Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Malmo
Elfsborg 		39.0%
33.7%		27.3%
-112
+330
-120
+320
1.28
1.17		2.45
o2½-132
u2¾-115

Norrkoping
AIK Stockholm 		13.2%
67.6%		19.2%
+400
-135
+375
-140
0.82
2.13		2.95
o2½-122
u2½+108

Games for May 4, 2024
Games for May 11, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elfsborg
Hammarby		31.6%
43.4%		25.0%
+182
+151
+180
+150
0
3		-0.95829-0.96627-0.83386
Brommapojkarna
Hacken		19.6%
56.9%		23.4%
+360
-135
+310
-135
3
4		-0.56683-0.60398-0.56317
Sirius
Djurgarden		12.5%
69.2%		18.3%
+367
-138
+310
-125
0
2		-0.58218-0.63605-0.36872
Goteborg
Kalmar		33.0%
38.3%		28.8%
+191
+154
+185
+150
1
0		-1.10685-1.09982-1.10948
Hacken
Djurgarden		20.9%
55.1%		24.0%
+313
-119
+325
-130
3
3		-1.42122-1.43557-1.42649
Sirius
Kalmar		24.8%
50.3%		24.9%
+192
+149
+170
+165
2
1		-1.11073-1.04276-1.39412
Hammarby
Malmo		14.8%
66.5%		18.7%
+700
-244
+640
-255
0
2		-0.37720-0.38293-0.40792
Goteborg
Halmstad		32.3%
36.8%		30.9%
+166
+186
+145
+195
0
1		-1.07904-1.13519-1.00060
Halmstad
Sirius		27.1%
45.1%		27.8%
+373
-134
+330
-125
0
3		-0.59039-0.63779-0.79678
Djurgarden
Goteborg		34.6%
36.5%		28.9%
+132
+236
+130
+220
4
1		-0.87455-0.88201-1.06103
Malmo
Norrkoping		56.1%
20.9%		23.0%
-170
+480
-195
+495
5
1		-0.48903-0.46401-0.57878
Goteborg
Varberg		57.8%
19.2%		23.0%
-246
+657
-250
+635
2
1		-0.37660-0.38557-0.54740
Varnamo
AIK Stockholm		10.5%
69.6%		19.9%
+352
-145
+245
+100
1
3		-0.58336-0.74482-0.36289
Halmstad
Hammarby		15.4%
63.3%		21.2%
+500
-185
+450
-185
2
2		-1.56213-1.55585-1.55056
Elfsborg
Malmo		21.2%
55.7%		23.1%
+357
-134
+330
-130
0
1		-0.59110-0.61721-0.58514
Mjallby
Degerfors		36.0%
36.1%		27.9%
+145
+226
+140
+175
2
1		-0.88875-0.92480-1.02071
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.93415 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.93712 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.89592
0.03824
0.04120

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.