Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leon
FC Juarez 		40.5%
31.5%		27.9%
+142
+198
+130
+200
1.26
1.08		2.34
o2¾-120
u3-124
o3+115
u3-125
Tijuana
UANL 		10.4%
71.8%		17.8%
+546
-190
+535
-200
0.70
2.21		2.91
o2¾-117
u3-123
o3+110
u3-130
Cruz Azul
Toluca 		21.4%
56.1%		22.5%
+230
+121
+230
+110
1.07
1.86		2.93
o2½-134
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+115
Mazatlan FC
Pachuca 		12.7%
69.8%		17.5%
+440
-155
+420
-165
0.90
2.36		3.26
o3-104
u3-114
o3+100
u3-115
Guadalajara
Atlas 		41.6%
29.9%		28.5%
+118
+250
+110
+250
1.25
1.00		2.25
o2½-110
u2½-104
o2½-110
u2½-105
Games for Apr 26, 2024
Games for Apr 28, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
UNAM
Queretaro 		38.6%
33.8%		27.7%
+119
+252
+125
+225
2.39
o2½-118
u2½+106
o2½-120
u2½+105
2nd H
69:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
America
Puebla		66.3%
14.5%		19.2%
-213
+545
-220
+540
2
1		-0.41240-0.42546-0.41094
Atlas
Cruz Azul		14.5%
64.4%		21.0%
+800
-252
+675
-255
2
2		-1.69092-1.65569-1.56017
America
UNAM		49.1%
26.1%		24.8%
+105
+286
+105
+245
1
2		-1.36063-1.28870-1.34511
Pachuca
Santos Laguna		30.0%
44.5%		25.5%
+156
+172
+155
+180
2
0		-0.97172-0.96281-1.20474
Queretaro
Guadalajara		11.3%
70.7%		18.0%
+494
-167
+435
-155
0
2		-0.49320-0.54163-0.34711
Necaxa
UANL		8.8%
74.7%		16.5%
+510
-155
+420
-165
2
5		-0.49689-0.52548-0.29168
Monterrey
Leon		33.9%
38.2%		27.8%
+144
+192
+155
+165
0
2		-1.10271-1.02449-0.96113
Puebla
Tijuana		18.2%
59.8%		22.0%
+485
-174
+480
-195
1
3		-0.47044-0.46354-0.51375
Toluca
Atletico		41.3%
32.3%		26.4%
-113
+307
-115
+300
5
1		-0.64264-0.65408-0.88414
FC Juarez
Mazatlan FC		24.0%
51.4%		24.6%
+257
+110
+250
+100
2
0		-1.28982-1.30383-1.42533
Tijuana
FC Juarez		29.0%
43.8%		27.2%
+220
+140
+200
+140
1
0		-1.18117-1.14599-1.23760
Leon
UNAM		26.1%
48.4%		25.6%
+273
+101
+250
+100
0
1		-0.71863-0.73129-0.72648
Atletico
Atlas		28.1%
44.2%		27.7%
+203
+140
+220
+135
1
2		-0.89813-0.87789-0.81758
UANL
Monterrey		26.3%
46.3%		27.4%
+261
+120
+245
+115
3
3		-1.28013-1.27168-1.29514
Toluca
America		16.3%
64.3%		19.4%
+376
-127
+360
-135
1
5		-0.60640-0.60144-0.44146
Guadalajara
Pachuca		24.5%
50.1%		25.3%
+250
+115
+220
+115
1
0		-1.27654-1.21345-1.40495
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.41240 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42546 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.41094
0.00146
0.01452

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.