Padres at Cubs

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
41.5%58.5%
Padres WinCubs Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.80
2Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(26-21)
Rank12
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Randy Vásquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-15.871.826

Shota Imanaga (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
65-00.780.75

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 6-3 at Chicago CubsSDP: Yu Darvish • CHC: Justin Steele+100
L 4-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Matt Waldron • ARI: Ryne Nelson-105
W 13-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Michael King • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+105
W 7-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Dylan Cease • ARI: Slade Cecconi-110
W 2-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SDP: Joe Musgrove-140
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • CHC: Justin Steele-109
W 0-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Javier Assad+130
W 5-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • CHC: Jameson Taillon-126
L 3-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Joe Ross • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-108
L 6-7 at New York MetsCHC: Ben Brown • NYM: Adrian Houser+103

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • PLuis PatinoOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFCody BellingerUnknown
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
WSW 10 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°71°69°67°
Humidity64%61%61%61%
Precipitation6%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+117+151+141+150+154+150+154+155.3
Cubs-140-165-170-164-164-164-164-155.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+140+155+153+153+160+150+160+155.3
Cubs-154-170-168-168-175-165-165-155.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +148 to +142
Cubs ML moved from -158 to -165

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Padres: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 60.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +157 to +150
Cubs ML moved from -163 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-165+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
Cubs-1½+140-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-144+1½-140+1½-143+1½-135+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135+1½-128
Cubs-1½+126-1½+120-1½+125-1½+115-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-113o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-113o9-109
Underu9-120u9-103u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-110o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-115o9-110o9-109
Underu8½+100u9-110u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-105u9-105u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120