UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 7, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Kai Asakura
Alexandre Pantoja 		38.7%
61.3%
+225
-260
+235
-260
Ian Garry
Shavkat Rakhmonov 		28.9%
71.1%
+300
-355
+300
-350
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane 		28.3%
71.7%
+290
-350
+300
-350
Kron Gracie
Bryce Mitchell 		20.3%
79.7%
+650
-825
+600
-800
Themba Gorimbo
Vicente Luque 		57.8%
42.2%
-149
+135
-150
+130
Aljamain Sterling
Movsar Evloev 		35.8%
64.2%
+230
-248
+210
-240
Dooho Choi
Nate Landwehr 		41.2%
58.8%
+117
-137
+115
-135
Bryan Battle
Randy Brown 		60.5%
39.5%
-225
+190
-215
+200
Dominick Reyes
Anthony Smith 		71.9%
28.1%
-350
+295
-325
+275
Joshua Van
Cody Durden 		65.2%
34.8%
-150
+135
-150
+135
Chase Hooper
Clay Guida 		78.9%
21.1%
-1075
+750
-1100
+800
Max Griffin
Michael Chiesa 		51.1%
48.9%
-106
-108
-110
-105
Lukasz Brzeski
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		18.8%
81.2%
+475
-605
+425
-520
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman 		55.9%
44.1%
-108
-110
-110
+100
Fights for Dec 6, 2024
Fights for Dec 14, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan		37.8%
62.2%
+260
-290
+265
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31741-0.31877-0.47408
Tabatha Ricci
Yan Xiaonan		39.3%
60.7%
+170
-190
+180
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.44183-0.49911
Muslim Salikhov
Kenan Song		58.9%
41.1%
-220
+190
-215
+210
Win
Loss		-0.40651-0.38705-0.52885
Gabriella Fernandes
Cong Wang		23.7%
76.3%
+775
-1300
+875
-1200
Win
Loss		-2.21101-2.30259-1.44033
Carlos Ulberg
Volkan Oezdemir		70.2%
29.8%
-255
+225
-245
+240
Win
Loss		-0.35652-0.34654-0.35351
Ozzy Diaz
Zhang Mingyang		33.8%
66.2%
+192
-226
+215
-225
Loss
Win		-0.40146-0.37745-0.41325
Carlos Hernandez
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel		67.3%
32.7%
-115
+105
-105
+125
Win
Loss		-0.64814-0.62470-0.39561
Jose Ochoa
Lone'er Kavanagh		23.4%
76.6%
+285
-300
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29737-0.29008-0.26631
Quang Le
Xiao Long		40.6%
59.4%
+133
-152
+145
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53739-0.51896-0.52109
Nikolas Motta
Hayisaer Maheshate		37.7%
62.3%
+190
-225
+200
-215
Win
Loss		-1.10118-1.11438-0.97469
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones		27.5%
72.5%
+428
-480
+450
-485
Loss
Win		-0.20608-0.19828-0.32142
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira		41.1%
58.9%
+220
-235
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36844-0.35718-0.52926
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal		19.7%
80.3%
+875
-1265
+875
-900
Loss
Win		-0.10496-0.10792-0.21982
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo		69.8%
30.2%
-300
+270
-280
+260
Loss
Win		-1.32840-1.29543-1.19889
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy		22.6%
77.4%
+635
-900
+650
-850
Loss
Win		-0.14078-0.13891-0.25574
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez		52.2%
47.8%
-110
-101
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67258-0.68116-0.64963
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.