Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 3 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
9/14 Eintracht Frankfurt Dortmund Dortmund to win: 66.8% Dortmund -202 2.19 3.01
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 12.2% Eintracht Frankfurt +720 0.82
Odds to Draw: 21% Draw +377
9/15 Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 74.3% Bayern Munich -290 2.56 3.30
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 8.6% Bayer Leverkusen +1063 0.73
Odds to Draw: 17.1% Draw +485
9/15 Hoffenheim Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 17.3% Dusseldorf +479 0.91 2.71
Hoffenheim to win: 57.6% Hoffenheim -136 1.80
Odds to Draw: 25.1% Draw +299
9/15 Augsburg Mainz Mainz to win: 42.6% Mainz +135 1.27 2.29
Augsburg to win: 28% Augsburg +258 1.01
Odds to Draw: 29.4% Draw +241
9/15 Hannover RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 64% RB Leipzig -178 2.02 2.86
Hannover to win: 13.6% Hannover +636 0.83
Odds to Draw: 22.4% Draw +347
9/15 Hertha Berlin Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 50.9% Wolfsburg -104 1.43 2.33
Hertha Berlin to win: 21.7% Hertha Berlin +361 0.89
Odds to Draw: 27.4% Draw +265
9/15 Schalke B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 37.1% B. Monchengladbach +170 1.25 2.43
Schalke to win: 33% Schalke +204 1.17
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
9/16 Nurnberg Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 69.3% Werder Bremen -226 2.30 3.09
Nurnberg to win: 10.9% Nurnberg +818 0.79
Odds to Draw: 19.8% Draw +406
9/16 Stuttgart Freiburg Freiburg to win: 19% Freiburg +427 0.98 2.79
Stuttgart to win: 54.8% Stuttgart -122 1.80
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282

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Week 4 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
9/21 Dusseldorf Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 77.5% Stuttgart -345 2.37 2.99
Dusseldorf to win: 7.3% Dusseldorf +1270 0.62
Odds to Draw: 15.2% Draw +558
9/22 Werder Bremen Augsburg Augsburg to win: 46.6% Augsburg +115 1.49 2.54
Werder Bremen to win: 24.8% Werder Bremen +304 1.04
Odds to Draw: 28.6% Draw +250
9/22 B. Monchengladbach Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 42.1% Hertha Berlin +138 1.35 2.44
B. Monchengladbach to win: 28.5% B. Monchengladbach +251 1.09
Odds to Draw: 29.4% Draw +241
9/22 Dortmund Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 43.6% Hoffenheim +130 1.64 2.89
Dortmund to win: 27.2% Dortmund +268 1.25
Odds to Draw: 29.2% Draw +243
9/22 Hannover Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 40.4% Nurnberg +148 1.32 2.44
Hannover to win: 29.9% Hannover +235 1.12
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237
9/22 Freiburg Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 62.5% Wolfsburg -167 1.90 2.73
Freiburg to win: 14.4% Freiburg +595 0.83
Odds to Draw: 23.1% Draw +333
9/22 Bayern Munich Schalke Schalke to win: 22% Schalke +355 1.07 2.80
Bayern Munich to win: 50.4% Bayern Munich -102 1.73
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263
9/23 Mainz Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 65.5% Bayer Leverkusen -190 2.04 2.85
Mainz to win: 12.8% Mainz +682 0.80
Odds to Draw: 21.7% Draw +361
9/23 RB Leipzig Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 40% Eintracht Frankfurt +150 1.28 2.38
RB Leipzig to win: 30.3% RB Leipzig +231 1.09
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237

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German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 9/10/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
2
0
0
6
25.4
3.6
5
81.2
Dortmund
1
0
1
4
18.7
7.7
7.6
63.7
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
0
0
14.9
11.5
7.5
52.3
B. Monchengladbach
1
0
1
4
14.3
11.3
8.3
51.3
Schalke
0
2
0
0
14.5
11.9
7.6
51.1
Hoffenheim
1
1
0
3
14.2
12.1
7.7
50.2
Wolfsburg
2
0
0
6
14
12.1
7.9
49.9
RB Leipzig
0
1
1
1
13.4
12
8.7
48.8
Augsburg
1
0
1
4
12.2
13
8.8
45.4
Werder Bremen
1
0
1
4
12.2
13.3
8.5
45.2
Hertha Berlin
2
0
0
6
12.3
13.7
8
45
Stuttgart
0
2
0
0
12.4
14
7.6
44.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
0
3
11.9
14.3
7.8
43.6
Mainz
1
0
1
4
11.2
13.9
8.9
42.5
Hannover
0
0
2
2
9
15.3
9.7
36.8
Freiburg
0
2
0
0
9.1
17.5
7.4
34.8
Nurnberg
0
1
1
1
7.8
18
8.2
31.5
Dusseldorf
0
1
1
1
6.7
19.1
8.2
28.3

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
93.4%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
5.1%
83.3%
8.3%
0%
Bayer Leverkusen
0.4%
33.7%
20.9%
1.2%
B. Monchengladbach
0.1%
29.7%
20.9%
2.1%
Schalke
0.1%
29.4%
19.6%
1.7%
Hoffenheim
0.1%
26.1%
18.9%
3.3%
Wolfsburg
0.3%
23.6%
19%
2.1%
RB Leipzig
0.3%
18.5%
19.8%
4.9%
Augsburg
0.1%
9.5%
13.9%
8%
Werder Bremen
0%
9.7%
12.8%
8.1%
Hertha Berlin
0.1%
9.8%
12%
7.4%
Stuttgart
0%
10.1%
12.6%
8.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
8.5%
8.6%
11%
Mainz
0%
5.7%
7.9%
14.2%
Hannover
0%
1.1%
2.2%
36.1%
Freiburg
0%
1%
1.8%
47.4%
Nurnberg
0%
0.3%
0.6%
64.9%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0.2%
79.3%