Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 21, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for May 20, 2024
Games for May 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Girona
Valencia		22.5%
52.6%		24.9%
-103
+297
+110
+278
3
1		-0.70271-0.74932-1.49112
Real Sociedad
Betis		31.6%
40.9%		27.5%
+147
+251
+145
+237
2
0		-0.91960-0.93578-1.15043
Celta Vigo
Granada		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+107
+303
+100
+308
2
1		-0.74039-0.72348-1.17539
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid		8.9%
74.1%		17.0%
+948
-305
+925
-300
4
1		-2.37161-2.35304-2.41665
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.9%
81.5%		12.6%
+880
-298
+810
-325
0
3		-0.30944-0.31563-0.20491
Sevilla
Athletic Club		17.6%
58.4%		24.0%
+525
-175
+500
-180
0
2		-0.47997-0.48568-0.53741
Real Madrid
Villarreal		64.5%
15.3%		20.2%
+121
+215
+118
+205
4
4		-1.39276-1.40307-1.59884
Almeria
Mallorca		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+898
-248
+880
-260
2
2		-1.58124-1.57542-1.30453
Las Palmas
Cadiz		30.2%
39.9%		29.9%
+363
-107
+355
-115
0
0		-1.27122-1.27140-1.20731
Getafe
Alaves		30.2%
39.1%		30.7%
+345
-103
+330
-108
0
1		-0.70021-0.70029-0.93941
Valencia
Real Sociedad		19.4%
57.1%		23.5%
+730
-206
+670
-200
0
1		-0.41644-0.43951-0.56091
Barcelona
Almeria		69.6%
12.0%		18.3%
-256
+635
-270
+640
2
0		-0.36048-0.36071-0.36193
Betis
Las Palmas		40.1%
31.8%		28.2%
+140
+223
+140
+215
2
2		-1.22496-1.21963-1.26677
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		41.3%
30.3%		28.4%
+245
+133
+226
+140
1
2		-0.86771-0.89715-1.19452
Atletico Madrid
Getafe		52.5%
20.6%		26.9%
-133
+423
-140
+410
3
0		-0.58555-0.58749-0.64420
Granada
Rayo Vallecano		26.9%
46.5%		26.6%
+579
-182
+575
-190
1
2		-0.46711-0.47188-0.76516
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-1-3 (0.722)0-1.08544 
Sportsbooks95-1-3 (0.722)0-1.09031 
DRatings92-4-3 (0.389)0-1.23184
-0.14641
-0.14153

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/13/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (28-1-6, 90 pts)29.91.56.696.3100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Barcelona (23-5-7, 76 pts)24.95.47.782.40.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Girona (23-6-6, 75 pts)24.07.16.978.90.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Atletico Madrid (22-9-4, 70 pts)23.79.64.775.70.0%99.7%0.3%0.0%
5Athletic Club (17-7-11, 62 pts)18.57.711.867.30.0%0.3%99.7%0.0%
6Betis (14-8-13, 55 pts)15.09.213.858.80.0%0.0%52.1%0.0%
7Real Sociedad (14-9-12, 54 pts)15.110.212.858.00.0%0.0%47.2%0.0%
8Villarreal (13-13-9, 48 pts)14.014.29.851.80.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Valencia (13-13-9, 48 pts)14.214.09.852.30.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%
10Getafe (10-12-13, 43 pts)10.913.313.846.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Alaves (11-15-9, 42 pts)11.816.49.845.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Sevilla (10-14-11, 41 pts)10.915.311.844.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Osasuna (11-17-7, 40 pts)11.918.37.943.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Las Palmas (10-18-7, 37 pts)11.019.27.840.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%
15Mallorca (7-14-14, 35 pts)8.015.114.939.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%
16Rayo Vallecano (7-14-14, 35 pts)7.715.614.837.80.0%0.0%0.0%1.9%
17Celta Vigo (8-17-10, 34 pts)8.918.310.837.60.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%
18Cadiz (5-16-14, 29 pts)6.017.114.932.90.0%0.0%0.0%93.7%
19Granada (4-22-9, 21 pts)5.123.19.925.10.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Almeria (2-22-11, 17 pts)2.823.411.820.20.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.