Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Utrecht
Ajax		23.8%
53.0%		23.2%
+220
+118

3
4		-0.81996-0.63550
Heerenveen
Utrecht		20.4%
57.5%		22.1%
+287
-108

2
3		-0.70150-0.55361
Groningen
Ajax		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+308
-115

0
2		-0.67336-0.43578
Feyenoord
Zwolle		57.5%
21.4%		21.1%
-198
+463

2
0		-0.45757-0.55403
Groningen
Heracles Almelo		54.8%
19.7%		25.5%
-168
+414

2
1		-0.51505-0.60150
Ajax
Heerenveen		42.3%
31.4%		26.3%
+101
+230

0
0		-1.45633-1.33610
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		33.5%
43.2%		23.3%
+178
+126

1
5		-0.86100-0.83896
Telstar
Volendam		35.5%
34.4%		30.1%
+164
+169

2
1		-1.01283-1.03583
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		16.4%
65.2%		18.4%
+472
-186

0
2		-0.47894-0.42816
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		12.9%
67.3%		19.8%
+675
-325

1
2		-0.31658-0.39644
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam		28.3%
46.4%		25.3%
+241
+104

3
2		-1.26833-1.26238
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar		12.7%
71.9%		15.4%
+808
-344

3
3		-1.84903-1.87301
Heracles Almelo
Telstar		13.1%
64.3%		22.6%
+525
-230

0
3		-0.42227-0.44178
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		12.8%
68.9%		18.2%
+675
-270

0
4		-0.36665-0.37186
Volendam
Excelsior		21.8%
54.0%		24.2%
+410
-145

1
1		-1.36489-1.42072
Utrecht
Ajax		21.0%
56.5%		22.4%
+395
-159

2
1		-1.66031-1.56074
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.