NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
Los Angeles Rams (1-4)
Unknown
Unknown
68.1%
31.9%
-157
+140
-155
+145
-3-108
+3-102
-3-110
+3+100
24.9
19.9
44.8
o48½-105
u48-108
o48-110
u48½-110
Games for Oct 23, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Baltimore Ravens (4-2)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2)
58.5%
41.5%
-210
+195
-220
+197
-4-108
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-108
46.2
o51-108
u51-108
o51-110
u51-110
3rd Q
02:57
27
10
Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)
Arizona Cardinals (2-4)
57.2%
42.8%
-120
+105
-114
+105
-1-110
+1½-108
-1-108
+1½-110
42.0
o44½-108
u45-110
o44½-110
u45-110
TIME
HALF
6
7

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
47.0%
53.0%
-145
+142
-150
+140
-2½-118
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+100
15
37
-0.88882-0.89199-0.63561
Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers
47.7%
52.3%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+2½-102
-2½-108
+2½+104
-2½-110
28
18
-0.85918-0.87165-0.74030
Carolina Panthers
Washington Commanders
24.6%
75.4%
+425
-525
+450
-500
+10½-108
-10½-105
+10+100
-10-110
7
40
-0.20438-0.19737-0.28215
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Rams
31.5%
68.5%
+285
-330
+296
-300
+7-105
-7-108
+7+104
-7-110
15
20
-0.29152-0.29021-0.37775
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
63.6%
36.4%
-160
+145
-159
+150
-3-108
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
28
3
-0.50878-0.50173-0.45251
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
52.5%
47.5%
+115
-115
+110
-120
+2-108
-1½+100
+2-108
-1½-110
31
29
-0.76546-0.76336-0.64508
Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts
44.7%
55.3%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-118
-3+106
+3-120
-2½-110
10
16
-0.55080-0.54173-0.59173
Houston Texans
Green Bay Packers
46.8%
53.2%
+155
-165
+160
-170
+3+105
-3-118
+3½-110
-3-115
22
24
-0.48848-0.47678-0.63100
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
64.1%
35.9%
-229
+205
-225
+210
-5-105
+5½-108
-5-108
+6-110
21
14
-0.38597-0.38251-0.44538
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-460
+400
-450
+9½-108
-9-110
+9½-110
-9-108
10
34
-0.21791-0.21869-0.21802
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
40.5%
59.5%
+145
-160
+144
-155
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3+100
34
14
-0.91937-0.90951-0.90345
New England Patriots
Jacksonville Jaguars
30.4%
69.6%
+270
-310
+288
-320
+7-115
-6½-108
+7-105
-6½-115
16
32
-0.30562-0.29138-0.36177
Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints
52.7%
47.3%
-145
+130
-147
+135
-3+102
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-110
33
10
-0.55080-0.53941-0.63970
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
60.3%
39.7%
-115
+100
-115
+105
-1-105
+1-108
-1-108
+1½-110
23
20
-0.66000-0.64814-0.50639
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Giants
60.3%
39.7%
-210
+190
-200
+195
-4-110
+4+100
-4-108
+4+100
17
7
-0.41146-0.41110-0.50504
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys
63.9%
36.1%
-185
+169
-200
+180
-3½-107
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½-105
47
9
-0.45279-0.42898-0.44735
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.53362 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.52895 
DRatings1311-2 (0.846)0-0.53265
0.00097
-0.00370

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/14/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (5-0-0)13.73.30.099.1%89.7%61.2%43.3%24.4%
2Minnesota Vikings (5-0-0)12.94.10.094.5%55.4%45.7%25.0%13.0%
3Detroit Lions (4-1-0)11.65.40.083.8%30.9%23.7%19.8%10.9%
4Baltimore Ravens (4-2-0)11.65.40.094.3%72.4%13.5%18.7%10.1%
5Houston Texans (5-1-0)11.45.60.092.0%83.1%13.3%13.2%6.6%
6San Francisco 49ers (3-3-0)9.87.20.069.1%62.0%1.9%10.6%5.4%
7Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2-0)10.76.30.076.5%55.9%6.0%10.0%4.7%
8Buffalo Bills (4-2-0)10.66.40.085.0%71.5%5.9%8.1%3.7%
9Green Bay Packers (4-2-0)10.07.00.057.2%9.6%6.7%7.1%3.6%
10Atlanta Falcons (4-2-0)10.16.90.064.0%36.3%5.3%6.3%2.7%
11Philadelphia Eagles (3-2-0)10.07.00.060.2%45.3%4.2%4.9%2.0%
12Washington Commanders (4-2-0)9.77.30.054.4%35.5%2.7%4.2%1.8%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2-0)9.47.60.063.6%20.6%1.7%4.3%1.6%
14Dallas Cowboys (3-3-0)8.48.60.029.7%16.5%0.6%3.2%1.4%
15Cincinnati Bengals (2-4-0)8.18.90.040.5%6.5%0.2%2.9%1.2%
16Miami Dolphins (2-3-0)8.18.90.040.7%16.4%0.7%2.2%1.1%
17Los Angeles Chargers (3-2-0)9.67.40.065.9%8.1%3.1%2.8%1.0%
18Seattle Seahawks (3-3-0)7.99.10.027.3%20.4%0.6%2.2%0.9%
19New Orleans Saints (2-4-0)7.89.20.020.3%7.7%0.1%2.1%0.8%
20Chicago Bears (4-2-0)8.78.30.032.5%4.1%2.4%2.0%0.8%
21Indianapolis Colts (3-3-0)8.28.80.041.1%13.2%0.3%2.1%0.7%
22Los Angeles Rams (1-4-0)6.510.50.010.8%8.1%0.1%1.2%0.4%
23Denver Broncos (3-3-0)7.79.30.030.8%2.0%0.1%0.8%0.3%
24New York Jets (2-4-0)7.49.60.026.7%11.5%0.0%0.9%0.3%
25New York Giants (2-4-0)6.410.60.06.3%2.7%0.0%0.6%0.3%
26Arizona Cardinals (2-4-0)6.810.20.013.1%9.5%0.0%0.7%0.2%
27New England Patriots (1-5-0)4.412.60.02.6%0.6%0.0%0.3%0.1%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-4-0)5.411.60.04.7%0.2%0.0%0.2%0.1%
29Tennessee Titans (1-4-0)5.311.70.05.5%2.5%0.0%0.1%0.0%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5-0)5.411.60.05.8%1.2%0.0%0.1%0.0%
31Cleveland Browns (1-5-0)4.412.70.01.7%0.5%0.0%0.1%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (1-5-0)3.913.10.00.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.