UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for March 29, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Muin Gafurov
Brandon Moreno 		30.2%
69.8%
+205
-235
+200
-225
Drew Dober
Manuel Torres 		49.8%
50.2%
-115
+105
-110
+100
Joe Pyfer
Kelvin Gastelum 		67.7%
32.3%
-305
+245
-300
+260
Kevin Borjas
Ronaldo Rodriguez 		44.6%
55.4%
+129
-149
+135
-140
Saimon Oliveira
David Martinez 		30.0%
70.0%
+325
-415
+285
-330
CJ Vergara
Edgar Chairez 		32.8%
67.2%
+223
-252
+215
-250
Ateba Gautier
Jose Medina 		74.8%
25.2%
-420
+338
-400
+350
Julia Polastri
Loopy Godinez 		28.5%
71.5%
+220
-260
+205
-240
Vinc Pichel
Rafa Garcia 		29.9%
70.1%
+375
-500
+400
-500
Melquizael Costa
Christian Rodriguez 		39.1%
60.9%
+147
-160
+150
-160
Vince Morales
Raul Rosas Jr. 		17.8%
82.2%
+350
-440
+330
-365
Gabriel Miranda
Jamall Emmers 		19.0%
81.0%
+295
-340
+295
-350
Austin Hubbard
MarQuel Mederos 		37.2%
62.8%
+142
-162
+140
-160
Fights for Mar 28, 2025
Fights for Apr 5, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sean Brady
Leon Edwards		52.7%
47.3%
-135
+130
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56352-0.57304-0.63966
Carlos Ulberg
Jan Blachowicz		61.1%
38.9%
-350
+285
-340
+300
Win
Loss		-0.28815-0.28030-0.49325
Kevin Holland
Gunnar Nelson		51.1%
48.9%
+120
-135
+115
-130
Win
Loss		-0.81706-0.79536-0.67080
Alexia Thainara
Molly McCann		57.7%
42.3%
-205
+177
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42991-0.42898-0.55010
Chris Duncan
Jordan Vucenic		28.1%
71.9%
+253
-270
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27422-1.21885-1.26833
Morgan Charriere
Nathaniel Wood		63.0%
37.0%
-105
+105
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.71785-0.74028-0.99474
Chris Padilla
Jai Herbert		46.6%
53.4%
+120
-138
+135
-150
Win
Loss		-0.82225-0.87962-0.76293
Felipe dos Santos
Lone'er Kavanagh		31.6%
68.4%
+215
-245
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36951-0.36652-0.38050
Mick Parkin
Marcin Tybura		42.7%
57.3%
-170
+155
-175
+160
Loss
Win		-0.95763-0.97625-0.55649
Andrey Pulyaev
Christian Duncan		21.8%
78.2%
+315
-390
+320
-370
Loss
Win		-0.26447-0.26425-0.24554
Puja Tomar
Shauna Bannon		31.6%
68.4%
+195
-210
+175
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40573-0.43532-0.37999
Caolan Loughran
Nathan Fletcher		44.0%
56.0%
+135
-140
+135
-150
Win
Loss		-0.86325-0.87962-0.82212
Kaue Fernandes
Guram Kutateladze		33.2%
66.8%
+334
-350
+300
-360
Win
Loss		-1.47604-1.41840-1.10319
Roman Dolidze
Marvin Vettori		43.3%
56.7%
+127
-122
+125
-125
Win
Loss		-0.80982-0.81094-0.83598
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Chidi Njokuani		58.3%
41.7%
-195
+175
-195
+175
Loss
Win		-1.03595-1.03595-0.87491
Kurt Holobaugh
Alexander Hernandez		36.5%
63.5%
+160
-180
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.46893-0.45144-0.45476
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.71151 
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.71206 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.68213
0.02938
0.02993

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.