Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 19, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Estoril
Moreirense 		19.3%
56.0%		24.7%
+214
+136

0.84
1.63		2.47
o2½-105
u2½-107

Gil Vicente FC
Estrela 		26.5%
45.8%		27.7%
+350
-135

0.95
1.35		2.30
o2½-115
u2½-105

Portimonense
SC Farense 		20.6%
52.5%		26.9%
+142
+172

0.79
1.44		2.23
o2¾-112
u3-132

FC Vizela
Boavista 		22.0%
52.6%		25.4%
+440
-160

0.92
1.57		2.49
o2½-118
u2½-102

Vitoria
Arouca 		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+151
+186

1.03
1.03		2.06
o2½-133
u2¾-108

Chaves
Sporting CP 		3.8%
86.5%		9.7%
+2400
-1025

0.50
2.99		3.49
o3¾-118
u4-125

Casa Pia AC
Famalicao 		22.1%
53.4%		24.6%
+368
-123

0.97
1.64		2.61
o2¼-122
u2½-121

Volatility Bet Value Active
Porto
Braga 		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+125
+221

1.19
1.13		2.32
o3+108
u3-122

Benfica
Rio Ave 		67.6%
12.7%		19.7%
-263
+704

2.05
0.76		2.81
o3+101
u3-119

Games for May 18, 2024
Games for May 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Porto		4.7%
84.1%		11.2%
+1712
-725
+1750
-800
1
2		-0.17673-0.16485-0.17304
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC		34.1%
36.3%		29.6%
+186
+169
+190
+165
1
0		-1.08607-1.11355-1.07482
Arouca
Benfica		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+843
-345
+810
-375
0
5		-0.28684-0.28602-0.18523
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		23.4%
49.2%		27.4%
+357
-134
+360
-135
0
2		-0.59167-0.60462-0.70952
Braga
Vitoria		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+121
+234
+120
+205
3
2		-0.82223-0.83637-0.97072
Sporting CP
Estoril		73.0%
9.7%		17.4%
-264
+686
-270
+670
1
0		-0.35820-0.36394-0.31523
Estrela
FC Vizela		31.5%
39.5%		28.9%
+108
+255
+105
+250
0
4		-1.30346-1.30280-0.92811
Rio Ave
Portimonense		40.8%
28.9%		30.4%
+200
+145
+205
+135
2
2		-1.26713-1.25956-1.19211
Famalicao
Chaves		32.4%
39.6%		27.9%
+149
+199
+145
+190
1
0		-0.94369-0.94631-1.12559
Benfica
Famalicao		74.6%
9.7%		15.7%
-237
+601
-260
+625
0
2		-1.98348-2.03042-2.33811
Casa Pia AC
Braga		7.9%
77.2%		14.8%
+888
-319
+850
-335
3
4		-0.30533-0.30933-0.25865
Estrela
Arouca		17.8%
57.9%		24.2%
+230
+114
+230
+110
0
0		-1.35410-1.34657-1.41762
Estoril
SC Farense		25.9%
45.7%		28.4%
+186
+175
+195
+160
2
3		-1.04683-1.00570-0.78218
Porto
Chaves		73.1%
9.7%		17.2%
-359
+978
-375
+960
3
0		-0.28305-0.28564-0.31305
Portimonense
Sporting CP		3.6%
86.2%		10.1%
+2216
-1168
+2200
-1350
0
3		-0.10526-0.12161-0.14830
Vitoria
Rio Ave		37.4%
32.6%		30.0%
+128
+242
+145
+200
1
2		-1.26397-1.15119-1.11951
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).