Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+440
-143
+440
-150
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Real Madrid		5.3%
82.0%		12.7%
+860
-244
+875
-255
1
0		-2.28327-2.31042-2.93276
Celta Vigo
Girona		32.7%
39.1%		28.1%
+206
+156
+208
+136
2
1		-1.14047-1.16658-1.11715
Sevilla
Betis		18.8%
58.9%		22.3%
+405
-123
+375
-132
2
2		-1.34769-1.37678-1.49884
Osasuna
Valencia		29.9%
43.1%		27.0%
+225
+148
+220
+145
0
1		-0.93140-0.93843-0.84102
Espanyol
Elche		30.3%
42.1%		27.6%
+208
+150
+210
+143
2
2		-1.21699-1.21959-1.28735
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo		62.5%
15.5%		22.0%
-127
+420
-130
+406
1
0		-0.60618-0.61797-0.47061
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		37.7%
32.5%		29.7%
+141
+222
+140
+214
1
0		-0.90335-0.92201-0.97535
Villarreal
Barcelona		8.0%
78.0%		14.0%
+620
-256
+638
-260
1
4		-0.35828-0.35089-0.24833
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		31.7%
38.6%		29.7%
+215
+156
+215
+145
1
1		-1.16603-1.18071-1.21311
Alaves
Levante		33.6%
37.3%		29.1%
+184
+176
+190
+170
0
2		-1.04180-1.03033-0.98489
Girona
Alaves		28.5%
44.2%		27.3%
+240
+142
+230
+145
2
2		-1.16309-1.13987-1.29708
Valencia
Villarreal		15.8%
63.8%		20.4%
+455
-145
+400
-140
1
2		-0.55255-0.57180-0.44906
Mallorca
Celta Vigo		21.0%
54.1%		24.9%
+429
-127
+375
-125
0
2		-0.61052-0.63828-0.61384
Levante
Barcelona		3.8%
87.2%		9.0%
+2397
-900
+2000
-1100
0
3		-0.12847-0.13353-0.13715
Sevilla
Getafe		29.2%
41.0%		29.8%
+285
+145
+280
+142
1
0		-1.37785-1.36187-1.23169
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid		7.5%
77.5%		15.0%
+820
-245
+670
-237
2
4		-0.36096-0.39647-0.25484
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.28327 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.31042 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.93276
-0.64949
-0.62234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.