Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 22 German Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
2/15 Bayern Munich Augsburg Augsburg to win: 16.3% Augsburg +514 0.94 2.93
Bayern Munich to win: 59.2% Bayern Munich -146 1.99
Odds to Draw: 24.5% Draw +309
2/16 Hannover Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 71.3% Hoffenheim -249 2.33 3.08
Hannover to win: 10% Hannover +900 0.74
Odds to Draw: 18.7% Draw +435
2/16 Freiburg Schalke Schalke to win: 68.9% Schalke -222 2.14 2.90
Freiburg to win: 11.1% Freiburg +801 0.75
Odds to Draw: 20% Draw +400
2/16 RB Leipzig Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 44% Stuttgart +128 1.49 2.62
RB Leipzig to win: 26.9% RB Leipzig +272 1.12
Odds to Draw: 29.1% Draw +244
2/16 Mainz Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 54.6% Wolfsburg -121 1.58 2.46
Mainz to win: 19.2% Mainz +421 0.88
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282
2/16 Werder Bremen Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 45.8% Hertha Berlin +119 1.49 2.57
Werder Bremen to win: 25.4% Werder Bremen +294 1.07
Odds to Draw: 28.8% Draw +248
2/17 B. Monchengladbach Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 52.7% Eintracht Frankfurt -112 1.71 2.72
B. Monchengladbach to win: 20.4% B. Monchengladbach +391 1.00
Odds to Draw: 26.9% Draw +272
2/17 Dusseldorf Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 78.5% Bayer Leverkusen -366 2.51 3.14
Dusseldorf to win: 6.9% Dusseldorf +1350 0.62
Odds to Draw: 14.6% Draw +585
2/18 Dortmund Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 11.3% Nurnberg +785 0.84 3.26
Dortmund to win: 68.5% Dortmund -218 2.42
Odds to Draw: 20.2% Draw +396

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Week 23 German Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
2/22 Stuttgart Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 52.4% Werder Bremen -111 1.77 2.82
Stuttgart to win: 20.6% Stuttgart +386 1.04
Odds to Draw: 27% Draw +271
2/23 Wolfsburg B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 61.2% B. Monchengladbach -158 1.90 2.76
Wolfsburg to win: 15.2% Wolfsburg +558 0.86
Odds to Draw: 23.6% Draw +324
2/23 Hertha Berlin Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 78.8% Bayern Munich -372 2.66 3.30
Hertha Berlin to win: 6.8% Hertha Berlin +1371 0.64
Odds to Draw: 14.4% Draw +595
2/23 Augsburg Freiburg Freiburg to win: 36.4% Freiburg +175 1.20 2.36
Augsburg to win: 33.6% Augsburg +198 1.15
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
2/23 Schalke Mainz Mainz to win: 31.8% Mainz +215 1.06 2.24
Schalke to win: 38.3% Schalke +162 1.17
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
2/23 Nurnberg Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 52.1% Dusseldorf -109 1.65 2.64
Nurnberg to win: 20.8% Nurnberg +381 0.98
Odds to Draw: 27.1% Draw +270
2/24 Eintracht Frankfurt Hannover Hannover to win: 22.7% Hannover +341 0.99 2.52
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 49.4% Eintracht Frankfurt +103 1.53
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259
2/24 Bayer Leverkusen Dortmund Dortmund to win: 57.4% Dortmund -135 2.07 3.10
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 17.4% Bayer Leverkusen +475 1.03
Odds to Draw: 25.2% Draw +297
2/25 Hoffenheim RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 45.1% RB Leipzig +122 1.59 2.75
Hoffenheim to win: 26% Hoffenheim +285 1.16
Odds to Draw: 28.9% Draw +247

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German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 2/8/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
13
4
3
42
23.6
5.3
5.1
75.8
Dortmund
15
1
4
49
22.7
4.4
6.9
75
B. Monchengladbach
13
4
3
42
19.2
8.5
6.3
63.9
RB Leipzig
11
5
4
37
16.5
10.2
7.3
56.7
Bayer Leverkusen
9
8
3
30
15.9
11.9
6.2
53.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9
6
5
32
14
11.5
8.5
50.6
Wolfsburg
9
7
4
31
14.3
12.4
7.3
50.3
Hoffenheim
7
5
8
29
12.6
10.1
11.3
49.1
Hertha Berlin
7
6
7
28
11.5
12.1
10.4
45
Werder Bremen
7
7
6
27
11.8
13
9.2
44.5
Schalke
6
10
4
22
12.3
14.4
7.3
44.2
Mainz
7
7
6
27
11.6
13.1
9.3
44
Freiburg
5
8
7
22
8.7
15.2
10.1
36.2
Augsburg
4
10
6
18
8.7
15.8
9.5
35.6
Stuttgart
4
13
3
15
9.4
18.2
6.4
34.5
Dusseldorf
6
10
4
22
9
17.9
7.1
34.1
Hannover
2
13
5
11
6.4
19.3
8.3
27.5
Nurnberg
2
12
6
12
5
19.8
9.2
24.3

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
55.2%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
43.5%
100%
0%
0%
B. Monchengladbach
1.3%
91.6%
6.6%
0%
RB Leipzig
0%
51.7%
35.1%
0%
Bayer Leverkusen
0%
25.5%
41.1%
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
12%
28.5%
0%
Wolfsburg
0%
8.6%
31.8%
0%
Hoffenheim
0%
6.5%
29.6%
0%
Hertha Berlin
0%
1.8%
6.8%
0.6%
Werder Bremen
0%
0.7%
7.3%
1.3%
Schalke
0%
0.7%
6.2%
1%
Mainz
0%
0.9%
6.8%
0.6%
Freiburg
0%
0%
0.1%
18.9%
Augsburg
0%
0%
0.1%
23.7%
Stuttgart
0%
0%
0%
37.2%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0%
37.8%
Hannover
0%
0%
0%
84%
Nurnberg
0%
0%
0%
94.9%