Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		19.8%
58.6%		21.6%
+296
-105

2
2		-1.33272-1.53280
Feyenoord
Twente		31.9%
41.9%		26.2%
+187
+151

6
2		-1.09035-1.14153
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		26.7%
47.7%		25.6%
+342
-106

0
1		-0.69876-0.74049
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles		15.9%
63.9%		20.1%
+639
-209

0
1		-0.42727-0.44718
Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen		23.6%
52.9%		23.5%
+335
-114

1
1		-1.32051-1.44715
PSV Eindhoven
RKC Waalwijk		85.8%
4.7%		9.6%
-323
+771

3
0		-0.30889-0.15362
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		18.9%
59.2%		21.9%
+407
-141

1
1		-1.41046-1.51987
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht		22.2%
54.0%		23.8%
+377
-128

1
0		-1.59598-1.50494
NAC Breda
Almere City		34.0%
40.2%		25.8%
+236
+124

1
1		-1.28211-1.35371
Almere City
Twente		8.1%
76.9%		15.0%
+978
-356

0
1		-0.28691-0.26279
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		27.1%
46.9%		26.0%
+200
+141

3
2		-1.13283-1.30637
Ajax
Zwolle		68.9%
13.3%		17.8%
-178
+508

1
0		-0.48248-0.37309
Utrecht
Willem II		44.2%
30.1%		25.8%
+112
+273

3
2		-0.77740-0.81746
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		3.3%
89.3%		7.3%
+1016
-443

1
2		-0.24280-0.11286
Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard		22.5%
54.4%		23.1%
+210
+132

0
1		-0.88015-0.60950
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda		34.9%
40.0%		25.1%
+129
+231

1
1		-1.24559-1.38234
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.