NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs
56.7%
43.3%
-125
+120
-125
+115
-2-105
+2-105
-2-105
+2-105
22
25
-0.79851-0.78592-0.83665
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
30.7%
69.3%
+295
-350
+300
-340
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
31
34
-0.28178-0.28030-0.36602
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
36.4%
63.6%
+198
-210
+200
-205
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
-3½-110
17
10
-1.10482-1.10407-1.01079
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
37.2%
62.8%
+130
-145
+128
-145
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-105
27
24
-0.85918-0.85416-0.98886
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
30.6%
69.4%
+235
-270
+245
-278
+6-105
-6-108
+6+100
-6+100
23
31
-0.34293-0.33226-0.36458
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
22.5%
77.5%
+400
-480
+412
-460
+10½-108
-10½-108
+10½-105
-10½-105
21
24
-0.21645-0.21330-0.25427
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
19.6%
80.4%
+395
-440
+400
-475
+10-108
-10-105
+10-108
-10+100
10
34
-0.22149-0.21680-0.21816
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
55.2%
44.8%
-155
+145
-155
+140
-3+100
+3-108
-3+105
+3-110
9
32
-0.91198-0.89968-0.80243
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
20.5%
79.5%
+415
-510
+415
-485
+10-110
-9½-108
+10-110
-10+100
17
31
-0.20883-0.21042-0.22944
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
37.1%
62.9%
+145
-160
+152
-165
+3+102
-3-115
+3+110
-3-110
23
24
-0.50878-0.49307-0.46329
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
26.7%
73.3%
+305
-350
+320
-330
+7-103
-7-113
+7½-110
-7-110
48
32
-1.42312-1.44058-1.32129
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
39.7%
60.3%
+197
-225
+205
-222
+4½-105
-4½-105
+5-105
-4½-110
7
26
-0.39632-0.38904-0.50584
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans
52.7%
47.3%
-136
+120
-132
+120
-2-108
+2+100
-2-105
+2½-110
14
45
-0.81880-0.81171-0.74788
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
51.3%
48.7%
-144
+130
-145
+128
-2½-108
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+100
21
14
-0.55199-0.55450-0.66715
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
28.1%
71.9%
+160
-175
+160
-175
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½-110
13
12
-0.97625-0.97625-1.27068
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
47.5%
52.5%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-120
14
27
-0.47678-0.47678-0.64474
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/28/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1San Francisco 49ers (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%56.8%
2Kansas City Chiefs (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%43.2%
3Baltimore Ravens (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Detroit Lions (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Green Bay Packers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Buffalo Bills (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Houston Texans (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Miami Dolphins (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Philadelphia Eagles (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Cleveland Browns (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Rams (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Dallas Cowboys (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Giants (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Denver Broncos (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New England Patriots (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18New Orleans Saints (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Chicago Bears (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Atlanta Falcons (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Jets (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Cincinnati Bengals (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (2-15-0)2.015.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Minnesota Vikings (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Seahawks (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Los Angeles Chargers (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Tennessee Titans (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Indianapolis Colts (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Washington Commanders (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.