Padres at Cubs

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
42.3%57.7%
Padres WinCubs Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.26
6Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(26-21)
Rank12
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-13.451.151

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.930.857

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Matt Waldron • ARI: Ryne Nelson-105
W 13-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Michael King • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+105
W 7-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Dylan Cease • ARI: Slade Cecconi-110
W 2-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SDP: Joe Musgrove-140
W 4-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • SDP: Yu Darvish-165
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Javier Assad+130
W 5-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • CHC: Jameson Taillon-126
L 3-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Joe Ross • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-108
L 6-7 at New York MetsCHC: Ben Brown • NYM: Adrian Houser+103
W 1-0 at New York MetsCHC: Shota Imanaga • NYM: José Buttó-116

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • PLuis PatinoOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJustin SteeleNamed Starter
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
ENE 9 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°63°62°62°
Humidity63%64%68%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearMostly Clear
WindENE 9 mphENE 9 mphE 10 mphE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+105-103-109-101+100-101+100+103.8
Cubs-115-107-111-109-110-109-107-103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+106+100-101-103+100+100+100+103.8
Cubs-116-110-109-112-110-110-109-103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +100 to -101
Cubs ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +100 to -101
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-200+1½-221+1½-220+1½-212+1½-215+1½-212+1½-212+1½-192
Cubs-1½+170-1½+189-1½+180-1½+182-1½+177-1½+182-1½+189-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-205+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-215+1½-215+1½-210+1½-192
Cubs-1½+181-1½+180-1½+184-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+102o7½-105o7½-102o7-130o7½-102o7½+102o7½+107
Underu7+100u7½-118u7½-115u7½-118u7+110u7½-118u7½-115u7½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+105o7-135o7-130o7-125o7½+105o7½+105o7½+107
Underu7+100u7½-125u7+115u7+110u7+105u7½-125u7+115u7½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-118 to u7-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7-135
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125