NCAA Basketball Predictions


The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future NCAA games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer. Also note, that the Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only. However, if you do wish to gamble (at your own risk), then I highly suggest reading my blog post: The Top 5 Online Sportsbooks for U.S. Players.

All upcoming NCAA basketball predictions are listed below along with the Index’s picks for the odds to win each of the NCAA games straight-up (SU) and predictions for each game.

NCAA Basketball Predictions – Donchess Inference Ratings

NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – NCAA Tournament 1st/2nd/3rd Rounds
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/14 Wake Forest vs Kansas St Kansas St wins by 1 Wake Forest
48.7%
71.13
142.67
Kansas St
51.3%
71.53
3/14 New Orleans vs Mt St Mary’s New Orleans wins by 4 New Orleans
61%
71.84
140.19
Mt St Mary’s
39%
68.34
3/15 UC Davis vs NC Central NC Central wins by 2 UC Davis
44.1%
66.14
134.08
NC Central
55.9%
67.94
3/15 USC vs Providence USC wins by 2 USC
55.4%
72.07
142.75
Providence
44.6%
70.67
3/16 West Virginia vs Bucknell West Virginia wins by 10 West Virginia
83.7%
77.07
144.35
Bucknell
16.3%
67.27
3/16 Winthrop vs Butler Butler wins by 10 Winthrop
17.2%
68.25
146.01
Butler
82.8%
77.75
3/16 Florida vs ETSU Florida wins by 9 Florida
81.2%
75.92
143.04
ETSU
18.8%
67.12
3/16 Florida St vs FL Gulf Coast Florida St wins by 12 Florida St
87.1%
77.77
144.25
FL Gulf Coast
12.9%
66.47
3/16 S Dakota St vs Gonzaga Gonzaga wins by 19 S Dakota St
3.9%
63.82
146.15
Gonzaga
96.1%
82.32
3/16 Nevada vs Iowa St Iowa St wins by 7 Nevada
28.1%
69.73
146.07
Iowa St
71.9%
76.33
3/16 Xavier vs Maryland Maryland wins by 1 Xavier
46.5%
70.70
142.41
Maryland
53.5%
71.70
3/16 Minnesota vs MTSU Minnesota wins by 4 Minnesota
62.3%
70.80
137.70
MTSU
37.7%
66.90
3/16 Arizona vs North Dakota Arizona wins by 18 Arizona
96%
81.60
145.21
North Dakota
4%
63.60
3/16 Vanderbilt vs Northwestern Northwestern wins by 1 Vanderbilt
48.4%
67.66
135.82
Northwestern
51.6%
68.16
3/16 Princeton vs Notre Dame Notre Dame wins by 8 Princeton
22.3%
67.31
142.33
Notre Dame
77.7%
75.01
3/16 Vermont vs Purdue Purdue wins by 8 Vermont
22.3%
65.54
138.89
Purdue
77.7%
73.34
3/16 VA Commonwealth vs St Mary’s CA St Mary’s CA wins by 5 VA Commonwealth
36.3%
65.93
136.26
St Mary’s CA
63.7%
70.33
3/16 Virginia vs UNC Wilmington Virginia wins by 7 Virginia
73%
71.82
136.94
UNC Wilmington
27%
65.12
3/16 Virginia Tech vs Wisconsin Wisconsin wins by 7 Virginia Tech
26.8%
66.09
138.98
Wisconsin
73.2%
72.89
3/16 Villanova vs Mt St Mary’s Villanova wins by 19 Villanova
97.2%
78.71
138.43
Mt St Mary’s
2.8%
59.71
3/17 New Mexico St vs Baylor Baylor wins by 11 New Mexico St
15.4%
63.39
137.08
Baylor
84.6%
73.69
3/17 Rhode Island vs Creighton Creighton wins by 4 Rhode Island
