UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 4, 2021

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jose Aldo (29-7)
Rob Font (19-4)
39.8%
60.2%
+120
-140
+125
-140
Rafael Fiziev (9-1)
Brad Riddell (10-1)
60.5%
39.5%
-120
+105
-125
+110
Chris Gruetzemacher (14-4)
Claudio Puelles (10-2)
55.0%
45.0%
-108
-110
-105
-115
Jamahal Hill (7-0)
Jimmy Crute (12-2)
47.9%
52.1%
+145
-165
+150
-160
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-5)
Manel Kape (15-6)
35.6%
64.4%
+245
-210
+230
-240
Volatility Bet Value Active
Vince Morales (9-5)
Louis Smolka (17-7)
35.4%
64.6%
+133
-145
+130
-145
Jeremiah Wells (8-2)
Jake Matthews (17-5)
34.5%
65.5%
+150
-167
+160
-175
Clay Guida (36-17)
Leonardo Santos (18-5)
42.5%
57.5%
+168
-185
+170
-180
Cheyanne Buys (6-2)
Mallory Martin (7-4)
48.4%
51.6%
-170
+158
-180
+165
Mickey Gall (6-3)
Alex Morono (19-7)
34.0%
66.0%
+195
-230
+200
-230
Maki Pitolo (13-8)
Dusko Todorovic (10-1)
34.6%
65.4%
+135
-154
+150
-155
Volatility Bet Value Active
William Knight (9-2)
Alonzo Menifield (10-2)
38.4%
61.6%
+132
-150
+130
-150
Chris Curtis (26-8)
Brendan Allen (16-4)
16.8%
83.2%
+285
-320
+290
-315
Jared Vanderaa (11-5)
Azamat Murzakanov (7-0)
36.6%
63.4%
+175
-205
+190
-200
Fights for Dec 3, 2021

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miesha Tate
Ketlen Vieira
54.8%
45.2%
-110
+100
-105
+100
Loss
Win
-0.71668-0.70528-0.79396
Michael Chiesa
Sean Brady
48.4%
51.6%
+170
-180
+160
-175
Loss
Win
-0.45497-0.47276-0.66171
Joanne Calderwood
Taila Santos
33.0%
67.0%
+360
-390
+330
-370
Loss
Win
-0.24147-0.25884-0.40010
Kyung Ho Kang
Rani Yahya
48.9%
51.1%
-120
+107
-120
+100
Loss
Win
-0.75568-0.73760-0.67233
Davey Grant
Adrian Yanez
29.4%
70.6%
+240
-265
+250
-265
Loss
Win
-0.34011-0.33183-0.34827
Tucker Lutz
Patrick Sabatini
42.6%
57.4%
-130
+115
-120
+115
Loss
Win
-0.79536-0.77596-0.55436
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.