Estrela at Arouca

Updated

Estrela

17.8%24.2%57.9%
WinDrawArouca Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.66
0Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 3-0 vs SC Farense-110
T 1-1 at Boavista+170
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+150
T 2-2 at Moreirense+270
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+1100
Arouca
Money Line
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+175
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+190
W 1-2 vs Boavista-145
W 3-0 at Braga+540
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+285-+230+200+229+198+230+222.0
Arouca-110-+105+114+113+114+114+131.3
Draw+270-+255+260+273+260+273+289.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+250----+230+230+222.0
Arouca+100----+110+110+131.3
Draw+280----+265+265+289.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +273 to +229
Arouca ML moved from +104 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +260 to +230
Arouca ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2¾-122o2¾-120o3+102o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-109
Underu2½-110-u2¾+102u2¾+100u3-120u2¾+100u3-120u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-115 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 044.96%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.37%
Exactly 33.83%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 018.96%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 314.53%
Exactly 46.04%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 069.06%
Exactly 125.56%
Exactly 24.73%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals5.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals31.97%
Wins by 3+ goals14.01%
Wins by 4+ goals5.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.48%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal12.47%
Wins by 2 goals4.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal25.93%
Wins by 2 goals17.95%
Wins by 3 goals9.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.52%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.48%29.52%
2.544.64%55.36%
3.523.43%76.57%
4.510.38%89.62%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.04%44.96%
1.519.10%80.90%
2.54.73%95.27%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.04%18.96%
1.549.50%50.50%
2.523.29%76.71%
3.58.77%91.23%
4.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Arouca
Score012345
0
8.53%
14.18%
11.78%
6.53%
2.71%
0.90%
1
6.82%
11.33%
9.42%
5.22%
2.17%
0.72%
2
2.72%
4.53%
3.77%
2.09%
0.87%
0.29%
3
0.73%
1.21%
1.00%
0.56%
0.23%
0.08%
4
0.15%
0.24%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Estrela
1-06.82%
2-02.72%
2-14.53%
3-00.73%
3-11.21%
3-21.00%
4-00.15%
4-10.24%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-111.33%
2-23.77%
3-30.56%
Arouca
0-114.18%
0-211.78%
1-29.42%
0-36.53%
1-35.22%
2-32.09%
0-42.71%
1-42.17%
2-40.87%
3-40.23%
0-50.90%
1-50.72%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Arouca
Score01234
0
31.98%
24.62%
9.48%
2.43%
0.47%
1
11.84%
9.11%
3.51%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.19%
1.69%
0.65%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-011.84%
2-02.19%
2-11.69%
3-00.27%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-19.11%
2-20.65%
Arouca
0-124.62%
0-29.48%
1-23.51%
0-32.43%
1-30.90%
2-30.17%
0-40.47%
1-40.17%
Estoril at SC Farense
Casa Pia AC at Braga