UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for May 25, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for May 18, 2024
Fights for Jun 1, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vinicius Salvador
Adrian Yanez		28.0%
72.0%
+385
-475
+455
-400
Loss
Win		-0.22282-0.20312-0.32807
Angela Hill
Luana Pinheiro		45.3%
54.7%
-130
+120
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59012-0.59012-0.79266
Tom Nolan
Victor Martinez		76.6%
23.4%
-515
+445
-475
+455
Win
Loss		-0.19813-0.19731-0.26631
Tuco Tokkos
Oumar Sy		26.9%
73.1%
+435
-555
+425
-500
Loss
Win		-0.19934-0.20586-0.31353
Melissa Gatto
Tamires Vidal		69.9%
30.1%
-400
+310
-380
+320
Win
Loss		-0.26610-0.26295-0.35796
Warlley Alves
Abus Magomedov		36.8%
63.2%
+275
-315
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30109-0.31508-0.45917
Ariane Carnelossi
Piera Rodriguez		26.4%
73.6%
+185
-220
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.08498-1.07614-1.33340
Kleydson Rodrigues
Heili Alateng		54.1%
45.9%
-160
+145
-150
+145
Loss
Win		-0.91937-0.90421-0.77851
Emily Ducote
Vanessa Demopoulos		62.3%
37.7%
-350
+325
-360
+310
Loss
Win		-1.45994-1.43717-0.97532
Rodrigo Nascimento
Derrick Lewis		45.6%
54.4%
+150
-155
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.50878-0.60829
Nursulton Ruziboev
Joaquin Buckley		34.6%
65.4%
+115
-133
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59598-0.58016-0.42529
Carlos Ulberg
Alonzo Menifield		72.5%
27.5%
-250
+220
-265
+240
Win
Loss		-0.36291-0.34011-0.32169
Mateusz Rebecki
Diego Ferreira		66.7%
33.3%
-405
+350
-350
+320
Loss
Win		-1.52800-1.45081-1.09997
Sean Woodson
Alex Caceres		54.4%
45.6%
-265
+240
-260
+250
Win
Loss		-0.34011-0.33332-0.60962
Robelis Despaigne
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		53.5%
46.5%
-250
+212
-230
+200
Loss
Win		-1.17205-1.12846-0.76559
Viacheslav Borshchev
Chase Hooper		53.7%
46.3%
-110
-105
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70441-0.71668-0.77096
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.63342 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62091 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.62001
0.01341
0.00090

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.