NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Baltimore Ravens (14-5)1.0816-0.1431 (5)0.9929 (1)1.5642 (1)0.6911 (5)
2. San Francisco 49ers (14-6)0.9056-0.0752 (10)0.6738 (2)1.0128 (2)1.0329 (1)
3. Kansas City Chiefs (15-6)0.8050-0.1240 (6)0.6712 (3)0.9627 (3)0.7834 (3)
4. Buffalo Bills (12-7)0.6551--0.0461 (26)0.3464 (7)0.8055 (4)0.8154 (2)
5. Detroit Lions (14-6)0.5493-0.0551 (11)0.5680 (5)0.7125 (5)0.3691 (8)
6. Dallas Cowboys (12-6)0.4964--0.1655 (30)0.3100 (8)0.4435 (7)0.7373 (4)
7. Miami Dolphins (11-7)0.3689--0.0607 (28)0.1584 (13)0.3681 (8)0.5813 (7)
8. Cleveland Browns (11-7)0.2892-0.1171 (7)0.5798 (4)0.2297 (12)0.0590 (12)
9. Los Angeles Rams (10-8)0.2625-0.1054 (8)0.3747 (6)0.3612 (9)0.0525 (13)
10. Philadelphia Eagles (11-7)0.1766--0.0473 (27)0.1218 (16)-0.1811 (23)0.5895 (6)
11. Cincinnati Bengals (9-8)0.1562-0.2583 (1)0.2887 (9)0.0388 (15)0.1416 (10)
12. Green Bay Packers (10-9)0.1462-0.0092 (19)0.1270 (15)0.4660 (6)-0.1541 (19)
13. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8)0.1263-0.0972 (9)0.1370 (14)0.0294 (16)0.2128 (9)
14. Houston Texans (11-8)0.1070--0.0284 (23)0.2554 (10)0.2865 (11)-0.2206 (20)
15. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-8)0.0436+10.1880 (2)0.2115 (11)-0.0156 (17)-0.0649 (16)
16. New Orleans Saints (9-8)0.0401+2-0.2367 (31)-0.0800 (21)0.2240 (13)-0.0234 (14)
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-9)0.0400--0.0288 (24)0.0303 (18)0.3175 (10)-0.2278 (22)
18. Seattle Seahawks (9-8)0.0378-30.0455 (13)0.1725 (12)-0.0323 (18)-0.0268 (15)
19. Las Vegas Raiders (8-9)-0.0706-0.0114 (17)-0.0597 (19)0.1762 (14)-0.3285 (24)
20. Indianapolis Colts (9-8)-0.1171--0.0407 (25)0.0885 (17)-0.1790 (22)-0.2611 (23)
21. Denver Broncos (8-9)-0.1211-0.0284 (15)-0.0785 (20)-0.1656 (21)-0.1196 (18)
22. Minnesota Vikings (7-10)-0.1547-0.0544 (12)-0.2200 (22)-0.1258 (20)-0.1188 (17)
23. Chicago Bears (7-10)-0.2514--0.0822 (29)-0.2564 (23)-0.0388 (19)-0.4598 (28)
24. Los Angeles Chargers (5-12)-0.3458-0.1539 (3)-0.5246 (28)-0.5824 (26)0.0686 (11)
25. Tennessee Titans (6-11)-0.3970-0.0232 (16)-0.3365 (24)-0.4678 (24)-0.3880 (25)
26. Atlanta Falcons (7-10)-0.4426--0.2387 (32)-0.5003 (27)-0.6023 (27)-0.2266 (21)
27. New York Jets (7-10)-0.4464-0.0064 (21)-0.3921 (25)-0.5332 (25)-0.4152 (27)
28. New York Giants (6-11)-0.6176-0.0072 (20)-0.4201 (26)-0.7007 (29)-0.7339 (31)
29. New England Patriots (4-13)-0.6581-0.0321 (14)-0.6594 (30)-0.9121 (30)-0.4048 (26)
30. Arizona Cardinals (4-13)-0.6678-0.1501 (4)-0.5263 (29)-0.6942 (28)-0.7849 (32)
31. Washington Commanders (4-13)-0.8988--0.0145 (22)-0.9009 (31)-1.3371 (31)-0.4609 (29)
32. Carolina Panthers (2-15)-1.1067-0.0110 (18)-1.1841 (32)-1.4467 (32)-0.6927 (30)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.