Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
23.5%
51.9%
24.6%
+245
+113
+250
+105
1.02
1.64
2.66
o2½-127
u2¾-110

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
21.8%
55.0%
23.3%
+330
-120
+340
-130
1.03
1.78
2.81
o2½-133
u2¾-115

Games for May 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
34.8%
36.7%
28.5%
+158
+166
+155
+160
2.28
o3-102
u3-116

2nd H
72:00
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
Vitesse
59.3%
18.9%
21.8%
-146
+380
-155
+350
2
2
-1.56203-1.55504-1.52487
Excelsior
Feyenoord
3.8%
87.1%
9.1%
+1000
-382
+700
-350
0
4
-0.25652-0.30204-0.13756
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
38.1%
34.7%
27.2%
+153
+162
+165
+145
0
0
-1.37825-1.37259-1.30331
Go Ahead Eagles
Volendam
56.9%
19.7%
23.4%
-182
+430
-195
+435
2
1
-0.47615-0.46469-0.56317
RKC Waalwijk
PSV Eindhoven
4.2%
87.0%
8.9%
+1600
-663
+1125
-580
1
3
-0.16786-0.20997-0.13956
NEC Nijmegen
Almere City
34.2%
36.7%
29.0%
+131
+200
+135
+180
4
1
-0.86962-0.90599-1.07172
Twente
Zwolle
64.0%
15.7%
20.3%
-270
+703
-340
+720
2
1
-0.33689-0.30986-0.44576
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
31.9%
41.0%
27.1%
+370
-139
+335
-140
1
2
-0.56699-0.58906-0.89099
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
13.4%
68.6%
18.1%
+618
-233
+570
-245
3
3
-1.66527-1.69903-1.71103
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
69.7%
13.1%
17.2%
-310
+822
-365
+850
1
1
-1.83646-1.86795-1.75846
Volendam
Twente
3.1%
88.9%
8.1%
+3000
-1425
+2500
-1500
2
7
-0.10007-0.11363-0.11821
Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
26.3%
47.2%
26.5%
+358
-139
+340
-140
0
4
-0.56634-0.58927-0.75171
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
53.3%
23.0%
23.6%
-146
+380
-155
+375
3
0
-0.55040-0.55012-0.62843
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
21.8%
55.0%
23.3%
+319
-119
+330
-135
1
0
-1.46547-1.51113-1.52478
Almere City
Ajax
9.7%
73.9%
16.4%
+1000
-400
+1050
-450
0
3
-0.27159-0.25156-0.30248
Vitesse
Heerenveen
12.5%
69.5%
18.0%
+420
-157
+380
-170
3
1
-1.66903-1.62030-2.08000
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.