NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (9-3)
Detroit Lions (11-1)
Jordan Love
Jared Goff
31.0%
69.0%
+160
-175
+165
-177
+3½-113
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3-120
22.5
27.8
50.3
o51½-105
u51½-108
o51½-110
u52-110
Games for Dec 4, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
30.6%
69.4%
+235
-250
+260
-265
+6-108
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-108
32
41
-0.34919-0.32397-0.36492
San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills
25.4%
74.6%
+270
-290
+280
-300
+6½-108
-6½+100
+6½-108
-6½-108
10
35
-0.31004-0.30075-0.29322
Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens
38.1%
61.9%
+145
-150
+145
-160
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
24
19
-0.90421-0.91937-0.96496
Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints
55.4%
44.6%
-135
+140
-140
+135
-3+102
+3-110
-2½-110
+3-110
21
14
-0.54540-0.54782-0.58989
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
72.9%
27.1%
-275
+260
-290
+270
-6½-108
+7-115
-6½-110
+6½+100
26
23
-0.32121-0.31004-0.31599
Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets
49.6%
50.4%
+110
-120
+110
-120
+2-108
-1½-105
+2-108
-1-110
26
21
-0.76336-0.76336-0.70043
Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings
33.9%
66.1%
+167
-170
+170
-175
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½+100
22
23
-0.46678-0.45869-0.41385
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
69.2%
30.8%
-165
+155
-165
+150
-3-115
+3+102
-3-110
+3+100
23
20
-0.48848-0.49617-0.36771
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
63.2%
36.8%
-130
+115
-125
+120
-2-110
+2½-108
-1½-110
+2½-110
25
24
-0.60042-0.59784-0.45918
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
43.2%
56.8%
+150
-165
+145
-160
+3+100
-3-108
+3-108
-3-108
44
38
-0.93869-0.91937-0.83908
Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons
49.3%
50.7%
-115
-105
-108
+100
+0-108
-1+100
+0-108
+1-110
17
13
-0.67172-0.67446-0.70650
Tennessee Titans
Washington Commanders
31.3%
68.7%
+220
-255
+220
-245
+6-108
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
19
42
-0.36120-0.36468-0.37517
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
10.8%
89.2%
+582
-775
+630
-850
+14-115
-13½-108
+14-110
-13½-110
17
19
-0.15320-0.14246-0.11414
Miami Dolphins
Green Bay Packers
35.6%
64.4%
+165
-165
+160
-175
+3+102
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+105
17
30
-0.47379-0.47276-0.44029
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
39.4%
60.6%
+185
-215
+200
-225
+4-103
-4-108
+4-105
-4-105
20
27
-0.41480-0.39304-0.50096
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
11.5%
88.5%
+415
-435
+400
-430
+9+100
-10+102
+9½+100
-9½-110
20
23
-0.21415-0.22035-0.12250
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1613-3 (0.812)0-0.49854 
Sportsbooks1613-3 (0.812)0-0.49407 
DRatings1612-4 (0.750)0-0.47305
0.02549
0.02102

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/02/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (11-1-0)14.62.40.0100.0%77.7%62.5%44.1%28.1%
2Buffalo Bills (10-2-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%33.1%38.2%19.2%
3Kansas City Chiefs (11-1-0)14.32.70.0100.0%95.4%63.8%32.0%14.8%
4Philadelphia Eagles (10-2-0)13.83.20.0100.0%98.4%24.7%18.1%8.7%
5Minnesota Vikings (10-2-0)13.04.00.099.9%16.2%10.2%13.8%6.9%
6Green Bay Packers (9-3-0)12.14.90.098.9%6.1%2.6%12.9%6.9%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-5-0)10.96.10.096.1%38.4%0.1%9.4%3.9%
8Houston Texans (8-5-0)10.07.00.087.0%83.8%0.0%5.4%2.1%
9Los Angeles Chargers (8-4-0)11.25.80.096.6%4.2%0.8%5.1%1.7%
10Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3-0)11.45.60.097.9%61.6%2.2%5.0%1.6%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-6-0)9.17.90.042.7%37.8%0.0%2.6%1.0%
12Miami Dolphins (5-7-0)8.28.80.013.4%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.8%
13Denver Broncos (8-5-0)10.07.00.078.5%0.4%0.0%2.1%0.8%
14Washington Commanders (8-5-0)10.26.80.075.5%1.6%0.0%1.8%0.7%
15Seattle Seahawks (7-5-0)9.37.70.046.7%42.4%0.0%2.0%0.7%
16Los Angeles Rams (6-6-0)8.38.70.019.3%16.0%0.0%1.6%0.7%
17Atlanta Falcons (6-6-0)9.08.00.057.8%53.9%0.0%1.8%0.5%
18Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6-0)8.88.20.048.9%44.4%0.0%1.3%0.3%
19Indianapolis Colts (6-7-0)8.48.60.028.3%15.8%0.0%1.1%0.3%
20San Francisco 49ers (5-7-0)7.39.70.04.8%3.8%0.0%0.1%0.0%
21New Orleans Saints (4-8-0)6.310.70.01.9%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Dallas Cowboys (5-7-0)7.39.70.03.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Cincinnati Bengals (4-8-0)6.410.60.01.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Las Vegas Raiders (2-10-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New York Jets (3-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-10-0)3.113.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New England Patriots (3-10-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Chicago Bears (4-8-0)5.211.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Cleveland Browns (3-9-0)4.412.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Tennessee Titans (3-9-0)5.311.70.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.