NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Buffalo Bills (3-1)0.9057-0.2311 (3)0.6512 (3)1.2285 (1)0.8402 (1)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (3-1)0.7816+10.1851 (4)0.6523 (1)0.9304 (2)0.7645 (2)
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)0.6762-10.4130 (1)0.4914 (5)0.8205 (3)0.7186 (3)
4. Green Bay Packers (3-1)0.6051-0.1108 (10)0.6521 (2)0.5993 (5)0.5657 (4)
5. Los Angeles Rams (2-2)0.4643-0.1665 (5)0.5157 (4)0.3863 (9)0.4922 (5)
6. Philadelphia Eagles (4-0)0.3837+2-0.2765 (30)0.4367 (7)0.5913 (6)0.1243 (13)
7. Dallas Cowboys (3-1)0.3764+20.0771 (11)0.3909 (8)0.6252 (4)0.1141 (14)
8. Cincinnati Bengals (2-2)0.3251-1-0.0814 (19)0.3043 (10)0.3729 (10)0.2990 (7)
9. San Francisco 49ers (2-2)0.3129+3-0.1275 (24)0.2479 (11)0.4354 (7)0.2563 (10)
10. Miami Dolphins (3-1)0.2864-40.3334 (2)0.4714 (6)0.4113 (8)-0.0225 (20)
11. Minnesota Vikings (3-1)0.2680+20.0669 (12)0.3115 (9)0.3087 (11)0.1846 (11)
12. Baltimore Ravens (2-2)0.1335-10.1426 (9)-0.0035 (15)0.1166 (13)0.2877 (8)
13. Los Angeles Chargers (2-2)0.0606+1-0.1953 (28)0.0289 (14)-0.2554 (20)0.4085 (6)
14. Tennessee Titans (2-2)0.0403+40.1434 (8)0.1216 (12)0.1473 (12)-0.1478 (21)
15. Denver Broncos (2-2)0.0387-5-0.3601 (31)-0.0827 (19)-0.0709 (16)0.2699 (9)
16. Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1)0.0354-1-0.2182 (29)-0.0326 (16)-0.0009 (15)0.1398 (12)
17. New England Patriots (1-3)-0.0306-10.1569 (6)-0.1867 (20)0.1119 (14)-0.0170 (19)
18. Arizona Cardinals (2-2)-0.0319+10.1516 (7)0.0317 (13)-0.1618 (19)0.0344 (16)
19. Las Vegas Raiders (1-3)-0.0864+20.0269 (13)-0.0690 (18)-0.2829 (21)0.0926 (15)
20. New Orleans Saints (1-3)-0.1111-3-0.0324 (15)-0.1972 (21)-0.1314 (17)-0.0051 (18)
21. Cleveland Browns (2-2)-0.1975-1-0.5155 (32)-0.2757 (22)-0.3349 (22)0.0176 (17)
22. New York Giants (3-1)-0.2813+2-0.1517 (25)-0.0586 (17)-0.3639 (23)-0.4223 (25)
23. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)-0.3524-10.0171 (14)-0.3983 (28)-0.1430 (18)-0.5170 (26)
24. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3)-0.3974-1-0.1235 (23)-0.2915 (23)-0.5430 (27)-0.3588 (23)
25. Washington Commanders (1-3)-0.4114--0.0506 (17)-0.3370 (25)-0.5206 (26)-0.3778 (24)
26. Chicago Bears (2-2)-0.4704+1-0.1219 (22)-0.3324 (24)-0.4398 (24)-0.6403 (30)
27. Atlanta Falcons (2-2)-0.5206+3-0.0968 (20)-0.3819 (27)-0.5808 (28)-0.6007 (28)
28. Seattle Seahawks (2-2)-0.5428+3-0.1948 (27)-0.5094 (29)-0.4990 (25)-0.6215 (29)
29. Carolina Panthers (1-3)-0.5530-3-0.1554 (26)-0.7340 (31)-0.7110 (30)-0.2155 (22)
30. New York Jets (2-2)-0.5911-1-0.0341 (16)-0.3747 (26)-0.7326 (31)-0.6677 (31)
31. Detroit Lions (1-3)-0.6102-3-0.0756 (18)-0.5716 (30)-0.6818 (29)-0.5790 (27)
32. Houston Texans (0-3-1)-1.1242--0.1119 (21)-1.1049 (32)-1.2265 (32)-1.0446 (32)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.