Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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TimeTeamsOdds to
Win
Odds to
Draw
Projected
Score
Total
Goals
Venue
Emmen
Sparta Rotterdam
27.1%
51.1%
21.8%1.16
1.96
3.12Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
VVV-Venlo
RKC Waalwijk
36.5%
35.8%
27.7%1.21
1.19
2.39Mandemakers Stadion
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
43.6%
31.3%
25.1%1.56
1.19
2.74Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Twente
Ajax
11.2%
78.7%
10.1%0.65
3.09
3.75Johan Cruyff ArenA
Vitesse
Zwolle
49.3%
27.9%
22.8%1.84
1.15
2.99MACĀ³PARK Stadion
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord
16.2%
68.9%
14.9%0.80
2.59
3.38Stadion Feijenoord
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
19.1%
59.9%
21.0%0.79
1.95
2.74AFAS Stadion
ADO Den Haag
Utrecht
15.6%
70.0%
14.4%0.78
2.64
3.42Stadion Galgenwaard
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
39.5%
34.9%
25.6%1.43
1.30
2.73Abe Lenstra Stadion
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo
23.8%
55.0%
21.2%1.00
2.00
3.00Polman Stadion
RKC Waalwijk
Groningen
15.3%
66.6%
18.1%0.69
2.17
2.86Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
27.1%
49.6%
23.3%1.09
1.78
2.87De Oude Meerdijk
Zwolle
Ajax
8.3%
84.6%
7.1%0.57
3.53
4.11Johan Cruyff ArenA

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/30/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (9-1-0, 27 pts)23.95.05.176.886.6%96.2%1.2%0.0%
2Vitesse (8-1-1, 25 pts)18.58.07.563.13.6%27.1%35.0%0.0%
3PSV Eindhoven (7-1-2, 23 pts)18.67.48.063.75.2%34.0%31.2%0.0%
4Feyenoord (6-0-4, 22 pts)17.46.310.362.53.3%26.7%36.3%0.0%
5Twente (5-2-3, 18 pts)13.311.29.649.40.0%0.7%12.0%0.1%
6Heerenveen (5-2-3, 18 pts)14.310.19.752.50.1%1.5%19.0%0.0%
7AZ Alkmaar (4-0-5, 17 pts)15.86.611.659.11.2%12.5%39.4%0.0%
8Groningen (5-3-2, 17 pts)14.111.08.951.10.0%0.9%14.2%0.0%
9Utrecht (2-2-5, 11 pts)12.29.811.948.60.0%0.4%10.7%0.0%
10Sparta Rotterdam (2-5-3, 9 pts)9.614.79.838.40.0%0.0%0.5%4.5%
11VVV-Venlo (2-5-3, 9 pts)8.516.39.334.60.0%0.0%0.1%12.3%
12Zwolle (1-3-6, 9 pts)7.913.512.636.30.0%0.0%0.1%8.3%
13RKC Waalwijk (2-5-3, 9 pts)7.517.59.031.40.0%0.0%0.0%30.1%
14Willem II (2-6-2, 8 pts)10.714.78.640.80.0%0.0%0.1%2.4%
15Heracles Almelo (2-6-2, 8 pts)9.615.88.637.50.0%0.0%0.2%6.9%
16ADO Den Haag (1-7-2, 5 pts)7.018.88.329.10.0%0.0%0.0%50.0%
17Fortuna Sittard (0-7-3, 3 pts)6.618.19.329.10.0%0.0%0.0%46.3%
18Emmen (0-7-3, 3 pts)6.817.69.630.00.0%0.0%0.0%39.1%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.