English Premier League Soccer Predictions


Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 37 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
5/3 Burnley Everton Everton to win: 54.8% Everton -122 1.56 2.43
Burnley to win: 19% Burnley +427 0.87
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282
5/4 Tottenham Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 14.6% Bournemouth +585 0.89 2.96
Tottenham to win: 62.2% Tottenham -165 2.07
Odds to Draw: 23.2% Draw +332
5/4 Southampton West Ham West Ham to win: 53.9% West Ham -117 1.62 2.55
Southampton to win: 19.6% Southampton +411 0.92
Odds to Draw: 26.5% Draw +278
5/4 Fulham Wolves Wolves to win: 54.1% Wolves -118 1.63 2.56
Fulham to win: 19.5% Fulham +413 0.92
Odds to Draw: 26.4% Draw +279
5/4 Crystal Palace Cardiff Cardiff to win: 36.7% Cardiff +173 1.04 2.03
Crystal Palace to win: 33.3% Crystal Palace +201 0.98
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
5/4 Liverpool Newcastle Newcastle to win: 11.9% Newcastle +741 0.78 2.90
Liverpool to win: 67.4% Liverpool -207 2.11
Odds to Draw: 20.7% Draw +384
5/5 Watford Chelsea Chelsea to win: 72% Chelsea -258 2.20 2.90
Watford to win: 9.7% Watford +931 0.70
Odds to Draw: 18.3% Draw +447
5/5 Manchester Utd Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 12.1% Huddersfield +727 0.71 2.57
Manchester Utd to win: 66.9% Manchester Utd -203 1.85
Odds to Draw: 21% Draw +377
5/5 Brighton Arsenal Arsenal to win: 74.1% Arsenal -287 2.27 2.95
Brighton to win: 8.7% Brighton +1050 0.67
Odds to Draw: 17.2% Draw +482
5/6 Leicester Manchester City Manchester City to win: 80.7% Manchester City -419 2.78 3.40
Leicester to win: 6% Leicester +1567 0.61
Odds to Draw: 13.3% Draw +652

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 38 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
5/12 Manchester City Brighton Brighton to win: 10% Brighton +900 0.72 2.94
Manchester City to win: 71.3% Manchester City -249 2.21
Odds to Draw: 18.7% Draw +435
5/12 Arsenal Burnley Burnley to win: 20.1% Burnley +398 0.94 2.57
Arsenal to win: 53.1% Arsenal -114 1.63
Odds to Draw: 26.8% Draw +274
5/12 Bournemouth Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 56.6% Crystal Palace -131 1.75 2.67
Bournemouth to win: 17.9% Bournemouth +459 0.91
Odds to Draw: 25.5% Draw +293
5/12 Newcastle Fulham Fulham to win: 47% Fulham +113 1.47 2.50
Newcastle to win: 24.5% Newcastle +309 1.02
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251
5/12 Chelsea Leicester Leicester to win: 28.7% Leicester +249 1.11 2.50
Chelsea to win: 41.8% Chelsea +140 1.38
Odds to Draw: 29.5% Draw +239
5/12 Wolves Liverpool Liverpool to win: 82.2% Liverpool -462 2.63 3.19
Wolves to win: 5.5% Wolves +1719 0.56
Odds to Draw: 12.3% Draw +714
5/12 Cardiff Manchester Utd Manchester Utd to win: 78.1% Manchester Utd -357 2.18 2.75
Cardiff to win: 7% Cardiff +1329 0.57
Odds to Draw: 14.9% Draw +572
5/12 Huddersfield Southampton Southampton to win: 52.9% Southampton -113 1.47 2.35
Huddersfield to win: 20.3% Huddersfield +393 0.87
Odds to Draw: 26.8% Draw +274
5/12 Everton Tottenham Tottenham to win: 77.4% Tottenham -343 2.50 3.15
Everton to win: 7.3% Everton +1270 0.64
Odds to Draw: 15.3% Draw +554
5/12 West Ham Watford Watford to win: 54.6% Watford -121 1.71 2.65
West Ham to win: 19.2% West Ham +421 0.94
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 3/15/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
24
4
2
74
29.1
5.3
3.6
90.8
Liverpool
22
1
7
73
26.8
2.5
8.7
89.2
Tottenham
20
9
1
61
24.8
10.8
2.5
76.7
Arsenal
18
6
6
60
22.5
7.7
7.8
75.2
Chelsea
17
6
6
57
21.8
8.2
8
73.4
Manchester United
17
6
7
58
21.5
7.7
8.9
73.3
Watford
12
11
7
43
14.9
14.2
8.9
53.6
Wolves
12
10
8
44
14.1
13.9
10
52.3
Leicester
11
14
5
38
13.9
17.1
7
48.7
West Ham
11
13
6
39
13.3
17
7.8
47.5
Everton
10
13
7
37
12.6
16.4
9
46.8
Bournemouth
11
15
4
37
13.5
18.5
6
46.6
Newcastle
9
14
7
34
11.5
17.5
9
43.6
Brighton
9
14
6
33
11.5
18.3
8.1
42.7
Crystal Palace
9
15
6
33
11.5
18.7
7.8
42.3
Southampton
7
14
9
30
10
16.9
11.2
41.1
Burnley
8
16
6
30
10.5
19.5
8
39.5
Cardiff
8
18
4
28
9.7
22.4
5.9
35
Fulham
4
21
5
17
6.3
24.8
6.9
25.8
Huddersfield
3
22
5
14
4.5
26.7
6.8
20.3

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
66.8%
100%
0%
0%
Liverpool
33.1%
100%
0%
0%
Tottenham
0%
77.1%
16.2%
0%
Arsenal
0%
57.8%
26.4%
0%
Chelsea
0.1%
33.6%
28%
0%
Manchester United
0%
31.5%
29.4%
0%
Watford
0%
0%
0%
0%
Wolves
0%
0%
0%
0%
Leicester
0%
0%
0%
0%
West Ham
0%
0%
0%
0%
Everton
0%
0%
0%
0%
Bournemouth
0%
0%
0%
0%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0%
0.5%
Brighton
0%
0%
0%
2.6%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0%
2%
Southampton
0%
0%
0%
4.4%
Burnley
0%
0%
0%
14.5%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
76.1%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
99.9%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
100%