MLS Soccer Predictions

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future MLS soccer games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

For our weekly rankings update, go to: MLS Ratings

All upcoming MLS soccer money line predictions are listed below along with the Index’s picks for the odds to win each of the MLS games straight-up (SU).

Week 25 Midweek MLS Score Predictions

Date Away Home Teams Lines – Updated 8/19 @ 8:49 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Goals
Over/Under
8/21 Columbus Crew New York City New York City
-182
-180
No Odds
 59.1% 1.91 2.81
Columbus Crew
+420
+450
No Odds
 14.7% 0.89
Draw
+310
+315
–
 26.0% —
8/21 New York Red Bulls DC United DC United
+152
+150
No Odds
 47.0% 1.43 2.42
New York Red Bulls
+167
+175
No Odds
 23.7% 0.98
Draw
+225
+245
–
 29.2% —
8/21 San Jose Earthquakes Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
-250
-245
No Odds
 61.7% 2.10 2.99
San Jose Earthquakes
+520
+525
No Odds
 13.1% 0.89
Draw
+400
+400
–
 25.0% —
8/22 Minnesota United Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
-135
-140
No Odds
 49.0% 1.61 2.64
Minnesota United
+320
+325
No Odds
 22.0% 1.03
Draw
+275
+295
–
 28.8% —

MLS Season Projections

These season projections take into account all of the current results of games and the expected results of future games.

MLS Eastern Conference Projections

Rank Team Current Projected
Wins Losses Ties Points Diff Wins Losses Ties Points
1 Atlanta United 14 9 3 45 15 17.3 11.5 5.3 57.1
2 New York City 11 5 8 41 13 15.4 7.8 10.8 56.9
3 Philadelphia Union 13 8 6 45 8 15.6 10.4 8 54.7
4 New York Red Bulls 11 10 5 38 5 13.6 13.1 7.2 48.2
5 DC United 10 8 9 39 1 12.2 10.9 10.9 47.5
6 Montreal Impact 10 13 4 34 -11 13 15.1 5.9 44.9
7 New England Revolution 9 9 8 35 -7 11.6 12.2 10.2 44.9
8 Toronto FC 9 10 7 34 -2 11.7 13.1 9.2 44.4
9 Orlando City 9 11 7 34 0 11.2 13.8 9 42.6
10 Chicago Fire 8 11 9 33 2 10.2 13.1 10.7 41.3
11 Columbus Crew 7 14 6 27 -12 8.9 17.2 8 34.6
12 FC Cincinnati 5 18 3 18 -35 7.3 21.4 5.3 27.3

MLS Western Conference Projection

Rank Team Current Projected
Wins Losses Ties Points Diff Wins Losses Ties Points
1 Los Angeles FC 18 3 4 58 42 22.8 4.8 6.3 74.8
2 Portland Timbers 11 10 4 37 3 15.7 11.8 6.5 53.6
3 Minnesota United 12 8 6 42 8 14.5 11.3 8.2 51.7
4 Real Salt Lake 12 10 4 40 4 15 12.7 6.2 51.4
5 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 11 2 41 -3 15.6 14.2 4.2 50.9
6 Seattle Sounders 11 8 7 40 1 13.6 10.4 9 49.9
7 San Jose Earthquakes 11 9 5 38 4 14.1 12.4 7.4 49.8
8 FC Dallas 10 10 7 37 3 12.8 12.2 9 47.4
9 Sporting Kansas City 8 11 7 31 -6 10.8 14 9.2 41.7
10 Houston Dynamo 9 13 4 31 -6 11.6 16.2 6.2 40.9
11 Vancouver Whitecaps 6 12 9 27 -18 8 15 11 34.9
12 Colorado Rapids 7 13 6 27 -9 8.6 16.5 7.9 33.7