38.5%
68.26
140.33
Creighton
61.5%
72.06
3/17 Wichita St vs Dayton Wichita St wins by 6 Wichita St
69.6%
71.00
136.10
Dayton
30.4%
65.10
3/17 Troy vs Duke Duke wins by 19 Troy
4.2%
64.64
147.78
Duke
95.8%
83.14
3/17 Oregon vs Iona Oregon wins by 16 Oregon
93.1%
83.64
151.68
Iona
6.9%
68.04
3/17 Louisville vs Jacksonville St Louisville wins by 17 Louisville
94.1%
76.93
137.37
Jacksonville St
5.9%
60.43
3/17 UCLA vs Kent UCLA wins by 17 UCLA
95%
82.11
147.22
Kent
5%
65.11
3/17 South Carolina vs Marquette Marquette wins by 1 South Carolina
47.4%
69.90
140.60
Marquette
52.6%
70.70
3/17 Michigan St vs Miami FL Miami FL wins by 2 Michigan St
44.7%
67.42
136.34
Miami FL
55.3%
68.92
3/17 Kentucky vs N Kentucky Kentucky wins by 18 Kentucky
95.8%
81.68
145.36
N Kentucky
4.2%
63.68
3/17 Michigan vs Oklahoma St Michigan wins by 1 Michigan
53.9%
70.47
139.95
Oklahoma St
46.1%
69.47
3/17 Arkansas vs Seton Hall Arkansas wins by 1 Arkansas
52.8%
73.28
145.86
Seton Hall
47.2%
72.58
3/17 North Carolina vs TX Southern North Carolina wins by 18 North Carolina
96%
82.77
147.55
TX Southern
4%
64.77
3/17 SMU vs USC SMU wins by 6 SMU
66.5%
73.14
141.18
USC
33.5%
68.04
3/17 Kansas vs UC Davis Kansas wins by 19 Kansas
96.6%
79.69
140.88
UC Davis
3.4%
61.19
3/17 Cincinnati vs Kansas St Cincinnati wins by 5 Cincinnati
63.7%
68.11
131.92
Kansas St
36.3%
63.81
3/18 Notre Dame vs West Virginia West Virginia wins by 2 Notre Dame
44.3%
71.34
144.38
West Virginia
55.7%
73.04
3/18 Wisconsin vs Villanova Villanova wins by 3 Wisconsin
41.9%
66.68
136.07
Villanova
58.1%
69.38
3/18 Northwestern vs Gonzaga Gonzaga wins by 9 Northwestern
19.3%
65.13
138.96
Gonzaga
80.7%
73.83
3/18 Xavier vs Florida St Florida St wins by 7 Xavier
28.1%
70.09
146.78
Florida St
71.9%
76.69
3/18 MTSU vs Butler Butler wins by 6 MTSU
31.1%
66.26
138.32
Butler
68.9%
72.06
3/18 St Mary’s CA vs Arizona Arizona wins by 6 St Mary’s CA
30.1%
65.76
137.52
Arizona
69.9%
71.76
3/18 Virginia vs Florida Florida wins by 3 Virginia
42.5%
63.65
129.90
Florida
57.5%
66.25
3/18 Iowa St vs Purdue Purdue wins by 3 Iowa St
43.2%
71.85
145.90
Purdue
56.8%
74.05
3/19 Michigan vs Louisville Louisville wins by 3 Michigan
41.8%
66.74
136.29
Louisville
58.2%
69.54
3/19 Wichita St vs Kentucky Kentucky wins by 6 Wichita St
30.2%
66.76
139.52
Kentucky
69.8%
72.76
3/19 Michigan St vs Kansas Kansas wins by 8 Michigan St
21.4%
66.88
141.66
Kansas
78.6%
74.78
3/19 Arkansas vs North Carolina North Carolina wins by 8 Arkansas
25%
72.21
151.62
North Carolina
75%
79.41
3/19 Rhode Island vs Oregon Oregon wins by 8 Rhode Island
21.7%
66.17
140.25
Oregon
78.3%
74.07
3/19 USC vs Baylor Baylor wins by 6 USC
30.4%
68.23
142.46
Baylor
69.6%
74.23
3/19 South Carolina vs Duke Duke wins by 10 South Carolina
18.3%
66.80
142.71
Duke
81.7%
75.90
3/19 Cincinnati vs UCLA UCLA wins by 6 Cincinnati
32.9%
67.86
141.02
UCLA
67.1%
73.16


