UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for March 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sam Hughes
Piera Rodriguez 		47.1%
52.9%
+133
-143
+135
-150
Hecher Sosa
Luan Lacerda 		65.9%
34.1%
-235
+200
-215
+200
Montserrat Rendon
Bia Mesquita 		18.7%
81.3%
+500
-700
+550
-700
Eryk Anders
Brad Tavares 		42.5%
57.5%
-105
-110
-110
+100
Manoel Sousa
Bolaji Oki 		65.3%
34.7%
-270
+230
-265
+230
SuYoung You
Elijah Smith 		36.3%
63.7%
+230
-270
+215
-240
Steven Asplund
Vitor Petrino 		27.8%
72.2%
+195
-225
+195
-205
Myktybek Orolbai
Chris Curtis 		67.3%
32.7%
-330
+275
-350
+300
Bruno Silva
Charles Johnson 		27.9%
72.1%
+145
-160
+150
-165
Oumar Sy
Ion Cutelaba 		70.8%
29.2%
-260
+240
-260
+230
Harry Hardwick
Marwan Rahiki 		34.5%
65.5%
+220
-260
+235
-270
Jose Delgado
Andre Fili 		67.5%
32.5%
-450
+350
-420
+360
Gillian Robertson
Amanda Lemos 		60.7%
39.3%
-235
+205
-210
+200
Kevin Vallejos
Josh Emmett 		75.9%
24.1%
-550
+410
-550
+450
Fights for Mar 13, 2026
Fights for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway		34.7%
65.3%
+165
-190
+190
-185
Win
Loss		-1.00657-1.05863-1.05958
Reinier de Ridder
Caio Borralho		37.7%
62.3%
+180
-208
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42451-0.40573-0.47371
Rob Font
Raul Rosas Jr.		42.5%
57.5%
+257
-285
+270
-300
Loss
Win		-0.32092-0.30775-0.55377
Michael Johnson
Drew Dober		49.1%
50.9%
+170
-190
+180
-130
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.48972-0.67438
Brunno Ferreira
Gregory Rodrigues		27.9%
72.1%
+140
-155
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.51371-0.32752
Xiao Long
Cody Garbrandt		50.3%
49.7%
-145
+160
-145
+155
Loss
Win		-0.93168-0.91995-0.69967
Cody Brundage
Donte Johnson		23.9%
76.1%
+550
-725
+600
-700
Loss
Win		-0.16133-0.15123-0.27269
Ricky Turcios
Alberto Montes		35.0%
65.0%
+160
-172
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47514-0.45497-0.43003
Cody Durden
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel		42.3%
57.7%
+180
-198
+195
-205
Loss
Win		-0.43017-0.40836-0.55010
Su Mudaerji
Jesus Aguilar		65.2%
34.8%
-160
+168
-160
+175
Win
Loss		-0.47396-0.46431-0.42836
Diyar Nurgozhay
Rafael Tobias		43.0%
57.0%
+145
-163
+150
-170
Win
Loss		-0.92364-0.94549-0.84406
Rodolfo Bellato
Luke Fernandez		40.6%
59.4%
+185
-220
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.08498-1.08672-0.90027
Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Moreno		37.7%
62.3%
+176
-190
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-1.03257-1.01846-0.97593
Marlon Vera
David Martinez		26.8%
73.2%
+255
-300
+290
-325
Loss
Win		-0.31888-0.28916-0.31203
Bobby Green
Daniel Zellhuber		27.0%
73.0%
+325
-350
+330
-340
Win
Loss		-1.45994-1.46387-1.30959
Felipe Bunes
Edgar Chairez		26.9%
73.1%
+240
-255
+240
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34321-0.34485-0.31326
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.60025 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.60055 
DRatings128-4 (0.667)0-0.60118
-0.00092
-0.00063

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.