English Premier League Soccer Predictions


Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 30 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
3/9 Brighton Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 58.6% Crystal Palace -142 1.62 2.43
Brighton to win: 16.7% Brighton +499 0.81
Odds to Draw: 24.7% Draw +305
3/9 West Ham Cardiff Cardiff to win: 53.3% Cardiff -115 1.59 2.51
West Ham to win: 20% West Ham +400 0.92
Odds to Draw: 26.7% Draw +275
3/9 Bournemouth Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 36.7% Huddersfield +173 1.18 2.30
Bournemouth to win: 33.3% Bournemouth +201 1.12
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
3/9 Fulham Leicester Leicester to win: 57.8% Leicester -137 1.86 2.79
Fulham to win: 17.2% Fulham +482 0.93
Odds to Draw: 25% Draw +300
3/9 Everton Newcastle Newcastle to win: 48.4% Newcastle +107 1.48 2.47
Everton to win: 23.5% Everton +326 0.99
Odds to Draw: 28.1% Draw +256
3/9 Tottenham Southampton Southampton to win: 10% Southampton +900 0.70 2.83
Tottenham to win: 71.3% Tottenham -249 2.13
Odds to Draw: 18.7% Draw +435
3/9 Watford Manchester City Manchester City to win: 84.7% Manchester City -554 2.88 3.43
Watford to win: 4.6% Watford +2074 0.54
Odds to Draw: 10.7% Draw +835
3/10 Burnley Liverpool Liverpool to win: 82.8% Liverpool -482 2.59 3.14
Burnley to win: 5.2% Burnley +1824 0.54
Odds to Draw: 12% Draw +734
3/10 Wolves Chelsea Chelsea to win: 69.9% Chelsea -233 2.06 2.78
Wolves to win: 10.6% Wolves +844 0.71
Odds to Draw: 19.5% Draw +413
3/10 Manchester Utd Arsenal Arsenal to win: 46.9% Arsenal +114 1.50 2.54
Manchester Utd to win: 24.6% Manchester Utd +307 1.04
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 31 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
3/16 Newcastle Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 51.9% Bournemouth -108 1.64 2.63
Newcastle to win: 21% Newcastle +377 0.98
Odds to Draw: 27.1% Draw +270
3/16 Cardiff Brighton Brighton to win: 53.9% Brighton -117 1.45 2.29
Cardiff to win: 19.6% Cardiff +411 0.84
Odds to Draw: 26.5% Draw +278
3/16 Leicester Burnley Burnley to win: 43.8% Burnley +129 1.27 2.26
Leicester to win: 27% Leicester +271 0.98
Odds to Draw: 29.2% Draw +243
3/16 Southampton Watford Watford to win: 56.9% Watford -133 1.61 2.46
Southampton to win: 17.7% Southampton +465 0.84
Odds to Draw: 25.4% Draw +294
3/16 Huddersfield West Ham West Ham to win: 55.2% West Ham -124 1.67 2.58
Huddersfield to win: 18.8% Huddersfield +432 0.91
Odds to Draw: 26% Draw +285
3/16 Arsenal Wolves Wolves to win: 21% Wolves +377 0.98 2.63
Arsenal to win: 51.8% Arsenal -108 1.64
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268
3/17 Crystal Palace Tottenham Tottenham to win: 75.1% Tottenham -302 2.27 2.93
Crystal Palace to win: 8.3% Crystal Palace +1105 0.65
Odds to Draw: 16.6% Draw +503
3/17 Liverpool Fulham Fulham to win: 10.4% Fulham +862 0.77 3.10
Liverpool to win: 70.4% Liverpool -238 2.33
Odds to Draw: 19.2% Draw +421
3/17 Chelsea Everton Everton to win: 26.9% Everton +272 1.09 2.53
Chelsea to win: 44% Chelsea +128 1.44
Odds to Draw: 29.1% Draw +244

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 3/15/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
24
4
2
74
29.1
5.3
3.6
90.8
Liverpool
22
1
7
73
26.8
2.5
8.7
89.2
Tottenham
20
9
1
61
24.8
10.8
2.5
76.7
Arsenal
18
6
6
60
22.5
7.7
7.8
75.2
Chelsea
17
6
6
57
21.8
8.2
8
73.4
Manchester United
17
6
7
58
21.5
7.7
8.9
73.3
Watford
12
11
7
43
14.9
14.2
8.9
53.6
Wolves
12
10
8
44
14.1
13.9
10
52.3
Leicester
11
14
5
38
13.9
17.1
7
48.7
West Ham
11
13
6
39
13.3
17
7.8
47.5
Everton
10
13
7
37
12.6
16.4
9
46.8
Bournemouth
11
15
4
37
13.5
18.5
6
46.6
Newcastle
9
14
7
34
11.5
17.5
9
43.6
Brighton
9
14
6
33
11.5
18.3
8.1
42.7
Crystal Palace
9
15
6
33
11.5
18.7
7.8
42.3
Southampton
7
14
9
30
10
16.9
11.2
41.1
Burnley
8
16
6
30
10.5
19.5
8
39.5
Cardiff
8
18
4
28
9.7
22.4
5.9
35
Fulham
4
21
5
17
6.3
24.8
6.9
25.8
Huddersfield
3
22
5
14
4.5
26.7
6.8
20.3

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
66.8%
100%
0%
0%
Liverpool
33.1%
100%
0%
0%
Tottenham
0%
77.1%
16.2%
0%
Arsenal
0%
57.8%
26.4%
0%
Chelsea
0.1%
33.6%
28%
0%
Manchester United
0%
31.5%
29.4%
0%
Watford
0%
0%
0%
0%
Wolves
0%
0%
0%
0%
Leicester
0%
0%
0%
0%
West Ham
0%
0%
0%
0%
Everton
0%
0%
0%
0%
Bournemouth
0%
0%
0%
0%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0%
0.5%
Brighton
0%
0%
0%
2.6%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0%
2%
Southampton
0%
0%
0%
4.4%
Burnley
0%
0%
0%
14.5%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
76.1%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
99.9%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
100%