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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen/Elite Eight
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/23 Oregon vs Michigan Oregon wins by 5 Oregon
63.4%
72.91
141.62
Michigan
36.6%
68.71
3/23 West Virginia vs Gonzaga Gonzaga wins by 5 West Virginia
35%
69.51
143.82
Gonzaga
65%
74.31
3/23 Kansas vs Purdue Kansas wins by 3 Kansas
59.4%
72.82
142.65
Purdue
40.6%
69.82
3/23 Xavier vs Arizona Arizona wins by 10 Xavier
17.3%
67.66
144.82
Arizona
82.7%
77.16
3/24 North Carolina vs Butler North Carolina wins by 6 North Carolina
66.4%
75.83
146.56
Butler
33.6%
70.73
3/24 South Carolina vs Baylor Baylor wins by 6 South Carolina
30.7%
65.37
136.65
Baylor
69.3%
71.27
3/24 Kentucky vs UCLA Kentucky wins by 2 Kentucky
56%
74.81
147.93
UCLA
44%
73.11
3/24 Wisconsin vs Florida Wisconsin wins by 1 Wisconsin
51%
67.46
134.73
Florida
49%
67.26
3/25 Xavier vs Gonzaga Gonzaga wins by 10 Xavier
17.2%
67.93
145.47
Gonzaga
82.8%
77.53
3/25 Oregon vs Kansas Kansas wins by 1 Oregon
48.1%
72.31
145.23
Kansas
51.9%
72.91
3/26 Kentucky vs North Carolina Kentucky wins by 4 Kentucky
61.3%
75.44
147.29
North Carolina
38.7%
71.84
3/26 South Carolina vs Florida Florida wins by 7 South Carolina
26.8%
65.06
136.92
Florida
73.2%
71.86


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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – NCAA Tournament Final Four
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/26 South Carolina vs Gonzaga Gonzaga wins by 9 South Carolina
18.6%
65.61
140.23
Gonzaga
81.4%
74.61
3/26 Oregon vs North Carolina North Carolina wins by 1 Oregon
48.8%
73.99
148.38
North Carolina
51.2%
74.39

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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – NIT Early Rounds
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/14 Richmond at Alabama Alabama wins by 8 Richmond
21.8%
64.25
136.30
Alabama
78.2%
72.05
3/14 CS Bakersfield at California California wins by 11 CS Bakersfield
15.3%
61.86
134.03
California
84.7%
72.16
3/14 Oakland at Clemson Clemson wins by 12 Oakland
11.4%
66.86
145.62
Clemson
88.6%
78.76
3/14 Col Charleston at Colorado St Colorado St wins by 4 Col Charleston
39.9%
66.00
135.21
Colorado St
60.1%
69.20
3/14 Indiana at Georgia Tech Indiana wins by 1 Indiana
51.8%
71.32
142.04
Georgia Tech
48.2%
70.72
3/14 Valparaiso at Illinois Illinois wins by 9 Valparaiso
19.6%
64.93
138.37
Illinois
80.4%
73.43
3/14 Mississippi at Monmouth NJ Monmouth NJ wins by 3 Mississippi
43.1%
71.74
145.68
Monmouth NJ
56.9%
73.94
3/14 UNC Greensboro at Syracuse Syracuse wins by 12 UNC Greensboro
13.4%
64.76
140.63
Syracuse
86.6%
75.86
3/14 Boise St at Utah Utah wins by 10 Boise St
18.2%
66.07
141.24
Utah
81.8%
75.17
3/15 Houston vs Akron Houston wins by 4 Houston
62.2%
71.59
139.29
Akron
37.8%
67.69
3/15 UT Arlington at BYU BYU wins by 4 UT Arlington
37.9%
73.42
150.75
BYU
62.1%
77.32
3/15 Belmont at Georgia Georgia wins by 8 Belmont
23.3%
68.27
144.04
Georgia
76.7%
75.77
3/15 UC Irvine at Illinois St Illinois St wins by 11 UC Irvine
14.1%
60.96
132.73
Illinois St
85.9%
71.76
3/15 South Dakota at Iowa Iowa wins by 11 South Dakota
15.8%
68.27
146.64
Iowa
84.2%
78.37
3/15 Fresno St at TCU TCU wins by 10 Fresno St
16.7%
64.71
139.12
TCU
83.3%
74.41
3/15 Colorado at UCF UCF wins by 2 Colorado
44.5%
68.07
137.64
UCF
55.5%
69.57
3/18 Mississippi at Syracuse Syracuse wins by 8 Mississippi
20.8%
67.34
142.69
Syracuse
79.2%
75.34
3/19 Belmont at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech wins by 6 Belmont
32.4%
68.80
143.00
Georgia Tech
67.6%
74.20
3/19 TCU at Iowa Iowa wins by 2 TCU
45.2%
69.75
140.71
Iowa
54.8%
70.95
3/19 Oakland at Richmond Richmond wins by 6 Oakland
32.8%
70.99
147.29
Richmond
67.2%
76.29
3/20 Boise St at Illinois Illinois wins by 9 Boise St
20.6%
66.45
141.00
Illinois
79.4%
74.55
3/20 CS Bakersfield at Colorado St Colorado St wins by 6 CS Bakersfield
32%
65.88
137.26
Colorado St
68%
71.38
3/20 Akron at UT Arlington UT Arlington wins by 5 Akron
35.1%
69.80
144.31
UT Arlington
64.9%
74.50
3/20 Belmont at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech wins by 6 Belmont
32.4%
68.80
143.00
Georgia Tech
67.6%
74.20
3/20 UCF at Illinois St Illinois St wins by 7 UCF
29%
63.08
132.47
Illinois St
71%
69.38
3/21 Richmond at TCU TCU wins by 9 Richmond
19.6%
65.27
139.05
TCU
80.4%
73.77
3/21 Georgia Tech at Mississippi Mississippi wins by 5 Georgia Tech
35.5%
68.25
141.10
Mississippi
64.5%
72.85
3/22 Illinois at UCF UCF wins by 1 Illinois
48.9%
68.12
136.45
UCF
51.1%
68.32
3/22 CS Bakersfield at UT Arlington UT Arlington wins by 7 CS Bakersfield
27.7%
66.29
139.19
UT Arlington
72.3%
72.89


