NFL Football Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
Vegas
(Rank)
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-0)1.6175--0.3275 (32)2.0428 (1)2.0074 (1)0.8072 (6)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)1.4580--0.1407 (27)1.4166 (2)1.4288 (3)1.5328 (2)
3. New Orleans Saints (8-2)1.1500-0.0505 (16)0.9638 (3)1.5917 (2)0.8980 (4)
4. Baltimore Ravens (6-4)0.9448-0.2526 (4)0.4193 (12)0.7811 (5)1.6368 (1)
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4)0.7690-0.0811 (12)0.5309 (9)0.9543 (4)0.8242 (5)
6. Green Bay Packers (7-3)0.6182-0.0150 (18)0.4112 (13)0.5124 (11)0.9328 (3)
7. Seattle Seahawks (7-3)0.5596+10.0537 (15)0.5092 (10)0.5339 (10)0.6373 (8)
8. Indianapolis Colts (7-3)0.5588+1-0.2362 (28)0.4285 (11)0.5383 (9)0.7112 (7)
9. Tennessee Titans (7-3)0.5389+10.2798 (3)0.5990 (6)0.5616 (7)0.4576 (9)
10. Buffalo Bills (7-3)0.5292-3-0.0314 (19)0.7461 (4)0.4249 (12)0.4181 (10)
11. Los Angeles Rams (7-3)0.5186+1-0.1354 (26)0.5318 (8)0.6365 (6)0.3891 (11)
12. Las Vegas Raiders (6-4)0.3480-10.4213 (1)0.7157 (5)0.5493 (8)-0.2200 (19)
13. Cleveland Browns (7-3)0.3234--0.0493 (21)0.5941 (7)0.1966 (14)0.1804 (14)
14. Arizona Cardinals (6-4)0.1178--0.2716 (31)0.1127 (15)0.1555 (15)0.0856 (16)
15. Miami Dolphins (6-4)-0.0192--0.2654 (30)0.1521 (14)0.4043 (13)-0.6141 (25)
16. San Francisco 49ers (4-6)-0.0335+10.1544 (8)-0.2872 (20)-0.0406 (16)0.2271 (13)
17. New England Patriots (4-6)-0.0646-10.1084 (11)-0.2020 (18)-0.2875 (19)0.2957 (12)
18. Minnesota Vikings (4-6)-0.1333-0.0749 (14)-0.2136 (19)-0.3496 (21)0.1629 (15)
19. Chicago Bears (5-5)-0.1726-0.1254 (9)0.0235 (16)-0.0449 (17)-0.4970 (24)
20. Houston Texans (3-7)-0.3607+40.4052 (2)-0.4866 (23)-0.5773 (23)-0.0194 (17)
21. Carolina Panthers (4-7)-0.3694+10.2401 (5)-0.2874 (21)-0.1610 (18)-0.6608 (26)
22. Atlanta Falcons (3-7)-0.3744-1-0.0376 (20)-0.5195 (24)-0.3776 (22)-0.2271 (20)
23. Philadelphia Eagles (3-6)-0.4531--0.0979 (24)-0.5719 (25)-0.7076 (26)-0.0812 (18)
24. Denver Broncos (4-6)-0.4559+10.1802 (7)-0.1377 (17)-0.3344 (20)-0.8969 (27)
25. Detroit Lions (4-6)-0.4639-5-0.0812 (23)-0.3888 (22)-0.6963 (25)-0.3081 (22)
26. Los Angeles Chargers (3-7)-0.5850--0.1137 (25)-0.7988 (29)-0.7078 (27)-0.2501 (21)
27. Dallas Cowboys (3-7)-0.7393+10.0382 (17)-0.5890 (26)-1.1565 (30)-0.4747 (23)
28. Cincinnati Bengals (2-7)-0.7778-10.1179 (10)-0.7360 (28)-0.6807 (24)-0.9190 (28)
29. Washington Football Team (3-7)-0.8532+1-0.2411 (29)-0.8280 (30)-0.7189 (28)-1.0154 (29)
30. New York Giants (3-7)-0.9408-1-0.0653 (22)-0.7103 (27)-0.8458 (29)-1.2692 (31)
31. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9)-1.3544-0.0766 (13)-1.3585 (31)-1.5377 (31)-1.1709 (30)
32. New York Jets (0-10)-1.8858-0.2035 (6)-2.0771 (32)-2.0167 (32)-1.5692 (32)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.