The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. Unlike some of our other prediction systems, our ratings system for the NFL does account for all significant injuries. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our
disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. Below, we list the NFL money line odds from Bovada, 5Dimes and BetOnline. Below, you will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more. Toward the bottom of this page, one can find information on season projections. This will be updated every week as the NFL season moves along.
Week 7 NFL Score Predictions
| Time |
Matchup |
Teams |
Lines – Updated 10/15 @ 10:40 am |
Odds to Win |
Score Prediction |
Total Points |
 |
 |
 |
| 10/17 |
Kansas City at Denver |
Kansas City |
-180 |
-190 |
-185 |
52.4% |
27.19 |
53.35 |
| Denver |
+160 |
+165 |
+170 |
47.6% |
26.16 |
| 10/20 |
LA Rams at Atlanta |
LA Rams |
-155 |
-160 |
-150 |
66.8% |
28.79 |
52.96 |
| Atlanta |
+135 |
+140 |
+140 |
33.2% |
24.16 |
| 10/20 |
Miami at Buffalo |
Miami |
+800 |
+650 |
+900 |
10.8% |
9.934 |
37.73 |
| Buffalo |
-1150 |
-1100 |
-1100 |
89.2% |
27.80 |
| 10/20 |
Jacksonville at Cincinnati |
Jacksonville |
-165 |
-170 |
-168 |
52.2% |
18.63 |
36.33 |
| Cincinnati |
+145 |
+150 |
+158 |
47.8% |
17.70 |
| 10/20 |
Minnesota at Detroit |
Minnesota |
+100 |
-105 |
-105 |
55.3% |
24.58 |
47.04 |
| Detroit |
-120 |
-115 |
-105 |
44.7% |
22.45 |
| 10/20 |
Oakland at Green Bay |
Oakland |
+225 |
+230 |
+248 |
30.4% |
19.36 |
44.88 |
| Green Bay |
-265 |
-280 |
-265 |
69.6% |
25.52 |
| 10/20 |
Houston at Indianapolis |
Houston |
-101 |
-105 |
+103 |
52.2% |
24.43 |
47.93 |
| Indianapolis |
-119 |
-115 |
-113 |
47.8% |
23.49 |
| 10/20 |
Arizona at NY Giants |
Arizona |
+140 |
+130 |
+135 |
33.8% |
20.11 |
44.58 |
| NY Giants |
-160 |
-150 |
-145 |
66.2% |
24.47 |
| 10/20 |
San Francisco at Washington |
San Francisco |
-420 |
-500 |
-420 |
84.6% |
29.48 |
43.83 |
| Washington |
+350 |
+350 |
+375 |
15.4% |
14.34 |
| 10/20 |
LA Chargers at Tennessee |
LA Chargers |
+110 |
+110 |
+115 |
45% |
16.45 |
34.87 |
| Tennessee |
-130 |
-130 |
-125 |
55% |
18.41 |
| 10/20 |
New Orleans at Chicago |
New Orleans |
+153 |
+155 |
+155 |
31.4% |
20.92 |
47.01 |
| Chicago |
-173 |
-175 |
-165 |
68.6% |
26.08 |
| 10/20 |
Baltimore at Seattle |
Baltimore |
+160 |
+160 |
+165 |
31.1% |
22.00 |
49.26 |
| Seattle |
-180 |
-180 |
-175 |
68.9% |
27.26 |
| 10/20 |
Philadelphia at Dallas |
Philadelphia |
+130 |
+130 |
+135 |
37.5% |
23.57 |
50.51 |
| Dallas |
-150 |
-150 |
-145 |
62.5% |
26.94 |
| 10/21 |
New England at NY Jets |
New England |
-430 |
-480 |
-420 |
89.4% |
36.32 |
53.02 |
| NY Jets |
+355 |
+340 |
+375 |
10.6% |
16.69 |
Recent NFL Game Prediction Results
| Date |
Teams |
SB Consensus |
DRatings Odds to Win1 |
Final Score |
Sportsbook Log Loss |
DRatings Log Loss |
| 10/10 |
NY Giants |
+850 |
0.127 |
14 |
-0.10641 |
-0.13582 |
| New England |
-1500 |
0.873 |
35 |
| 10/13 |
Carolina |
-130 |
0.519 |
37 |
-0.61112 |
-0.65585 |
| Tampa Bay |
+110 |
0.481 |
26 |
| 10/13 |
Cincinnati |
+430 |
0.222 |
17 |
-0.20129 |
-0.25103 |
| Baltimore |
-550 |
0.778 |
23 |
| 10/13 |
Seattle |
-102 |
0.531 |
32 |
-0.71601 |
-0.63299 |
| Cleveland |
-112 |
0.469 |
28 |
| 10/13 |
Houston |
+166 |
0.305 |
31 |
-1.0135 |
-1.18744 |
| Kansas City |
-194 |
0.695 |
24 |
| 10/13 |
New Orleans |
+126 |
0.514 |
13 |
-0.84749 |
-0.66553 |
| Jacksonville |
-144 |
0.486 |
6 |
| 10/13 |
Philadelphia |
+156 |
0.304 |
20 |
-0.47477 |
-0.36241 |
| Minnesota |
-180 |
0.696 |
38 |
| 10/13 |
Washington |
-260 |
0.544 |
17 |
-0.35956 |
-0.60881 |
| Miami |
+220 |
0.456 |
16 |
| 10/13 |
San Francisco |
+150 |
0.441 |
20 |
-0.95073 |
-0.81871 |
| LA Rams |
-174 |
0.559 |
7 |
| 10/13 |
Atlanta |
-164 |
0.507 |
33 |
-0.91762 |
-0.70725 |
| Arizona |
+142 |
0.493 |
34 |
| 10/13 |
Dallas |
-320 |
0.79 |
22 |
-1.34 |
-1.56065 |
| NY Jets |
+270 |
0.21 |
24 |
| 10/13 |
Tennessee |
+102 |
0.498 |
0 |
-0.65327 |
-0.68916 |
| Denver |
-116 |
0.502 |
16 |
| 10/13 |
Pittsburgh |
+215 |
0.317 |
24 |
-1.17865 |
-1.14885 |
| LA Chargers |
-250 |
0.683 |
17 |
| 10/14 |
Detroit |
+170 |
0.303 |
22 |
-0.44183 |
-0.36097 |
| Green Bay |
-200 |
0.697 |
23 |
Above are our results from each game last week between NFL opponents. To find the Log Loss of the sportsbook pick, we translate the final money line into relative odds to win and then do the calculation.
1 The values used are based on the last available projection.
NFL Season Prediction Results
Games from Yesterday – 10/14
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Consensus |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-0.44183 |
| DRatings |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
-0.36097 |
Last Week
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Consensus |
14 |
7 |
7 |
0 |
0.5 |
-0.70088 |
| DRatings |
14 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0.643 |
-0.69896 |
Last Month
