NFL Football Predictions


The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. Unlike some of our other prediction systems, our ratings system for the NFL does account for all significant injuries. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. Below, we list the NFL money line odds from Bovada, 5Dimes and BetOnline. Below, you will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more. Toward the bottom of this page, one can find information on season projections. This will be updated every week as the NFL season moves along.

Super Bowl NFL Score Predictions

Time Matchup Teams Lines – Updated 1/22 @ 11:11 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
2/5 Philadelphia vs New England Philadelphia
+178
+175
+200
39.4%
21.75
46.81
New England
-208
-210
-220
60.6%
25.05

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NFL Football Prediction Results

Last Week (Playoffs): Straight Up: 7-4 (63.6), Against The Spread: 9-1 (90.0%)
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 183-84 (68.5%), Against The Spread: 144-115 (55.6%)
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 175-90 (66.0%), Against The Spread: 117-145 (44.7%)
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 173-94 (64.8%), Against The Spread: 136-123 (52.5%)
2014-2015 Season: Straight Up: 173-92 (65.2%), Against The Spread: 135-125 (51.9%)
2013-2014 Season: Straight Up: 168-96 (63.6%), Against The Spread: 108-116 (48.2%)
2012-2013 Season: Straight Up: 59-31 (65.6%), Against The Spread: 46-35 (56.8%)

A full history of our NFL picks against the spread can be found at ThePredictionTracker. Our results are based upon the midweek line for each game. There is only partial results from the 2012-2013 season as we started late in the campaign.

2018-2019 NFL Football Futures

Below are the computer simulated results based on 1,000 simulations of the rest of the NFL season. One will find expected win total for all the NFL teams, the probability of winning their division, the probability of winning their conference and the probability of winning the Super Bowl. These odds will change and be updated as the season progresses.

Last simulation was done on 8/13/2018.

NFL Teams Expected Win Total and Odds to Win Division

AFC East Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Buffalo
0
0
0
6.7
9.3
5.7%
+1654
Miami
0
0
0
6.7
9.3
6.5%
+1438
NY Jets
0
0
0
5.8
10.2
2.5%
+3900
New England
0
0
0
11.4
4.6
85.3%
-580
AFC North Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Baltimore
0
0
0
8.6
7.4
25.3%
+295
Cincinnati
0
0
0
6.4
9.6
7.5%
+1233
Cleveland
0
0
0
5.1
10.9
2.3%
+4248
Pittsburgh
0
0
0
10.1
5.9
64.9%
-185
AFC South Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Houston
0
0
0
7.3
8.7
16.7%
+499
Indianapolis
0
0
0
6.5
9.5
11.3%
+785
Jacksonville
0
0
0
9
7
48.9%
+104
Tennessee
0
0
0
7.7
8.3
23.1%
+333
AFC West Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Denver
0
0
0
6.9
9.1
10.5%
+852
Kansas City
0
0
0
8.7
7.3
28.6%
+250
LA Chargers
0
0
0
9.2
6.8
40.7%
+146
Oakland
0
0
0
7.9
8.1
20.2%
+395
NFC East Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Dallas
0
0
0
8.4
7.6
23%
+335
NY Giants
0
0
0
6.7
9.3
7.1%
+1308
Philadelphia
0
0
0
10.3
5.7
60.1%
-151
Washington
0
0
0
7
9
9.8%
+920
NFC North Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Chicago
0
0
0
6.7
9.3
6.7%
+1393
Detroit
0
0
0
7.8
8.2
14.3%
+599
Green Bay
0
0
0
9.1
6.9
31.1%
+222
Minnesota
0
0
0
10
6
47.9%
+109
NFC South Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Atlanta
0
0
0
9.5
6.5
31.3%
+219
Carolina
0
0
0
8.7
7.3
20.8%
+381
New Orleans
0
0
0
10
6
43.4%
+130
Tampa Bay
0
0
0
6.3
9.7
4.5%
+2122
NFC West Wins Losses Ties Proj Wins Proj Losses Prob to Win Division ML on Winning Div
Arizona
0
0
0
6.2
9.8
7.1%
+1308
LA Rams
0
0
0
9.6
6.4
48.9%
+104
San Francisco
0
0
0
7.8
8.2
20.5%
+388
Seattle
0
0
0
7.9
8.1
23.5%
+326

The table above shows projected wins, losses, and chances to win the division and is updated on a weekly basis.

