NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 15, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7)
Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Unknown
Unknown
43.5%
56.5%
+133
-143
+130
-139
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-197
-1½+175
2.87
3.56
6.43
o6½+109
u6+105
o6½+105
u6½-120

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Bruins (47-20-15)
Florida Panthers (52-24-6)
39.5%
60.5%
+190
-208
+184
-204
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+132
5.71
o5½-103
u5½-111
o5½-102
u5½-115
1st P
14:10
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
48.8%
51.2%
-101
-106
+100
-109
+1½-245
-1½+230
+1½-230
-1½+220
5
1
-0.70508-0.71445-0.71777
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
-107
+101
-104
-104
-1½+227
+1½-265
-1½+245
+1½-260
4
1
-0.67421-0.69315-0.72175
Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers
40.1%
59.9%
+184
-193
+175
-190
+1½-138
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-1.05458-1.03022-0.91364
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
52.6%
47.4%
-155
+145
-158
+150
-1½+165
+1½-168
-1½+163
+1½-175
3
2
-0.51371-0.50269-0.64173
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
47.2%
52.8%
+118
-130
+115
-122
+1½-206
-1½+182
+1½-210
-1½+191
4
1
-0.80298-0.78001-0.75042
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
45.3%
54.7%
+139
-154
+141
-150
+1½-182
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
4
-0.52479-0.52565-0.60400
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
53.2%
46.8%
-146
+135
-145
+137
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
+1½-180
4
3
-0.54056-0.53820-0.63102
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
51.9%
48.1%
-125
+121
-125
+119
-1½+205
+1½-225
-1½+205
+1½-235
6
2
-0.59580-0.59989-0.65497
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
46.2%
53.8%
+118
-128
+115
-120
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+200
3
5
-0.59724-0.61667-0.61964
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
45.0%
55.0%
+151
-149
+145
-149
+1½-190
+1½-377
+1½-180
-1½+173
3
2
-0.91707-0.90263-0.79813
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
53.5%
46.5%
-130
+120
-127
+125
-1½+183
+1½-207
-1½+192
+1½-210
4
5
-0.80802-0.81484-0.76499
Boston Bruins
Florida Panthers
41.8%
58.2%
+145
-158
+145
-150
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+175
1
6
-0.51073-0.51896-0.54079
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
45.7%
54.3%
+106
-116
+110
-115
+1½-232
-1½+205
+1½-224
-1½+200
4
3
-0.74492-0.75294-0.78231
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
48.8%
51.2%
-118
+109
-115
+105
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+225
+1½-250
3
4
-0.75673-0.74028-0.66902
Boston Bruins
Florida Panthers
40.8%
59.2%
+145
-160
+143
-157
+1½-178
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+166
5
1
-0.91937-0.91006-0.89664
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-140
+130
-138
-1½+292
+1½-348
+1½-200
-1½+187
1
2
-0.55696-0.55953-0.54521
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.70508 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.71445 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.71777
-0.01269
-0.00332

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/13/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%92.2%47.4%26.5%
2Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%89.4%49.5%23.4%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%75.8%37.8%20.9%
4Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%62.6%26.5%10.3%
5Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%100.0%37.4%18.4%8.5%
6Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%100.0%24.3%12.0%6.8%
7Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%100.0%10.6%5.7%2.6%
8Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%100.0%7.8%2.8%1.2%
9Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.