Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Valencia 		25.0%
48.7%		26.4%
+295
+105
+295
+100
0.97
1.47		2.44
o2¼-114
u2¼+103
o2½+115
u2½-135
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol 		40.0%
31.8%		28.3%
+220
+145
+212
+140
1.23
1.07		2.30
o2¼+102
u2¼-112
o2-145
u2+125
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 		8.5%
76.3%		15.1%
+960
-357
+900
-350
0.72
2.49		3.21
o3¼-120
u3¼+110
o3½+110
u3½-125
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Games for Dec 8, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Girona
Elche 		28.0%
44.1%		27.9%
+280
+114
+268
+110
2.30
o2¼-119
u2½-125
o2½-105
u2½-105
1st H
33:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club		31.1%
39.4%		29.5%
+162
+200
+165
+185
0
1		-1.12107-1.09297-0.93214
Barcelona
Betis		57.2%
20.0%		22.8%
-111
+295
-120
+285
5
3		-0.66812-0.64215-0.55932
Real Sociedad
Alaves		30.5%
40.2%		29.4%
+196
+178
+185
+177
0
1		-1.05288-1.06308-0.91237
Getafe
Villarreal		12.7%
67.5%		19.8%
+530
-154
+527
-155
0
2		-0.53297-0.52787-0.39232
Mallorca
Oviedo		36.5%
32.9%		30.6%
+210
+162
+200
+160
0
0		-1.16671-1.14863-1.18358
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		36.9%
34.1%		29.0%
-121
+350
-125
+340
3
0		-0.63609-0.62008-0.99731
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona		15.8%
62.6%		21.5%
+355
-144
+364
-135
1
3		-0.56143-0.57400-0.46804
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		16.6%
61.5%		21.9%
+295
+111
+300
+110
1
1		-1.21716-1.22271-1.51896
Real Madrid
Girona		63.8%
15.3%		20.9%
-265
+645
-234
+625
1
1		-1.77549-1.73972-1.56380
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		18.9%
58.2%		23.0%
+345
-110
+311
+100
1
0		-1.52818-1.44202-1.66860
Betis
Sevilla		41.3%
30.9%		27.8%
+178
+170
+170
+183
2
0		-1.05682-1.02237-0.88344
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+154
+190
+160
+185
3
2		-0.96598-0.98136-1.18682
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid		5.3%
81.7%		13.0%
+1265
-410
+1250
-405
0
2		-0.25114-0.25609-0.20172
Athletic Club
Levante		55.9%
20.1%		24.0%
+106
+290
+115
+310
2
0		-0.75805-0.76434-0.58166
Alaves
Barcelona		5.4%
82.2%		12.4%
+1025
-387
+1075
-450
1
3		-0.26386-0.25084-0.19633
Osasuna
Mallorca		24.8%
47.9%		27.3%
+237
+147
+240
+140
2
2		-1.13296-1.15306-1.29726
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.94736 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93273 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80128
0.14608
0.13146

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.