Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 2, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
29.5%
43.9%
26.6%
+240
+123
+230
+115
1.10
1.41
2.51
o2½-111
u2½-101

Games for Apr 1, 2023

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Volendam
Utrecht
9.7%
74.0%
16.3%
+613
-226
+585
-240
3.13
o3-118
u3½-149

1st H
02:00
0
0
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
67.3%
13.8%
18.8%
-205
+660
-200
+575
3.10
o2½-127
u2¾-115

1st H
03:00
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
80.1%
6.9%
13.0%
-210
+551
-260
+620
0
0
-1.65282-1.71630-2.04014
Vitesse
RKC Waalwijk
33.6%
39.2%
27.2%
+174
+166
+160
+170
0
1
-1.00458-1.04120-0.93537
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
68.3%
13.4%
18.4%
-145
+400
-150
+385
4
2
-0.55021-0.55970-0.38193
Emmen
Cambuur
31.1%
44.7%
24.2%
+224
+134
+220
+125
2
1
-1.21123-1.21295-1.16883
Twente
Excelsior
59.6%
18.0%
22.5%
-207
+540
-210
+510
0
0
-1.61169-1.60869-1.49370
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
11.0%
72.1%
16.9%
+493
-162
+480
-180
1
1
-1.48864-1.48704-1.77792
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
34.2%
39.0%
26.8%
+240
+125
+240
+120
1
2
-0.83573-0.83884-0.94197
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse
66.0%
15.3%
18.7%
-186
+530
-190
+520
1
1
-1.55391-1.49736-1.67761
Cambuur
Excelsior
33.4%
40.6%
26.0%
+180
+148
+170
+155
1
4
-0.93843-0.98714-0.90157
Feyenoord
Ajax
15.5%
64.9%
19.6%
+320
-113
+350
-140
3
2
-1.45977-1.55523-1.86446
Heerenveen
Groningen
35.7%
35.3%
29.0%
+159
+188
+170
+175
2
0
-0.97790-1.04344-1.03136
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
30.0%
42.3%
27.7%
+160
+183
+155
+180
3
1
-0.98054-0.98709-1.20277
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen
37.3%
35.6%
27.1%
+181
+185
+165
+185
2
0
-1.06007-1.02413-0.98674
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
17.3%
61.6%
21.0%
+344
-123
+350
-130
2
1
-1.51891-1.55344-1.75262
Fortuna Sittard
Volendam
37.3%
35.1%
27.6%
+178
+151
+185
+135
1
2
-0.94827-0.90357-1.04717
Volendam
Feyenoord
2.9%
89.5%
7.6%
+2041
-721
+1800
-850
1
2
-0.15488-0.15995-0.11091
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks62-1-3 (0.583)0-1.25320 
Sportsbooks61-2-3 (0.417)0-1.27098 
DRatings62-1-3 (0.583)0-1.29965
-0.04645
-0.02867

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.