UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 19, 2021

TimeFightersWinBest
Line

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chan Sung Jung (16-6)
Dan Ige (15-3)
54.3%
45.7%
-110
-110
-105
-110
Tyson Nam (20-12)
Tagir Ulanbekov (13-1)
30.0%
70.0%
+245
-310

Davey Grant (13-4)
Marlon Vera (16-7)
19.2%
80.8%
+172
-202
+190
-200
Kanako Murata (12-1)
Virna Jandiroba (16-2)
34.0%
66.0%
+115
-135
+115
-135
Roque Martinez (15-7)
Josh Parisian (13-4)
41.3%
58.7%
+114
-134
+120
-135
Wellington Turman (16-4)
Bruno Silva (11-5)
45.8%
54.2%
+116
-136
+125
-140
Julian Erosa (25-9)
SeungWoo Choi (9-3)
46.8%
53.2%
+122
-142
+128
-135
Casey O'Neill (6-0)
Lara Procopio (7-1)
33.6%
66.4%
+130
-150
+135
-150
Nicolae Negumereanu (9-1)
Aleksa Camur (6-1)
40.2%
59.8%
+205
-240
+215
-250
Matthew Semelsberger (8-2)
Khaos Williams (11-2)
29.1%
70.9%
+135
-155
+140
-155
Matt Brown (24-18)
Dhiego Lima (17-8)
42.1%
57.9%
+145
-170
+150
-168
Fights for Jun 18, 2021

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
Line
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Marvin Vettori
Israel Adesanya
20.3%
79.7%
+220
-225
+205
-220
Loss
Win
-0.37251-0.38995-0.22709
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo
26.2%
73.8%
+182
-190
+175
-190
Win
Loss
-1.04646-1.03022-1.34075
Nate Diaz
Leon Edwards
29.7%
70.3%
+385
-500
+375
-420
Loss
Win
-0.22108-0.23163-0.35273
Demian Maia
Belal Muhammad
30.7%
69.3%
+204
-205
+185
-210
Loss
Win
-0.39839-0.41737-0.36678
Paul Craig
Jamahal Hill
33.0%
67.0%
+217
-257
+220
-250
Win
Loss
-1.18846-1.18958-1.10975
Drew Dober
Brad Riddell
59.7%
40.3%
-145
+129
-145
+130
Loss
Win
-0.85668-0.85918-0.90877
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.65493 
Sportsbooks147-6 (0.536)1-0.65570 
DRatings149-4 (0.679)1-0.66019
-0.00526
-0.00449

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.