French Ligue 1 Predictions


All upcoming French Ligue 1 predictions are listed below which include our projections for odds to win, and total goals.

We also simulate out the entire 38 game Ligue 1 season to project who will win the league, qualify for Champions League, be relegated, etc. To see our most current simulation, scroll to the bottom of this page.

Week 18 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/14 St Etienne Nice Nice to win: 54% Nice -118 1.47 2.32
St Etienne to win: 19.6% St Etienne +411 0.84
Odds to Draw: 26.4% Draw +279
12/15 Paris SG Dijon Dijon to win: 8% Dijon +1150 0.69 3.29
Paris SG to win: 75.9% Paris SG -315 2.59
Odds to Draw: 16.1% Draw +522
12/15 Angers Amiens Amiens to win: 56.2% Amiens -129 1.56 2.40
Angers to win: 18.1% Angers +453 0.84
Odds to Draw: 25.7% Draw +290
12/15 Montpellier Nantes Nantes to win: 44.1% Nantes +127 1.15 2.03
Montpellier to win: 26.8% Montpellier +274 0.88
Odds to Draw: 29.1% Draw +244
12/15 Strasbourg Reims Reims to win: 60.9% Reims -156 1.76 2.57
Strasbourg to win: 15.3% Strasbourg +554 0.81
Odds to Draw: 23.8% Draw +321
12/16 Monaco Lyon Lyon to win: 59.5% Lyon -147 2.11 3.10
Monaco to win: 16.1% Monaco +522 0.98
Odds to Draw: 24.4% Draw +310
12/16 Lille Nimes Nimes to win: 52.9% Nimes -113 1.46 2.33
Lille to win: 20.3% Lille +393 0.86
Odds to Draw: 26.8% Draw +274
12/16 Rennes Guingamp Guingamp to win: 27% Guingamp +271 1.00 2.32
Rennes to win: 43.9% Rennes +128 1.31
Odds to Draw: 29.1% Draw +244
12/16 Bordeaux Marseille Marseille to win: 65% Marseille -186 1.91 2.69
Bordeaux to win: 13.1% Bordeaux +664 0.77
Odds to Draw: 21.9% Draw +357
12/18 Toulouse Caen Caen to win: 39% Caen +157 1.03 1.95
Toulouse to win: 31.2% Toulouse +221 0.92
Odds to Draw: 29.8% Draw +236

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Week 19 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/22 Marseille Angers Angers to win: 19.3% Angers +419 0.87 2.41
Marseille to win: 54.4% Marseille -120 1.54
Odds to Draw: 26.3% Draw +281
12/22 Amiens Bordeaux Bordeaux to win: 57.6% Bordeaux -136 1.68 2.54
Amiens to win: 17.3% Amiens +479 0.86
Odds to Draw: 25.1% Draw +299
12/22 Toulouse Lille Lille to win: 47.2% Lille +112 1.21 2.07
Toulouse to win: 24.4% Toulouse +310 0.85
Odds to Draw: 28.4% Draw +253
12/22 Guingamp Monaco Monaco to win: 72.9% Monaco -270 2.40 3.12
Guingamp to win: 9.3% Guingamp +976 0.72
Odds to Draw: 17.8% Draw +462
12/22 Lyon Montpellier Montpellier to win: 19.8% Montpellier +406 0.95 2.61
Lyon to win: 53.6% Lyon -116 1.66
Odds to Draw: 26.6% Draw +276
12/22 Nantes Paris SG Paris SG to win: 87.3% Paris SG -688 2.91 3.39
Nantes to win: 3.7% Nantes +2603 0.48
Odds to Draw: 9% Draw +1012
12/22 Caen Reims Reims to win: 64% Reims -178 1.67 2.39
Caen to win: 13.6% Caen +636 0.71
Odds to Draw: 22.4% Draw +347
12/22 Nimes Rennes Rennes to win: 66.9% Rennes -203 1.93 2.68
Nimes to win: 12.1% Nimes +727 0.74
Odds to Draw: 21% Draw +377
12/22 Dijon St Etienne St Etienne to win: 56.7% St Etienne -131 1.62 2.48
Dijon to win: 17.8% Dijon +462 0.85
Odds to Draw: 25.5% Draw +293
12/22 Nice Strasbourg Strasbourg to win: 32.4% Strasbourg +209 1.09 2.29
Nice to win: 37.7% Nice +166 1.19
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235

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Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below are the Ligue 1 table projections that we will updated throughout the season. Our projection below simulates where each team will end up in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 11/23/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Paris SG
13
0
0
39
31.8
2.5
3.7
99
Lyon
7
3
3
24
20.5
9
8.5
70
Marseille
7
5
1
22
19.4
11.4
7.1
65.4
St Etienne
6
2
5
23
15.3
11
11.8
57.5
Nice
6
5
2
20
16.1
13.6
8.3
56.5
Lille
8
3
2
26
15.9
13.4
8.7
56.3
Montpellier
7
2
4
25
15.1
12.6
10.3
55.7
Rennes
4
5
4
16
14.2
13.4
10.4
52.9
Monaco
1
8
4
7
14.2
14.4
9.4
52
Bordeaux
4
5
4
16
13.4
14.2
10.4
50.7
Reims
4
4
5
17
12.3
14.2
11.5
48.4
Nantes
4
5
4
16
11.5
15.8
10.6
45.2
Strasbourg
4
3
6
18
10.9
15.1
12
44.7
Angers
4
6
3
15
11.5
16.8
9.7
44.2
Toulouse
3
5
5
14
10.8
15.9
11.3
43.6
Amiens
4
8
1
13
12
18.8
7.2
43.2
Nimes
3
5
5
14
10.1
16.6
11.2
41.6
Dijon
3
8
2
11
10.6
19.3
8.2
39.8
Caen
2
5
6
12
9.1
16.4
12.5
39.8
Guingamp
1
8
4
7
8.9
19
10.1
36.8

Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

For the 2019-2020 Champions League season, the top three teams from the 2018-2019 Ligue 1 table will be invited. Although France used to get two invites to the Europa League, a change in the format now only allows one team to make the tournament (the 4th place team).

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Paris SG
99.9%
100%
0%
0%
Lyon
0.1%
81.5%
8.1%
0%
Marseille
0%
55.6%
17.3%
0%
St Etienne
0%
15.4%
13.3%
0.3%
Nice
0%
11.6%
12.9%
0.5%
Lille
0%
11%
12.9%
0.5%
Montpellier
0%
10.7%
11%
0.7%
Rennes
0%
5.7%
7.1%
2.2%
Monaco
0%
3.2%
6%
1.9%
Bordeaux
0%
2.6%
4.5%
5%
Reims
0%
1.1%
2.1%
7.3%
Nantes
0%
0.4%
0.8%
13%
Strasbourg
0%
0.6%
1.7%
17.7%
Angers
0%
0.3%
0.5%
21.1%
Toulouse
0%
0.1%
0.7%
25.2%
Amiens
0%
0.2%
0.8%
24%
Nimes
0%
0%
0.1%
31.4%
Dijon
0%
0%
0%
43.8%
Caen
0%
0%
0.2%
42.8%
Guingamp
0%
0%
0%
62.6%

Also note that for our relegation computation, we only take into account the probability of falling in the bottom three of the table. In Ligue 1, there is a relegation playoff for the 18th place team against a team from Ligue 2.