Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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TimeTeamsOdds to
Win
Odds to
Draw
Projected
Score
Total
Goals
Venue
Groningen
ADO Den Haag
42.2%
29.4%
28.5%1.27
0.96
2.23Cars Jeans Stadion
Twente
Feyenoord
14.0%
74.2%
11.8%0.76
2.96
3.72Stadion Feijenoord
Heracles Almelo
Willem II
23.6%
54.5%
21.9%0.97
1.91
2.88Koning Willem II Stadion
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
3.6%
92.4%
4.0%0.40
4.05
4.45Johan Cruyff ArenA
Groningen
Twente
36.1%
34.6%
29.3%1.11
1.07
2.18De Grolsch Veste
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle
39.3%
35.9%
24.8%1.49
1.39
2.88MACĀ³PARK Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
64.9%
17.9%
17.2%2.34
0.83
3.17Fortuna Sittard Stadion
VVV-Venlo
Heerenveen
18.6%
64.6%
16.8%0.88
2.43
3.30Abe Lenstra Stadion
Vitesse
Ajax
13.9%
74.3%
11.8%0.75
2.95
3.71Johan Cruyff ArenA
ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord
10.9%
79.0%
10.1%0.64
3.09
3.73Stadion Feijenoord
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht
10.3%
81.3%
8.4%0.64
3.37
4.02Stadion Galgenwaard
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo
43.2%
31.6%
25.2%1.54
1.19
2.73Polman Stadion
Willem II
Emmen
45.1%
29.8%
25.2%1.56
1.12
2.68De Oude Meerdijk

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Feyenoord (1-0-0, 3 pts)17.08.48.659.68.2%27.0%29.4%0.0%
2PSV Eindhoven (1-0-0, 3 pts)16.48.88.858.06.3%19.4%31.9%0.0%
3Heerenveen (1-0-0, 3 pts)13.411.59.149.40.5%2.4%17.1%0.5%
4Heracles Almelo (1-0-0, 3 pts)12.612.29.247.00.3%1.2%12.5%1.5%
5Twente (1-0-0, 3 pts)10.714.58.840.90.0%0.3%2.6%8.4%
6VVV-Venlo (1-0-0, 3 pts)9.415.98.736.90.0%0.0%0.9%17.9%
7Ajax (1-0-0, 3 pts)21.45.67.071.361.4%84.5%5.6%0.0%
8Vitesse (1-0-0, 3 pts)13.711.19.250.30.5%2.7%18.7%0.4%
9AZ Alkmaar (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.77.37.964.221.2%50.7%17.9%0.0%
10Utrecht (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.210.69.251.70.8%5.3%25.0%0.4%
11Sparta Rotterdam (0-1-0, 0 pts)11.513.49.143.50.0%0.4%7.7%4.4%
12RKC Waalwijk (0-1-0, 0 pts)6.220.37.626.10.0%0.0%0.1%76.2%
13Willem II (0-1-0, 0 pts)14.111.09.051.20.7%5.4%19.7%0.4%
14Groningen (0-1-0, 0 pts)11.713.19.144.30.1%0.7%6.6%3.1%
15Emmen (0-1-0, 0 pts)10.114.89.139.30.0%0.0%2.3%11.4%
16Zwolle (0-1-0, 0 pts)9.315.98.836.80.0%0.0%0.9%17.6%
17Fortuna Sittard (0-1-0, 0 pts)9.116.28.735.90.0%0.0%0.8%23.5%
18ADO Den Haag (0-1-0, 0 pts)8.317.28.433.40.0%0.0%0.3%34.3%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.