| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-0) | 1.6175 | - | -0.3275 (32) | 2.0428 (1) | 2.0074 (1) | 0.8072 (6) |
| 2. Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) | 1.4580 | - | -0.1407 (27) | 1.4166 (2) | 1.4288 (3) | 1.5328 (2) |
| 3. New Orleans Saints (8-2) | 1.1500 | - | 0.0505 (16) | 0.9638 (3) | 1.5917 (2) | 0.8980 (4) |
| 4. Baltimore Ravens (6-4) | 0.9448 | - | 0.2526 (4) | 0.4193 (12) | 0.7811 (5) | 1.6368 (1) |
| 5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) | 0.7690 | - | 0.0811 (12) | 0.5309 (9) | 0.9543 (4) | 0.8242 (5) |
| 6. Green Bay Packers (7-3) | 0.6182 | - | 0.0150 (18) | 0.4112 (13) | 0.5124 (11) | 0.9328 (3) |
| 7. Seattle Seahawks (7-3) | 0.5596 | +1 | 0.0537 (15) | 0.5092 (10) | 0.5339 (10) | 0.6373 (8) |
| 8. Indianapolis Colts (7-3) | 0.5588 | +1 | -0.2362 (28) | 0.4285 (11) | 0.5383 (9) | 0.7112 (7) |
| 9. Tennessee Titans (7-3) | 0.5389 | +1 | 0.2798 (3) | 0.5990 (6) | 0.5616 (7) | 0.4576 (9) |
| 10. Buffalo Bills (7-3) | 0.5292 | -3 | -0.0314 (19) | 0.7461 (4) | 0.4249 (12) | 0.4181 (10) |
| 11. Los Angeles Rams (7-3) | 0.5186 | +1 | -0.1354 (26) | 0.5318 (8) | 0.6365 (6) | 0.3891 (11) |
| 12. Las Vegas Raiders (6-4) | 0.3480 | -1 | 0.4213 (1) | 0.7157 (5) | 0.5493 (8) | -0.2200 (19) |
| 13. Cleveland Browns (7-3) | 0.3234 | - | -0.0493 (21) | 0.5941 (7) | 0.1966 (14) | 0.1804 (14) |
| 14. Arizona Cardinals (6-4) | 0.1178 | - | -0.2716 (31) | 0.1127 (15) | 0.1555 (15) | 0.0856 (16) |
| 15. Miami Dolphins (6-4) | -0.0192 | - | -0.2654 (30) | 0.1521 (14) | 0.4043 (13) | -0.6141 (25) |
| 16. San Francisco 49ers (4-6) | -0.0335 | +1 | 0.1544 (8) | -0.2872 (20) | -0.0406 (16) | 0.2271 (13) |
| 17. New England Patriots (4-6) | -0.0646 | -1 | 0.1084 (11) | -0.2020 (18) | -0.2875 (19) | 0.2957 (12) |
| 18. Minnesota Vikings (4-6) | -0.1333 | - | 0.0749 (14) | -0.2136 (19) | -0.3496 (21) | 0.1629 (15) |
| 19. Chicago Bears (5-5) | -0.1726 | - | 0.1254 (9) | 0.0235 (16) | -0.0449 (17) | -0.4970 (24) |
| 20. Houston Texans (3-7) | -0.3607 | +4 | 0.4052 (2) | -0.4866 (23) | -0.5773 (23) | -0.0194 (17) |
| 21. Carolina Panthers (4-7) | -0.3694 | +1 | 0.2401 (5) | -0.2874 (21) | -0.1610 (18) | -0.6608 (26) |
| 22. Atlanta Falcons (3-7) | -0.3744 | -1 | -0.0376 (20) | -0.5195 (24) | -0.3776 (22) | -0.2271 (20) |
| 23. Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) | -0.4531 | - | -0.0979 (24) | -0.5719 (25) | -0.7076 (26) | -0.0812 (18) |
| 24. Denver Broncos (4-6) | -0.4559 | +1 | 0.1802 (7) | -0.1377 (17) | -0.3344 (20) | -0.8969 (27) |
| 25. Detroit Lions (4-6) | -0.4639 | -5 | -0.0812 (23) | -0.3888 (22) | -0.6963 (25) | -0.3081 (22) |
| 26. Los Angeles Chargers (3-7) | -0.5850 | - | -0.1137 (25) | -0.7988 (29) | -0.7078 (27) | -0.2501 (21) |
| 27. Dallas Cowboys (3-7) | -0.7393 | +1 | 0.0382 (17) | -0.5890 (26) | -1.1565 (30) | -0.4747 (23) |
| 28. Cincinnati Bengals (2-7) | -0.7778 | -1 | 0.1179 (10) | -0.7360 (28) | -0.6807 (24) | -0.9190 (28) |
| 29. Washington Football Team (3-7) | -0.8532 | +1 | -0.2411 (29) | -0.8280 (30) | -0.7189 (28) | -1.0154 (29) |
| 30. New York Giants (3-7) | -0.9408 | -1 | -0.0653 (22) | -0.7103 (27) | -0.8458 (29) | -1.2692 (31) |
| 31. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) | -1.3544 | - | 0.0766 (13) | -1.3585 (31) | -1.5377 (31) | -1.1709 (30) |
| 32. New York Jets (0-10) | -1.8858 | - | 0.2035 (6) | -2.0771 (32) | -2.0167 (32) | -1.5692 (32) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
Related Blog Posts
Explaining the Kelly Criterion for Sports Betting
Though originally created for financial portfolios, it has been borrowed by the sports betting community for bet size management.
Betting Analysis Methodology
A brief explainer on how to use our predictive analysis to get an advantage in the betting markets.
Sports Betting Glossary and Slang
The sports betting glossary provides a list of terms and phrases that are used in the sports betting industry. This terminology is used throughout our site.
Top 5 Las Vegas Sportsbooks
We discuss the best sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip.
Advantage Betting Using Implied Margin
Implied margin is one of the many ways in which a sharp bettor can find an advantage over a sportbook.