Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Midtjylland
Nordsjaelland 		28.3%
46.3%		25.4%
+252
+104
+215
+110
1.14
1.54		2.68
o3-102
u3-111

Games for Jul 26, 2024
Games for Jul 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyngby
Sonderjyske		25.3%
49.6%		25.1%
+292
+105
+270
+100
1
1		-1.26638-1.31759-1.38326
FC Copenhagen
Lyngby		68.1%
13.0%		18.9%
-218
+627
-240
+625
2
0		-0.40765-0.39710-0.38408
Brondby
Viborg		40.4%
32.9%		26.7%
+105
+282
+105
+255
3
3		-1.30589-1.31688-1.32092
Randers
Vejle		39.9%
33.3%		26.8%
+101
+272
+100
+275
3
2		-0.75201-0.74421-0.91982
Sonderjyske
Silkeborg		16.1%
64.0%		19.9%
+220
+134
+270
+100
0
1		-0.88953-0.74381-0.44685
Aalborg
Nordsjaelland		14.9%
65.8%		19.3%
+608
-233
+610
-250
0
3		-0.39646-0.38641-0.41908
Midtjylland
Aarhus		41.1%
31.5%		27.4%
+168
+164
+165
+155
1
1		-1.34996-1.31692-1.29397
Randers
FC Copenhagen		9.6%
74.4%		15.9%
+593
-221
+600
-240
1
2		-0.40749-0.39978-0.29524
Aarhus
Brondby		16.2%
63.0%		20.8%
+545
-190
+580
-235
3
2		-1.89506-1.96819-1.81880
Silkeborg
Midtjylland		12.7%
69.6%		17.7%
+650
-266
+700
-295
3
3		-1.78988-1.77196-1.73404
Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen		19.3%
58.8%		21.9%
+278
-115
+265
-120
1
1		-1.48833-1.51832-1.51713
Lyngby
Hvidovre IF		33.7%
37.9%		28.4%
+112
+245
+110
+250
0
0		-1.33968-1.28884-1.25871
Odense
Viborg		22.8%
53.2%		24.0%
+291
-120
+265
-110
1
2		-0.64745-0.69631-0.63122
Vejle
Randers		15.7%
64.4%		19.9%
+429
-172
+330
-130
0
1		-0.50582-0.62023-0.44068
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus		48.7%
25.6%		25.8%
-238
+684
-300
+775
2
3		-2.08586-2.21733-1.36422
Midtjylland
Nordsjaelland		28.3%
46.3%		25.4%
+320
-124
+300
-125
3
3		-1.46620-1.44987-1.37208
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.26638 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31759 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.38326
-0.11688
-0.06567

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.