +853 0.71
Odds to Draw: 19.3% Draw +419
11/3 Dortmund Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 26.5% Wolfsburg +278 1.14 2.68
Dortmund to win: 44.5% Dortmund +125 1.53
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245
11/3 RB Leipzig Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 38.3% Hertha Berlin +162 1.23 2.35
RB Leipzig to win: 31.8% RB Leipzig +215 1.11
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
11/4 Dusseldorf B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 71.6% B. Monchengladbach -253 2.24 2.97
Dusseldorf to win: 9.8% Dusseldorf +921 0.72
Odds to Draw: 18.6% Draw +438
11/4 Werder Bremen Mainz Mainz to win: 37.6% Mainz +166 1.25 2.40
Werder Bremen to win: 32.5% Werder Bremen +208 1.15
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235

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Week 11 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
11/9 Wolfsburg Hannover Hannover to win: 45.3% Hannover +121 1.35 2.35
Wolfsburg to win: 25.8% Wolfsburg +288 0.99
Odds to Draw: 28.9% Draw +247
11/10 Hertha Berlin Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 28.8% Dusseldorf +248 0.99 2.21
Hertha Berlin to win: 41.7% Hertha Berlin +140 1.22
Odds to Draw: 29.5% Draw +239
11/10 Mainz Freiburg Freiburg to win: 35.9% Freiburg +179 1.18 2.32
Mainz to win: 34.1% Mainz +194 1.14
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
11/10 Augsburg Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 59.2% Hoffenheim -146 1.89 2.80
Augsburg to win: 16.3% Augsburg +514 0.90
Odds to Draw: 24.5% Draw +309
11/10 Stuttgart Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 19.1% Nurnberg +424 1.00 2.83
Stuttgart to win: 54.7% Stuttgart -121 1.82
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282
11/10 B. Monchengladbach Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 52.8% Werder Bremen -112 1.85 2.92
B. Monchengladbach to win: 20.4% B. Monchengladbach +391 1.06
Odds to Draw: 26.8% Draw +274
11/10 Bayern Munich Dortmund Dortmund to win: 23.4% Dortmund +328 1.23 3.12
Bayern Munich to win: 48.5% Bayern Munich +107 1.89
Odds to Draw: 28.1% Draw +256
11/11 Bayer Leverkusen RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 44.6% RB Leipzig +125 1.53 2.68
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 26.4% Bayer Leverkusen +279 1.14
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245
11/11 Schalke Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 30.2% Eintracht Frankfurt +232 1.03 2.25
Schalke to win: 40.1% Schalke +150 1.21
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237

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German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 10/31/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
6
2
1
19
24.5
4.7
4.8
78.2
Dortmund
6
0
3
21
19.6
6.1
8.2
67.2
B. Monchengladbach
5
2
2
17
15.7
10.6
7.7
54.9
RB Leipzig
4
1
4
16
14.3
9.8
9.9
52.8
Bayer Leverkusen
3
4
2
11
14.7
11.5
7.8
52
Hoffenheim
4
4
1
13
14.3
13
6.8
49.6
Hertha Berlin
4
1
4
16
12.6
11.1
10.3
48.1
Werder Bremen
5
2
2
17
13.4
12.8
7.8
48
Schalke
2
6
1
7
13.5
13.4
7
47.6
Wolfsburg
3
3
3
12
12
12.7
9.3
45.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
3
2
14
12.4
13.4
8.2
45.3
Augsburg
3
3
3
12
11.8
12.9
9.3
44.6
Mainz
2
4
3
9
10.4
14.5
9.2
40.2
Stuttgart
1
6
2
5
10.6
15.4
8
39.8
Freiburg
3
3
3
12
10.1
15.3
8.6
38.8
Hannover
1
5
3
6
8.2
16.8
8.9
33.6
Nurnberg
2
4
3
9
7.8
17.6
8.6
32
Dusseldorf
1
6
2
5
6.1
20.3
7.6
25.9

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
87.6%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
11%
94.8%
3.5%
0%
B. Monchengladbach
0.6%
46.2%
22.8%
0.4%
RB Leipzig
0.3%
35.5%
24.4%
0.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
0.2%
32.2%
23.8%
1%
Hoffenheim
0.1%
22.5%
20%
1.6%
Hertha Berlin
0%
13.5%
18.9%
1.9%
Werder Bremen
0.1%
15.1%
16.7%
1.7%
Schalke
0%
12.7%
19.4%
3.2%
Wolfsburg
0%
7.1%
14.1%
5.1%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
8.4%
12%
4.9%
Augsburg
0.1%
6.8%
12.1%
6.3%
Mainz
0%
1.8%
4.9%
17.5%
Stuttgart
0%
2.2%
3.9%
20.3%
Freiburg
0%
0.8%
2.5%
21.5%
Hannover
0%
0.3%
0.6%
55.3%
Nurnberg
0%
0.1%
0.4%
67.1%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0%
91.4%