NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 28, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (55-23-4)
Washington Capitals (40-31-11)
Igor Shesterkin
Charlie Lindgren
60.1%
39.9%
-190
+175
-188
+175
-1½+141
+1½-150
-1½+144
+1½-155
3.37
2.35
5.72
o5½+102
u5½-112
o5½+100
u5½-112
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11)
Stuart Skinner
Cam Talbot
52.9%
47.1%
-155
+142
-150
+137
-1½+165
+1½-177
-1½+165
+1½-180
3.18
2.87
6.05
o6½+102
u6½-115
o6½-105
u6½-112
Games for Apr 27, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9)
Nashville Predators (47-30-5)
49.0%
51.0%
+136
-145
+130
-142
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+182
6.10
o5½-113
u5½+100
o5½-113
u5½-105
OT
20:00
3
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Winnipeg Jets
Colorado Avalanche
45.0%
55.0%
+275
-150
+140
-145
+1½+145
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
5
-0.36772-0.53299-0.59706
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
52.6%
47.4%
-111
-101
-105
+100
-1½+230
+1½-260
+1½-210
+1½-261
3
2
-0.67049-0.68116-0.64257
Boston Bruins
Toronto Maple Leafs
50.9%
49.1%
+125
-133
+120
-125
+1½-225
-1½+198
+1½-230
-1½+210
3
1
-0.82608-0.79851-0.67482
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.3%
46.7%
-129
+118
-125
+116
-1½+193
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-220
3
6
-0.80111-0.78847-0.76096
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
60.4%
39.6%
-171
+166
-183
+170
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
3
-0.98524-1.01011-0.92553
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
51.7%
48.3%
-145
+134
-142
+131
-1½+172
+1½-193
-1½+182
+1½-190
6
1
-0.54352-0.55259-0.66035
Winnipeg Jets
Colorado Avalanche
44.3%
55.7%
+142
-150
+145
-148
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+161
2
6
-0.52396-0.52115-0.58551
Vancouver Canucks
Nashville Predators
48.1%
51.9%
+107
-120
+113
-115
+1½-240
-1½+210
+1½-233
-1½+220
2
1
-0.75568-0.76048-0.73131
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals
59.7%
40.3%
-174
+165
-170
+165
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
3
1
-0.46639-0.46959-0.51522
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
60.1%
39.9%
-165
+155
-160
+152
-1½+167
+1½-177
-1½+170
+1½-180
3
2
-0.48848-0.49765-0.50913
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.0%
47.0%
+104
-116
+104
-114
+1½-245
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+222
5
3
-0.73982-0.73560-0.63410
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
41.9%
58.1%
+167
-180
+170
-180
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
4
-0.99932-1.00641-0.86898
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
40.8%
59.2%
+154
-170
+146
-155
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
3
1
-0.95524-0.91442-0.89681
Boston Bruins
Toronto Maple Leafs
50.6%
49.4%
-106
-106
-102
-107
+1½-265
-1½+225
+1½-256
-1½+225
4
2
-0.69315-0.70492-0.68104
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
43.1%
56.9%
+109
-122
+112
-122
+1½-225
-1½+196
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
1
-0.76479-0.77245-0.84067
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.0%
54.0%
+137
+110
-120
+113
+1½-150
+1½-224
-1½+200
+1½-220
5
2
-0.75545-0.62096-0.77644
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.62143 
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.67089 
DRatings33-0 (1.000)0-0.63815
-0.01672
0.03274

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/27/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%95.2%51.2%28.4%17.1%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%93.4%58.4%29.7%17.1%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%98.3%47.2%25.2%14.1%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%78.0%45.6%26.1%12.5%
5Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%68.9%37.2%18.5%8.3%
6Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%89.5%35.0%14.1%7.0%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%72.8%34.0%16.5%6.8%
8Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%39.4%21.0%11.2%5.5%
9Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%60.6%25.2%11.2%4.1%
10Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%31.1%16.5%8.5%3.5%
11Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%27.2%10.2%4.2%1.4%
12Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%22.0%10.1%4.0%1.4%
13Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%10.5%3.8%1.4%0.7%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%6.6%2.8%0.8%0.4%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%4.8%1.3%0.4%0.2%
16Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%1.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.