UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 10, 2023

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Diana Belbita
Maria Oliveira 		50.5%
49.5%
-119
+100
-110
+100
Kyle Nelson
Blake Bilder 		34.2%
65.8%
+200
-225
+215
-250
Aiemann Zahabi
Aori Qileng 		40.1%
59.9%
+103
-120
+105
-120
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Miranda Maverick 		24.2%
75.8%
+255
-300
+255
-270
Chris Curtis
Nassourdine Imavov 		42.6%
57.4%
+138
-155
+140
-150
Eryk Anders
Marc-Andre Barriault 		39.4%
60.6%
+116
-129
+110
-125
Nate Landwehr
Dan Ige 		32.4%
67.6%
+215
-255
+210
-240
Adam Fugitt
Mike Malott 		27.5%
72.5%
+170
-175
+175
-185
Volatility Bet Value Active
Beneil Dariush
Charles Oliveira 		50.4%
49.6%
-141
+130
-145
+130
Irene Aldana
Amanda Nunes 		25.3%
74.7%
+270
-325
+260
-300
Fights for Jun 9, 2023
Fights for Jun 11, 2023

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Amir Albazi
Kai Kara-France		49.4%
50.6%
-120
+108
-120
+118
Win
Loss		-0.63203-0.61031-0.70431
Daniel Pineda
Alex Caceres		33.4%
66.6%
+185
-180
+185
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43555-0.43214-0.40705
Jim Miller
Jesse Butler		61.1%
38.9%
-240
+220
-235
+210
Win
Loss		-0.36652-0.37834-0.49328
Victor Altamirano
Tim Elliott		41.3%
58.7%
+155
-172
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48253-0.47276-0.53215
Karine Silva
Ketlen Souza		62.9%
37.1%
-200
+175
-185
+170
Win
Loss		-0.43532-0.45144-0.46359
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Abubakar Nurmagomedov		54.6%
45.4%
+115
-125
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.78592-0.78592-0.60596
Daniel Santos
Johnny Munoz		60.9%
39.1%
-200
+189
-200
+196
Win
Loss		-0.41806-0.40996-0.49599
Andrei Arlovski
Don'Tale Mayes		51.3%
48.7%
+130
-135
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56352-0.56639-0.72035
Muin Gafurov
John Castaneda		45.3%
54.7%
+105
-115
+110
-110
Loss
Win		-0.64814-0.64663-0.60311
Muhammad Naimov
Jamie Mullarkey		20.9%
79.1%
+365
-405
+375
-420
Win
Loss		-1.55377-1.57620-1.56623
Elise Reed
Jinh Yu Frey		52.0%
48.0%
-135
+117
-130
+123
Win
Loss		-0.58900-0.58410-0.65375
Luan Lacerda
Da'Mon Blackshear		52.7%
47.3%
-143
+135
-140
+135
Loss
Win		-0.86833-0.86325-0.74860
Philipe Lins
Maxim Grishin		44.4%
55.6%
+107
-120
+110
-115
Win
Loss		-0.75568-0.75294-0.81236
Angela Hill
Mackenzie Dern		24.9%
75.1%
+140
-150
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.52206-0.28606
Edmen Shahbazyan
Anthony Hernandez		36.2%
63.8%
+175
-205
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.43245-0.43510-0.44986
Emily Ducote
Loopy Godinez		38.0%
62.0%
+130
-137
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56084-0.56352-0.47786
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.65649 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.65618 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.67744
-0.02095
-0.02126

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.