NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)1.1915-0.0000 (1)1.3128 (1)1.1373 (2)1.1279 (1)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0)0.9132-0.0000 (1)0.8730 (2)1.1433 (1)0.7259 (3)
3. Green Bay Packers (0-0)0.7134+20.0000 (1)0.5885 (4)0.8547 (3)0.6991 (4)
4. Buffalo Bills (0-0)0.6700-0.0000 (1)0.8453 (3)0.8315 (4)0.3352 (10)
5. Baltimore Ravens (0-0)0.6526+10.0000 (1)0.4613 (6)0.6523 (5)0.8462 (2)
6. Los Angeles Rams (0-0)0.5182+30.0000 (1)0.4176 (7)0.6270 (6)0.5116 (6)
7. Seattle Seahawks (0-0)0.4451-0.0000 (1)0.3362 (8)0.4626 (8)0.5377 (5)
8. Cleveland Browns (0-0)0.4030+50.0000 (1)0.5866 (5)0.3102 (11)0.3134 (11)
9. Indianapolis Colts (0-0)0.3629+20.0000 (1)0.2829 (10)0.3443 (10)0.4625 (8)
10. San Francisco 49ers (0-0)0.3372+70.0000 (1)0.1666 (14)0.3823 (9)0.4638 (7)
11. New England Patriots (0-0)0.2430+50.0000 (1)0.2273 (13)0.2125 (14)0.2900 (12)
12. Dallas Cowboys (0-0)0.1944+130.0000 (1)0.2364 (12)0.0776 (18)0.2698 (14)
13. Tennessee Titans (0-0)0.1686-30.0000 (1)0.1171 (15)0.2247 (13)0.1645 (17)
14. New Orleans Saints (0-0)0.1626-110.0000 (1)-0.0660 (21)0.4644 (7)0.0899 (18)
15. Los Angeles Chargers (0-0)0.1453+70.0000 (1)0.2865 (9)-0.1945 (24)0.3444 (9)
16. Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)0.1250-80.0000 (1)0.0882 (17)0.1044 (17)0.1827 (16)
17. Minnesota Vikings (0-0)0.0877+10.0000 (1)0.0059 (19)-0.0209 (20)0.2784 (13)
18. Arizona Cardinals (0-0)0.0867-40.0000 (1)-0.0692 (22)0.1216 (16)0.2080 (15)
19. Miami Dolphins (0-0)0.0779-70.0000 (1)0.2587 (11)0.2368 (12)-0.2616 (22)
20. Washington Football Team (0-0)0.0037+30.0000 (1)0.0527 (18)0.2099 (15)-0.2514 (20)
21. Denver Broncos (0-0)-0.1097+50.0000 (1)0.1043 (16)-0.1743 (22)-0.2594 (21)
22. Chicago Bears (0-0)-0.1362-30.0000 (1)-0.1202 (24)-0.0176 (19)-0.2710 (23)
23. Las Vegas Raiders (0-0)-0.2338-80.0000 (1)-0.0398 (20)-0.3811 (26)-0.2810 (24)
24. Atlanta Falcons (0-0)-0.2600-40.0000 (1)-0.5422 (28)-0.0618 (21)-0.1767 (19)
25. Carolina Panthers (0-0)-0.2779-40.0000 (1)-0.3322 (26)-0.1890 (23)-0.3132 (25)
26. New York Giants (0-0)-0.3398+10.0000 (1)-0.1138 (23)-0.3401 (25)-0.5666 (28)
27. Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)-0.4913+30.0000 (1)-0.2822 (25)-0.4711 (27)-0.7220 (31)
28. Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)-0.5723-40.0000 (1)-0.6265 (29)-0.7587 (29)-0.3334 (26)
29. New York Jets (0-0)-0.6003+20.0000 (1)-0.3663 (27)-0.6949 (28)-0.7414 (32)
30. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)-0.6077+20.0000 (1)-0.6438 (30)-0.8187 (30)-0.3625 (27)
31. Detroit Lions (0-0)-0.7731-20.0000 (1)-0.7531 (31)-0.9721 (31)-0.5964 (29)
32. Houston Texans (0-0)-1.0437-40.0000 (1)-1.2174 (32)-1.2467 (32)-0.6701 (30)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.