NFL Football Predictions

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. Unlike some of our other prediction systems, our ratings system for the NFL does account for all significant injuries. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. Below, we list the NFL money line odds from Bovada, 5Dimes and BetOnline. Below, you will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more. Toward the bottom of this page, one can find information on season projections. This will be updated every week as the NFL season moves along.

Week 15 NFL Score Predictions

Time Matchup Teams Lines – Updated 12/10 @ 12:04 pm Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
12/12 NY Jets at Baltimore NY Jets
+600
+650
+660
2.3%
9.847
45.97
Baltimore
-900
-1100
-840
97.7%
36.12
12/15 Seattle at Carolina Seattle
-255
-270
-240
69.7%
28.35
50.29
Carolina
+215
+220
+220
30.3%
21.93
12/15 New England at Cincinnati New England
-430
-450
-405
89.2%
32.84
46.96
Cincinnati
+345
+325
+360
10.8%
14.12
12/15 Tampa Bay at Detroit Tampa Bay
No Odds
-190
-190
65.6%
28.32
52.42
Detroit
No Odds
+165
+165
34.4%
24.10
12/15 Chicago at Green Bay Chicago
+185
+180
+190
30.8%
17.74
40.85
Green Bay
-215
-220
-210
69.2%
23.11
12/15 Denver at Kansas City Denver
+375
+375
+380
22.1%
20.97
51.42
Kansas City
-475
-550
-475
77.9%
30.45
12/15 Miami at NY Giants Miami
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
35.6%
18.71
41.19
NY Giants
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
64.4%
22.48
12/15 Buffalo at Pittsburgh Buffalo
+115
+110
+120
42%
19.17
41.21
Pittsburgh
-135
-130
-130
58%
22.04
12/15 Houston at Tennessee Houston
+130
+130
+135
35.9%
20.39
44.46
Tennessee
-150
-150
-145
64.1%
24.07
12/15 Philadelphia at Washington Philadelphia
-210
-210
-210
68.9%
23.36
41.41
Washington
+180
+175
+175
31.1%
18.04
12/15 Cleveland at Arizona Cleveland
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
68.3%
24.93
44.75
Arizona
No Odds
No Odds
No Odds
31.7%
19.81
12/15 Jacksonville at Oakland Jacksonville
+235
+230
+245
44.7%
17.01
36.09
Oakland
-285
-280
-265
55.3%
19.08
12/15 LA Rams at Dallas LA Rams
-107
-120
-105
52.8%
26.37
51.52
Dallas
-113
+100
-105
47.2%
25.15
12/15 Atlanta at San Francisco Atlanta
+400
+400
+425
11.4%
15.26
47.79
San Francisco
-520
-600
-485
88.6%
32.53
12/15 Minnesota at LA Chargers Minnesota
-141
-135
-130
52.6%
20.14
39.16
LA Chargers
+121
+115
+120
47.4%
19.02
12/16 Indianapolis at New Orleans Indianapolis
+330
+315
+355
25.9%
26.28
59.95
New Orleans
-430
-440
-420
74.1%
33.66

Recent NFL Game Prediction Results

Date Teams SB Consensus DRatings Odds to Win1 Final Score Sportsbook Log Loss DRatings Log Loss
12/5 Dallas -170 0.522 24 -0.93318 -0.73814
Chicago +145 0.478 31
12/8 Baltimore -260 0.659 24 -0.36925 -0.41703
Buffalo +210 0.341 17
12/8 Washington +570 0.107 15 -0.15628 -0.11317
Green Bay -750 0.893 20
12/8 Denver +320 0.264 38 -1.46853 -1.33181
Houston -390 0.736 24
12/8 San Francisco +106 0.565 48 -0.75709 -0.57093
New Orleans -122 0.435 46
12/8 Cincinnati +230 0.216 19 -0.34732 -0.24335
Cleveland -270 0.784 27
12/8 Carolina +168 0.514 20 -0.44693 -0.72155
Atlanta -196 0.486 40
12/8 Detroit +460 0.153 7 -0.18924 -0.16605
Minnesota -600 0.847 20
12/8 Miami +188 0.326 21 -0.40883 -0.39453
NY Jets -220 0.674 22
12/8 Indianapolis +144 0.335 35 -0.50484 -0.40797
Tampa Bay -166 0.665 38
12/8 LA Chargers -174 0.522 45 -0.48851 -0.65009
Jacksonville +150 0.478 10
12/8 Kansas City +132 0.224 23 -0.8752 -1.49611
New England -152 0.776 16
12/8 Pittsburgh -136 0.671 23 -0.58966 -0.39899
Arizona +116 0.329 17
12/8 Tennessee -140 0.519 42 -0.57222 -0.65585
Oakland +122 0.481 21
12/8 Seattle +114 0.326 12 -0.60253 -0.39453
LA Rams -130 0.674 28
12/9 NY Giants +350 0.213 17 -0.24028 -0.23953
Philadelphia -450 0.787 23

Above are our results from each game last week between NFL opponents. To find the Log Loss of the sportsbook pick, we translate the final money line into relative odds to win and then do the calculation.
1 The values used are based on the last available projection.

