NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New England Patriots (1-0)
New York Jets (0-1)
Unknown
Unknown
26.2%
73.8%
+240
-275
+232
-270
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½-108
-6-110
14.2
21.6
35.8
o37½-110
u38-108
o37½-110
u37½-110
Games for Sep 18, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlanta Falcons (0-1)
Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)
36.4%
63.6%
+215
-245
+215
-235
+5+100
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5-110
42.9
o46½-108
u46½-108
o46-110
u46½-110
4th Q
00:19
22
21

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Houston Texans
36.4%
63.6%
+250
-300
+255
-280
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-108
-6½-108
13
19
-0.32277-0.32375-0.45191
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos
54.9%
45.1%
-145
+130
-145
+135
-2½-117
+2½+102
-2½-118
+3-110
13
6
-0.55080-0.54173-0.59993
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
28.4%
71.6%
+250
-280
+250
-265
+6½+100
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-108
25
26
-0.32768-0.33183-0.33346
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
43.4%
56.6%
-115
-105
-108
-108
+0-108
-1+100
+0-108
+0-108
10
41
-0.71505-0.69315-0.56830
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
52.2%
47.8%
+107
-120
+110
-120
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-108
18
21
-0.63429-0.62755-0.73781
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
61.0%
39.0%
-190
+170
-180
+175
-4-103
+4-110
-3½+102
+4-110
24
17
-0.44809-0.44830-0.49377
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
61.5%
38.5%
-160
+145
-160
+145
-3-108
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
23
20
-0.50878-0.50878-0.48646
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
62.4%
37.6%
-205
+180
-200
+176
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-108
+4½-110
17
23
-1.05849-1.04381-0.97806
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
37.7%
62.3%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3+105
-3-114
+3+100
-3-108
18
13
-0.92644-0.93156-0.97511
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
60.3%
39.7%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2½-105
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-110
10
16
-0.81706-0.80802-0.92402
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
32.5%
67.5%
+295
-360
+320
-350
+8-110
-7½-108
+8-108
-7½-110
20
16
-1.40887-1.45081-1.12522
New Orleans Saints
Dallas Cowboys
35.2%
64.8%
+240
-275
+255
-270
+6+105
-6½-106
+6½-105
-6½-108
44
19
-1.25085-1.27830-1.04418
Los Angeles Chargers
Carolina Panthers
68.5%
31.5%
-215
+185
-200
+200
-4½-108
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
26
3
-0.41480-0.40546-0.37813
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
21.0%
79.0%
+385
-435
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9+100
+9-110
-8-108
26
23
-1.59805-1.56858-1.55927
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
53.1%
46.9%
+125
-140
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-108
31
10
-0.83833-0.82789-0.63313
New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers
34.7%
65.3%
+175
-190
+184
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-108
-3½-110
19
32
-0.44150-0.43337-0.42557
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.78802 
Sportsbooks157-7 (0.500)1-0.78597 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.75258
0.03544
0.03338

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 08/29/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)11.06.00.077.6%54.1%20.0%22.6%12.6%
2Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)11.15.90.077.9%64.5%20.6%19.5%11.6%
3Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)11.25.80.077.7%49.9%21.4%18.7%10.9%
4Detroit Lions (0-0-0)10.07.00.063.2%42.9%14.4%13.2%6.4%
5Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)10.16.90.066.0%44.0%13.3%12.5%6.1%
6Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)9.87.20.061.0%38.8%8.7%10.8%6.0%
7Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)9.97.10.065.1%40.8%9.7%10.1%4.6%
8Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)9.77.30.059.7%25.5%9.7%8.6%4.5%
9Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)9.27.80.054.2%29.1%7.1%7.9%3.5%
10New York Jets (0-0-0)9.37.70.054.1%30.3%6.7%7.0%3.5%
11Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.27.80.052.1%24.9%8.1%7.4%3.1%
12Houston Texans (0-0-0)9.08.00.051.1%33.9%4.9%6.1%3.0%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.48.60.039.6%13.5%4.2%5.1%2.4%
14Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)9.08.00.047.8%27.2%6.6%5.2%2.4%
15Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)8.98.10.047.7%31.1%5.1%4.8%2.2%
16Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)8.38.70.037.0%11.1%2.9%4.1%2.0%
17Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)9.08.00.053.1%35.1%6.4%4.9%2.0%
18New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.045.3%31.4%4.8%4.4%1.8%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)8.48.60.044.9%27.9%4.5%4.0%1.7%
20Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.38.70.038.4%19.7%3.2%3.4%1.6%
21Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)8.28.80.038.8%14.1%3.4%3.4%1.4%
22Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)8.38.70.041.3%24.3%3.6%3.0%1.4%
23Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)7.69.40.030.9%12.8%2.1%2.9%1.2%
24Chicago Bears (0-0-0)8.09.00.035.7%15.2%2.9%3.0%1.2%
25Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.39.70.025.8%11.1%1.3%1.8%0.8%
26Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)6.710.30.019.7%10.7%0.7%1.2%0.5%
27New York Giants (0-0-0)6.910.10.022.3%8.7%0.8%1.3%0.5%
28Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)6.910.10.022.7%6.9%1.1%1.2%0.5%
29Washington Commanders (0-0-0)6.410.60.015.7%6.5%1.2%0.7%0.2%
30Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)5.911.10.012.4%5.6%0.2%0.4%0.2%
31Denver Broncos (0-0-0)6.011.00.011.8%4.7%0.3%0.4%0.1%
32New England Patriots (0-0-0)5.411.60.09.4%3.7%0.1%0.3%0.1%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.