Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 13, 2021

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Games for Jun 12, 2021
Games for Jun 14, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Utrecht
Feyenoord
26.9%
51.2%
21.9%
+215
+131
+230
+115
0
2
-0.86351-0.81410-0.66941
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
21.0%
63.0%
16.0%
+390
-141
+370
-140
0
2
-0.56627-0.59018-0.46237
Groningen
Utrecht
33.3%
39.0%
27.7%
+510
-165
+525
-180
0
1
-0.49760-0.49335-0.94204
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
33.8%
40.9%
25.3%
+400
-159
+390
-170
1
2
-0.51827-0.51473-0.89355
Emmen
VVV-Venlo
25.6%
54.4%
20.0%
-182
+475
-160
+380
4
0
-0.47303-0.53524-1.36344
Ajax
Vitesse
61.1%
21.3%
17.6%
-256
+610
-175
+430
3
1
-0.36755-0.50297-0.49321
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (27-2-4, 85 pts)27.72.14.287.2100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2PSV Eindhoven (21-4-8, 71 pts)21.54.28.372.90.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3AZ Alkmaar (20-5-8, 68 pts)20.55.28.369.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Vitesse (18-8-7, 61 pts)18.18.77.261.60.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Feyenoord (15-7-11, 56 pts)15.67.211.258.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (13-7-13, 52 pts)13.27.513.352.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Groningen (14-11-8, 50 pts)14.511.28.351.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Sparta Rotterdam (12-13-8, 44 pts)12.413.38.345.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Heracles Almelo (12-13-8, 44 pts)12.213.58.345.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Fortuna Sittard (12-16-5, 41 pts)12.416.35.342.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Heerenveen (9-12-12, 39 pts)9.312.412.340.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Twente (9-13-11, 38 pts)9.513.211.339.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Zwolle (8-14-11, 35 pts)8.214.511.335.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14RKC Waalwijk (7-17-9, 30 pts)7.217.69.230.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Willem II (7-19-7, 28 pts)7.319.47.329.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Emmen (6-18-9, 27 pts)6.318.49.328.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17VVV-Venlo (6-22-5, 23 pts)6.422.35.324.50.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
18ADO Den Haag (4-19-10, 22 pts)4.219.510.323.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.