MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Fire (6-13-5)
Montreal Impact (9-8-7)		26.6%
50.3%		23.1%
+351
-130
+350
+100
0.95
1.79		2.74
o3+101
u3-113
o3+100
u3-115
All Bet Values Active
Orlando City (10-6-8)
Philadelphia Union (8-7-8)		28.0%
46.1%		25.9%
+424
-150
+405
-155
0.92
1.52		2.44
o2¾+104
u2¾-117
o2½-124
u3-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (9-9-6)
Portland Timbers (10-10-4)		34.3%
41.1%		24.6%
+145
+182
+140
+180
1.32
1.57		2.89
o3-110
u3-102
o3-114
u3+100
Vancouver Whitecaps (7-8-8)
Colorado Rapids (12-4-7)		23.4%
56.0%		20.6%
+485
-170
+500
-180
0.84
2.00		2.84
o2¾-111
u3-125
o3+115
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 18, 2021
Games for Sep 22, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo		30.3%
43.0%		26.7%
+230
+121
+218
+125
2
3		-0.81846-0.84999-0.84506
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake		32.5%
40.6%		26.8%
+221
+135
+210
+135
0
1		-0.87457-0.89495-0.90022
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin FC		30.3%
43.8%		26.0%
+230
+117
+215
+115
4
3		-1.20164-1.18885-1.19544
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		29.0%
46.9%		24.1%
+329
-122
+315
-110
0
3		-0.62200-0.65824-0.75711
Nashville SC
Toronto FC		40.3%
31.4%		28.3%
+126
+244
+120
+230
1
2		-1.25991-1.24434-1.15910
New York City
FC Cincinnati		37.4%
33.5%		29.1%
-138
+375
-140
+370
2
1		-0.57035-0.57263-0.98454
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks85-2-1 (0.688)0-0.91647 
Sportsbooks85-2-1 (0.688)0-0.92878 
DRatings85-2-1 (0.688)0-0.95631
-0.03984
-0.02753

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/15/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1New England Revolution (17-4-4, 55 pts)21.46.46.270.5100.0%98.0%51.9%30.3%
2Sporting Kansas City (13-5-7, 46 pts)17.27.69.260.9100.0%30.0%23.7%12.9%
3Seattle Sounders (13-4-6, 45 pts)18.17.48.562.8100.0%57.0%35.0%18.1%
4Colorado Rapids (12-4-7, 43 pts)16.47.79.959.1100.0%12.0%19.1%8.5%
5Nashville SC (10-2-11, 41 pts)15.14.814.159.5100.0%2.0%17.2%8.6%
6Orlando City (10-6-8, 38 pts)13.710.010.451.486.0%0.0%5.4%2.1%
7Los Angeles Galaxy (11-8-5, 38 pts)14.811.87.451.791.0%1.0%4.9%1.8%
8New York City (10-8-5, 35 pts)15.211.27.753.297.0%0.0%11.8%5.1%
9D.C. United (10-10-4, 34 pts)13.613.96.547.461.0%0.0%2.5%0.9%
10Montreal Impact (9-8-7, 34 pts)12.711.79.547.865.0%0.0%2.0%0.9%
11Portland Timbers (10-10-4, 34 pts)13.613.96.547.366.0%0.0%2.5%1.1%
12Real Salt Lake (9-9-6, 33 pts)13.012.78.347.372.0%0.0%4.0%1.9%
13Atlanta United (8-7-9, 33 pts)11.910.511.647.465.0%0.0%3.7%1.6%
14Los Angeles FC (9-9-6, 33 pts)13.312.38.448.475.0%0.0%5.8%2.5%
15Philadelphia Union (8-7-8, 32 pts)12.410.810.848.169.0%0.0%3.2%1.3%
16Inter Miami CF (9-9-5, 32 pts)12.713.57.845.840.0%0.0%1.6%0.5%
17Minnesota United (8-8-7, 31 pts)12.111.810.146.362.0%0.0%3.5%1.5%
18Columbus Crew (8-11-6, 30 pts)11.214.58.341.99.0%0.0%0.5%0.2%
19Vancouver Whitecaps (7-8-8, 29 pts)10.412.910.841.820.0%0.0%0.9%0.0%
20FC Dallas (6-10-9, 27 pts)9.213.611.238.94.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21San Jose Earthquakes (6-9-9, 27 pts)9.713.211.140.29.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
22New York Red Bulls (6-11-5, 23 pts)10.115.78.238.48.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
23Houston Dynamo (4-10-11, 23 pts)6.814.013.233.71.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Fire (6-13-5, 23 pts)9.017.67.434.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25FC Cincinnati (4-11-8, 20 pts)7.116.110.932.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Austin FC (5-15-4, 19 pts)8.219.46.430.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Toronto FC (3-15-6, 15 pts)5.719.78.625.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%