UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 15, 2022

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Viviane Araujo
Alexa Grasso 		40.8%
59.2%
+169
-190
+175
-200
Brandon Royval
Askar Askarov 		34.1%
65.9%
+190
-200
+195
-210
Daniel Rodriguez
Neil Magny 		55.5%
44.5%
+102
-120
+100
-115
Cub Swanson
Jonathan Martinez 		60.6%
39.4%
+180
-190
+170
-185
Raphael Assuncao
Victor Henry 		44.7%
55.3%
+270
-305
+270
-320
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield 		34.7%
65.3%
+180
-200
+190
-220
Jacob Malkoun
Nick Maximov 		34.3%
65.7%
+131
-145
+125
-135
Brandon Davis
Mana Martinez 		48.9%
51.1%
+128
-148
+130
-150
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic 		28.9%
71.1%
+170
-195
+170
-185
CJ Vergara
Tatsuro Taira 		24.0%
76.0%
+205
-240
+210
-235
Sam Hughes
Piera Rodriguez 		56.1%
43.9%
+163
-188
+170
-190
Mike Jackson
Pete Rodriguez 		19.0%
81.0%
+500
-565
+500
-650
Fights for Oct 14, 2022
Fights for Oct 22, 2022

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Yan Xiaonan
Mackenzie Dern		38.8%
61.2%
+226
-266
+235
-260
Win
Loss		-1.21470-1.22946-0.94629
Francisco Trinaldo
Randy Brown		28.0%
72.0%
+300
-340
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28030-0.29670-0.32805
Trevin Jones
Raoni Barcelos		25.5%
74.5%
+225
-250
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35820-0.37138-0.29417
Don Shainis
Sodiq Yusuff		9.6%
90.4%
+800
-910
+700
-1000
Loss
Win		-0.11629-0.12883-0.10118
Viacheslav Borshchev
Mike Davis		38.7%
61.3%
+161
-186
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46318-0.46561-0.48991
Daniel Santos
John Castaneda		43.8%
56.2%
+167
-190
+175
-185
Win
Loss		-1.01134-1.02427-0.82595
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.65804 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.66684 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.61830
0.03974
0.04854

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.