NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2021

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
Line
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New Orleans Saints (1-0)
Carolina Panthers (1-0)
Jameis Winston
Sam Darnold
61.0%
39.0%
-169
+155
-160
+150
24.1
20.8
44.9
o45-105
u45-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Houston Texans (1-0)
Cleveland Browns (0-1)
Tyrod Taylor
Baker Mayfield
19.7%
80.3%
+590
-700
+560
-700
19.1
30.7
49.8
o48-109
u48-109
o48-110
u48-110
Cincinnati Bengals (1-0)
Chicago Bears (0-1)
Joe Burrow
Andy Dalton
40.3%
59.7%
+113
-125
+110
-125
19.4
22.6
42.0
o44½-109
u44½-109
o44-110
u44½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Las Vegas Raiders (1-0)
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)
Derek Carr
Ben Roethlisberger
30.2%
69.8%
+220
-240
+220
-250
22.6
29.2
51.8
o46½-109
u47-110
o46-110
u47-110
Buffalo Bills (0-1)
Miami Dolphins (1-0)
Josh Allen
Tua Tagovailoa
58.2%
41.8%
-190
+167
-180
+175
25.7
22.8
48.5
o47½-109
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Rams (1-0)
Indianapolis Colts (0-1)
Matthew Stafford
Carson Wentz
59.9%
40.1%
-193
+170
-190
+175
25.7
22.6
48.3
o47½-109
u48-109
o47½-110
u48-110
San Francisco 49ers (1-0)
Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)
Jimmy Garoppolo
Jalen Hurts
59.8%
40.2%
-145
+130
-145
+140
24.0
20.8
44.8
o49-108
u49-105
o49-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (1-0)
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)
Teddy Bridgewater
Trevor Lawrence
68.1%
31.9%
-255
+230
-260
+230
25.6
20.5
46.1
o44½-110
u45-109
o45-110
u45½-110
New England Patriots (0-1)
New York Jets (0-1)
Mac Jones
Zach Wilson
66.9%
33.1%
-250
+220
-245
+220
23.2
18.5
41.7
o43-109
u43-106
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (0-1)
Arizona Cardinals (1-0)
Kirk Cousins
Kyler Murray
36.0%
64.0%
+180
-195
+175
-190
25.3
28.9
54.2
o50½-109
u51-110
o50½-110
u50½-110
Atlanta Falcons (0-1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0)
Matt Ryan
Tom Brady
20.0%
80.0%
+595
-720
+600
-745
20.7
32.0
52.7
o52-105
u52-110
o51½-110
u51½-110
Tennessee Titans (0-1)
Seattle Seahawks (1-0)
Ryan Tannehill
Russell Wilson
26.8%
73.2%
+235
-270
+245
-260
22.3
29.6
51.9
o54-105
u54-109
o54-110
u54½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Dallas Cowboys (0-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (1-0)
Dak Prescott
Justin Herbert
39.3%
60.7%
+145
-150
+142
-160
22.5
25.8
48.3
o55-109
u55-105
o54½-110
u55-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (1-0)
Baltimore Ravens (0-1)
Patrick Mahomes
Lamar Jackson
55.1%
44.9%
-190
+175
-190
+175
26.4
24.3
50.7
o53½-110
u54-109
o53½-110
u54½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 18, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
32.5%
67.5%
+175
-196
+180
-200
29
30
-0.43771-0.42898-0.39358
Baltimore Ravens
Las Vegas Raiders
69.1%
30.9%
-165
+150
-160
+147
27
33
-0.93869-0.92425-1.17403
Chicago Bears
Los Angeles Rams
25.2%
74.8%
+360
-415
+358
-380
14
34
-0.23884-0.24358-0.29023
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
64.4%
35.6%
-197
+172
-185
+175
3
38
-1.03111-1.02427-1.03277
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
54.4%
45.6%
-140
+130
-142
+135
27
13
-0.55696-0.54535-0.60831
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
36.5%
63.5%
+162
-180
+170
-185
17
16
-0.98741-1.01255-1.00816
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.72107 
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.71805 
DRatings166-10 (0.375)0-0.75144
-0.03037
-0.03339

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/13/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionConf. Champ.Win Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (1-0-0)12.74.30.096.5%75.2%46.4%28.6%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0-0)12.14.90.094.3%72.9%29.8%16.3%
3Seattle Seahawks (1-0-0)11.06.00.079.7%36.3%15.6%7.5%
4Los Angeles Rams (1-0-0)10.76.30.078.0%30.2%14.4%7.1%
5Buffalo Bills (0-1-0)10.07.00.067.8%41.9%11.9%6.0%
6Green Bay Packers (0-1-0)9.67.40.073.9%70.3%10.8%5.4%
7San Francisco 49ers (1-0-0)10.26.80.071.1%20.8%8.0%3.2%
8Baltimore Ravens (0-1-0)9.37.70.051.2%29.9%6.1%2.8%
9New Orleans Saints (1-0-0)9.87.20.061.6%21.0%6.8%2.8%
10Los Angeles Chargers (1-0-0)9.87.20.061.0%12.4%5.5%2.5%
11Cleveland Browns (0-1-0)9.27.80.050.0%29.4%5.2%2.4%
12Arizona Cardinals (1-0-0)9.57.50.056.8%12.7%5.5%2.2%
13Miami Dolphins (1-0-0)9.97.10.063.9%38.4%5.4%2.1%
14Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0-0)9.27.80.050.9%32.1%4.4%2.0%
15Denver Broncos (1-0-0)9.67.40.059.0%9.2%4.8%2.0%
16Dallas Cowboys (0-1-0)8.68.40.053.7%48.9%4.2%1.6%
17Indianapolis Colts (0-1-0)8.28.80.052.8%49.1%3.2%1.2%
18New England Patriots (0-1-0)8.58.50.035.8%17.0%2.8%1.1%
19Tennessee Titans (0-1-0)7.89.20.041.4%37.4%2.4%0.9%
20Minnesota Vikings (0-1-0)7.39.80.023.1%17.3%1.3%0.5%
21Las Vegas Raiders (1-0-0)8.18.90.028.3%3.2%1.2%0.5%
22Philadelphia Eagles (1-0-0)7.79.30.032.6%28.2%1.2%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (1-0-0)7.99.10.024.7%5.0%0.7%0.3%
24Washington Football Team (0-1-0)6.610.40.015.9%13.3%0.6%0.2%
25Cincinnati Bengals (1-0-0)7.49.60.019.5%8.6%0.5%0.2%
26Chicago Bears (0-1-0)6.410.60.011.6%9.4%0.4%0.1%
27Atlanta Falcons (0-1-0)6.610.40.08.8%1.1%0.2%0.1%
28Detroit Lions (0-1-0)4.812.20.03.4%3.0%0.1%0.1%
29New York Jets (0-1-0)6.310.70.07.3%2.7%0.1%0.0%
30New York Giants (0-1-0)6.210.80.010.8%9.6%0.2%0.0%
31Houston Texans (1-0-0)5.811.20.09.7%9.0%0.0%0.0%
32Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1-0)5.111.90.04.9%4.5%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.