| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Kansas City Chiefs (13-5) | 0.8433 | - | 0.0677 (8) | 0.7802 (1) | 0.9765 (1) | 0.7758 (2) |
| 2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-4) | 0.8201 | - | -0.0992 (31) | 0.6871 (3) | 0.9503 (3) | 0.8253 (1) |
| 3. Buffalo Bills (12-6) | 0.6738 | +1 | -0.0944 (30) | 0.3841 (8) | 0.9584 (2) | 0.6810 (3) |
| 4. Los Angeles Rams (13-5) | 0.6506 | +2 | -0.0094 (19) | 0.6592 (4) | 0.6489 (5) | 0.6458 (4) |
| 5. Green Bay Packers (13-4) | 0.5942 | - | -0.0105 (20) | 0.7492 (2) | 0.5804 (7) | 0.4547 (6) |
| 6. Dallas Cowboys (12-6) | 0.5724 | -3 | -0.0253 (22) | 0.3973 (7) | 0.7920 (4) | 0.5295 (5) |
| 7. San Francisco 49ers (11-7) | 0.4402 | +2 | 0.0186 (16) | 0.4246 (6) | 0.5686 (8) | 0.3287 (8) |
| 8. Tennessee Titans (12-5) | 0.3652 | - | -0.0476 (26) | 0.4949 (5) | 0.6000 (6) | 0.0019 (18) |
| 9. New England Patriots (10-8) | 0.2997 | -2 | -0.0264 (23) | 0.1045 (13) | 0.5171 (9) | 0.2784 (10) |
| 10. Arizona Cardinals (11-7) | 0.2503 | - | 0.0579 (9) | 0.2356 (11) | 0.1385 (13) | 0.3776 (7) |
| 11. Cincinnati Bengals (11-7) | 0.2352 | +1 | -0.0679 (29) | 0.2980 (9) | 0.3182 (11) | 0.0903 (14) |
| 12. Indianapolis Colts (9-8) | 0.2239 | -1 | -0.0406 (24) | 0.0775 (14) | 0.4558 (10) | 0.1390 (13) |
| 13. Los Angeles Chargers (9-8) | 0.1187 | - | 0.0259 (13) | 0.0662 (15) | -0.0003 (17) | 0.2906 (9) |
| 14. New Orleans Saints (9-8) | 0.0905 | - | 0.0079 (18) | 0.0614 (16) | 0.2208 (12) | -0.0106 (19) |
| 15. Philadelphia Eagles (9-9) | 0.0353 | - | -0.0423 (25) | -0.0285 (20) | 0.1113 (14) | 0.0233 (17) |
| 16. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8-1) | 0.0180 | - | 0.1448 (1) | 0.2609 (10) | -0.1155 (19) | -0.0914 (21) |
| 17. Baltimore Ravens (8-9) | 0.0064 | +2 | 0.0832 (4) | -0.0304 (21) | -0.1179 (20) | 0.1676 (11) |
| 18. Minnesota Vikings (8-9) | -0.0016 | +2 | 0.0310 (12) | 0.0119 (17) | -0.0828 (18) | 0.0661 (15) |
| 19. Cleveland Browns (8-9) | -0.0090 | -1 | 0.0189 (15) | -0.0239 (19) | -0.1572 (22) | 0.1540 (12) |
| 20. Seattle Seahawks (7-10) | -0.0123 | +1 | 0.0414 (10) | -0.1243 (22) | 0.0272 (15) | 0.0600 (16) |
| 21. Las Vegas Raiders (10-8) | -0.0397 | -4 | 0.0719 (6) | 0.1851 (12) | -0.1501 (21) | -0.1542 (22) |
| 22. Miami Dolphins (9-8) | -0.0740 | - | -0.1126 (32) | 0.0060 (18) | 0.0246 (16) | -0.2529 (23) |
| 23. Denver Broncos (7-10) | -0.1851 | - | -0.0550 (28) | -0.2973 (24) | -0.2262 (23) | -0.0322 (20) |
| 24. Washington Football Team (7-10) | -0.2815 | - | 0.0894 (2) | -0.1790 (23) | -0.3546 (24) | -0.3118 (25) |
| 25. Chicago Bears (6-11) | -0.4242 | - | 0.0699 (7) | -0.3197 (25) | -0.5263 (25) | -0.4278 (27) |
| 26. Atlanta Falcons (7-10) | -0.4809 | - | -0.0539 (27) | -0.3619 (26) | -0.6646 (27) | -0.4178 (26) |
| 27. Carolina Panthers (5-12) | -0.5237 | - | -0.0124 (21) | -0.6822 (28) | -0.6219 (26) | -0.2685 (24) |
| 28. Detroit Lions (3-13-1) | -0.7796 | - | 0.0804 (5) | -0.6747 (27) | -0.9167 (29) | -0.7497 (30) |
| 29. New York Giants (4-13) | -0.7977 | - | 0.0852 (3) | -0.7255 (29) | -1.0132 (30) | -0.6567 (28) |
| 30. New York Jets (4-13) | -0.8713 | - | 0.0351 (11) | -0.7738 (31) | -1.0606 (32) | -0.7822 (31) |
| 31. Houston Texans (4-13) | -0.8745 | - | 0.0180 (17) | -0.7532 (30) | -0.8588 (28) | -1.0140 (32) |
| 32. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-14) | -0.9080 | - | 0.0209 (14) | -0.9361 (32) | -1.0557 (31) | -0.7348 (29) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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