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Consensus |
60 |
32 |
27 |
1 |
0.542 |
-0.68301 |
| DRatings |
60 |
35 |
24 |
1 |
0.592 |
-0.69375 |
All Time
|
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
No Pick |
Win Pct. |
Log Loss |
| Consensus |
359 |
222 |
129 |
8 |
0.63 |
-0.62087 |
| DRatings |
359 |
226 |
128 |
5 |
0.636 |
-0.62896 |
The table listed above shows how our projections have done against the Sportsbook Consensus. The idea is to test our probabilities of victory for each team against the sportsbooks. Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, a tie occurs in the game, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Attempting to explain Log Loss is a little complicated, but in a nutshell, the lower number is better. For more information in the examination of this creiteria, see: Making Sense of Log Loss.
2019-2020 NFL Football Futures
Below are the computer simulated results based on 1,000 simulations of the rest of the NFL season. One will find expected win total for all the NFL teams, the probability of winning their division, the probability of winning their conference and the probability of winning the Super Bowl. These odds will change and be updated as the season progresses.
NFL Teams Expected Win Total and Odds to Win Division
| AFC East | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Buffalo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 11.7% | +755 |
| Miami | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.3 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| NY Jets | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| New England | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 88.3% | -755 |
| AFC North | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Baltimore | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 55.1% | -123 |
| Cincinnati | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.6 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.5% | +19900 |
| Cleveland | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 20.6% | +385 |
| Pittsburgh | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 23.8% | +320 |
| AFC South | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Houston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9.8 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 54.9% | -122 |
| Indianapolis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 34.8% | +187 |
| Jacksonville | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 5.3% | +1787 |
| Tennessee | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.4 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 5.0% | +1900 |
| AFC West | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Denver | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 4.3% | +2226 |
| Kansas City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 54.7% | -121 |
| LA Chargers | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 4.4% | +2173 |
| Oakland | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 36.6% | +173 |
| NFC East | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Dallas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 34.7% | +188 |
| NY Giants | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 15.1% | +562 |
| Philadelphia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 50.0% | -100 |
| Washington | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3.6 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.2% | +49900 |
| NFC North | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Chicago | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9.4 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 17.7% | +465 |
| Detroit | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8.1 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 7.5% | +1233 |
| Green Bay | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 43.8% | +128 |
| Minnesota | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 31.0% | +223 |
| NFC South | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Atlanta | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| Carolina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9.4 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 28.6% | +250 |
| New Orleans | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 67.9% | -212 |
| Tampa Bay | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 3.1% | +3126 |
| NFC West | Wins | Losses | Ties | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Proj Ties | To Win Division | ML on Winning Div |
| Arizona | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| LA Rams | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 3.4% | +2841 |
| San Francisco | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 76.5% | -326 |
| Seattle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 20.1% | +398 |
The table above shows projected wins, losses, and chances to win the division and is updated on a weekly basis.
