UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for March 29, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Muin Gafurov
Brandon Moreno
30.2%
69.8%
+205
-235
+200
-225
Drew Dober
Manuel Torres
49.8%
50.2%
-115
+105
-110
+100
Joe Pyfer
Kelvin Gastelum
67.7%
32.3%
-305
+245
-300
+260
Kevin Borjas
Ronaldo Rodriguez
44.6%
55.4%
+129
-149
+135
-140
Saimon Oliveira
David Martinez
30.0%
70.0%
+325
-415
+285
-330
CJ Vergara
Edgar Chairez
32.8%
67.2%
+223
-252
+215
-250
Ateba Gautier
Jose Medina
74.8%
25.2%
-420
+338
-400
+350
Julia Polastri
Loopy Godinez
28.5%
71.5%
+220
-260
+205
-240
Vinc Pichel
Rafa Garcia
29.9%
70.1%
+375
-500
+400
-500
Melquizael Costa
Christian Rodriguez
39.1%
60.9%
+147
-160
+150
-160
Vince Morales
Raul Rosas Jr.
17.8%
82.2%
+350
-440
+330
-365
Gabriel Miranda
Jamall Emmers
19.0%
81.0%
+295
-340
+295
-350
Austin Hubbard
MarQuel Mederos
37.2%
62.8%
+142
-162
+140
-160
Fights for Mar 28, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sean Brady
Leon Edwards
52.7%
47.3%
-135
+130
-135
+125
Win
Loss
-0.56352-0.57304-0.63966
Carlos Ulberg
Jan Blachowicz
61.1%
38.9%
-350
+285
-340
+300
Win
Loss
-0.28815-0.28030-0.49325
Kevin Holland
Gunnar Nelson
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-135
+115
-130
Win
Loss
-0.81706-0.79536-0.67080
Alexia Thainara
Molly McCann
57.7%
42.3%
-205
+177
-200
+180
Win
Loss
-0.42991-0.42898-0.55010
Chris Duncan
Jordan Vucenic
28.1%
71.9%
+253
-270
+230
-260
Win
Loss
-1.27422-1.21885-1.26833
Morgan Charriere
Nathaniel Wood
63.0%
37.0%
-105
+105
-115
+105
Loss
Win
-0.71785-0.74028-0.99474
Chris Padilla
Jai Herbert
46.6%
53.4%
+120
-138
+135
-150
Win
Loss
-0.82225-0.87962-0.76293
Felipe dos Santos
Lone'er Kavanagh
31.6%
68.4%
+215
-245
+220
-240
Loss
Win
-0.36951-0.36652-0.38050
Mick Parkin
Marcin Tybura
42.7%
57.3%
-170
+155
-175
+160
Loss
Win
-0.95763-0.97625-0.55649
Andrey Pulyaev
Christian Duncan
21.8%
78.2%
+315
-390
+320
-370
Loss
Win
-0.26447-0.26425-0.24554
Puja Tomar
Shauna Bannon
31.6%
68.4%
+195
-210
+175
-200
Loss
Win
-0.40573-0.43532-0.37999
Caolan Loughran
Nathan Fletcher
44.0%
56.0%
+135
-140
+135
-150
Win
Loss
-0.86325-0.87962-0.82212
Kaue Fernandes
Guram Kutateladze
33.2%
66.8%
+334
-350
+300
-360
Win
Loss
-1.47604-1.41840-1.10319
Roman Dolidze
Marvin Vettori
43.3%
56.7%
+127
-122
+125
-125
Win
Loss
-0.80982-0.81094-0.83598
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Chidi Njokuani
58.3%
41.7%
-195
+175
-195
+175
Loss
Win
-1.03595-1.03595-0.87491
Kurt Holobaugh
Alexander Hernandez
36.5%
63.5%
+160
-180
+170
-185
Loss
Win
-0.46893-0.45144-0.45476
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.71151 
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.71206 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.68213
0.02938
0.02993

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.