Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 2, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard 		29.5%
43.9%		26.6%
+240
+123
+230
+115
1.10
1.41		2.51
o2½-111
u2½-101

Games for Apr 1, 2023
Games for Apr 7, 2023

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Volendam
Utrecht 		9.7%
74.0%		16.3%
+613
-226
+585
-240
3.13
o3-118
u3½-149

1st H
02:00		0
0
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam 		67.3%
13.8%		18.8%
-205
+660
-200
+575
3.10
o2½-127
u2¾-115

1st H
03:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles		80.1%
6.9%		13.0%
-210
+551
-260
+620
0
0		-1.65282-1.71630-2.04014
Vitesse
RKC Waalwijk		33.6%
39.2%		27.2%
+174
+166
+160
+170
0
1		-1.00458-1.04120-0.93537
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		68.3%
13.4%		18.4%
-145
+400
-150
+385
4
2		-0.55021-0.55970-0.38193
Emmen
Cambuur		31.1%
44.7%		24.2%
+224
+134
+220
+125
2
1		-1.21123-1.21295-1.16883
Twente
Excelsior		59.6%
18.0%		22.5%
-207
+540
-210
+510
0
0		-1.61169-1.60869-1.49370
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		11.0%
72.1%		16.9%
+493
-162
+480
-180
1
1		-1.48864-1.48704-1.77792
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		34.2%
39.0%		26.8%
+240
+125
+240
+120
1
2		-0.83573-0.83884-0.94197
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse		66.0%
15.3%		18.7%
-186
+530
-190
+520
1
1		-1.55391-1.49736-1.67761
Cambuur
Excelsior		33.4%
40.6%		26.0%
+180
+148
+170
+155
1
4		-0.93843-0.98714-0.90157
Feyenoord
Ajax		15.5%
64.9%		19.6%
+320
-113
+350
-140
3
2		-1.45977-1.55523-1.86446
Heerenveen
Groningen		35.7%
35.3%		29.0%
+159
+188
+170
+175
2
0		-0.97790-1.04344-1.03136
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		30.0%
42.3%		27.7%
+160
+183
+155
+180
3
1		-0.98054-0.98709-1.20277
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen		37.3%
35.6%		27.1%
+181
+185
+165
+185
2
0		-1.06007-1.02413-0.98674
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		17.3%
61.6%		21.0%
+344
-123
+350
-130
2
1		-1.51891-1.55344-1.75262
Fortuna Sittard
Volendam		37.3%
35.1%		27.6%
+178
+151
+185
+135
1
2		-0.94827-0.90357-1.04717
Volendam
Feyenoord		2.9%
89.5%		7.6%
+2041
-721
+1800
-850
1
2		-0.15488-0.15995-0.11091
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks62-1-3 (0.583)0-1.25320 
Sportsbooks61-2-3 (0.417)0-1.27098 
DRatings62-1-3 (0.583)0-1.29965
-0.04645
-0.02867

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.