UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 21, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jamahal Hill
Khalil Rountree Jr. 		43.0%
57.0%
+110
-123
+110
-125
Ignacio Bahamondes
Rafael Fiziev 		39.2%
60.8%
-120
+110
-120
+105
Tofiq Musayev
Myktybek Orolbai 		40.2%
59.8%
+150
-170
+155
-170
Rizvan Kuniev
Curtis Blaydes 		31.9%
68.1%
+230
-263
+250
-280
Nikolas Motta
Nazim Sadykhov 		28.7%
71.3%
+345
-440
+350
-400
Bogdan Grad
Muhammad Naimov 		38.1%
61.9%
+205
-240
+215
-240
Azat Maksum
Tagir Ulanbekov 		39.7%
60.3%
+350
-425
+320
-370
Ismail Naurdiev
Junyong Park 		37.5%
62.5%
+155
-180
+160
-180
Daria Zheleznyakova
Mellisa Dixon 		32.2%
67.8%
+235
-275
+245
-290
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Mohammed Usman 		58.1%
41.9%
-161
+141
-155
+140
Seok Hyeon Ko
Oban Elliott 		27.3%
72.7%
+390
-515
+425
-500
Klaudia Sygula
Irina Alekseeva 		36.1%
63.9%
+225
-255
+220
-250
Fights for Jun 20, 2025
Fights for Jun 22, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kamaru Usman
Joaquin Buckley		34.9%
65.1%
+205
-195
+185
-200
Win
Loss		-1.10398-1.06470-1.05240
Miranda Maverick
Rose Namajunas		35.2%
64.8%
+230
-250
+280
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.31686-0.43396
Edmen Shahbazyan
Andre Petroski		61.5%
38.5%
-170
+155
-170
+180
Win
Loss		-0.48418-0.44931-0.48552
Raoni Barcelos
Cody Garbrandt		56.0%
44.0%
-260
+230
-270
+250
Win
Loss		-0.35037-0.33041-0.58034
Cody Brundage
Mansur Abdul-Malik		29.3%
70.7%
+664
-900
+600
-800
Loss
Win		-0.13579-0.14903-0.34605
Alonzo Menifield
Oumar Sy		29.6%
70.4%
+600
-825
+600
-850
Win
Loss		-1.98007-1.98282-1.21780
Paul Craig
Rodolfo Bellato		23.5%
76.5%
+290
-335
+310
-330
Draw
Draw		-0.83727-0.84912-0.85795
Court McGee
Michael Chiesa		31.2%
68.8%
+290
-320
+320
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29008-0.27571-0.37389
Kris Moutinho
Malcolm Wellmaker		15.9%
84.1%
+1056
-1900
+1000
-1700
Loss
Win		-0.08715-0.09191-0.17264
Jose Ochoa
Cody Durden		58.2%
41.8%
-220
+185
-200
+190
Win
Loss		-0.41235-0.41690-0.54170
Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Simon		23.1%
76.9%
+375
-410
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.23260-0.23362-0.26329
Ange Loosa
Philip Rowe		52.6%
47.4%
-170
+160
-175
+170
Loss
Win		-0.96964-0.99997-0.74651
Vanessa Demopoulos
Jamey-Lyn Horth		22.0%
78.0%
+525
-700
+525
-650
Loss
Win		-0.16793-0.16941-0.24829
Sean O'Malley
Merab Dvalishvili		27.5%
72.5%
+222
-225
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37059-0.37138-0.32225
Julianna Pena
Kayla Harrison		15.3%
84.7%
+430
-525
+450
-525
Loss
Win		-0.20263-0.19594-0.16609
Kelvin Gastelum
Joe Pyfer		28.9%
71.1%
+320
-365
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.26493-0.26469-0.34115
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-3 (0.692)0-0.56962 
Sportsbooks139-3 (0.692)0-0.56383 
DRatings139-3 (0.692)0-0.56310
0.00652
0.00073

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.