Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		20.1%
57.7%		22.2%
+352
-134
+345
-135
2
1		-1.54562-1.54094-1.60445
ADO Den Haag
Excelsior		18.6%
58.5%		22.9%
+247
+103
+265
-110
1
7		-0.74712-0.69631-0.53546
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		21.8%
55.0%		23.3%
+360
-130
+350
-135
1
3		-0.60143-0.60296-0.59858
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		23.5%
51.9%		24.6%
+297
-111
+280
-115
2
1		-1.41005-1.38802-1.44638
Excelsior
ADO Den Haag		34.8%
36.7%		28.5%
+158
+166
+155
+160
2
1		-0.97413-0.98921-1.05665
Ajax
Vitesse		59.3%
18.9%		21.8%
-146
+380
-155
+350
2
2		-1.56203-1.55504-1.52487
Excelsior
Feyenoord		3.8%
87.1%		9.1%
+1000
-382
+700
-350
0
4		-0.25652-0.30204-0.13756
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		38.1%
34.7%		27.2%
+153
+162
+165
+145
0
0		-1.37825-1.37259-1.30331
Go Ahead Eagles
Volendam		56.9%
19.7%		23.4%
-182
+430
-195
+435
2
1		-0.47615-0.46469-0.56317
RKC Waalwijk
PSV Eindhoven		4.2%
87.0%		8.9%
+1600
-663
+1125
-580
1
3		-0.16786-0.20997-0.13956
NEC Nijmegen
Almere City		34.2%
36.7%		29.0%
+131
+200
+135
+180
4
1		-0.86962-0.90599-1.07172
Twente
Zwolle		64.0%
15.7%		20.3%
-270
+703
-340
+720
2
1		-0.33689-0.30986-0.44576
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		31.9%
41.0%		27.1%
+370
-139
+335
-140
1
2		-0.56699-0.58906-0.89099
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		13.4%
68.6%		18.1%
+618
-233
+570
-245
3
3		-1.66527-1.69903-1.71103
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard		69.7%
13.1%		17.2%
-310
+822
-365
+850
1
1		-1.83646-1.86795-1.75846
Volendam
Twente		3.1%
88.9%		8.1%
+3000
-1425
+2500
-1500
2
7		-0.10007-0.11363-0.11821
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.