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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – NIT Final Four
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/28 CS Bakersfield vs Georgia Tech Georgia Tech wins by 4 CS Bakersfield
38.2%
64.65
133.10
Georgia Tech
61.8%
68.45
3/28 TCU vs UCF TCU wins by 5 TCU
64%
70.04
135.68
UCF
36%
65.64


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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – CIT
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/13 Norfolk St at Liberty Liberty wins by 9 Norfolk St
20.6%
64.36
136.82
Liberty
79.4%
72.46
3/14 Houston Bap at Campbell Houston Bap wins by 2 Houston Bap
54%
73.28
145.46
Campbell
46%
72.18
3/14 St Francis PA at Jacksonville Jacksonville wins by 2 St Francis PA
44.9%
70.59
142.48
Jacksonville
55.1%
71.89
3/14 Canisius at Samford Samford wins by 6 Canisius
32.4%
69.97
145.35
Samford
67.6%
75.37
3/15 SF Austin at Idaho Idaho wins by 5 SF Austin
35.9%
68.70
141.90
Idaho
64.1%
73.20
3/15 Ball St at IPFW IPFW wins by 3 Ball St
41.2%
71.58
146.06
IPFW
58.8%
74.48
3/15 Georgia St at TAM C. Christi Georgia St wins by 2 Georgia St
54.8%
69.82
138.35
TAM C. Christi
45.2%
68.52
3/15 Fairfield at UMBC UMBC wins by 5 Fairfield
34.4%
68.72
142.25
UMBC
65.6%
73.52
3/16 St Peter’s at Albany NY Albany NY wins by 4 St Peter’s
39.9%
63.54
130.29
Albany NY
60.1%
66.74
3/16 Weber St at CS Fullerton Weber St wins by 2 Weber St
56.1%
70.93
140.06
CS Fullerton
43.9%
69.13
3/16 Furman at SC Upstate Furman wins by 5 Furman
66%
72.83
140.67
SC Upstate
34%
67.83
3/16 Lamar at Texas St Texas St wins by 7 Lamar
29.4%
65.70
137.60
Texas St
70.6%
71.90
3/16 UNC Asheville at TN Martin UNC Asheville wins by 4 UNC Asheville
60.8%
73.23
142.97
TN Martin
39.2%
69.73
3/18 St Francis PA at UMBC UMBC wins by 9 St Francis PA
20.6%
66.74
141.59
UMBC
79.4%
74.84
3/20 Samford at Liberty Samford wins by 1 Samford
50.4%
69.29
138.38
Liberty
49.6%
69.09
3/20 TN Martin at Campbell TN Martin wins by 1 TN Martin
52.9%
71.14
141.38
Campbell
47.1%
70.24
3/20 Weber St at TAM C. Christi TAM C. Christi wins by 3 Weber St
42.7%
69.38
141.16
TAM C. Christi
57.3%
71.78
3/22 Idaho at Texas St Texas St wins by 6 Idaho
33.6%
64.42
133.95
Texas St
66.4%
69.52
3/25 Furman at Campbell Furman wins by 6 Furman
69.1%
72.18
138.57
Campbell
30.9%
66.38
3/25 St Peter’s at Texas St Texas St wins by 1 St Peter’s
48.5%
62.72
125.74
Texas St
51.5%
63.02
3/26 Liberty at UMBC UMBC wins by 4 Liberty
37.5%
66.73
137.47
UMBC
62.5%
70.73
3/26 IPFW at TAM C. Christi TAM C. Christi wins by 1 IPFW
46.7%
72.72
146.34
TAM C. Christi
53.3%
73.62
3/29 TAM C. Christi at UMBC UMBC wins by 3 TAM C. Christi
41.2%
69.51
141.93
UMBC
58.8%
72.41
3/29 Furman at St Peter’s St Peter’s wins by 1 Furman
48.9%
65.53
131.26
St Peter’s
51.1%
65.73


