UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 22, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan 		23.1%
76.9%
+375
-500
+425
-510
Belal Muhammad
Ian Garry 		42.4%
57.6%
+215
-250
+220
-240
Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir 		35.9%
64.1%
+190
-225
+190
-220
Jack Hermansson
Myktybek Orolbai 		38.5%
61.5%
+205
-240
+215
-240
Serghei Spivac
Shamil Gaziev 		42.1%
57.9%
+120
-140
+120
-135
Bekzat Almakhan
Aleksandre Topuria 		53.2%
46.8%
-115
-105
-110
-105
Ismail Naurdiev
Ryan Loder 		66.8%
33.2%
-130
+110
-130
+110
Fights for Nov 21, 2025
Fights for Nov 23, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jack Della Maddalena
Islam Makhachev		24.2%
75.8%
+265
-282
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31563-0.29408-0.27701
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili		47.5%
52.5%
-133
+129
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56815-0.57304-0.74440
Michael Morales
Sean Brady		48.8%
51.2%
+125
-130
+140
-140
Win
Loss		-0.82055-0.87546-0.71846
Carlos Prates
Leon Edwards		58.2%
41.8%
-155
+166
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.48149-0.51371-0.54170
Beneil Dariush
Benoit Saint Denis		37.5%
62.5%
+190
-205
+195
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.41110-0.47031
Rodolfo Vieira
Bo Nickal		37.1%
62.9%
+225
-230
+230
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36566-0.35538-0.46404
Roman Kopylov
Gregory Rodrigues		42.6%
57.4%
+167
-175
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.46283-0.45144-0.55436
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield		29.7%
70.3%
+320
-350
+350
-320
Loss
Win		-0.26707-0.25594-0.35288
Ethyn Ewing
Malcolm Wellmaker		19.0%
81.0%
+325
-390
+335
-350
Win
Loss		-1.47766-1.47780-1.65989
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus		31.0%
69.0%
+390
-335
+400
-435
Loss
Win		-0.23508-0.21992-0.37111
Patrick Sabatini
Chepe Mariscal		49.4%
50.6%
-110
+115
-115
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63550-0.63673-0.70546
Angela Hill
Fatima Kline		25.7%
74.3%
+450
-500
+425
-550
Loss
Win		-0.19737-0.20303-0.29748
Eric McConico
Baisangur Susurkaev		8.9%
91.1%
+850
-1200
+950
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.10799-0.09820-0.09267
Matheus Camilo
Viacheslav Borshchev		58.3%
41.7%
-160
+142
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51371-0.51371-0.53878
Randy Brown
Gabriel Bonfim		35.7%
64.3%
+145
-160
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.51371-0.44104
Matt Schnell
Joseph Morales		28.5%
71.5%
+390
-400
+400
-405
Loss
Win		-0.22721-0.22264-0.33484
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.49020 
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.49140 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.55632
-0.06612
-0.06493

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.