| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1) | 1.0888 | +1 | 0.1192 (13) | 1.0341 (1) | 1.1959 (2) | 1.0396 (2) |
| 2. Buffalo Bills (4-1) | 0.9729 | +1 | -0.1077 (20) | 0.9299 (2) | 1.2094 (1) | 0.7823 (4) |
| 3. Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) | 0.8540 | -2 | 0.4100 (1) | 0.7369 (4) | 0.6155 (8) | 1.2123 (1) |
| 4. Los Angeles Rams (4-1) | 0.8154 | - | 0.3332 (3) | 0.7339 (5) | 0.9030 (4) | 0.8119 (3) |
| 5. Arizona Cardinals (5-0) | 0.7502 | +2 | -0.2172 (28) | 0.6122 (7) | 1.1789 (3) | 0.4617 (8) |
| 6. Green Bay Packers (4-1) | 0.6458 | - | -0.1448 (24) | 0.7590 (3) | 0.5356 (9) | 0.6447 (6) |
| 7. Baltimore Ravens (4-1) | 0.6403 | -2 | -0.1173 (21) | 0.6085 (8) | 0.6813 (7) | 0.6329 (7) |
| 8. New Orleans Saints (3-2) | 0.5060 | +3 | -0.0001 (16) | 0.3346 (10) | 0.8546 (5) | 0.3303 (10) |
| 9. Los Angeles Chargers (4-1) | 0.4049 | +1 | 0.2876 (5) | 0.6486 (6) | 0.3881 (10) | 0.1792 (13) |
| 10. Dallas Cowboys (4-1) | 0.3822 | +2 | 0.1326 (11) | 0.4809 (9) | 0.6996 (6) | -0.0327 (19) |
| 11. Seattle Seahawks (2-3) | 0.3273 | -3 | 0.1254 (12) | 0.1536 (14) | 0.1608 (13) | 0.6685 (5) |
| 12. Cleveland Browns (3-2) | 0.2994 | -3 | -0.0829 (19) | 0.3312 (11) | 0.3330 (11) | 0.2349 (11) |
| 13. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) | 0.1113 | +3 | 0.2608 (6) | 0.1565 (13) | -0.0030 (16) | 0.1809 (12) |
| 14. San Francisco 49ers (2-3) | 0.0793 | -1 | 0.0552 (14) | -0.1143 (19) | -0.0082 (17) | 0.3606 (9) |
| 15. New England Patriots (2-3) | 0.0104 | - | -0.1582 (26) | -0.1936 (22) | 0.0528 (14) | 0.1720 (14) |
| 16. Tennessee Titans (3-2) | 0.0091 | +2 | -0.3968 (31) | -0.0009 (15) | -0.1015 (18) | 0.1298 (15) |
| 17. Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) | -0.0045 | - | 0.1402 (10) | 0.2299 (12) | -0.2123 (23) | -0.0311 (18) |
| 18. Denver Broncos (3-2) | -0.0694 | -4 | -0.5226 (32) | -0.0782 (18) | -0.1680 (22) | 0.0376 (17) |
| 19. Carolina Panthers (3-2) | -0.0740 | - | -0.3246 (30) | -0.1946 (23) | 0.2864 (12) | -0.3139 (23) |
| 20. Minnesota Vikings (2-3) | -0.0904 | +3 | -0.0087 (17) | -0.2173 (25) | -0.1278 (21) | 0.0736 (16) |
| 21. Washington Football Team (2-3) | -0.0930 | +1 | 0.1848 (8) | -0.1170 (20) | 0.0494 (15) | -0.2116 (22) |
| 22. Miami Dolphins (1-4) | -0.1418 | -2 | 0.3762 (2) | -0.0213 (16) | -0.3258 (26) | -0.0788 (21) |
| 23. Indianapolis Colts (1-4) | -0.1867 | -2 | 0.3301 (4) | -0.1998 (24) | -0.2990 (25) | -0.0619 (20) |
| 24. Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) | -0.2406 | - | -0.3094 (29) | -0.1171 (21) | -0.1057 (19) | -0.4996 (26) |
| 25. Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) | -0.2672 | +1 | 0.1543 (9) | -0.2920 (26) | -0.1079 (20) | -0.4024 (24) |
| 26. Chicago Bears (3-2) | -0.3138 | +1 | -0.0620 (18) | -0.0433 (17) | -0.2477 (24) | -0.6512 (27) |
| 27. Atlanta Falcons (2-3) | -0.4702 | +1 | -0.1472 (25) | -0.4422 (28) | -0.5216 (28) | -0.4480 (25) |
| 28. New York Giants (1-4) | -0.4896 | -3 | 0.0511 (15) | -0.3308 (27) | -0.4798 (27) | -0.6597 (28) |
| 29. New York Jets (1-4) | -0.9751 | - | -0.1188 (22) | -0.7502 (29) | -1.1958 (29) | -0.9822 (30) |
| 30. Detroit Lions (0-5) | -1.1798 | - | 0.1922 (7) | -1.1371 (30) | -1.4704 (31) | -0.9356 (29) |
| 31. Houston Texans (1-4) | -1.2691 | - | -0.1382 (23) | -1.2766 (31) | -1.3078 (30) | -1.2267 (32) |
| 32. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5) | -1.8997 | - | -0.1640 (27) | -2.1411 (32) | -2.4401 (32) | -1.1236 (31) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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