UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 20, 2021

TimeFightersWinBest
Line

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Markus Perez (12-4)
Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2)		55.2%
44.8%
+125
-145
+125
-140
Zarrukh Adashev (3-2)
Su Mudaerji (12-4)		16.2%
83.8%
+375
-490
+400
-435
Omari Akhmedov (20-5)
Tom Breese (12-2)		39.2%
60.8%
+143
-160
+140
-150
Douglas Silva de Andrade (26-3)
Lerone Murphy (9-0)		30.2%
69.8%
+275
-315
+280
-300
Matt Schnell (14-5)
Tyson Nam (20-11)		50.0%
50.0%
+115
-130
+115
-125
Roxanne Modafferi (25-18)
Viviane Araujo (9-2)		38.9%
61.1%
+260
-310
+270
-310
Vinicius Moreira (9-4)
Ike Villanueva (16-11)		53.1%
46.9%
+106
-125
+115
-125
Warlley Alves (14-4)
Mounir Lazzez (10-1)		38.2%
61.8%
+200
-235
+200
-220
Michael Chiesa (17-4)
Neil Magny (24-8)		55.1%
44.9%
+124
-143
+125
-135
Fights for Jan 19, 2021
Fights for Jan 23, 2021

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
Line		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Calvin Kattar
Max Holloway		39.0%
61.0%
+140
-150
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.50878-0.49359
Matt Brown
Carlos Condit		38.1%
61.9%
+172
-200
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43920-0.41146-0.47939
Jingliang Li
Santiago Ponzinibbio		30.2%
69.8%
+285
-350
+290
-330
Win
Loss		-1.38490-1.38454-1.19889
Alessio Di Chirico
Joaquin Buckley		32.9%
67.1%
+233
-262
+250
-250
Win
Loss		-1.22676-1.25278-1.11170
Punahele Soriano
Dusko Todorovic		41.2%
58.8%
+147
-170
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-0.93813-0.97625-0.88603
Joselyne Edwards
Wu Yanan		50.0%
50.0%
-110
+102
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66532-0.67015-0.69315
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks106-4 (0.600)0-0.73188 
Sportsbooks106-4 (0.600)0-0.73859 
DRatings104-5 (0.450)1-0.71335
0.01854
0.02524

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.