NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 5, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (14-5)
Kansas City Chiefs (15-6)
Unknown
Unknown
46.9%
53.1%
+130
-145
+130
-150
+2½+102
-2½-115
+3-115
-2½-120
21.7
23.0
44.7
o46½-110
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Sep 4, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
61.9%
38.1%
-145
+130
-140
+135
-3+101
+2½+102
-3+100
+3-110
21
20
-0.55080-0.54782-0.48015
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
34.5%
65.5%
+130
-145
+140
-145
+2½+105
-2½-113
+3-115
-2½-110
9
17
-0.55080-0.53299-0.42318
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
76.8%
23.2%
-220
+195
-210
+205
-5½+100
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
10
27
-1.10794-1.12043-1.46046
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
27.0%
73.0%
+220
-240
+220
-240
+6-110
-5½-108
+6-110
-5-110
21
20
-1.18136-1.18136-1.30915
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
76.9%
23.1%
-750
+600
-825
+625
-13+100
+13-108
-13-110
+13-110
38
10
-0.15007-0.14380-0.26322
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
62.7%
37.3%
-230
+205
-240
+216
-4½-108
+5-110
-4½-110
+4½-110
9
0
-0.38554-0.37040-0.46681
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
28.4%
71.6%
+170
-185
+180
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-110
20
30
-0.45144-0.43838-0.33459
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
63.5%
36.5%
-180
+160
-175
+160
-3½+105
+3+105
-3-110
+3½-110
20
28
-0.98262-0.97625-1.00742
New York Jets
New England Patriots
45.9%
54.1%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2½-110
17
3
-0.84658-0.85085-0.77820
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
32.8%
67.2%
+280
-330
+288
-340
+7+100
-7-113
+7-105
-7-110
14
31
-0.29484-0.28783-0.39727
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
33.5%
66.5%
+161
-170
+155
-165
+3+105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-115
17
48
-0.47531-0.48848-0.40857
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
45.2%
54.8%
-120
+107
-125
+110
-1-108
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
23
19
-0.63429-0.61904-0.79427
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
60.6%
39.4%
-155
+137
-150
+140
-3-103
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
17
10
-0.52719-0.52736-0.50084
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
41.6%
58.4%
-115
-105
+100
-105
+1-115
+1-115
+0+100
+1-110
33
10
-0.67172-0.70528-0.87726
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
29.5%
70.5%
+160
-170
+165
-185
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½-110
9
16
-0.47678-0.45828-0.35013
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
32.6%
67.4%
+305
-335
+300
-340
+7+100
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
17
25
-0.27810-0.28030-0.39424
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/28/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1San Francisco 49ers (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%56.8%
2Kansas City Chiefs (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%43.2%
3Baltimore Ravens (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Detroit Lions (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Green Bay Packers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Buffalo Bills (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Houston Texans (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Miami Dolphins (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Philadelphia Eagles (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Cleveland Browns (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Rams (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Dallas Cowboys (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Giants (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Denver Broncos (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New England Patriots (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18New Orleans Saints (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Chicago Bears (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Atlanta Falcons (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Jets (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Cincinnati Bengals (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (2-15-0)2.015.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Minnesota Vikings (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Seahawks (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Los Angeles Chargers (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Tennessee Titans (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Indianapolis Colts (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Washington Commanders (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.