| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Philadelphia Eagles (18-3) | 1.4444 | +1 | 0.0180 (18) | 1.4711 (2) | 1.9868 (1) | 0.8796 (5) |
| 2. Kansas City Chiefs (17-3) | 1.3937 | -1 | 0.1182 (11) | 1.5570 (1) | 1.4855 (2) | 1.1429 (4) |
| 3. Detroit Lions (15-3) | 1.3005 | - | 0.0885 (13) | 1.1942 (3) | 1.3672 (4) | 1.3439 (2) |
| 4. Buffalo Bills (15-5) | 1.2229 | - | 0.0454 (16) | 1.1108 (4) | 1.3875 (3) | 1.1741 (3) |
| 5. Baltimore Ravens (13-6) | 1.1807 | - | 0.1873 (3) | 0.7341 (7) | 1.3586 (5) | 1.4529 (1) |
| 6. Green Bay Packers (11-7) | 0.7625 | - | 0.1559 (6) | 0.6160 (8) | 0.9754 (6) | 0.6985 (6) |
| 7. Minnesota Vikings (14-4) | 0.7189 | - | -0.0220 (24) | 0.8626 (5) | 0.6816 (8) | 0.6147 (8) |
| 8. Washington Commanders (14-6) | 0.5952 | - | 0.0157 (19) | 0.8221 (6) | 0.9515 (7) | 0.0137 (18) |
| 9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-8) | 0.3830 | - | 0.0346 (17) | 0.2677 (10) | 0.6498 (9) | 0.2327 (12) |
| 10. Cincinnati Bengals (9-8) | 0.3091 | - | -0.0762 (27) | 0.1270 (14) | 0.2399 (14) | 0.5614 (9) |
| 11. Los Angeles Rams (11-8) | 0.2840 | +1 | 0.1960 (2) | 0.4464 (9) | 0.4104 (10) | -0.0040 (19) |
| 12. Los Angeles Chargers (11-7) | 0.2596 | -1 | -0.1067 (30) | 0.2522 (12) | 0.1811 (16) | 0.3463 (10) |
| 13. Seattle Seahawks (10-7) | 0.2245 | - | 0.0466 (15) | 0.2644 (11) | 0.2629 (12) | 0.1470 (15) |
| 14. Houston Texans (11-8) | 0.2003 | - | 0.0156 (20) | 0.1194 (15) | 0.1910 (15) | 0.2911 (11) |
| 15. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-8) | 0.1645 | - | 0.1434 (8) | 0.1913 (13) | 0.2436 (13) | 0.0591 (16) |
| 16. Denver Broncos (10-8) | 0.0932 | - | 0.0633 (14) | 0.0776 (16) | 0.3722 (11) | -0.1698 (21) |
| 17. San Francisco 49ers (6-11) | 0.0929 | - | 0.2068 (1) | -0.2128 (20) | -0.1998 (18) | 0.6914 (7) |
| 18. Arizona Cardinals (8-9) | -0.0813 | - | 0.1316 (9) | -0.1140 (19) | 0.0079 (17) | -0.1380 (20) |
| 19. Atlanta Falcons (8-9) | -0.1062 | - | -0.0271 (25) | -0.0575 (17) | -0.3106 (19) | 0.0492 (17) |
| 20. Miami Dolphins (8-9) | -0.2094 | - | -0.2293 (32) | -0.3665 (21) | -0.4443 (21) | 0.1819 (14) |
| 21. Dallas Cowboys (7-10) | -0.4096 | - | 0.1523 (7) | -0.0729 (18) | -0.3769 (20) | -0.7801 (26) |
| 22. Indianapolis Colts (8-9) | -0.4329 | - | -0.1811 (31) | -0.3889 (22) | -0.6052 (22) | -0.3059 (22) |
| 23. New York Jets (5-12) | -0.4579 | - | -0.0763 (28) | -0.7732 (26) | -0.7851 (24) | 0.1833 (13) |
| 24. Chicago Bears (5-12) | -0.7371 | - | 0.1206 (10) | -0.7893 (27) | -0.9931 (26) | -0.4311 (23) |
| 25. New Orleans Saints (5-12) | -0.7496 | - | -0.0132 (23) | -0.6480 (24) | -0.6640 (23) | -0.9392 (28) |
| 26. Las Vegas Raiders (4-13) | -0.9010 | - | 0.0972 (12) | -0.7540 (25) | -0.9332 (25) | -1.0184 (29) |
| 27. Tennessee Titans (3-14) | -0.9819 | - | 0.0004 (21) | -1.1504 (31) | -1.1142 (28) | -0.6839 (25) |
| 28. Cleveland Browns (3-14) | -0.9889 | - | 0.1619 (5) | -0.9349 (29) | -1.2459 (31) | -0.7888 (27) |
| 29. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-13) | -0.9932 | - | -0.0930 (29) | -1.1225 (30) | -1.2390 (30) | -0.6210 (24) |
| 30. New York Giants (3-14) | -1.0803 | - | 0.1675 (4) | -0.8783 (28) | -1.0868 (27) | -1.2790 (31) |
| 31. Carolina Panthers (5-12) | -1.1152 | - | -0.0035 (22) | -0.5501 (23) | -1.1455 (29) | -1.6534 (32) |
| 32. New England Patriots (4-13) | -1.3064 | - | -0.0438 (26) | -1.2087 (32) | -1.4551 (32) | -1.2594 (30) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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