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NFL Teams Probability to Make Playoffs, Win Conference, and Win Super Bowl

AFC East Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Buffalo
18.2%
+449
1.8%
+5456
1%
+9900
Miami
19.2%
+421
1.2%
+8233
0.4%
+24900
NY Jets
8.6%
+1063
0.1%
+99900
0%
No Odds
New England
92%
-1150
36.4%
+175
18.3%
+446
AFC North Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Baltimore
49.1%
+104
5.9%
+1595
3.5%
+2757
Cincinnati
17.5%
+471
1.4%
+7043
0.6%
+16567
Cleveland
5.6%
+1686
0.1%
+99900
0.1%
+99900
Pittsburgh
78.6%
-367
18.2%
+449
8.2%
+1120
AFC South Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Houston
26.7%
+275
2.2%
+4445
0.9%
+11011
Indianapolis
18.4%
+443
0.8%
+12400
0.3%
+33233
Jacksonville
62.6%
-167
9%
+1011
4.2%
+2281
Tennessee
35.7%
+180
3.3%
+2930
1%
+9900
AFC West Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Denver
21.9%
+357
1.1%
+8991
0.5%
+19900
Kansas City
49.2%
+103
6.5%
+1438
2.9%
+3348
LA Chargers
59.8%
-149
8.9%
+1024
4.6%
+2074
Oakland
36.9%
+171
3.1%
+3126
1.3%
+7592
NFC East Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Dallas
36.3%
+175
4.1%
+2339
1.6%
+6150
NY Giants
13.8%
+625
1.4%
+7043
0.7%
+14186
Philadelphia
73.7%
-280
16.4%
+510
9.8%
+920
Washington
17.2%
+481
1%
+9900
0.3%
+33233
NFC North Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Chicago
15.6%
+541
0.8%
+12400
0.4%
+24900
Detroit
27.4%
+265
3.6%
+2678
1.5%
+6567
Green Bay
49.4%
+102
7.6%
+1216
3.5%
+2757
Minnesota
66.3%
-197
14.7%
+580
7.9%
+1166
NFC South Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Atlanta
54.9%
-122
9.4%
+964
4.8%
+1983
Carolina
38.6%
+159
5.9%
+1595
2.8%
+3471
New Orleans
63.9%
-177
15.9%
+529
9.4%
+964
Tampa Bay
10.1%
+890
1%
+9900
0.6%
+16567
NFC West Playoff % ML Playoffs Conf Win % ML Conf Win Super Bowl Win % ML on Winning SB
Arizona
10.7%
+835
0.8%
+12400
0.1%
+99900
LA Rams
60.8%
-155
11.1%
+801
5.5%
+1718
San Francisco
28.2%
+255
3.1%
+3126
1.6%
+6150
Seattle
33.1%
+202
3.2%
+3025
1.7%
+5782

The table above shows the simulated projections for every team to make the playoffs, win their conference and win the Super Bowl. These simulations follow all of the correct NFL playoff rules.


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NFL Win Total Projections Through the Season

Team Preseason Week 5 Week 7 Week 9 Week 11 Week 13 Week 15 Week 17 Diff
Buffalo
6.7
0
Miami
6.7
0
NY Jets
5.8
0
New England
11.4
0
Baltimore
8.6
0
Cincinnati
6.4
0
Cleveland
5.1
0
Pittsburgh
10.1
0
Houston
7.3
0
Indianapolis
6.5
0
Jacksonville
9
0
Tennessee
7.7
0
Denver
6.9
0
Kansas City
8.7
0
LA Chargers
9.2
0
Oakland
7.9
0
Dallas
8.4
0
NY Giants
6.7
0
Philadelphia
10.3
0
Washington
7
0
Chicago
6.7
0
Detroit
7.8
0
Green Bay
9.1
0
Minnesota
10
0
Atlanta
9.5
0
Carolina
8.7
0
New Orleans
10
0
Tampa Bay
6.3
0
Arizona
6.2
0
LA Rams
9.6
0
San Francisco
7.8
0
Seattle
7.9
0

This table shows our projection of each NFL team’s win total over time. We will update these values in the preseason and then once every two weeks during the season.