NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Kansas City Chiefs (16-3)1.2056--0.1286 (29)1.0691 (1)1.3913 (1)1.1601 (2)
2. Buffalo Bills (14-4)1.1254-0.0761 (11)0.9159 (4)1.0883 (4)1.3754 (1)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (16-3)1.0714+1-0.0780 (25)1.0175 (2)1.3360 (2)0.8640 (3)
4. Cincinnati Bengals (14-5)1.0064-10.2119 (1)0.9785 (3)1.2103 (3)0.8334 (5)
5. San Francisco 49ers (15-5)0.7859--0.1406 (31)0.6381 (5)0.8598 (5)0.8623 (4)
6. Dallas Cowboys (13-6)0.6724-0.0354 (17)0.6277 (7)0.7356 (6)0.6559 (6)
7. Minnesota Vikings (13-5)0.3151+1-0.0087 (20)0.6362 (6)0.0873 (12)0.2227 (11)
8. Baltimore Ravens (10-8)0.3090-10.1491 (6)0.2668 (10)0.3652 (7)0.2959 (9)
9. Green Bay Packers (8-9)0.1785-0.0546 (14)0.0527 (15)0.0768 (14)0.4066 (7)
10. Miami Dolphins (9-9)0.1382-0.2040 (2)0.1134 (13)0.0521 (16)0.2496 (10)
11. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8)0.0856-0.1620 (5)0.2631 (11)0.2512 (9)-0.2574 (19)
12. Detroit Lions (9-8)0.0674-0.0924 (10)0.2800 (9)0.2876 (8)-0.3652 (24)
13. Washington Commanders (8-8-1)0.0322+20.0732 (12)0.1519 (12)0.2361 (10)-0.2914 (21)
14. New England Patriots (8-9)0.0254-10.0681 (13)-0.0475 (16)0.0559 (15)0.0680 (12)
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-10)0.0042-10.1046 (9)-0.1517 (19)-0.2294 (24)0.3939 (8)
16. Cleveland Browns (7-10)-0.0329-0.1152 (7)-0.1026 (18)0.0171 (17)-0.0132 (14)
17. New York Giants (10-8-1)-0.0417+10.1137 (8)0.3264 (8)0.0815 (13)-0.5331 (28)
18. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-9)-0.0564-1-0.0896 (26)0.0757 (14)0.1281 (11)-0.3732 (25)
19. Los Angeles Chargers (10-8)-0.0900--0.1761 (32)-0.0969 (17)-0.1963 (23)0.0228 (13)
20. New Orleans Saints (7-10)-0.1113-0.0210 (18)-0.1973 (22)-0.0106 (18)-0.1264 (16)
21. Seattle Seahawks (9-9)-0.1419--0.0713 (24)-0.1577 (20)-0.0287 (19)-0.2397 (18)
22. New York Jets (7-10)-0.2059-0.1637 (4)-0.1676 (21)-0.1557 (21)-0.2951 (22)
23. Atlanta Falcons (7-10)-0.2805--0.0691 (23)-0.3456 (24)-0.1640 (22)-0.3329 (23)
24. Carolina Panthers (7-10)-0.3536--0.0465 (21)-0.2711 (23)-0.1516 (20)-0.6390 (30)
25. Las Vegas Raiders (6-11)-0.4144--0.1347 (30)-0.5630 (26)-0.5934 (26)-0.0879 (15)
26. Tennessee Titans (7-10)-0.4314-0.0043 (19)-0.3494 (25)-0.5488 (25)-0.3974 (26)
27. Los Angeles Rams (5-12)-0.5459-0.0527 (15)-0.7608 (29)-0.6064 (27)-0.2723 (20)
28. Denver Broncos (5-12)-0.6854--0.1175 (28)-0.7392 (27)-1.1709 (30)-0.1481 (17)
29. Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1)-0.8097+1-0.0660 (22)-0.7406 (28)-1.1980 (31)-0.4928 (27)
30. Arizona Cardinals (4-13)-0.8219-10.0519 (16)-0.9315 (32)-0.9690 (29)-0.5676 (29)
31. Chicago Bears (3-14)-0.8406-0.1951 (3)-0.8429 (30)-0.9393 (28)-0.7422 (31)
32. Houston Texans (3-13-1)-1.1280--0.0988 (27)-0.9176 (31)-1.2593 (32)-1.2105 (32)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.