NFL Teams Probability to Make Playoffs, Win Conference, and Win Super Bowl
| AFC | Team | Playoff % | ML Playoffs | Conf Win % | ML Conf Win | Super Bowl Win % | ML on Winning SB |
| AFC East | Buffalo | 86.5% | +755 | 7.7% | +1199 | 2.8% | +3471 |
| AFC East | Miami | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| AFC East | NY Jets | 2.8% | No Odds | 0.1% | +99900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| AFC East | New England | 99.8% | -755 | 50.5% | -102 | 35.7% | +180 |
| AFC North | Baltimore | 60.6% | -123 | 5.6% | +1686 | 2.5% | +3900 |
| AFC North | Cincinnati | 0.6% | +19900 | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| AFC North | Cleveland | 25.3% | +385 | 1.6% | +6150 | 0.3% | +33233 |
| AFC North | Pittsburgh | 30.1% | +320 | 1.6% | +6150 | 0.6% | +16567 |
| AFC South | Houston | 72.4% | -122 | 10.5% | +852 | 3.8% | +2532 |
| AFC South | Indianapolis | 58.9% | +187 | 5.8% | +1624 | 1.7% | +5782 |
| AFC South | Jacksonville | 13.8% | +1787 | 1.2% | +8233 | 0.2% | +49900 |
| AFC South | Tennessee | 11.6% | +1900 | 1.0% | +9900 | 0.4% | +24900 |
| AFC West | Denver | 7.7% | +2226 | 0.4% | +24900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| AFC West | Kansas City | 68.7% | -121 | 9.6% | +942 | 3.5% | +2757 |
| AFC West | LA Chargers | 7.7% | +2173 | 0.2% | +49900 | 0.0% | No Odds |
| AFC West | Oakland | 53.5% | +173 | 4.2% | +2281 | 1.1% | +8991 |
| NFC | Team | Playoff % | ML Playoffs | Conf Win % | ML Conf Win | Super Bowl Win % | ML on Winning SB |
| NFC East | Dallas | 35.9% | +188 | 2.2% | +4445 | 0.6% | +16567 |
| NFC East | NY Giants | 15.5% | +562 | 0.5% | +19900 | 0.2% | +49900 |
| NFC East | Philadelphia | 50.7% | -100 | 2.1% | +4662 | 0.7% | +14186 |
| NFC East | Washington | 0.2% | +49900 | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| NFC North | Chicago | 37.9% | +465 | 5.9% | +1595 | 2.4% | +4067 |
| NFC North | Detroit | 17.2% | +1233 | 2.0% | +4900 | 1.0% | +9900 |
| NFC North | Green Bay | 65.8% | +128 | 12.6% | +694 | 5.0% | +1900 |
| NFC North | Minnesota | 57.0% | +223 | 9.5% | +953 | 4.6% | +2074 |
| NFC South | Atlanta | 0.6% | +24900 | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| NFC South | Carolina | 43.3% | +250 | 6.6% | +1415 | 2.6% | +3746 |
| NFC South | New Orleans | 76.5% | -212 | 12.0% | +733 | 5.3% | +1787 |
| NFC South | Tampa Bay | 6.9% | +3126 | 0.4% | +24900 | 0.2% | +49900 |
| NFC West | Arizona | 0.3% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds | 0.0% | No Odds |
| NFC West | LA Rams | 30.7% | +2841 | 2.3% | +4248 | 1.1% | +8991 |
| NFC West | San Francisco | 95.2% | -326 | 35.8% | +179 | 20.6% | +385 |
| NFC West | Seattle | 66.3% | +398 | 8.1% | +1135 | 3.1% | +3126 |
The table above shows the simulated projections for every team to make the playoffs, win their conference and win the Super Bowl. These simulations follow all of the correct NFL playoff rules.