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NCAA Basketball Game Predictions – CBI
Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
3/15 Hampton at Coastal Car Coastal Car wins by 10 Hampton
17.2%
65.81
141.12
Coastal Car
82.8%
75.31
3/15 Toledo at G Washington G Washington wins by 6 Toledo
30.5%
68.56
143.02
G Washington
69.5%
74.46
3/15 Utah Valley at Ga Southern Ga Southern wins by 5 Utah Valley
34.4%
68.90
142.61
Ga Southern
65.6%
73.70
3/15 Loyola MD at George Mason George Mason wins by 11 Loyola MD
15.5%
62.95
136.10
George Mason
84.5%
73.15
3/15 Stony Brook at IL Chicago Stony Brook wins by 1 Stony Brook
51.8%
69.50
138.50
IL Chicago
48.2%
69.00
3/15 WI Green Bay at Missouri KC WI Green Bay wins by 1 WI Green Bay
51.5%
72.81
145.22
Missouri KC
48.5%
72.41
3/15 San Francisco at Rice Rice wins by 1 San Francisco
47.8%
72.13
144.86
Rice
52.2%
72.73
3/15 E Washington at Wyoming Wyoming wins by 7 E Washington
29.7%
69.79
145.69
Wyoming
70.3%
75.89
3/20 Loyola MD at Coastal Car Coastal Car wins by 7 Loyola MD
29%
65.00
136.30
Coastal Car
71%
71.30
3/20 Utah Valley at Rice Rice wins by 7 Utah Valley
27.2%
69.35
145.41
Rice
72.8%
76.05
3/20 G Washington at IL Chicago G Washington wins by 6 G Washington
66.4%
72.67
140.24
IL Chicago
33.6%
67.57
3/20 Missouri KC at Wyoming Wyoming wins by 9 Missouri KC
18.4%
65.74
140.38
Wyoming
81.6%
74.64
3/22 IL Chicago at Coastal Car Coastal Car wins by 7 IL Chicago
27.2%
67.66
142.02
Coastal Car
72.8%
74.36
3/22 Utah Valley at Wyoming Wyoming wins by 8 Utah Valley
25.2%
66.39
139.89
Wyoming
74.8%
73.49
3/27 Wyoming at Coastal Car Wyoming wins by 1 Wyoming
51.8%
69.54
138.48
Coastal Car
48.2%
68.94
3/29 Coastal Car at Wyoming Wyoming wins by 7 Coastal Car
29.4%
66.42
139.04
Wyoming
70.6%
72.62

Donchess Inference Predictor Results- NCAA Basketball

2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 2771-1093 (71.7%), Against The Spread: 1886-1821 (50.9%)
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 2655-984 (73.0%), Against The Spread: 1693-1817 (48.2%)
2014-2015 Season: Straight Up: 2758-1086 (71.7%), Against The Spread: 1849-1806 (50.6%)
2013-2014 Season: Straight Up: 2624-1031 (71.8%), Against The Spread: 1650-1675 (49.6%)

*Historical results can be found at ThePredictionTracker.

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