NFL Season Prediction Results

Games from Yesterday – 12/9
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Consensus 1 1 0 0 1 -0.24028
DRatings 1 1 0 0 1 -0.23953
Last Week
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Consensus 16 12 4 0 0.75 -0.55937
DRatings 16 12 4 0 0.75 -0.55873
Last Month
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Consensus 60 44 16 0 0.733 -0.57655
DRatings 60 44 16 0 0.733 -0.60953
All Time
Games Wins Losses No Pick Win Pct. Log Loss
Consensus 475 303 164 8 0.646 -0.61352
DRatings 475 309 160 6 0.657 -0.62477

The table listed above shows how our projections have done against the Sportsbook Consensus. The idea is to test our probabilities of victory for each team against the sportsbooks. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, a tie occurs in the game, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Attempting to explain Log Loss is a little complicated, but in a nutshell, the lower number is better. For more information in the examination of this creiteria, see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

2019-2020 NFL Football Futures

Below are the computer simulated results based on 1,000 simulations of the rest of the NFL season. One will find expected win total for all the NFL teams, the probability of winning their division, the probability of winning their conference and the probability of winning the Super Bowl. These odds will change and be updated as the season progresses.

NFL Teams Expected Win Total and Odds to Win Division

AFC EastWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Buffalo94010.55.50.07.0%+1329
Miami31004.111.90.00.0%No Odds
NY Jets5805.610.40.00.0%No Odds
New England103012.53.50.093.0%-1329

AFC NorthWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Baltimore112013.42.60.0100%No Odds
Cincinnati11201.914.10.00.0%No Odds
Cleveland6707.68.40.00.0%No Odds
Pittsburgh8509.56.50.00.0%No Odds

AFC SouthWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Houston8509.46.60.044.5%+125
Indianapolis6707.48.60.00.1%+99900
Jacksonville4905.110.90.00.0%No Odds
Tennessee8509.56.50.055.4%-124

AFC WestWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Denver5806.79.30.00.0%No Odds
Kansas City94011.05.00.0100.0%No Odds
LA Chargers5806.49.60.00.0%No Odds
Oakland6707.28.80.00.0%No Odds

NFC EastWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Dallas6707.78.30.046.5%+115
NY Giants21103.312.70.00.0%No Odds
Philadelphia6707.98.10.053.5%-115
Washington31004.211.80.00.0%No Odds

NFC NorthWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Chicago7608.08.00.00.2%+49900
Detroit3914.410.61.00.0%No Odds
Green Bay103011.84.20.071.9%-256
Minnesota94010.95.10.027.9%+258

NFC SouthWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Atlanta4905.210.80.00.0%No Odds
Carolina5806.010.00.00.0%No Odds
New Orleans103011.94.10.0100.0%No Odds
Tampa Bay6707.88.20.00.0%No Odds

NFC WestWinsLossesTiesProj WinsProj LossesProj TiesTo Win DivisionML on Winning Div
Arizona3914.210.81.00.0%No Odds
LA Rams8509.76.30.00.0%No Odds
San Francisco112013.12.90.076.3%-322
Seattle103012.04.00.023.7%+322

The table above shows projected wins, losses, and chances to win the division and is updated on a weekly basis.

NFL Teams Probability to Make Playoffs, Win Conference, and Win Super Bowl

AFCTeamPlayoff %ML PlayoffsConf Win %ML Conf WinSuper Bowl Win %ML on Winning SB
AFC EastBuffalo95.8%+13292.8%+34710.8%+12400
AFC EastMiami0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC EastNY Jets0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC EastNew England100.0%-132921.7%+36110.2%+880
AFC NorthBaltimore100.0%-3323359.0%-14442.0%+138
AFC NorthCincinnati0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC NorthCleveland2.7%No Odds0.2%+499000.1%+99900
AFC NorthPittsburgh74.1%+332333.5%+27570.6%+16567
AFC SouthHouston58.1%+1252.0%+49000.2%+49900
AFC SouthIndianapolis2.0%+999000.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC SouthJacksonville0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC SouthTennessee65.9%-1242.3%+42480.5%+19900
AFC WestDenver0.2%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC WestKansas City100.0%No Odds8.5%+10762.5%+3900
AFC WestLA Chargers0.2%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
AFC WestOakland1.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds

NFCTeamPlayoff %ML PlayoffsConf Win %ML Conf WinSuper Bowl Win %ML on Winning SB
NFC EastDallas46.5%+1151.9%+51630.2%+49900
NFC EastNY Giants0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC EastPhiladelphia53.5%-1151.0%+99000.4%+24900
NFC EastWashington0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC NorthChicago1.8%+499000.1%+999000.1%+99900
NFC NorthDetroit0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC NorthGreen Bay95.4%-25612.4%+7064.2%+2281
NFC NorthMinnesota82.3%+2587.1%+13082.0%+4900
NFC SouthAtlanta0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC SouthCarolina0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC SouthNew Orleans100.0%No Odds16.7%+4995.7%+1654
NFC SouthTampa Bay0.1%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC WestArizona0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds0.0%No Odds
NFC WestLA Rams22.2%No Odds1.3%+75920.5%+19900
NFC WestSan Francisco99.7%-32247.3%+11125.3%+295
NFC WestSeattle98.5%+32212.2%+7204.7%+2028

The table above shows the simulated projections for every team to make the playoffs, win their conference and win the Super Bowl. These simulations follow all of the correct NFL playoff rules.