UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 1, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dustin Poirier
Islam Makhachev
22.8%
77.2%
+375
-450
+400
-500
Paulo Costa
Sean Strickland
43.8%
56.2%
+176
-180
+180
-210
Volatility Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Randy Brown
49.2%
50.8%
+130
-145
+120
-140
Roman Kopylov
Cesar Almeida
60.6%
39.4%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Alex Morono
Niko Price
60.1%
39.9%
-235
+220
-250
+210
Alexandr Romanov
Jailton Almeida
29.9%
70.1%
+245
-285
+240
-280
Bassil Hafez
Mickey Gall
69.3%
30.7%
-240
+225
-275
+230
Jake Matthews
Philip Rowe
56.5%
43.5%
-155
+145
-155
+140
Joe Solecki
Grant Dawson
26.4%
73.6%
+265
-300
+260
-320
Joselyne Edwards
Ailin Perez
36.2%
63.8%
+220
-260
+210
-260
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Kevin Holland
37.0%
63.0%
+190
-240
+190
-240
Fights for May 31, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Lerone Murphy
Edson Barboza
55.0%
45.0%
-145
+140
-150
+142
Win
Loss
-0.53299-0.52396-0.59782
Carlston Harris
Khaos Williams
44.6%
55.4%
+105
-123
+105
-108
Loss
Win
-0.63360-0.66240-0.59021
Ramiz Brahimaj
Themba Gorimbo
45.1%
54.9%
+110
-120
+110
-120
Loss
Win
-0.62755-0.62755-0.60039
Vinicius Salvador
Adrian Yanez
28.0%
72.0%
+385
-475
+455
-400
Loss
Win
-0.22282-0.20312-0.32807
Angela Hill
Luana Pinheiro
45.3%
54.7%
-130
+120
-130
+120
Win
Loss
-0.59012-0.59012-0.79266
Tom Nolan
Victor Martinez
76.6%
23.4%
-515
+445
-475
+455
Win
Loss
-0.19813-0.19731-0.26631
Tuco Tokkos
Oumar Sy
26.9%
73.1%
+435
-555
+425
-500
Loss
Win
-0.19934-0.20586-0.31353
Melissa Gatto
Tamires Vidal
69.9%
30.1%
-400
+310
-380
+320
Win
Loss
-0.26610-0.26295-0.35796
Warlley Alves
Abus Magomedov
36.8%
63.2%
+275
-315
+260
-300
Loss
Win
-0.30109-0.31508-0.45917
Ariane Carnelossi
Piera Rodriguez
26.4%
73.6%
+185
-220
+190
-200
Win
Loss
-1.08498-1.07614-1.33340
Kleydson Rodrigues
Heili Alateng
54.1%
45.9%
-160
+145
-150
+145
Loss
Win
-0.91937-0.90421-0.77851
Emily Ducote
Vanessa Demopoulos
62.3%
37.7%
-350
+325
-360
+310
Loss
Win
-1.45994-1.43717-0.97532
Rodrigo Nascimento
Derrick Lewis
45.6%
54.4%
+150
-155
+145
-160
Loss
Win
-0.50566-0.50878-0.60829
Nursulton Ruziboev
Joaquin Buckley
34.6%
65.4%
+115
-133
+125
-130
Loss
Win
-0.59598-0.58016-0.42529
Carlos Ulberg
Alonzo Menifield
72.5%
27.5%
-250
+220
-265
+240
Win
Loss
-0.36291-0.34011-0.32169
Mateusz Rebecki
Diego Ferreira
66.7%
33.3%
-405
+350
-350
+320
Loss
Win
-1.52800-1.45081-1.09997
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.58634 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.58382 
DRatings128-4 (0.667)0-0.61611
-0.02978
-0.03229

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.