NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Baltimore Ravens (1-0)1.1641+1-0.0691 (21)1.1963 (2)1.2754 (1)1.0240 (2)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (1-0)1.1540-10.0261 (19)1.2163 (1)1.2262 (2)1.0229 (3)
3. San Francisco 49ers (0-1)0.9244-1.3285 (4)0.8608 (3)0.8809 (3)1.0342 (1)
4. New Orleans Saints (1-0)0.7559-0.4619 (12)0.7983 (4)0.7983 (4)0.6733 (4)
5. Seattle Seahawks (1-0)0.4992+20.0644 (18)0.5222 (5)0.5222 (5)0.4545 (8)
6. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)0.4709+4-0.9005 (28)0.4592 (6)0.4592 (7)0.4957 (6)
7. Dallas Cowboys (0-1)0.4663-10.0082 (20)0.4437 (7)0.4645 (6)0.4920 (7)
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1)0.4619-30.7559 (8)0.4207 (9)0.4207 (9)0.5457 (5)
9. New England Patriots (1-0)0.3815--0.7521 (27)0.4393 (8)0.4393 (8)0.2670 (10)
10. Philadelphia Eagles (0-1)0.3658-2-1.1530 (32)0.3787 (10)0.3787 (10)0.3410 (9)
11. Buffalo Bills (1-0)0.2795+1-0.7351 (26)0.3343 (11)0.3343 (11)0.1708 (14)
12. Indianapolis Colts (0-1)0.2701-1-1.0952 (31)0.2887 (12)0.2989 (12)0.2234 (12)
13. Green Bay Packers (1-0)0.2399+11.6182 (3)0.2692 (13)0.2593 (13)0.1920 (13)
14. Minnesota Vikings (0-1)0.1946-11.1643 (5)0.1658 (14)0.1757 (14)0.2430 (11)
15. Tennessee Titans (1-0)0.0969-1.8035 (2)0.1042 (15)0.0841 (15)0.1028 (15)
16. Los Angeles Rams (1-0)0.0082-0.4663 (11)0.0313 (16)0.0105 (16)-0.0170 (16)
17. Los Angeles Chargers (1-0)-0.0772--0.9937 (30)-0.0608 (17)-0.0809 (17)-0.0902 (18)
18. Cleveland Browns (0-1)-0.1661-1.1641 (6)-0.1973 (19)-0.2764 (20)-0.0250 (17)
19. Atlanta Falcons (0-1)-0.1755-0.4992 (9)-0.1982 (20)-0.1982 (18)-0.1305 (19)
20. Arizona Cardinals (1-0)-0.2600-0.9244 (7)-0.1958 (18)-0.2159 (19)-0.3692 (21)
21. Chicago Bears (1-0)-0.3261--0.6419 (25)-0.2908 (21)-0.3109 (21)-0.3775 (22)
22. Houston Texans (0-1)-0.4976+12.3079 (1)-0.5593 (24)-0.5692 (24)-0.3659 (20)
23. Denver Broncos (0-1)-0.5145-10.0969 (17)-0.5222 (23)-0.5021 (22)-0.5208 (23)
24. Las Vegas Raiders (1-0)-0.5218--0.9527 (29)-0.5088 (22)-0.5289 (23)-0.5292 (24)
25. Detroit Lions (0-1)-0.6419--0.3261 (23)-0.6782 (25)-0.6581 (25)-0.5915 (25)
26. New York Jets (0-1)-0.7351-0.2795 (15)-0.7903 (26)-0.7903 (26)-0.6268 (26)
27. Miami Dolphins (0-1)-0.7521-0.3815 (13)-0.8103 (27)-0.8103 (27)-0.6380 (27)
28. New York Giants (0-1)-0.9005-0.4709 (10)-0.8892 (28)-0.8892 (28)-0.9257 (28)
29. Carolina Panthers (0-1)-0.9527--0.5218 (24)-0.9672 (29)-0.9471 (29)-0.9468 (29)
30. Cincinnati Bengals (0-1)-0.9937--0.0772 (22)-1.0112 (30)-0.9911 (30)-0.9818 (30)
31. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0)-1.0952-0.2701 (16)-1.1147 (31)-1.1249 (31)-1.0494 (31)
32. Washington Football Team (1-0)-1.1530-0.3658 (14)-1.1667 (32)-1.1667 (32)-1.1290 (32)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.