| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. San Francisco 49ers (15-4) | 1.1002 | - | 0.1789 (7) | 1.1535 (1) | 1.1218 (3) | 1.0287 (1) |
| 2. Kansas City Chiefs (15-4) | 1.0960 | +1 | 0.1142 (10) | 1.0892 (2) | 1.2143 (1) | 0.9879 (3) |
| 3. Baltimore Ravens (14-3) | 1.0731 | -1 | 0.0231 (17) | 1.0635 (3) | 1.1366 (2) | 1.0225 (2) |
| 4. New Orleans Saints (13-4) | 0.7600 | - | 0.1184 (9) | 0.8700 (5) | 0.7121 (4) | 0.7003 (6) |
| 5. New England Patriots (12-5) | 0.6566 | - | -0.1880 (28) | 0.4330 (9) | 0.6875 (5) | 0.8514 (4) |
| 6. Green Bay Packers (14-4) | 0.6110 | - | -0.0080 (24) | 0.8951 (4) | 0.3914 (9) | 0.5485 (8) |
| 7. Los Angeles Rams (9-7) | 0.5540 | - | 0.1916 (4) | 0.3850 (11) | 0.5183 (7) | 0.7605 (5) |
| 8. Minnesota Vikings (11-7) | 0.5337 | - | 0.0152 (18) | 0.4910 (8) | 0.5624 (6) | 0.5492 (7) |
| 9. Seattle Seahawks (12-6) | 0.4788 | - | 0.2261 (2) | 0.6395 (6) | 0.3761 (10) | 0.4221 (10) |
| 10. Tennessee Titans (11-8) | 0.4680 | - | 0.1448 (8) | 0.5608 (7) | 0.5120 (8) | 0.3325 (11) |
| 11. Houston Texans (11-7) | 0.2334 | +2 | 0.1895 (5) | 0.4129 (10) | 0.1844 (14) | 0.1036 (14) |
| 12. Buffalo Bills (10-7) | 0.2236 | - | -0.2127 (31) | 0.0942 (13) | 0.3172 (11) | 0.2601 (12) |
| 13. Dallas Cowboys (8-8) | 0.2177 | -2 | -0.2198 (32) | -0.1145 (20) | 0.2522 (13) | 0.5161 (9) |
| 14. Atlanta Falcons (7-9) | 0.1451 | - | 0.1875 (6) | 0.1846 (12) | 0.2533 (12) | -0.0021 (17) |
| 15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) | 0.0073 | - | 0.0667 (14) | -0.0360 (16) | 0.0475 (15) | 0.0104 (16) |
| 16. Chicago Bears (8-8) | -0.0231 | +1 | 0.0135 (20) | -0.0014 (14) | -0.1878 (21) | 0.1197 (13) |
| 17. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8) | -0.0349 | -1 | 0.0306 (16) | -0.0471 (17) | -0.0106 (16) | -0.0471 (19) |
| 18. Philadelphia Eagles (9-8) | -0.0478 | - | -0.1880 (29) | -0.0592 (18) | -0.1477 (19) | 0.0634 (15) |
| 19. Indianapolis Colts (7-9) | -0.1104 | - | -0.0008 (23) | -0.1129 (19) | -0.0329 (17) | -0.1857 (21) |
| 20. Cleveland Browns (6-10) | -0.1893 | - | 0.0874 (12) | -0.2273 (21) | -0.3305 (23) | -0.0107 (18) |
| 21. Denver Broncos (7-9) | -0.1900 | - | 0.0778 (13) | -0.0254 (15) | -0.1337 (18) | -0.4116 (24) |
| 22. Los Angeles Chargers (5-11) | -0.2116 | - | 0.0121 (21) | -0.3687 (24) | -0.1858 (20) | -0.0810 (20) |
| 23. Arizona Cardinals (5-10) | -0.2984 | - | 0.2471 (1) | -0.3118 (23) | -0.2079 (22) | -0.3764 (23) |
| 24. Las Vegas Raiders (7-9) | -0.4431 | +1 | 0.0042 (22) | -0.2736 (22) | -0.5496 (24) | -0.5075 (25) |
| 25. Carolina Panthers (5-11) | -0.4580 | -1 | 0.1938 (3) | -0.4680 (27) | -0.6117 (25) | -0.2958 (22) |
| 26. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10) | -0.5299 | - | 0.0148 (19) | -0.4190 (25) | -0.6395 (26) | -0.5328 (26) |
| 27. New York Jets (7-9) | -0.6562 | - | -0.2088 (30) | -0.4630 (26) | -0.7199 (27) | -0.7878 (28) |
| 28. Detroit Lions (3-12) | -0.8541 | - | 0.0381 (15) | -1.0682 (30) | -0.8157 (30) | -0.6809 (27) |
| 29. New York Giants (4-12) | -0.8690 | - | -0.1842 (27) | -1.0178 (29) | -0.7717 (28) | -0.8200 (29) |
| 30. Cincinnati Bengals (2-14) | -0.9940 | - | 0.1098 (11) | -1.2424 (31) | -0.7815 (29) | -0.9610 (30) |
| 31. Miami Dolphins (5-11) | -1.0264 | - | -0.1218 (26) | -0.7732 (28) | -1.0048 (31) | -1.3042 (32) |
| 32. Washington Redskins (3-13) | -1.2309 | - | -0.0807 (25) | -1.2641 (32) | -1.1478 (32) | -1.2845 (31) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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