MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 30, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (12-13-6)
Toronto FC (9-16-7)
27.7%
45.5%
26.8%
+246
+110

1.03
1.41
2.44
o3-108
u3-103

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 29, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
26.4%
47.3%
26.3%
+172
+160
+190
+154
1
1
-1.30239-1.28699-1.33427
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
32.6%
41.7%
25.7%
+105
+240
-105
+230
3
2
-0.74047-0.71781-1.12868
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
14.4%
66.5%
19.1%
+1080
-373
+1100
-380
1
3
-0.24488-0.24191-0.40737
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United
28.8%
44.6%
26.6%
+195
+137
+190
+140
3
2
-1.11252-1.10322-1.24414
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
25.5%
48.7%
25.8%
+286
-109
+295
-115
1
1
-1.44443-1.45175-1.35418
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
23.1%
52.4%
24.4%
+435
-165
+425
-150
1
4
-0.49151-0.51867-0.64577
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30239 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28699 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.33427
-0.03188
-0.04728

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/18/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1Philadelphia Union (18-4-10, 64 pts)19.14.410.567.8100.0%97.0%48.5%26.3%
2Los Angeles FC (20-8-4, 64 pts)21.08.64.467.5100.0%100.0%55.1%30.0%
3Montreal Impact (18-9-5, 59 pts)19.09.55.562.6100.0%3.0%18.3%10.1%
4Austin FC (16-9-7, 55 pts)16.99.67.558.1100.0%0.0%16.2%8.0%
5FC Dallas (13-8-11, 50 pts)13.88.611.653.1100.0%0.0%10.8%4.2%
6New York Red Bulls (14-10-8, 50 pts)14.810.78.552.8100.0%0.0%10.2%4.7%
7New York City (14-11-7, 49 pts)14.911.77.452.2100.0%0.0%9.8%3.9%
8Nashville SC (12-9-11, 47 pts)12.89.811.449.799.0%0.0%5.9%2.7%
9Portland Timbers (11-8-13, 46 pts)11.68.913.548.480.0%0.0%4.2%1.8%
10FC Cincinnati (11-8-12, 45 pts)12.58.812.750.195.0%0.0%4.9%2.0%
11Minnesota United (13-13-6, 45 pts)13.713.86.547.682.0%0.0%3.5%0.7%
12Orlando City (13-12-6, 45 pts)14.113.26.749.093.0%0.0%2.9%1.3%
13Columbus Crew (9-7-16, 43 pts)9.87.816.545.844.0%0.0%1.5%0.6%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (12-12-7, 43 pts)13.413.07.747.881.0%0.0%3.6%1.3%
15Real Salt Lake (11-11-10, 43 pts)11.711.810.445.638.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%
16Inter Miami CF (12-13-6, 42 pts)13.114.16.846.160.0%0.0%1.6%0.4%
17Atlanta United (10-12-10, 40 pts)10.812.810.442.96.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
18Vancouver Whitecaps (11-14-7, 40 pts)11.714.87.542.79.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Seattle Sounders (12-16-3, 39 pts)13.117.23.743.111.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Charlotte FC (12-17-3, 39 pts)12.518.03.541.02.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Colorado Rapids (10-13-9, 39 pts)10.613.89.641.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New England Revolution (9-12-11, 38 pts)9.712.911.540.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Sporting Kansas City (10-15-7, 37 pts)10.615.87.639.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Fire (9-15-8, 35 pts)9.715.88.537.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Toronto FC (9-16-7, 34 pts)9.517.07.536.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Houston Dynamo (9-17-6, 33 pts)9.617.96.535.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27San Jose Earthquakes (7-14-10, 31 pts)8.115.310.635.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28D.C. United (7-19-6, 27 pts)7.420.26.528.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%