MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 30, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (12-13-6)
Toronto FC (9-16-7)		27.7%
45.5%		26.8%
+246
+110

1.03
1.41		2.44
o3-108
u3-103

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 29, 2022
Games for Oct 1, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders		26.4%
47.3%		26.3%
+172
+160
+190
+154
1
1		-1.30239-1.28699-1.33427
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes		32.6%
41.7%		25.7%
+105
+240
-105
+230
3
2		-0.74047-0.71781-1.12868
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC		14.4%
66.5%		19.1%
+1080
-373
+1100
-380
1
3		-0.24488-0.24191-0.40737
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United		28.8%
44.6%		26.6%
+195
+137
+190
+140
3
2		-1.11252-1.10322-1.24414
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew		25.5%
48.7%		25.8%
+286
-109
+295
-115
1
1		-1.44443-1.45175-1.35418
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy		23.1%
52.4%		24.4%
+435
-165
+425
-150
1
4		-0.49151-0.51867-0.64577
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30239 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28699 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.33427
-0.03188
-0.04728

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/18/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1Philadelphia Union (18-4-10, 64 pts)19.14.410.567.8100.0%97.0%48.5%26.3%
2Los Angeles FC (20-8-4, 64 pts)21.08.64.467.5100.0%100.0%55.1%30.0%
3Montreal Impact (18-9-5, 59 pts)19.09.55.562.6100.0%3.0%18.3%10.1%
4Austin FC (16-9-7, 55 pts)16.99.67.558.1100.0%0.0%16.2%8.0%
5FC Dallas (13-8-11, 50 pts)13.88.611.653.1100.0%0.0%10.8%4.2%
6New York Red Bulls (14-10-8, 50 pts)14.810.78.552.8100.0%0.0%10.2%4.7%
7New York City (14-11-7, 49 pts)14.911.77.452.2100.0%0.0%9.8%3.9%
8Nashville SC (12-9-11, 47 pts)12.89.811.449.799.0%0.0%5.9%2.7%
9Portland Timbers (11-8-13, 46 pts)11.68.913.548.480.0%0.0%4.2%1.8%
10FC Cincinnati (11-8-12, 45 pts)12.58.812.750.195.0%0.0%4.9%2.0%
11Minnesota United (13-13-6, 45 pts)13.713.86.547.682.0%0.0%3.5%0.7%
12Orlando City (13-12-6, 45 pts)14.113.26.749.093.0%0.0%2.9%1.3%
13Columbus Crew (9-7-16, 43 pts)9.87.816.545.844.0%0.0%1.5%0.6%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (12-12-7, 43 pts)13.413.07.747.881.0%0.0%3.6%1.3%
15Real Salt Lake (11-11-10, 43 pts)11.711.810.445.638.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%
16Inter Miami CF (12-13-6, 42 pts)13.114.16.846.160.0%0.0%1.6%0.4%
17Atlanta United (10-12-10, 40 pts)10.812.810.442.96.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
18Vancouver Whitecaps (11-14-7, 40 pts)11.714.87.542.79.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Seattle Sounders (12-16-3, 39 pts)13.117.23.743.111.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Charlotte FC (12-17-3, 39 pts)12.518.03.541.02.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Colorado Rapids (10-13-9, 39 pts)10.613.89.641.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New England Revolution (9-12-11, 38 pts)9.712.911.540.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Sporting Kansas City (10-15-7, 37 pts)10.615.87.639.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Fire (9-15-8, 35 pts)9.715.88.537.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Toronto FC (9-16-7, 34 pts)9.517.07.536.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Houston Dynamo (9-17-6, 33 pts)9.617.96.535.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27San Jose Earthquakes (7-14-10, 31 pts)8.115.310.635.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28D.C. United (7-19-6, 27 pts)7.420.26.528.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%