MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 28, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Jose Earthquakes (3-5-5)
Los Angeles FC (8-3-2)		17.2%
63.4%		19.4%
+575
-190
+550
-210
1.08
2.23		3.31
o3-115
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Columbus Crew (3-5-4)
Atlanta United (4-4-4)		22.6%
50.5%		26.9%
+295
-103
+300
-110
0.87
1.43		2.30
o2½-108
u2½-104
o2½-112
u2½-105
D.C. United (4-6-2)
New York Red Bulls (5-3-5)		20.1%
55.5%		24.4%
+435
-150
+435
-160
0.89
1.66		2.55
o2½-127
u2¾-118
o2½-126
u2½+110
Chicago Fire (2-6-5)
Toronto FC (3-7-3)		29.5%
43.1%		27.4%
+150
+191
+140
+190
1.05
1.34		2.39
o2½-125
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Philadelphia Union (6-1-6)
New England Revolution (4-5-3)		26.7%
45.8%		27.5%
+247
+118
+240
+110
0.97
1.36		2.33
o2½-111
u2½-102
o2½-113
u2½+100
FC Dallas (6-3-4)
Orlando City (6-4-3)		25.7%
47.5%		26.7%
+255
+113
+250
+105
0.98
1.43		2.41
o2½-113
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½+100
FC Cincinnati (6-6-1)
Montreal Impact (6-5-2)		17.0%
61.4%		21.6%
+395
-155
+390
-160
0.90
1.92		2.82
o3-102
u3-115
o3+105
u3-115
Portland Timbers (3-5-6)
Inter Miami CF (4-6-3)		30.0%
43.0%		27.0%
+186
+151
+185
+140
1.10
1.36		2.46
o2½-110
u2½-104
o2½-113
u2½-105
New York City (7-3-2)
Minnesota United (5-5-3)		34.6%
36.2%		29.2%
+120
+235
+115
+217
1.08
1.11		2.19
o3+112
u3-128
o3+110
u3-130
Nashville SC (5-4-4)
Colorado Rapids (5-5-3)		23.5%
49.0%		27.5%
+343
-105
+342
-115
0.87
1.38		2.25
o2¼-115
u2½-133
o2½+115
u2½-134
Volatility Bet Value Active
Vancouver Whitecaps (3-7-2)
Sporting Kansas City (3-7-4)		23.2%
52.0%		24.8%
+370
-127
+370
-130
1.00
1.62		2.62
o2½-107
u2½-107
o2½-110
u2½-105
Houston Dynamo (5-5-3)
Real Salt Lake (6-3-4)		24.4%
50.0%		25.7%
+305
+100
+285
+105
0.99
1.53		2.52
o2½-105
u2½-110
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for May 27, 2022
Games for May 29, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers		29.6%
42.9%		27.5%
+210
+145
+225
+135
2
0		-1.15594-1.20731-1.21851
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy		20.1%
56.4%		23.5%
+395
-128
+395
-130
3
0		-1.62161-1.63276-1.60395
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids		22.2%
52.6%		25.2%
+295
+108
+305
-105
0
1		-0.75023-0.69800-0.64316
Orlando City
Austin FC		25.8%
47.7%		26.4%
+280
+105
+270
+110
2
2		-1.32738-1.34454-1.33075
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes		24.8%
51.6%		23.7%
+346
-115
+360
-123
1
1		-1.37255-1.33071-1.44109
Minnesota United
FC Dallas		22.1%
52.4%		25.5%
+274
+110
+340
+100
2
1		-1.33283-1.44932-1.50955
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/22/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1Los Angeles FC (8-3-2, 26 pts)18.19.16.861.1100.0%69.0%36.0%19.4%
2Austin FC (7-3-3, 24 pts)14.811.37.952.277.0%7.0%9.4%3.2%
3Philadelphia Union (6-1-6, 24 pts)15.87.111.158.696.0%33.0%26.1%13.9%
4New York City (7-3-2, 23 pts)17.48.77.960.297.0%49.0%35.2%19.8%
5FC Dallas (6-3-4, 22 pts)14.211.08.851.367.0%7.0%12.2%6.1%
6Real Salt Lake (6-3-4, 22 pts)13.511.49.149.659.0%2.0%3.8%1.8%
7Orlando City (6-4-3, 21 pts)13.712.08.349.472.0%3.0%6.5%2.6%
8New York Red Bulls (5-3-5, 20 pts)13.210.110.750.272.0%5.0%7.3%3.8%
9Montreal Impact (6-5-2, 20 pts)14.312.57.250.278.0%4.0%7.8%2.9%
10Los Angeles Galaxy (6-5-2, 20 pts)14.112.97.049.463.0%1.0%5.8%2.4%
11Nashville SC (5-4-4, 19 pts)13.511.29.349.868.0%3.0%6.8%2.7%
12FC Cincinnati (6-6-1, 19 pts)12.315.86.042.828.0%1.0%1.3%0.5%
13Houston Dynamo (5-5-3, 18 pts)12.713.57.945.945.0%1.0%3.6%1.6%
14Colorado Rapids (5-5-3, 18 pts)13.911.78.450.165.0%5.0%9.8%5.1%
15Minnesota United (5-5-3, 18 pts)12.812.98.446.751.0%1.0%4.1%2.0%
16Atlanta United (4-4-4, 16 pts)12.511.99.647.266.0%2.0%4.3%2.2%
17Charlotte FC (5-7-1, 16 pts)11.815.27.042.428.0%0.0%1.6%0.4%
18New England Revolution (4-5-3, 15 pts)13.412.28.448.765.0%2.0%5.3%2.8%
19Portland Timbers (3-5-6, 15 pts)10.912.210.943.520.0%1.0%1.8%1.2%
20Inter Miami CF (4-6-3, 15 pts)10.515.28.339.821.0%1.0%1.3%0.6%
21D.C. United (4-6-2, 14 pts)11.315.17.741.522.0%0.0%1.1%0.4%
22San Jose Earthquakes (3-5-5, 14 pts)10.813.49.842.227.0%1.0%1.3%0.7%
23Columbus Crew (3-5-4, 13 pts)11.313.19.643.536.0%0.0%1.8%0.5%
24Seattle Sounders (4-6-1, 13 pts)13.114.06.946.342.0%2.0%4.2%2.7%
25Sporting Kansas City (3-7-4, 13 pts)9.515.78.937.37.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
26Toronto FC (3-7-3, 12 pts)9.117.27.735.09.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
27Chicago Fire (2-6-5, 11 pts)9.015.010.037.110.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
28Vancouver Whitecaps (3-7-2, 11 pts)10.116.27.738.09.0%0.0%0.6%0.4%