UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 9, 2023

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chris Gutierrez
Song Yadong
35.4%
64.6%
+285
-340
+300
-350
Andre Muniz
Junyong Park
40.4%
59.6%
+168
-190
+180
-185
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jamie Mullarkey
Nasrat Haqparast
45.6%
54.4%
+185
-210
+180
-200
Carlos Hernandez
Tatsuro Taira
25.5%
74.5%
+385
-450
+395
-475
Kenan Song
Kevin Jousset
44.2%
55.8%
+143
-155
+150
-160
Stephanie Egger
Luana Santos
43.8%
56.2%
+155
-170
+175
-200
Anthony Smith
Khalil Rountree Jr.
37.3%
62.7%
+190
-225
+195
-210
Fights for Dec 8, 2023

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Beneil Dariush
Arman Tsarukyan
35.4%
64.6%
+228
-255
+260
-245
Loss
Win
-0.35378-0.33014-0.43748
Bobby Green
Jalin Turner
37.8%
62.2%
+150
-165
+155
-165
Loss
Win
-0.49617-0.48848-0.47483
Deiveson Figueiredo
Rob Font
47.7%
52.3%
+108
-120
+110
-120
Win
Loss
-0.75824-0.76336-0.73963
Kelvin Gastelum
Sean Brady
47.0%
53.0%
+100
-113
+105
-120
Loss
Win
-0.66396-0.63885-0.63448
Clay Guida
Joaquim Silva
30.8%
69.2%
+275
-305
+270
-285
Loss
Win
-0.30313-0.31122-0.36885
Dustin Stoltzfus
Punahele Soriano
23.4%
76.6%
+285
-350
+290
-320
Win
Loss
-1.38490-1.37912-1.45252
Miesha Tate
Julia Avila
47.5%
52.5%
+125
-140
+125
-135
Win
Loss
-0.83833-0.82968-0.74511
Zach Reese
Cody Brundage
58.7%
41.3%
-245
+230
-240
+230
Loss
Win
-1.20701-1.20281-0.88513
Drakkar Klose
Joe Solecki
57.4%
42.6%
-116
+115
-130
+115
Win
Loss
-0.62385-0.60042-0.55560
Ihor Potieria
Rodolfo Bellato
29.7%
70.3%
+325
-410
+350
-370
Loss
Win
-0.25671-0.24864-0.35288
Jared Gooden
Wellington Turman
38.1%
61.9%
+185
-210
+185
-190
Win
Loss
-1.07523-1.05334-0.96391
Veronica Macedo
Jamey-Lyn Horth
44.8%
55.2%
+170
-195
+170
-185
Win
Loss
-1.02415-1.01255-0.80205
Paul Craig
Brendan Allen
32.8%
67.2%
+375
-465
+365
-440
Loss
Win
-0.22778-0.23422-0.39738
Jordan Leavitt
Chase Hooper
31.6%
68.4%
+170
-186
+170
-190
Loss
Win
-0.45075-0.44809-0.38050
Nick Aguirre
Payton Talbott
11.1%
88.9%
+600
-750
+525
-700
Loss
Win
-0.15007-0.16793-0.11750
Luana Pinheiro
Amanda Ribas
32.0%
68.0%
+195
-225
+205
-240
Loss
Win
-0.39854-0.38151-0.38527
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.74879 
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.73822 
DRatings126-6 (0.500)0-0.70104
0.04775
0.03718

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.