Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 29, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
13.7%
67.5%
18.8%
+434
-154
+425
-160
0.88
2.20
3.08
o2½-127
u2¾-117
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for May 28, 2022
Games for May 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
43.8%
30.1%
26.1%
+165
+196
+160
+190
1
2
-1.10969-1.11541-1.20055
Utrecht
Vitesse
31.4%
42.4%
26.2%
+245
+115
+245
+100
0
3
-0.77486-0.74156-0.85908
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
8.5%
76.7%
14.8%
+477
-156
+450
-170
0
2
-0.51699-0.51371-0.26546
Vitesse
Utrecht
21.8%
55.0%
23.1%
+280
+103
+240
+110
1
3
-0.73662-0.79264-0.59696
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
56.7%
20.3%
23.0%
+152
+202
+140
+210
2
3
-1.13137-1.18185-1.59332
Utrecht
Willem II
50.1%
25.4%
24.5%
+213
+120
+215
+110
0
3
-0.81593-0.79396-1.37015
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/16/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (26-3-4, 82 pts)26.03.04.082.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2PSV Eindhoven (25-5-3, 78 pts)25.05.03.078.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (22-6-5, 71 pts)22.06.05.071.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Twente (19-6-8, 65 pts)19.06.08.065.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5AZ Alkmaar (18-9-7, 61 pts)18.09.07.061.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Vitesse (15-13-5, 50 pts)15.013.05.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Utrecht (12-10-11, 47 pts)12.010.011.047.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heerenveen (11-15-8, 41 pts)11.015.08.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Cambuur (11-17-6, 39 pts)11.017.06.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10RKC Waalwijk (9-14-11, 38 pts)9.014.011.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11NEC Nijmegen (10-15-8, 38 pts)10.015.08.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Go Ahead Eagles (10-18-6, 36 pts)10.018.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Groningen (9-16-9, 36 pts)9.016.09.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Heracles Almelo (9-17-7, 34 pts)9.017.07.034.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Sparta Rotterdam (7-15-11, 32 pts)7.015.011.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (9-19-5, 32 pts)9.019.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Willem II (8-19-6, 30 pts)8.019.06.030.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
18Zwolle (7-20-6, 27 pts)7.020.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.