Cubs at Mets

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(24-17)
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
46.5%53.5%
Cubs WinMets Win
4.31Projected Runs 4.67
3Final Score 1
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-01.691.125

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-22.671.259

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxCHC: Hayden Wesneski • BOS: Tanner Houck+135
L 0-17 at Boston Red SoxCHC: Ben Brown • BOS: Josh Winckowski-111
W 7-1 at Boston Red SoxCHC: Shota Imanaga • BOS: Kutter Crawford-103
W 1-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • CHC: Javier Assad+133
W 3-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • CHC: Jameson Taillon+100
New York Mets
Money Line
W 2-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • NYM: José Quintana-135
L 7-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • NYM: Adrian Houser+128
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • NYM: José Butto-122
W 8-2 at San Francisco GiantsNYM: Sean Manaea • SFG: Ryan Walker-102
L 1-5 at San Francisco GiantsNYM: Luis Severino • SFG: Logan Webb+124

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • CFrancisco Alvarez10-day IL
  • PTylor Megill15-day IL
  • PDrew Smith10-day IL
  • RFStarling MarteOut
  • PKodai Senga60-day IL
  • PBrooks Raley15-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°67°64°61°
Humidity69%74%79%83%
Precipitation26%5%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSE 8 mphSE 8 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+117+131+123+129+130+129+131+133.6
Mets-127-141-147-140-140-140-140-133.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+113+128+130+128+131+128+131+133.6
Mets-123-138-142-143-142-138-138-133.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +133 to +123
Mets ML moved from -141 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +135 to +128
Mets ML moved from -141 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-195+1½-168+1½-180+1½-168+1½-165+1½-168+1½-165+1½-155
Mets-1½+170-1½+152-1½+155-1½+148-1½+145-1½+148-1½+155-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-190+1½-170+1½-162+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-162+1½-155
Mets-1½+168-1½+150-1½+143-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7-118o7-125o7-117o7½+105o7-117o7-117o7-106
Underu8-115u7+102u7+105u7-103u7½-125u7-103u7+105u7+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7-115o7-115o7½+100o7½+100o7-120o7-115o7-106
Underu8-115u7-105u7-105u7½-120u7½-120u7+100u7½-120u7+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-112 to o7½-118
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105