NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 1, 2022

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Buffalo Bills (7-3)
New England Patriots (6-4)
Unknown
Unknown
69.2%
30.8%
-225
+195
-215
+200
-5-108
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
26.0
20.4
46.4
o43½-108
u43½-108
o43½-110
u44-110
Games for Nov 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis Colts
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-135
+125
-130
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
-1½-110
24
17
-0.81706-0.82055-0.89006
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
20.9%
79.1%
+250
-275
+250
-265
+6½-108
-6-113
+6½-110
-6-110
33
40
-0.32902-0.33183-0.23447
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
24.1%
75.9%
+340
-400
+353
-410
+8½-108
-10+110
+9-110
-9-110
0
13
-0.25005-0.24263-0.27579
Los Angeles Rams
Kansas City Chiefs
7.6%
92.4%
+820
-1155
+880
-1300
+15½-108
-15½-108
+16-110
-15½-110
10
26
-0.11164-0.10426-0.07952
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
54.5%
45.5%
-135
+125
-140
+130
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
25
24
-0.57304-0.55696-0.60642
Las Vegas Raiders
Seattle Seahawks
39.9%
60.1%
+175
-192
+180
-185
+4-108
-4-103
+4-110
-4-110
40
34
-1.03254-1.03586-0.91847
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-5 (0.656)1-0.52148 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.51642 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.51942
0.00206
-0.00300

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/21/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsMake Div. Rd.Win Div. Rd.Conf. ChampWin Super Bowl
1Philadelphia Eagles (9-1-0)14.22.80.0100.0%91.4%63.1%41.6%23.4%
2Kansas City Chiefs (8-2-0)13.63.40.099.9%84.3%53.1%30.4%14.7%
3Dallas Cowboys (7-3-0)12.24.80.098.3%66.2%38.8%22.6%13.1%
4Baltimore Ravens (7-3-0)12.24.80.097.8%72.1%41.6%22.9%12.7%
5Buffalo Bills (7-3-0)11.75.30.093.9%63.1%35.8%18.5%10.1%
6Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.64.40.099.5%66.4%37.8%14.3%6.0%
7Miami Dolphins (7-3-0)11.35.80.091.7%46.6%21.1%9.2%4.1%
8Tennessee Titans (7-3-0)11.15.90.099.0%52.5%19.0%7.4%2.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (6-4-0)10.36.70.082.9%45.1%18.7%7.0%2.8%
10Cincinnati Bengals (6-4-0)9.47.60.056.0%29.5%11.8%5.0%2.2%
11Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5-0)9.37.70.077.7%31.4%11.9%4.4%1.8%
12Washington Commanders (6-5-0)9.17.90.053.3%23.5%7.7%3.2%1.3%
13New York Giants (7-3-0)9.67.40.065.5%28.1%8.3%3.0%1.1%
14New York Jets (6-4-0)9.57.50.060.5%23.7%8.0%3.1%1.1%
15New England Patriots (6-4-0)9.57.50.060.0%18.9%7.4%2.8%1.1%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-4-0)9.67.40.066.4%26.7%7.4%1.9%0.7%
17Detroit Lions (4-6-0)7.49.60.012.6%5.4%1.6%0.6%0.2%
18Atlanta Falcons (5-6-0)7.59.50.022.2%7.5%2.0%0.6%0.2%
19New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.410.60.07.4%3.6%1.3%0.3%0.1%
20Los Angeles Chargers (5-5-0)8.38.70.031.4%7.0%1.5%0.3%0.1%
21Green Bay Packers (4-7-0)7.010.00.05.7%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.1%
22Cleveland Browns (3-7-0)6.210.80.02.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.1%
23Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7-0)5.311.70.01.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
24Los Angeles Rams (3-7-0)5.811.20.02.6%1.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)5.311.70.02.1%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%
26Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)6.69.41.03.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Cardinals (4-7-0)6.410.60.03.7%1.1%0.2%0.1%0.0%
28Denver Broncos (3-7-0)5.311.70.00.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Chicago Bears (3-8-0)4.712.30.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7-0)6.110.90.01.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Las Vegas Raiders (3-7-0)5.411.60.00.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Houston Texans (1-8-1)2.313.71.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.