| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) | 0.9165 | - | 0.7590 (3) | 0.8451 (1) | 1.0523 (2) | 0.8548 (2) |
| 2. San Francisco 49ers (1-0) | 0.8226 | - | 0.1783 (14) | 0.6275 (2) | 0.9516 (3) | 0.8911 (1) |
| 3. Baltimore Ravens (0-1) | 0.7590 | - | 0.9165 (1) | 0.6102 (3) | 1.1532 (1) | 0.5158 (6) |
| 4. Detroit Lions (1-0) | 0.5104 | +1 | 0.2615 (11) | 0.5852 (4) | 0.6218 (5) | 0.3256 (9) |
| 5. Buffalo Bills (1-0) | 0.5070 | -1 | -0.3568 (26) | 0.2926 (10) | 0.6542 (4) | 0.5756 (4) |
| 6. Dallas Cowboys (1-0) | 0.4932 | - | 0.1817 (13) | 0.4171 (6) | 0.5043 (7) | 0.5596 (5) |
| 7. Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) | 0.4034 | +1 | 0.3138 (9) | 0.4123 (7) | 0.1736 (13) | 0.6255 (3) |
| 8. Houston Texans (1-0) | 0.3308 | +1 | -0.2377 (24) | 0.4605 (5) | 0.4691 (8) | 0.0639 (17) |
| 9. Green Bay Packers (0-1) | 0.3138 | +1 | 0.4034 (7) | 0.2828 (11) | 0.5409 (6) | 0.1187 (16) |
| 10. Miami Dolphins (1-0) | 0.2786 | +4 | 0.0253 (16) | 0.1635 (15) | 0.2736 (10) | 0.3994 (7) |
| 11. Los Angeles Rams (0-1) | 0.2615 | - | 0.5104 (4) | 0.3333 (9) | 0.3325 (9) | 0.1194 (15) |
| 12. Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) | 0.2340 | -5 | -0.6508 (30) | 0.2399 (12) | 0.0699 (17) | 0.3928 (8) |
| 13. Cleveland Browns (0-1) | 0.1817 | -1 | 0.4932 (6) | 0.3388 (8) | 0.0860 (15) | 0.1207 (14) |
| 14. New York Jets (0-1) | 0.1783 | -1 | 0.8226 (2) | 0.2080 (14) | 0.0838 (16) | 0.2436 (10) |
| 15. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) | 0.0596 | +1 | -0.0627 (22) | 0.2231 (13) | 0.0181 (18) | -0.0623 (19) |
| 16. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) | 0.0253 | -1 | 0.2786 (10) | -0.0463 (19) | -0.0481 (20) | 0.1703 (13) |
| 17. Seattle Seahawks (1-0) | 0.0091 | +1 | -0.6135 (29) | 0.1361 (16) | -0.0530 (21) | -0.0557 (18) |
| 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) | -0.0036 | +1 | -0.6793 (31) | 0.0095 (18) | 0.2533 (11) | -0.2735 (23) |
| 19. Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) | -0.0123 | +2 | -0.2770 (25) | -0.1081 (20) | -0.1630 (23) | 0.2342 (11) |
| 20. New Orleans Saints (1-0) | -0.0156 | - | -0.9024 (32) | -0.1304 (23) | 0.1835 (12) | -0.1000 (20) |
| 21. Chicago Bears (1-0) | -0.0308 | +1 | -0.5821 (28) | 0.0162 (17) | 0.1231 (14) | -0.2318 (22) |
| 22. Atlanta Falcons (0-1) | -0.0627 | -5 | 0.0596 (15) | -0.1666 (24) | -0.2379 (24) | 0.2162 (12) |
| 23. Minnesota Vikings (1-0) | -0.0963 | +1 | -0.4907 (27) | -0.1211 (22) | 0.0015 (19) | -0.1696 (21) |
| 24. Indianapolis Colts (0-1) | -0.2377 | -1 | 0.3308 (8) | -0.1202 (21) | -0.2760 (25) | -0.3175 (24) |
| 25. Las Vegas Raiders (0-1) | -0.2770 | - | -0.0123 (19) | -0.2798 (26) | -0.1194 (22) | -0.4326 (27) |
| 26. Arizona Cardinals (0-1) | -0.3568 | - | 0.5070 (5) | -0.2665 (25) | -0.3970 (26) | -0.4078 (26) |
| 27. New York Giants (0-1) | -0.4907 | - | -0.0963 (23) | -0.3257 (27) | -0.6261 (27) | -0.5218 (30) |
| 28. Tennessee Titans (0-1) | -0.5821 | - | -0.0308 (21) | -0.5795 (30) | -0.6470 (28) | -0.5216 (29) |
| 29. Denver Broncos (0-1) | -0.6135 | +1 | 0.0091 (17) | -0.5573 (28) | -0.6664 (29) | -0.6187 (32) |
| 30. New England Patriots (1-0) | -0.6508 | +1 | 0.2340 (12) | -0.5596 (29) | -0.7937 (30) | -0.6011 (31) |
| 31. Washington Commanders (0-1) | -0.6793 | -2 | -0.0036 (18) | -0.6927 (31) | -1.0164 (31) | -0.3307 (25) |
| 32. Carolina Panthers (0-1) | -0.9024 | - | -0.0156 (20) | -0.9910 (32) | -1.2350 (32) | -0.4841 (28) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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