Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 10, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Girona
Alaves
32.2%
38.2%
29.6%
+102
+275
+102
+260
1.00
1.13
2.13
o2½-122
u2½+103
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for May 9, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Granada
Sevilla
18.0%
58.8%
23.2%
+419
-138
+394
-145
0
3
-0.56129-0.57086-0.53064
Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
22.9%
51.9%
25.2%
+480
-150
+460
-159
1
0
-1.78005-1.77049-1.47552
Alaves
Valencia
17.1%
60.0%
23.0%
+290
+123
+305
+118
1
0
-1.37817-1.43167-1.76855
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
30.6%
42.9%
26.5%
+160
+178
+170
+170
2
3
-1.04058-1.01008-0.84623
Betis
Osasuna
33.9%
38.0%
28.1%
+135
+238
+135
+222
2
0
-0.87854-0.89637-1.08149
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
61.9%
15.3%
22.8%
+115
+316
+118
+277
1
0
-0.79014-0.81991-0.47938
Barcelona
Girona
59.5%
17.8%
22.7%
+138
+192
+140
+182
2
4
-1.09703-1.07061-1.72513
Cadiz
Real Madrid
3.4%
87.3%
9.4%
+885
-265
+800
-290
0
3
-0.34735-0.34579-0.13614
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad
11.9%
68.4%
19.6%
+1025
-294
+875
-295
0
2
-0.31979-0.34013-0.37961
Athletic Club
Getafe
42.2%
28.0%
29.8%
+118
+288
+110
+290
2
0
-0.80786-0.78794-0.86325
Valencia
Barcelona
8.9%
75.5%
15.6%
+835
-287
+825
-305
2
4
-0.31682-0.32569-0.28124
Sevilla
Betis
25.2%
48.8%
26.0%
+315
+105
+290
+103
1
1
-1.26302-1.26603-1.34604
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
17.7%
60.4%
21.9%
+362
-120
+346
-125
0
3
-0.62755-0.62982-0.50428
Osasuna
Granada
28.7%
43.9%
27.4%
+249
+142
+240
+150
0
3
-0.90587-0.93805-0.82260
Mallorca
Cadiz
28.7%
41.6%
29.7%
+214
+186
+218
+170
1
1
-1.06613-1.08240-1.21396
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
18.6%
56.7%
24.7%
+321
-102
+315
-110
1
3
-0.70336-0.69433-0.56697
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/06/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (27-1-6, 87 pts)29.61.66.895.6100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Girona (23-6-5, 74 pts)24.47.56.179.40.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Barcelona (22-5-7, 73 pts)24.35.87.980.90.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Atletico Madrid (21-9-4, 67 pts)23.19.95.174.30.0%94.3%5.7%0.0%
5Athletic Club (17-7-10, 61 pts)18.98.011.067.80.0%5.7%94.3%0.0%
6Real Sociedad (14-8-12, 54 pts)15.39.513.259.10.0%0.0%70.7%0.0%
7Betis (13-8-13, 52 pts)14.49.514.157.30.0%0.0%27.7%0.0%
8Valencia (13-13-8, 47 pts)14.414.39.252.50.0%0.0%1.6%0.0%
9Villarreal (12-13-9, 45 pts)13.414.610.050.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Getafe (10-11-13, 43 pts)11.512.514.048.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sevilla (10-13-11, 41 pts)11.414.612.146.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Alaves (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.116.99.145.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Osasuna (11-17-6, 39 pts)12.118.77.143.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Las Palmas (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.318.68.142.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Celta Vigo (8-16-10, 34 pts)9.217.711.138.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%
16Rayo Vallecano (7-14-13, 34 pts)8.015.914.138.20.0%0.0%0.0%1.3%
17Mallorca (6-14-14, 32 pts)7.315.515.237.10.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%
18Cadiz (4-16-14, 26 pts)5.217.715.230.70.0%0.0%0.0%96.4%
19Granada (4-21-9, 21 pts)5.222.810.025.60.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Almeria (2-21-11, 17 pts)3.222.812.121.60.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.